[obrolan-bandar] Traders Increase Bets on $80 Oil on Supply Concerns
Traders Increase Bets on $80 Oil on Supply Concerns (Update1) July 4 (Bloomberg) -- Record oil prices may increase to $80 a barrel this year, options contracts on the New York Mercantile Exchange show. Investors are speculating OPEC won't produce enough oil to compensate for any disruption to supplies. New York Mercantile Exchange data show 6,900 options contracts outstanding that allow the buyer to purchase crude oil for December delivery at $80 a barrel, compared with an average of $77 in January. The probability that oil will top $75 a barrel when the December crude contract expires is 21 percent, according to Adam Sieminski and Michael Lewis, strategists at Deutsche Bank AG, up from 5 percent at the start of the year. ``The perception is that the risk of higher prices now is higher than at the beginning of this year,'' Deutsche Bank's Sieminski said in an interview. ``The market is so tightly balanced that issues like a nuclear confrontation with Iran could add a great deal of worry'' about supplies. The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, the producer of about 40 percent of the world's oil, is pumping almost as much crude as it can to increase inventories before an expected fourth-quarter peak in consumption. Crude oil reached a record $60.95 on June 27, deepening concern that the cost of energy would slow economic growth. Growth Concern Oil prices have surged 53 percent in the past year on concern that producers and refiners will strain to meet demand for products ranging from gasoline to diesel and heating oil. U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow on June 28 said high prices are hurting the world economy. German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder on June 27 called for more transparency in global oil markets to stem speculation and lower prices from levels that are threatening to crimp expansion. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development in May cut its global growth estimate for this year and next, partly because of rising energy costs. The Paris-based OECD now expects economic growth of 2.6 percent this year for its 30 member nations, down from its previous semi-annual forecast in November of 2.9 percent, the group said in May. In 2006, growth will reach 2.8 percent instead of 3.1 percent. Oil companies are profiting from the price surge. Exxon Mobil Corp., BP Plc, Royal Dutch/Shell Group, Chevron Corp. and Total SA, the five largest publicly traded oil companies, reported combined net income of about $85 billion last year, when prices averaged more than $41 a barrel. Shares of energy companies are rising. The Morgan Stanley Capital International World Energy Index, one of 10 industry groups making up the global equity benchmark, is leading gains with a 17 percent surge this year. The broader MSCI World measure has lost 1.8 percent in the period. $100 `Disastrous' Saudi Arabia's oil minister Ali al-Naimi on June 14 said his country, OPEC's largest exporter, can increase oil production by 1.5 million barrels a day from the 9.5 million a day the kingdom plans to pump in July, for a total of 11 million barrels a day. One of his predecessors, Sheikh Ahmad Zaki Yamani, who was the Saudi oil minister when Arab countries declared an embargo on exports to the West in 1973, said that $100 a barrel oil ``isn't far-fetched.'' For that to happen, he said, ``it needs the help of a political event or a military adventure, like attacking Iraq. It would be disastrous,'' he said on June 28 at a conference near London. A supply disruption of ``a couple of million'' barrels a day could send prices to $105, William Dudley, the chief U.S. economist at Goldman, Sachs & Co. in New York, said June 14. Global oil demand will rise to a record 86.4 million barrels a day in the fourth quarter, the Paris-based International Energy Agency forecasts. Output Cut ``We've certainly seen people asking for prices on $100'' contracts, said Orrin Middleton, who markets options and other securities for Barclays Capital in London. ``This was way off people's radars 12 months ago. They now believe there's a possibility, but it's going to take a supply disruption to take us there.'' Oil shipments from Iraq, which in May pumped an average 1.78 million barrels a day, were cut by about 50 percent on two occasions last year following attacks on pipelines. When the U.S. invaded the country in March 2003, production plummeted from 2.48 million a day in February of that year to 140,000 a day in April, according to Bloomberg data. `Forget $60' The daily average volumes of crude oil options trading on Nymex in the five months through May was 55,036, more than the 46,237 that traded on average in 2004, data on the exchange's Web site shows. The record was a daily average 80,710 in 2002. ``What they're playing is the possibility of a supply interruption,'' said Garrett Smith, who managed Boone Pickens's BP Capital Energy Equity Fund
Re: [obrolan-bandar] LPBN
kalau tkim gimna nsibnya pa budi? On Sun, 3 Jul 2005 20:47:40 -0700 (PDT) budi suryono <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > LPBN break out level 1240 hari ini , dan trading di >1250-1260, masih bisa masuk di level2 tsb. good luck > > > - > Do you Yahoo!? > Read only the mail you want - Yahoo! Mail SpamGuard. Akses Internet TELKOMNet-Instan beri Diskon s.d. 50 % khusus untuk wilayah Jawa Timur. Informasi selengkapnya di www.telkomnetinstan.com atau hub 0800-1-INSTAN (467826) -- IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE -- Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
[obrolan-bandar] Re: [saham] TINS = 3000 !!!
