[obrolan-bandar] U.S. Stocks Tumble, Led by Banks, Builders on Housing Concern

2008-07-24 Terurut Topik rudd haas
U.S. Stocks Tumble, Led by Banks, Builders on Housing Concern 

By Lynn Thomasson
July 24 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks tumbled, sending financial shares to their 
worst drop in eight years, after home sales slid more than forecast and 
investor Bill Gross predicted the housing slump will cost banks and brokerages 
$1 trillion. 
Citigroup Inc., Bank of America Corp. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. retreated 
and shares of builders posted their biggest decline ever as a report showed 
sales of previously owned homes fell to the lowest level in a decade. Ford 
Motor Co., the world's third-largest carmaker, plunged the most since August 
2000 after reporting a loss twice as big as analysts estimated. 
``I would feel very uncomfortable for the average investor to get too 
aggressive in financials,'' said Stephen Wood, who helps manage $213 billion as 
a senior portfolio strategist at Russell Investments in New York. The recovery 
in the housing market ``isn't going to be coming any time soon.'' 
The Standard  Poor's 500 Index dropped the most since June 26, losing 29.65 
points, or 2.3 percent, to 1,252.54. The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid 
283.1, or 2.4 percent, to 11,349.28. The Nasdaq Composite Index tumbled 45.77, 
or 2 percent, to 2,280.11. Five stocks retreated for each that gained on the 
New York Stock Exchange. European shares declined as German business confidence 
sank, while Asian shares advanced. 
Banks Tumble 
Financial stocks in the SP 500 fell 6.7 percent as a group, the third drop in 
the past three weeks greater than 5 percent. Today's slump follows a six-day, 
30 percent rally spurred by better-than-estimated earnings reports from 
Citigroup, JPMorgan and Wells Fargo and legislation to rescue Fannie Mae and 
Freddie Mac. 
The SP 500 pared its rebound from an almost three-year low on July 15 to 3.1 
percent. 
Citigroup, the largest U.S. bank by assets, lost 9.8 percent to $19.06. Bank of 
America, the second-biggest, sank 8.4 percent to $30.64. JPMorgan, the No. 3, 
retreated 6.7 percent to $39.14. Goldman, the biggest securities firm, slid 4.1 
percent to $180.26. 
The slump in sales of previously owned U.S. homes signaled weakening consumer 
confidence is hurting demand. Resales dropped 2.6 percent to a 
lower-than-forecast 4.86 million annual rate from a 4.99 million pace the prior 
month, the National Association of Realtors said. The median home price dropped 
6.1 percent from June last year. 
Washington Mutual Slides 
Washington Mutual Inc. dropped 13 percent to $4.03, bringing the stock's 
two-day decline to 31 percent. Gimme Credit LLC said unsecured creditors were 
``pulling funds'' from the biggest U.S. savings and loan, citing a decline in 
federal funds purchased and commercial paper. The company fell yesterday after 
Piper Jaffray Cos. advised investors to sell the stock and Merrill Lynch  Co. 
and Friedman Billings Ramsey Group Inc. analysts said the bank may need more 
capital. 
Washington Mutual said in an e-mailed statement that it does all of its 
business through banking operations and ``does not rely on commercial paper.'' 
The 28 percent jump in the SP 500 Financials Index during the five trading 
days ended July 22 was the biggest one-week advance for any of the SP 500's 10 
industry groups since daily calculations on the indexes began in 1989, 
according to Harrison, New York-based research firm Bespoke Investment Group 
LLC. 
An SP index of 15 homebuilders slumped 12 percent, its biggest drop ever, as 
13 of its companies retreated. 
Ryland Group Inc., the U.S. homebuilder for first-time buyers, tumbled 19 
percent to $21.43 and led the group's decline after reporting a second-quarter 
loss that exceeded analysts' estimates. 
A total of $5 trillion of mortgage loans belong to ``risky asset categories,'' 
Gross, manager of the world's largest bond fund at Pacific Investment 
Management Co., said in commentary posted on the firm's Web site today. 
$1 Trillion Forecast 
His $1 trillion forecast implies that credit-market losses are less than 
halfway over. Since the start of 2007, global financial firms have reported 
$468.1 billion in losses and writedowns, according to data compiled by 
Bloomberg News. Firms worldwide have raised $344.6 billion of capital since the 
third quarter of 2007. 
``As long as housing prices go down, no one can say how much the banks are 
going to lose and how long it will last,'' said Charles Knott, who oversees 
$800 million as chief investment officer at Knott Capital Management in Exton, 
Pennsylvania. 
The number of vacant houses hit an all-time high in the second quarter as the 
U.S. real estate recession pushed homeowners into foreclosure and lenders 
seized properties. A total of 18.6 million U.S. homes stood empty, more than at 
any time in history and 6.9 percent higher than a year earlier, the U.S. Census 
Bureau said. 
Consumer Shares Slide 
Homebuilders, automakers and hotel owners dragged a group of consumer stocks 
down 2.8 

[obrolan-bandar] U.S. Stocks Tumble

2007-04-11 Terurut Topik Shamjul
U.S. Stocks Tumble; Fed Says Economy Is Slowing, Rates May Rise 

By Eric Martin

April 11 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks posted their first decline this month after 
the Federal Reserve said the economy may slow without curbing inflation, 
raising the specter of higher interest rates. 

