Re: Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread miychi

On 2002.06.03 05:40 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Michael wrote,
 In his presidential address to the American Economic Association,
 Sherwin Rosen claimed that one of the benefits of the market is
 its ability to provide diversity.
 
 Do you suppose Rosen thinks this result (markets provide diversity) is derived
 from the neoclassical model or is it just part of the pre-analytic vision? I'm
 not sure what in the neoclassical model would lead to the diversity claim
 unless it was based on product differentiation. But conclusions about product
 differentiation is about the number of different versions of the product and
 not about the range of products provided.
 
 That is, if the theoretical products range from 1 to 10, product
 differentiation might appear as a models 4.1, 4.2, 4.3, and 4.4. But it might
 not lead to any 3s or 5s. Rosen might be thinking that a large number of
 different models means that a large range of products exists. But I don't
 think that the former implies the latter
 
 ERic
 /
 
 Usual economic textbook begin with Market. In other word, Market is assumed to
analyze firstly. But Market itself began in 16C in Europe. Before this
alternative product exchange means must be existed.
I ,as Marxist, begin with analysis of commodity. Because it is essential
element of social product.
In current credit capitalism, Alternative exchange started. Such as LET, or
In Argentine bank crisis People exchange product by barter trade widely. In
other words, Banks are unneeded for people survival. For Fetishism of
Sachen( commodity, capital and money) people believe in these categories,
but it is an illusion.
MIYACHI TATSUO
Psychiatric Department
Komaki municipal hosipital
1-20.JOHBUHSHI
KOMAKI CITY
AICHI PREF.
486-0044
TEL:0568-76-4131
FAX 0568-76-4145
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
 
 
 




Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Doug Henwood

Michael Perelman wrote:

In his presidential address to the American Economic Association,
Sherwin Rosen claimed that one of the benefits of the market is
its ability to provide diversity.  Yet in a number of areas,
diversity is shrinking.  Publishers resist printing books that
cannot sell at Barnes  Noble.  Radio stations are becoming less
diverse -- unless you include Web broadcasting.  Cable does allow
for more diversity in some respects, but not insofar as politics
is concerned.  Broadcasting Chomsky for three minutes on CNN was
a big deal.

Bourdieu argues in his book On Television 
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that 
competition produces sameness, not diversity.

Doug




Re: Darwinian doctrine

2002-06-03 Thread Chris Burford

Despite our other differences, I appreciate Hinrich Kuhls drawing attention 
to this letter.


At 01/06/02 23:56 +0200, Hinrich Kuhls quoted:

Engels to P. L. Lavrov in London, Nov. 12-17, 1875


  Very valuable and profound letter, unmistakably dialectical and materialist.



The interaction of bodies in nature - inanimate as well as animate - 
includes both harmony and collision, struggle and cooperation.

This goes for social bodies too: states, rulers and ruled, classes, 
superstructure and base.


Everyone of us is influenced more or less by the intellectual environment 
in which he mostly moves.


Including Marx and Engels.


Further on in the letter Engels writes

I should regard the social instinct as one of the most essential factors 
in the evolution of humans from apes.

Although this might imply that social factors are not important for apes, 
it is perhaps one of those passages Engels wrote in haste.

What is important is the main idea, which is consistent with the importance 
he gives to work and to language in human evolution: that we are a social 
species, temporarily under the fragmenting sway of capitalist relations of 
production.

Chris Burford






Re: Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Louis Proyect

Bourdieu argues in his book On Television 
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that 
competition produces sameness, not diversity.

Doug

Competition is the opposite of what? Monopoly? Neither of these terms seem
very useful in addressing the underlying rottenness of mass communications
in the USA. Clearly monopoly is a big, big problem in radio. 35 years ago
there was tremendous variety on the NYC FM dial, with stations catering to
a sophisticated classical music audience, free form radio (other than
Pacifica), etc. Now that 3 megacorporations control the air waves, you can
hardly find anything worth listening to.

By the same token, Bourdieu has a point. When ABC, NBC and CBS chase after
the same demographic slice of the market, they will cater to the lowest
common denominator. This explains the explosion of reality shows, which
not only embody a frat house sensibility, but are cheap to produce. (No
actors with high salaries.)

In any case, the real dichotomy is not between competition and monopoly. It
is between profit and the public interest. PBS was meant as an alternative
to the commercial networks and did produce some lively television in the
1970s before Mobil Oil and other corporate interests subverted the network.
For example, Frontline used to produce some sensational documentaries on
Central America during the 1980s. Nowadays, all it does is churn out
exposes on terrorism that are designed to facilitate US ambitions in
Central Asia.

