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Tin Rises to 17-Year High on Indonesia Stoppage, China Forecast 
By Brett Foley
Feb. 12 (Bloomberg) -- Tin rose to its highest in at least 17 years in
London after an Indonesian producer stopped receiving ore from suppliers
and a forecast that Chinese exports of the metal will drop 10 percent in
2007. 
Malaysia Smelting Corp. said today its PT Koba Tin unit, Indonesia's
second-largest tin miner and smelter, stopped collecting ore from small
miners amid a police probe into whether it bought ore from unauthorized
miners. China's exports fell 12 percent in 2006 and will drop again,
said Beijing Antaike Information Co. an adviser to the Chinese
government. 
``The supply side is already relatively tight and more news like this is
impacting sentiment,'' said Robin Bhar, a London- based metals analyst
at UBS AG. 
Tin for delivery in three months on the LME gained $175, or 1.4 percent,
to $12,500 a ton as at 1:18 p.m. local time. Earlier, it rose as much as
3.5 percent to $12,750, beating the previous 17-year high of $12,500 set
on Jan. 24. 
The metal has gained 8.6 percent this year on concern about reduced
supply from Indonesia, the world's second-biggest producer, which has
tightened export regulations and tried to stop illegal mining. Malaysia
Smelting said today that three directors at Koba have been held by local
police to assist in its investigation. 
Koba declared force majeure, Malaysia Smelting said in a statement to
the Malaysian stock exchange. A force majeure clause allows a company to
cancel delivery due to unforeseen circumstances. Malaysia Smelting
denied any wrongdoing. 
Inventories Decline 
Chinese exports dropped to 19,000 tons last year, Cui Lin, a tin analyst
at Antaike, said in an interview today. Consumption in China, the
world's fastest-growing major economy, is rising as the country uses
more of the metal for soldering electronic components. Stockpiles
monitored by the London Metal Exchange are at their lowest since
November 2005. 
Global consumption expanded 9 percent in 2006 on higher usage, tin
research organization ITRI Ltd. said on Feb. 8. Demand grew to 360,000
tons last year as electronics manufacturers increased the tin component
of solder to substitute for lead, a poisonous metal, ITRI said. 
Copper fell as stockpiles increased amid speculation that the Chinese
Lunar New Year holiday may disrupt purchases of the metal used in pipes
and wires. 
Inventories rose 425 metric tons to 216,050 tons, the LME said.
Stockpiles have risen 18 percent this year and are at the highest since
March 2004. China, the largest copper user, may delay purchases due to
the forthcoming the Lunar New Year holiday, said Kevin Tuohy, a trader
at Man Financial Ltd., one of 11 companies trading on the floor of the
LME. 
Copper Falls 
``I would be surprised if there is any increased demand from China this
week in the lead-up to the New Year holiday period,'' Tuohy said in an
interview. 
Copper on the LME slipped $36 to $5,544 a ton. 
Copper trading on the Shanghai Futures Exchange will be halted from Feb.
17 until Feb. 26 because of the Chinese holiday. 
Also on the LME, nickel dropped $50 to $36,100 a ton, lead advanced $45
to $1,660, zinc declined $10 to $3,140 and aluminum gained $5 to $2,705.

To contact the reporter on this story: Brett Foley in London at
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Last Updated: February 12, 2007 08:23 EST

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