General Motors Corp., Wal-Mart Stores Inc. and International Business Machines 
Corp. led the Dow Jones Industrial Average to end its longest streak of gains 
since 2003. Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp. sent financial shares 
tumbling. 

Minutes from the Fed's last policy meeting added to concern after the 
International Monetary Fund said the U.S. economy will expand at its slowest 
pace in five years. Fed officials said higher borrowing costs may ``prove 
necessary'' and gave no hint of a rate cut. 

``They still have their finger on the trigger for raising interest rates,'' 
said John Huber, who oversees about $23 billion at Transamerica Investment 
Management in Los Angeles. ``The stock market can trade in this range until we 
get confirmation inflation has been nipped in the bud.'' 

The Dow average retreated 89.23, or 0.7 percent, to 12,484.62, its first drop 
since March 28. The Standard  Poor's 500 Index slid 9.52, or 0.7 percent, to 
1438.87. The Nasdaq Composite Index decreased 18.30, or 0.7 percent, to 
2459.31. 

GM, the biggest carmaker, lost 62 cents to $31.46. Wal-Mart, the largest 
retailer, slipped 67 cents to $47.27. IBM, the No. 1 computer-services company, 
declined $1.30 to $95.16. 

`Further Firming' 

Stocks fell to their lows of the day after the Fed released minutes from the 
Open Market Committee's March 20-21 meeting. Increased uncertainty had prompted 
policy makers to remove a reference in their statement to tighter credit. 

``Further policy firming might prove necessary to foster lower inflation,'' 
according to the minutes. ``But in light of the increased uncertainty about the 
outlook for both growth and inflation, the committee also agreed that the 
statement should no longer cite only the possibility of further firming.'' 

The ``worst-case scenario'' for investors is a period of heightened inflation 
and slowing growth, known as stagflation, said Art Hogan, the Boston-based 
chief market analyst at Jefferies  Co. 

``That's the 800-pound elephant in the room that no one likes to talk about,'' 
Hogan said. ``You're fighting two things at the same time and monetary policy 
is rendered useless while that's going on.'' 

While the decision to alter the statement led some economists to say it 
increased the chance of a rate cut, Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said on March 
28 that the Fed hadn't shifted to a ``neutral'' stance. 

Lacker Comments 

In comments today, Richmond Fed Bank President Jeffrey Lacker reiterated his 
view that policy makers must be wary of relying on consumers' and investors' 
expectations for prices to pull down inflation. 

Treasuries fell and the dollar strengthened against the euro after the release 
of the minutes. Oil was little changed at $62.01 a barrel in New York. 

``The Fed coming out and saying they continue to be worried about inflation 
means the relief is not yet here for banks,'' said Huber. 

Financial shares were the biggest drag on the SP 500 among 10 industries, 
sliding 0.8 percent as a group. The absence of a rate cut may slow demand for 
mortgages and loans, as well as lower the value of bonds owned by banks, 
brokers and insurers. 

Citigroup 

Citigroup slumped 60 cents to $51.80 on concern its cost- cutting plan is too 
modest. 

The biggest U.S. bank aims to reduce annual spending by $4.6 billion in the 
next three years to and eliminate 17,000 jobs, or 5 percent of its workforce. 
Citigroup will take a $1.38 billion pretax charge in the first quarter, along 
with additional charges of about $200 million in subsequent quarters this year. 

``There's some room for them to do a lot more,'' said Anton Schutz, who 
oversees about $270 million as president of Mendon Capital Advisors in 
Rochester, New York. ``A lot of these things are obvious and should have been 
done over the years.'' Schutz owns put options on Citigroup, which give him the 
right to sell the stock at a specified price. 

Bank of America slid 56 cents to $50.51. JPMorgan Chase  Co. fell 9 cents to 
$49.15. 

Rising mortgage loan delinquencies may constrain home purchases and hobble the 
housing market's recovery, the Fed said. 

Homebuilders 

Homebuilders tumbled 2 percent to the lowest since August. The subprime loan 
``debacle'' will make it more difficult for borrowers to get mortgages and will 
cause U.S. home prices to fall this year for the first time on record, the 
National Association of Realtors said. 

The 2007 median price for an existing home likely will decline 0.7 percent to 
$220,300, the first drop since the real estate trade group began keeping 
records in 1968 and probably the first decline since the Great Depression, the 
association said. For new