Part of the landscape of late capitalism is this cultural detritus. The
power of big capital to deaden our senses and make us stupid is nearly
unlimited. Last night I watched about 10 minutes of The Hamptons, an ABC
documentary in two parts that was produced and directed by Barbara Kopple
of Harlan County, U.S.A. and American Dream fame. From these
documentaries on miners and meatpackers' struggles, she evolved into the
producer-director of Wild Man Blues, an insipid portrait of Woody Allen.
From there she has descended into the pits of hell. Her portrait of the
Hamptons does not work as social commentary, nor is it interesting in a
kind of trashy cable network fashion that you see on the E Network which
features Howard Stern.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org




markets diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Devine, James
Title: markets  diversity





Michael Perelman wrote:


it's interesting (to me, at least), that the ideal market of neoclassical economics -- the perfectly competitive market -- does not allow diversity; diversity undermines perfection. On the other hand, the more realistic story of atomistic markets that neoclassical economics typically plays down -- the monopolistically competitive market -- is the one that assumes diversity, at least in terms of the product being sold. 

Actually, all I'm doing is testing to see if my e-mail system will send. It ain't receiving. And I see pen-l as an all-important antidote to jury duty. I'm on a ten day trial. I have two words about that: personal injury.

JD



In his presidential address to the American Economic Association,
Sherwin Rosen claimed that one of the benefits of the market is
its ability to provide diversity. Yet in a number of areas,
diversity is shrinking. Publishers resist printing books that
cannot sell at Barnes  Noble. Radio stations are becoming less
diverse -- unless you include Web broadcasting. Cable does allow
for more diversity in some respects, but not insofar as politics
is concerned. Broadcasting Chomsky for three minutes on CNN was
a big deal.


Bourdieu argues in his book On Television 
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that 
competition produces sameness, not diversity.


Doug





testing: competition diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Devine, James
Title: testing: competition  diversity





contrary to what it says below, Michael did not write the two paragraphs. I did. It's good to see that pen-l is receiving my missives even I am not receiving yours... JD


Michael Perelman wrote: 


it's interesting (to me, at least), that the ideal market of neoclassical economics -- the perfectly competitive market -- does not allow diversity; diversity undermines perfection. On the other hand, the more realistic story of atomistic markets that neoclassical economics typically plays down -- the monopolistically competitive market -- is the one that assumes diversity, at least in terms of the product being sold. 

Actually, all I'm doing is testing to see if my e-mail system will send. It ain't receiving. And I see pen-l as an all-important antidote to jury duty. I'm on a ten day trial. I have two words about that: personal injury.

JD 





: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Justin Schwartz



Bourdieu argues in his book On Television
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that
competition produces sameness, not diversity.

Doug


What's his reasoning? Or is it just an observation? I would expect it to 
depend on the circumstances. jks

_
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Re: markets diversity

2002-06-03 Thread miychi
Title: Re: [PEN-L:26525] markets  diversity



On 2002.06.03 10:52 PM, Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Michael Perelman wrote: 

it's interesting (to me, at least), that the ideal market of neoclassical economics -- the perfectly competitive market -- does not allow diversity; diversity undermines perfection. On the other hand, the more realistic story of atomistic markets that neoclassical economics typically plays down -- the monopolistically competitive market -- is the one that assumes diversity, at least in terms of the product being sold. 

Actually, all I'm doing is testing to see if my e-mail system will send. It ain't receiving. And I see pen-l as an all-important antidote to jury duty. I'm on a ten day trial. I have two words about that: personal injury.

JD 


In his presidential address to the American Economic Association, 
Sherwin Rosen claimed that one of the benefits of the market is 
its ability to provide diversity. Yet in a number of areas, 
diversity is shrinking. Publishers resist printing books that 
cannot sell at Barnes  Noble. Radio stations are becoming less 
diverse -- unless you include Web broadcasting. Cable does allow 
for more diversity in some respects, but not insofar as politics 
is concerned. Broadcasting Chomsky for three minutes on CNN was 
a big deal. 

Bourdieu argues in his book On Television 
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that 
competition produces sameness, not diversity. 

Below is On The Jewish Question of marx
MIYACHI TATSUO
Psychiatric Department
Komaki municipal hosipital
1-20.JOHBUHSHI
KOMAKI CITY
AICHI PREF.
486-0044
TEL:0568-76-4131
FAX 0568-76-4145
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
For market problem, to consider Communism is needed
 
Included among them is freedom of conscience, the right to practice any religion one chooses. The privilege of faith is expressly recognized either as a right of man or as the consequence of a right of man, that of liberty. 

Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen, 1791, Article 10: 

No one is to be subjected to annoyance because of his opinions, even religious opinions.

The freedom of every man to practice the religion of which he is an adherent.

Declaration of the Rights of Man, etc., 1793, includes among the rights of man, Article 7: The free exercise of religion. Indeed, in regard to man's right to express his thoughts and opinions, to hold meetings, and to exercise his religion, it is even stated: The necessity of proclaiming these rights presupposes either the existence or the recent memory of despotism. Compare the Constitution of 1795, Section XIV, Article 354. Constitution of Pennsylvania, Article 9, S 3:

All men have received from nature the imprescriptible right to worship the Almighty according to the dictates of their conscience, and no one can be legally compelled to follow, establish, or support against his will any religion or religious ministry. No human authority can, in any circumstances, intervene in a matter of conscience or control the forces of the soul.

Constitution of New Hampshire, Article 5 and 6: 

Among these natural rights some are by nature inalienable since nothing can replace them. The rights of conscience are among them. (Beaumont, op. cit., pp.213,214)

Incompatibility between religion and the rights of man is to such a degree absent from the concept of the rights of man that, on the contrary, a man's right to be religious, is expressly included among the rights of man. The privilege of faith is a universal right of man. 