Makanya embah Beli sesuatu itu jangan merem --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, jsx-consultant wrote: > Embah ikutan beli dah di 2375 SAMBIL MEREM, pengen tahu kalo IKUTAN > rekomendasi orang lain bisa MENANG ENGGA ?. > > Embah sih selama ini ENGGA SUKA TUTURUT MUNDING > > Gimana fren, ada yang IKUTAN rekomendasi HOT-SHOT KSC ini ?. > > > Profit_Taker wrote: > > > believe it or not > > > > ada tantangan buat yang gak percaya di www.klubsaham.com > > > > berani terima tantangan ?? > > > > DILARANG KERAS MEMOSTING OPINI PRIBADI TENTANG POLITIK DI MILIS INI. > > Silahkan lakukan itu di milis [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] untuk unsubscribe dari milis saham > > [EMAIL PROTECTED] untuk subscribe ke milis saham > > > > Yahoo! Groups Links > > > > > > -- IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE -- Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/obrolan-bandar/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
[obrolan-bandar] RE: [Milis-AATI] Re: IHSG bisa ke 1200 ?
Betul Pak Asep... Dalam koran ID hari ini juga disampaikan bahwa prospek pasar modal cerah utk Sem.II/2005 - hal ini dinyatakan oleh Pak Budi R & Anton G setelah diskusi AAEI di Jakarta tentang ekspektasi pertumbuhan pasar modal di Sem.II/2005 baru2 ini...Kalo tidak salah target 1,200 (naek 20 - 25 % ataupun > 50 % yoy, rally)- dg asumsi Sem.II ini gejolak harga minyak mentah bersifat temporer, Pem sedang mencari solusi BBM & trend pertumbuhan ekonomi Asia (Jepang & China) yg meningkat & bertumbuh serta kurs Rp bisa saja 9,300 + iklim investasi DN mulai tumbuh, dll... -Original Message- From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of asep_oke Sent: 04 Juli 2005 11:59 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [Milis-AATI] Re: IHSG bisa ke 1200 ? Yang luar biasa bukan anomalinya, tapi anomali itu khan bahasanya para pengamat yang mengamati objek tertentu dengan membandingkannya terhadap objek lainnya. Jika objek yang menjadi observasinya sejalan dengan pembanding, dianggap searah. Sedangkan jika enggak, dianggap anomali. Githuuu... lho. Any way with TA "can do everything" in order you are in the direction of rule of thumb --- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], "Angelo Michel" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Kalau memang anomali itu ada dalam pasar, berarti TA juga bisa mendeteksi anomali, dong. Luar biasa... > - Original Message - > From: Tri Star > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Sent: Saturday, July 02, 2005 12:44 PM > Subject: Re: [Milis-AATI] IHSG bisa ke 1200 ? > > > Melanjutkan sedikit pertanyaan saya, hari ini di harian Bisnis Om Ferry L. dan beberapa analis mengajukan protes terhadap kenaikan indeks. Karena kenaikan indeks dianggap anomali & tidak beralasan. > > Well, kaum fundamentalis memang selalu mencari alasan untuk semua hal. > Kira2 bagaimana penjelasan dari kaum TA ya??? > Any comment?? > Thx. > > -- > Setuju Bung Alfatih, tapi kira2 alasan apa yang digunakan untuk menjustify trend ini?? > Suku bunga cenderung naik terus, rupiahpun memprihatinkan. > Thx. > > Rgds, > Bingo > > > At 19:44 01/07/2005, you wrote: > > com:office:office" /> > > IHSG setelah tertahan dalam pola flag antara tanggal 20 sampai 30 Juni yang lalu, melanjutkan trend naik yang ada sejak akhir Mei 2005. Kenaikkan ini bisa membawa index menuju 1200an dengan beberapa resist di 1150, 1166, 1194. Support 1130. > > > Yahoo! Sports > Rekindle the Rivalries. Sign up for Fantasy Football > > Untuk unsubscribe dari group ini, kirim email ke: > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > > --- - > YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS > > > a.. Visit your group "Milis-AATI" on the web. > b.. > c.. To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: > d.. [EMAIL PROTECTED] > e.. > f.. Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. > > > --- - > > > > Untuk unsubscribe dari group ini, kirim email ke: > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > > > > > --- --- > YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS > > a.. Visit your group "Milis-AATI" on the web. > > b.. To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: > [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > c.. Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. > > > --- --- Untuk unsubscribe dari group ini, kirim email ke: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/Milis-AATI/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to: http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/ -- IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE -- SPONSORED LINKS Business finance course Business to business finance Small business finance Business finance consultant Business finance magazine Business finance schools YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS Visit your group "obrolan-bandar" on the web. To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Your use
[obrolan-bandar] LPBN
LPBN break out level 1240 hari ini , dan trading di 1250-1260, masih bisa masuk di level2 tsb. good luck Do you Yahoo!? Read only the mail you want - Yahoo! Mail SpamGuard. -- IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE -- YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS Visit your group "obrolan-bandar" on the web. To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.
Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: GO SHOW JSX.
turun oom, sol / a3k - Original Message - From: Tony Hidayat To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 6:27 PM Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: GO SHOW JSX. bos bos...orang baru mau tanya donk, window dreesing itu apa sih? biasanya setelah window dressing, harga saham bergerak naik terus or turun lagi ? thanks tony - Original Message - From: jsx-consultant To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com ; saham@yahoogroups.com ; [EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 4:14 PM Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] Re: GO SHOW JSX. Friday closingIHSG +16 heheheThe Window dressing party was delayed for ONE DAY, but IT WAS a NICE,SPLENDID and COLORFULLL green PARTYThank you BOZZ... Have a nice week end to you and don't forget todrinkyour medication so you would not forget that Window Dressing SHOULD beYESTERDAY instead of TODAY hehehe.See you again on Mondayjsx_consultant wrote:> 08:00>> Matahari regional terbit dengan GAGAHnya...>> Use your best dress and WE will goto THE PARTY with> the Bozz...>> --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, "jsx_consultant" > [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:> > 15:46> >> > GO SHORT menjadi GO SHOW> > Taktik TIARAP at day 1 menjadi Taktik IJO...> >> > Bozz, GJ Future udah +25...> >> > --- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, jsx-consultant > > [EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:> > > 15:35> > >> > > Dari IMQ: 62 soldier UP and 48 down> > > IHSG naek lagi +8,7...> > >> > > SERBU TERUS BOZZ > > >> > > Penyandang DANA ada dibelakang si BOZZ> > >> > >> > > jsx_consultant wrote:> > >> > > > 15:23 -- IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE -- YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS Visit your group "obrolan-bandar" on the web. To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service.