The droits de l'homme, the rights of man, are, as such, distinct from the droits du citoyen, the rights of the citizen. Who is homme as distinct from citoyen? None other than the member of civil society. Why is the member of civil society called man, simply man; why are his rights called the rights of man? How is this fact to be explained? From the relationship between the political state and civil society, from the nature of political emancipation. 

Above all, we note the fact that the so-called rights of man, the droits de l'homme as distinct from the droits du citoyen, are nothing but the rights of a member of civil society -- i.e., the rights of egoistic man, of man separated from other men and from the community. Let us hear what the most radical Constitution, the Constitution of 1793, has to say: Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen. Article 2. These rights, etc., (the natural and imprescriptible rights) are: equality, liberty, security, property. What constitutes liberty? 

Article 6. Liberty is the power which man has to do everything that does not harm the rights of others, or, according to the Declaration of the Rights of Man of 1791: Liberty consists in being able to do everything which does not harm others. 

Liberty, therefore, is the right to do everything that harms no one else. The limits within which anyone can act without harming someone else are defined by law, just as the boundary between two fields is 

re: Wood vs. Brenner

2002-06-03 Thread Devine, James
Title: re: Wood vs. Brenner





I haven't read the Ellen Wood article that Alavi criticizes below, but it fits with other things that I'd read by her (including in MONTHLY REVIEW when she was an editor there). Some people conflate her views with those of Robert Brenner, but if Alavi is right, her theoretical bent differs significantly from his. 

On the one hand, Brenner follows Marx to think of capitalism in terms of This separation of labour from the conditions of labour is the precondition of capitalist production. (Alavi's quote from Marx.) That is, Brenner sees capitalism in terms of proletarianization (the double freedom, freedom from the bonds of serfdom or slavery and freedom from the ownership of the means of production and subsistence). On the other hand, Wood tends to see capitalism in terms of the imperative of the market. Ironically, this is similar to so-called third worldists such as Andre Gunder Frank and Immanuel Wallerstein. 

Wood and Brenner do share a tendency to downplay third worldist considerations. But that doesn't mean that we should reject their research out of hand. Rather, it means that their research should be complemented, filled out, by other authors. (I like Samir Amin, for example.) No single author should ever been seen as the font of all truth, anyway. (One problem with Marxism is that some Marxists -- a very small number these days -- treat Marx and Engels in this way.) 

Jim Devine


--


Louis Proyect posted: 


Colonialism and the Rise of Capitalism 


Hamza Alavi 


It is quite extra-ordinary to see how, over 45 years ago, leading 
Â'WesternÂ' Marxists managed to get through an entire debate on Â'The 
Transition From Feudalism to CapitalismÂ' (Hilton, 1976) without once 
mentioning the colonial context of the rise of British industrial 
capitalism. As we shall try to demonstrate, the imperial nexus played 
a crucial role in it. Capitalism was a global phenomenon from the 
outset, not only by way of trade but also by way of extraction of 
resources from the colonies that underpinned capital accumulation in 
the metropolis. So it continues today. That blind spot in Marxist 
historiography, which fails to locate the colonial relationship at 
the centre of capitalist development in the metropolis is also 
responsible for a missing dimension in Marxist political practice. 
The fate of the working class in the advanced capitalist countries 
is, more than ever, linked inextricably with that of the working 
people of the so-called Third World. But Western labour movements 
have done little to integrate their struggles with those of the 
workers of the Third World. 


Colin BarkerÂ's review article in the inaugural issue of Historical 
Materialism (1997), despite its brilliance and comprehensiveness, is 
not free from that general oversight. Barker writes with clarity and 
what he has to say stands very well on its own ground regardless of 
the merits or otherwise of Ellen WoodÂ's books that he has reviewed. 
One would endorse most of what Barker has to say, subject to this one 
caveat about the absence of the colonial dimension in his 
comprehensive statement. WoodÂ's own contribution to the inaugural 
issue of Historical Materialism is, by contrast, very disappointing. 
I will take her article, however, as a useful point of departure for 
a discussion of issues that need to be raised. Much of the problem 
with WoodÂ's article, it must be said, stems from her methodological 
decision to take the concept of Â'the marketÂ' as the organising focus 
of her discussion, even when she criticises others for the way in 
which they have used it. As against them, she argues that Â'the 
capitalist market (does not) represent an opportunity (but rather) an 
imperativeÂ'. But nowhere does she explain what she means by the 
Â'imperative of the marketÂ'. 


The market is, of course, an essential component of the mechanism of 
capitalism. But, except in pseudo-Marxist works, such as those of 
Immanuel Wallerstein (1974), the market does not define the structure 
of capitalism. What is specific and central to the capitalist mode of 
production (in agricultural capitalism as well as industrial) is the 
separation of the producer from the means of production. As Marx 
himself put it, Â'This separation of labour from the conditions of 
labour is the precondition of capitalist production.Â' (Marx, 1969:78) 


Wood is led away from that key definition in MarxÂ's thinking. Instead 
she mistakenly posits the existence of Â'two different narrativesÂ' in 
Marx. The first of these she attributes to the German Ideology and 
The Communist Manifesto. In that Â'conventional modelÂ', (as she puts 
it), history is a succession of stages in the division of labour, 
with a transhistorical (sic) process of technological progress and 
the leading role assigned to burgher classes who seem to bring about 
capitalism just by being liberated from feudal chainsÂ'. This 
rendering of MarxÂ's ideas 

Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Bill Lear

On Monday, June 3, 2002 at 14:39:44 (+) Justin Schwartz writes:
[Doug Henwood writes:]
Bourdieu argues in his book On Television
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that
competition produces sameness, not diversity.

Doug

What's his reasoning? Or is it just an observation? I would expect it to 
depend on the circumstances. jks

It is also highly dependent upon what definition of competition one
uses, n'est-ce pas?

If by competition, Bourdieu means modern Western state-supported
large- (very) and small- firm market mechanisms, that's one thing.  If
he means classic individualistic competition which drives prices to
approach marginal costs, that's entirely another thing.

With the latter, we would have zero diversity, since we'd all still be
living in caves.  With the former we would have a high degree of
phylogenic differentiation, but a large degree of sympatry (been
reading Gould's book, in his honor, you see:-).

Didn't Thomas Frank also remark somewhere that the United States
is a very dynamic society going nowhere?


Bill




Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Doug Henwood

Justin Schwartz wrote:

Bourdieu argues in his book On Television
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that
competition produces sameness, not diversity.

Doug


What's his reasoning? Or is it just an observation? I would expect 
it to depend on the circumstances. jks

I quote some of it in my review, but basically his point is that the 
disciplines imposed by competition for audience and profit 
maximization force broadcasters to dumb down content, make it 
superficially sensational but ultimately conventional, and avoid 
anything that might turn away listeners or viewers. He emphasized 
this rather than concentration of ownership, an analysis he regarded 
as superficial.

Speaking of superficial analyses, I recommend a listen to Mark 
Crispin Miller's dreadful demo tape, Queen of the Forest 
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/MCMillerQueen.mp3. Say goodbye 
to your animal friends... If this is the kind of media Miller wants, 
I think I prefer Rupert Murdoch.

Doug




Re: Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Michael Perelman


Thanks for all of your responses.  My intuition is that goods with very
small marginal production costs, such as books and television, tend to aim
for mass markets, while other types of goods try to be able to capture
expensive niches, often with the adjective designer attached to the
product.


-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Re: Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Eric Nilsson

Michael wrote,

 Thanks for all of your responses.  My intuition is that goods with very
 small marginal production costs, such as books and television, tend to aim
 for mass markets, while other types of goods try to be able to capture
 expensive niches, often with the adjective designer attached to the
 product.

Two points:
(1)do you really think supply side/technical factors lay behind
diversity/nondiversity?

(2) is there a chicken/egg problem: the attempt to go mass
production/(nondiversity) might lead to large scale production which might
lead to low marginal costs (due to the large fixed costs).


Eric
.




Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Rob Schaap

I think Steiner discovered in 1951 that when a second TV station went to
air in a market, it invariably felt obliged to emulate the schedule of
the first - sorta ensuring a shot at half the going market.  He then
discovered a third station did precisely the same thing - better to
chase 33% of a proven market than actually be worthwhile.  It was around
entrant number four that a few schedule disparities would first become 
evident.  On that reading, a monopolist with four licences would proffer
more variety than four competitors with a channel each.  Makes sense to
me.  And not particularly dangerous for news and current affairs either,
as it'd be hard finding a more harmonised quartet than the big US
networks, no?  

I hear MSNBC is the last word in daring TV leftism over there ...

Heh heh,
Rob.

Bill Lear wrote:
 
 On Monday, June 3, 2002 at 14:39:44 (+) Justin Schwartz writes:
 [Doug Henwood writes:]
 Bourdieu argues in his book On Television
 http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that
 competition produces sameness, not diversity.
 
 Doug
 
 What's his reasoning? Or is it just an observation? I would expect it to
 depend on the circumstances. jks
 
 It is also highly dependent upon what definition of competition one
 uses, n'est-ce pas?
 
 If by competition, Bourdieu means modern Western state-supported
 large- (very) and small- firm market mechanisms, that's one thing.  If
 he means classic individualistic competition which drives prices to
 approach marginal costs, that's entirely another thing.
 
 With the latter, we would have zero diversity, since we'd all still be
 living in caves.  With the former we would have a high degree of
 phylogenic differentiation, but a large degree of sympatry (been
 reading Gould's book, in his honor, you see:-).
 
 Didn't Thomas Frank also remark somewhere that the United States
 is a very dynamic society going nowhere?
 
 Bill




Re: Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Tim Bousquet


--- Doug Henwood [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 Speaking of superficial analyses, I recommend a
 listen to Mark 
 Crispin Miller's dreadful demo tape, Queen of the
 Forest 

This is truly horrible. Alas, it's typical of what
passes for an environmental movement in the US.

tim

=
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Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Michael Perelman


Once, a colleague enticed me to work on a textbook project.  Little Brown
was interested, flew into Boston, shuttled came through a group of editors
and executives, until he hit the highest level, where the honcho told him
that the book would be unacceptable because the table of contents was not
similar to that of McConnell's book.  McConnell was the best seller at the
time.