Re: [obrolan-bandar] There is no such as FREE LUNCH...Re: DJ nyemplung lagi
he he .. mbah bisa juga kepancing
sama nelayan kampung ... a3k
- Original Message -
From:
jsx_consultant
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 6:46 PM
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] There is no
such as FREE LUNCH...Re: DJ nyemplung lagi
Gara gara IKUT beli TINS, embah udah KEILANGAN jatah
makan SEBULAN...- NAH SIAPA YANG LAGI KETAWA TERBAHAK BAHAK
Untungnya dari SPIKE TLKM, embah dapet jatah makan
SETAONSo, there is NO SUCH AS A FREE LUNCH...Jika anda
seekor ikan, dan didepan anda ada cacing, HATI HATIkalau anda makan cacing
tsb, siapa tau didalam cacing itu adakail pancingan dan akhirnya ANDA
DIMAKAN TUKANG PANCING...--- In
obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, yakob ananto <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:> ada garansinya gak om ? klo di ksc garansinya sih pake
makan2 .hehehe> > SOLO <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
wrote:> > v\:* { BEHAVIOR:
url(#default#VML)}o\:* { BEHAVIOR:
url(#default#VML)}w\:* { BEHAVIOR:
url(#default#VML)}.shape { BEHAVIOR:
url(#default#VML)}phew.. juga :)> > Prediksi akhir bulan
akan tembus rekor baru meleset (mo siong kon:). > Sekarang tinggal
satu lagi : paling lambat 15 Juli rekor baru pecah minimal 2 kali!>
- Original Message - > From: Danny & Liza Lau > To:
obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 7:09
PM> Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJ nyemplung lagi> >
> > Pak solo, untung yang kejadian adalah naik lumayan gede, 16
point
. *phew!*> > > >
> > > > -Original Message->
From: SOLO [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 9:21
AM> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> Subject: Re:
[obrolan-bandar] DJ nyemplung lagi> > > >
Mbah, hari ini ihsg pilihannya cuma turun gede atau naik gede. Ngga bisa
kecil-kecilan:)> > > > >
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Re: [obrolan-bandar] There is no such as FREE LUNCH...Re: DJ nyemplung lagi
too bad... sepertinya embah masuk di TINS di harga 2300-2450. coba klo embah masuk pagian...
tapi ane juga gak masuk ke TINS kok.
goodluckjsx_consultant <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Gara gara IKUT beli TINS, embah udah KEILANGAN jatah makan SEBULAN...- NAH SIAPA YANG LAGI KETAWA TERBAHAK BAHAK Untungnya dari SPIKE TLKM, embah dapet jatah makan SETAONSo, there is NO SUCH AS A FREE LUNCH...Jika anda seekor ikan, dan didepan anda ada cacing, HATI HATIkalau anda makan cacing tsb, siapa tau didalam cacing itu adakail pancingan dan akhirnya ANDA DIMAKAN TUKANG PANCING...--- In obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com, yakob ananto <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:> ada garansinya gak om ? klo di ksc garansinya sih pake makan2 .hehehe> > SOLO <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:> > v\:* { BEHAVIOR: url(#default#VML)}o\:* { BEHAVIOR: url(#default#VML)}w\:* { BEHAVIOR:
url(#default#VML)}.shape { BEHAVIOR: url(#default#VML)}phew.. juga :)> > Prediksi akhir bulan akan tembus rekor baru meleset (mo siong kon:). > Sekarang tinggal satu lagi : paling lambat 15 Juli rekor baru pecah minimal 2 kali!> - Original Message - > From: Danny & Liza Lau > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 7:09 PM> Subject: RE: [obrolan-bandar] DJ nyemplung lagi> > > > Pak solo, untung yang kejadian adalah naik lumayan gede, 16 point
. *phew!*> > > > > > > > -Original Message-> From: SOLO [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 9:21 AM> To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com> Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] DJ nyemplung lagi> > > > Mbah, hari ini ihsg
pilihannya cuma turun gede atau naik gede. Ngga bisa kecil-kecilan:)> > > > > > - Original Message - > > > From: jsx_consultant > > > To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com > > > Sent: Friday, July 01, 2005 10:10 AM> > > Subject: [obrolan-bandar] DJ nyemplung lagi> > > > > > DJ nyemplung lagi> > > Udah susah nih, cari duit...> > > > > > > > > --> > IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE> > --> > > > > > > > SPONSORED LINKS > > > Business finance course >
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--> > > > > > > > > > --> > IMQ - THE REAL TIME DATA AND BUSINESS NEWS SERVICE> > --> > > > > > > -> YAHOO! GROUPS LINKS > > > Visit your group "obrolan-bandar" on the web.> > To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:> [EMAIL PROTECTED]> > Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to the Yahoo! Terms of Service. > > > -> > > > >
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