On Tue, Jun 04, 2002 at 02:36:18AM +1000, Rob Schaap wrote:
 I think Steiner discovered in 1951 that when a second TV station went to
 air in a market, it invariably felt obliged to emulate the schedule of
 the first - sorta ensuring a shot at half the going market.  He then
 discovered a third station did precisely the same thing - better to
 chase 33% of a proven market than actually be worthwhile.  It was around
 entrant number four that a few schedule disparities would first become 
 evident.  On that reading, a monopolist with four licences would proffer
 more variety than four competitors with a channel each.  Makes sense to
 me.  And not particularly dangerous for news and current affairs either,
 as it'd be hard finding a more harmonised quartet than the big US
 networks, no?  
 
 I hear MSNBC is the last word in daring TV leftism over there ...
 
 Heh heh,
 Rob.
 
 Bill Lear wrote:
  
  On Monday, June 3, 2002 at 14:39:44 (+) Justin Schwartz writes:
  [Doug Henwood writes:]
  Bourdieu argues in his book On Television
  http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that
  competition produces sameness, not diversity.
  
  Doug
  
  What's his reasoning? Or is it just an observation? I would expect it to
  depend on the circumstances. jks
  
  It is also highly dependent upon what definition of competition one
  uses, n'est-ce pas?
  
  If by competition, Bourdieu means modern Western state-supported
  large- (very) and small- firm market mechanisms, that's one thing.  If
  he means classic individualistic competition which drives prices to
  approach marginal costs, that's entirely another thing.
  
  With the latter, we would have zero diversity, since we'd all still be
  living in caves.  With the former we would have a high degree of
  phylogenic differentiation, but a large degree of sympatry (been
  reading Gould's book, in his honor, you see:-).
  
  Didn't Thomas Frank also remark somewhere that the United States
  is a very dynamic society going nowhere?
  
  Bill
 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




RE: Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Eric Nilsson

Michael wrote,
 . . .the honcho told him
 that the book would be unacceptable because the table of contents was not
 similar to that of McConnell's book.

Which is why my intro micro text will be self-published (for free!) on the
web.

Eric
.




Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Sabri Oncu

Michael wrote:

 The market provides fancy cars for rich people
 and jalopies for the poor -- thus markets create
 diversity.

Could it be possible that Michael has some psychic powers?
Apparently, he knew that Doron Levin was going to write this
article.

By the way, what is described below is taught at the Business
Schools under the title of branding strategies or some such
thing.

Sabri

+

Automobiles for the (Very Rich) Few

Commentary. Doron Levin is a columnist for Bloomberg News. His
opinions are his own.

By Doron Levin

Southfield, Michigan, June 3 (Bloomberg) -- German cars long ago
overtook Cadillac and Lincoln as the top luxury brands, thanks to
superb design and engineering.

Now German automakers are trying to market cars that appeal to
the seriously rich.

Stuttgart-based DaimlerChrysler AG this year will sell its first
Maybach luxury sedans in Europe. The price of the 550- horsepower
cars starts at $267,000 and may run to more than $350,000.

The Maybach, among other amenities, will have fully reclining
rear seats, like those in a first-class airplane cabin.

DaimlerChrysler isn't linking its top-of-the-line Maybach with
the Mercedes-Benz name, which it has affixed lately to models
costing as little as $25,000.

Similarly, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG's most expensive model in
2003 won't be a BMW but a Rolls-Royce. BMW of late has rolled out
some relatively inexpensive entry-level models.

Volkswagen AG, creator of the lowly Beetle, now also builds the
Bentley -- which carries a minimum price tag of $214,000. Until
four years ago, VW's most expensive model was an Audi.

Volkswagen's Strategy

``The general feeling is that we want to make VW brands cover as
broad a group as possible, from Seat and Skoda on the low end all
the way up to Bentley,'' said Michael Erne, U.S. product manager
for the brand.

VW sells only about 3,000 Bentleys annually, said Erne. By 2005,
however, it plans to add another Bentley model and triple the
volume. ``The market isn't big but has tremendous potential, with
lots more people who have the potential to buy but don't because
they're not inspired,'' he said.

General Motors Corp., rumored to be developing a 16-cylinder
engine, has invested in Cunningham Motor Co., a start-up in
Livonia, Michigan, that hopes to sell a $250,000 ``American grand
touring car.'' Bob Lutz, GM's product honcho, has sunk $1 million
of his own money into the project.

Through April, BMW is the No. 1 luxury car brand in the U.S.,
with sales of 61,958, up 14 percent from 2001. Mercedes was
second and Toyota Motor Corp.'s Lexus was third. Both are up 11
percent.

Bentley vs Rolls-Royce

DaimlerChrysler expanded Mercedes-Benz sales through lower-
priced models and sport-utility vehicles. That may have planted
doubts whether the brand still conjures an image of
exclusivity -- something the Maybach must now create by setting a
new and higher standard, a risky strategy.

``I'm a little troubled by the idea that people who have been
buying what they thought was the best sedan in the world find out
that you can get a better car,'' said David E. Davis, editorial
director of Primedia Inc.'s Motor Trend magazine.

Buyers of $200,000-and-up vehicles have an average net worth of
about $15 million, according to Volkswagen. Most pay cash. You
can also lease a Bentley for three years at $5,000 a month, Erne
said, though that too will amount to almost $200,000.

Volkswagen won the assets of the famed U.K. maker of Bentley and
Rolls-Royce autos in a bitter 1998 auction against BMW. VW paid
Vickers Plc the equivalent of $780 million -- only to discover
that the deal didn't include rights to the Rolls-Royce name,
which BMW later bought separately.

Who's Best?

BMW, which is designing the V-12 Rolls in Germany, is now
completing a new Rolls-Royce factory in Goodwood, England. Only
about 1,000 of the hand-built sedans and coupes will be made each
year, ensuring their cachet for at least a while.

Creating a more exclusive, costlier standard of luxury puts the
German automakers in a pleasant place that rivals must envy.
Mercedes-Benz and BMW have managed to command higher prices by
extending premium branding to more models.

The Cadillac CTS, for example, starts at $29,350; BMWs that
compare closely with the CTS, in terms of size and power, start
at $33,990. The Mercedes-Benz M Class sport-utility vehicle
starts at $36,300, 19 percent more than the comparable Ford
Explorer at $30,500.

Whether German vehicles actually are better than the
competition -- or just perceived to be -- is a matter of endless
industry debate. In the end the question is decided by the
willingness of consumers to pay higher prices.

Though hardly the last word, Consumer Reports didn't cite a
single Detroit model among its top ten picks for 2002. The BMW
530i was rated the best luxury sedan, followed by the Mercedes-
Benz E320 and Audi's A6. Vehicles by Honda Motor Co. and Toyota
also made the list.

When Maybach reaches the market, 

Re: Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Doug Henwood

Bill Lear wrote:

On Monday, June 3, 2002 at 14:39:44 (+) Justin Schwartz writes:
[Doug Henwood writes:]
Bourdieu argues in his book On Television
http://www.leftbusinessobserver.com/Why_TV_sucks.html that
competition produces sameness, not diversity.

Doug

What's his reasoning? Or is it just an observation? I would expect it to
depend on the circumstances. jks

It is also highly dependent upon what definition of competition one
uses, n'est-ce pas?

If by competition, Bourdieu means modern Western state-supported
large- (very) and small- firm market mechanisms, that's one thing.  If
he means classic individualistic competition which drives prices to
approach marginal costs, that's entirely another thing.

He was talking about the modern media system, with many outlets 
competing for eardrums and eyeballs.

Doug




Free entertainment threatens the bottom line

2002-06-03 Thread Louis Proyect

New York Magazine, June 10, 2002

Rock stars and music-industry execs once ruled the earth, but now -- in
terms of size and profit margins -- the music industry is becoming the book
business (minus the literacy). 

BY MICHAEL WOLFF

Radio and rock and roll have had the most remarkable symbiotic relationship
in media -- the synergy that everybody has tried to re-create in media
conglomerates. Radio got free content; music labels got free promotion.

Radio's almost effortless cash flow, and mom-and-pop organization (there
were once 5,133 owners of U.S. radio stations), made it ripe for
consolidation, which began in the mid-eighties and was mostly completed as
soon as Congress removed virtually all ownership limits in 1996. A handful
of companies now control nearly the entirety of U.S. radio, with Clear
Channel and its more than 1,200 stations being the undisputed Death Star.
(Clear Channel is also one of the nation's major live promoters, and uses
its airtime leverage to force performers to use its concert services, as
Britney Spears and others have charged.) 

Radio, heretofore ad hoc and eccentric and local, underwent a
transformation in which it became formatted, rational, and centralized. Its
single imperative was to keep people from moving the dial -- seamlessness
became the science of radio.

The music business suddenly had to start producing music according to very
stringent (if unwritten) commercial guidelines (it could have objected or
rebelled -- but it rolled over instead; what's more, in a complicated
middleman strategy of music brokers and independent promoters, labels have,
in effect, been forced to pay to have their boring music aired). Format
became law. Everything had to sound the way it was supposed to sound.
Fungibility was king. Familiarity was the greatest virtue.

Once Sheryl Crow was an established hit, the music business was compelled
to offer up an endless number of Sheryl Crow imitators. Then when the
Sheryl Crow imitators became a reliable radio genre, Sheryl Crow was
compelled to imitate them. (Entertainment Weekly, without irony, recently
praised the new Moby album for sounding like his last.)

[In other words, *competition* and *monopoly* are two sides of the same
coin. When you have a handful of corporations ruling the radio dial, there
is a much more intense need to produce a favorable bottom line.]

But then, just as radio playlists become closely regulated, the Internet
appears.

Suddenly there was another distribution avenue offering far greater
product range, notes my friend Bob Thiele, who's been producing, writing,
performing, and doing AR work in L.A. for twenty years (and whose father
was Buddy Holly's producer), and who, in my memory, never before talked
about avenues of distribution. And then, before anyone was quite aware of
what was happening, file-sharing replaced radio as the engine of music
culture.

It wasn't just that it was free music -- radio offered free music. But
whatever you wanted was free (whenever you wanted it). The Internet is
music consumerism run amok, resulting not only in billions of dollars of
lost sales but in an endless bifurcation of taste. The universe fragmented
into sub-universes, and then sub-sub-universes. The music industry, which
depends on large numbers of people with similar interests for its profit
margins, now had to deal with an ever-growing numbers of fans with
increasingly diverse and eccentric interests.

It is hard to think of a more profound business crisis. You've lost control
of the means of distribution, promotion, and manufacturing. You've lost
quality control -- in some sense, there's been a quality-control coup.
You've lost your basic business model -- what you sell has become as free
as oxygen.

full: http://www.nymag.com/page.cfm?page_id=6099

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org




Re: Re: Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Doug Henwood

Michael Perelman wrote:

Thanks for all of your responses.  My intuition is that goods with very
small marginal production costs, such as books and television, tend to aim
for mass markets, while other types of goods try to be able to capture
expensive niches, often with the adjective designer attached to the
product.

And it's a cliche of marketing these days that it's all about the low 
end and the high end - Wal-Mart  Tiffany's. The middle is where no 
one wants to be.

Doug




Re: Re: : Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Bill Lear

On Monday, June 3, 2002 at 14:22:17 (-0400) Doug Henwood writes:
Bill Lear wrote:
...
If by competition, Bourdieu means ...

He was talking about the modern media system, with many outlets 
competing for eardrums and eyeballs.

Which we might take to have been ushered in during the late 1920s,
when radio was effectively handed over to private interests, greatly
diminishing the diversity from that point forward.


Bill




Dividends make a difference

2002-06-03 Thread Louis Proyect

Don’t Wait Up For the Party 
 
It’s tempting to hope that spectacular market gains will return. Don’t hold
your breath. And get ready for a new ‘normal’  
 
By Allan Sloan
NEWSWEEK 

While people wait for “normalcy”—which they define as rising stock
prices—to reappear, the 27-month bear market has wiped out many of the
outsize gains investors racked up in the late ’90s. The SP has returned
less than 1 percent a year for the past four years, according to
Aronson+Partners—less than money-market funds. For the past 2-, 4-, 5- and
10-year periods, the stodgy old Dow has outperformed the Nasdaq. And here’s
a stunner. Richard Bernstein, chief U.S. strategist for Merrill Lynch,
calculates that if you invested a dollar in the sexy Nasdaq composite when
it started in 1971 and also invested a dollar in the yawn-inducing SP
Utilities Index, your utility investment would be worth more. The
explanation? The utilities tortoise has beaten the Nasdaq hare because it
has paid higher dividends. Over 30 years, dividends really make a difference.

In a 20-percent-a-year world, dividends don’t matter much. In a 6 or 8 or
10 percent world, they matter a lot. Get used to it. Investors survived and
prospered, gradually, for 56 years averaging less than 9 percent. So can
you. Put away the party hats and noisemakers. Welcome to reality.

full: http://www.msnbc.com/news/760636.asp



Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org




Turkey: on the brink of chaos

2002-06-03 Thread Sabri Oncu

Also see

http://www.dailystar.com.lb/opinion/01_06_02_c.htm

for an alternative analysis. I thank John Enyang for bringing the
above article to my attention.


Sabri

+++

Turkish Daily News
June 3, 2002

All roads lead to early elections

Dervis is signalling his intention to enter active politics...
One after the other new parties are being established... Members
of the three-way coalition government are accusing each other...
The military is suggestion resolution to the death penalty and
education and broadcasting in Kurdish issues... TUSIAD is
intervening in politics by placing ads in papers... The president
is gathering a summit of party leaders

The political crisis has deepened enough to reach the 'deep
state.' For the first time since its creation four decades ago, a
National Security Council meeting was not attended by the prime
minister, deputy prime minister and the interior minister...
Because of his aggravated illness, contrary to claims of
recuperation, Ecevit is likely to stay indoors and won't be able
to attend the June 7 summit of the party leaders at the Cankaya
Presidential Palace

The conditions for EU membership, that is lifting of the death
penalty, education and broadcasting in Kurdish and lifting of the
emergency rule will be resolved, though with pains. The real
crisis, however, will be over Cyprus. Neither the deep state, nor
the Anatolian people will accept total Turkish withdrawal from
Cyprus. 'We may pay a high price over Cyprus' warning of Foreign
Minister Ismail Cem months ago had stemmed from this reality

Headed by the pro-EU ANAP, the 'Euro-Club' circles are unaware
how the pressures on Cyprus and the pro-Kurdish impositions on
Ankara are fuelling 'racist-nationalist' tendencies amongst the
Anatolian people. It will be too late when those who have not
tolerated Le Pen and Haider, realize the sentimental reaction of
the silent Anatolian masses. The government is aware that after
political criteria time we will come to Cyprus. As it will be
unable to resist pressures this year end, it is very likely that
it will have to take an early poll decision this fall

A development that might alter all calculations and designs, on
the other hand, can be lived with the deterioration of the health
situation of Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit. As Turkish politics
has been no post-Ecevit contingency plan, incapacitation of the
prime minister may land the country into political chaos, derail
Turkish economy and easily place Turkish democracy on a path of
no-return. Irrespective whether they want it, parties may find
soon an early election as the sole way out from a catastrophic
situation.



By Kemal Balci

The most critical week for a way out from the crisis that has
engulfed Turkish politics has started.

The health of Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit, the outcome of the
summit of political leaders at the Cankaya Presidential Palace,
the unending and uncompromising political contradiction between
ruling coalition's senior partner the Nationalist Movement Party
(MHP) and the junior partner the Motherland Party (ANAP) will all
be clarified this week.

The political crisis that's being gradually deepening appears
making an early general elections this fall unavoidable, but
there is also the risk of Turkey undergoing at any moment an
extraordinary development.

There are many signs that indicate that the country is being
pulled to an early election. It was the Turkish Daily News (TDN)
which had reported first that Turkey has entered into an election
atmosphere. It was the analysis published in the TDN two months
ago that first underlined that an early election was brewing. Two
months after a large segment of those interested in Turkish
politics conceded that there were many developments that press
for an early election this fall.

Most lately, the hints of State Minister Kemal Dervis during his
trip to London that he was preparing to enter active politics,
were indicators that all other options to come out from this
political crisis but an early election have all exhausted.
Dervis, who had started his revelations with a statement that
disclosing an early election date would relieve the Turkish
economy as it would end the atmosphere of uncertainty, is still
talking on the issue despite a call for silence from Prime
Minister Ecevit.

Dervis did not stop at stating that a poll would relieve the
economy, he furthermore stated that being afraid of an election
would mean some other problems existed in a democracy.

Apart from Dervis, the Turkish political elite outside Parliament
who has also seen an approaching early election, has intensified
efforts to establish political parties. Thus, one after the other
new political parties are emerging on the political spectrum. The
Democratic Turkey Party (DTP), which is known with its close
links with former President Suleyman Demirel, has replaced its
aged leader Ismet Sezgin with Mehmet Ali Bayar and intensified
its 

Re: Free entertainment threatens the bottom line

2002-06-03 Thread Michael Perelman

Book publishing follows the same trajectory -- only without free Internet
access.  Remember when Murdoch cancelled contracts with many of the mid-level
writers at Harpers.  Those books are migrating to the acadmeic presses, which
are becoming more commercial.

Regarding Lou's piece on the Internet and music:

Mandel, Michael J. 2002. Superstars Sing the Online Blues  Business Week (27
May): p. 30.
Bhattacharjee, S., Gopal, R. D., and Sanders, G. L., Digital Music And Online
Sharing: Software Piracy 2.0? conditionally accepted for publication in
Communications of the ACM.

The authors counted the number of different artists who made it onto
Billboard's Top 200 list, which comes out weekly. They found that number jumped
from 498 in 1991 to 655 in 2000, showing that sales were being spread around
among many more performers.  The authors argue that a key cause was the jump in
the number of Internet users, from 3 million to 120 million in the U.S.  By
allowing buyers to hear a broader selection of artists before they shop, the
Net reduces the benefit of a superstar reputation when it comes to record
sales.


--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]





RE: Re: Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Devine, James
Title: RE: [PEN-L:26520] Re: Re: Markets and Diversity





BTW, Rosen is of the Chicago school (though not one of the most extreme of that school). That school seems to aim to end diversity of economic thought, by winning the game of competition with other schools. 

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




 -Original Message-
 From: Michael Perelman [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
 Sent: Sunday, June 02, 2002 8:45 PM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [PEN-L:26520] Re: Re: Markets and Diversity
 
 
 The market provides fancy cars for rich people and jalopies 
 for the poor
 -- thus markets create diversity.
 
 On Sun, Jun 02, 2002 at 08:40:43PM +, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Michael wrote,
   In his presidential address to the American Economic Association,
   Sherwin Rosen claimed that one of the benefits of the market is
   its ability to provide diversity.
  
  Do you suppose Rosen thinks this result (markets provide 
 diversity) is derived 
  from the neoclassical model or is it just part of the 
 pre-analytic vision? I'm 
  not sure what in the neoclassical model would lead to the 
 diversity claim 
  unless it was based on product differentiation. But 
 conclusions about product 
  differentiation is about the number of different versions 
 of the product and 
  not about the range of products provided.
  
  That is, if the theoretical products range from 1 to 10, product 
  differentiation might appear as a models 4.1, 4.2, 4.3, and 
 4.4. But it might 
  not lead to any 3s or 5s. Rosen might be thinking that a 
 large number of 
  different models means that a large range of products 
 exists. But I don't 
  think that the former implies the latter
  
  ERic
  /
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
 
 -- 
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 Chico, CA 95929
 
 Tel. 530-898-5321
 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 





Re: RE: Re: Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Michael Perelman

Actually, he is dead.

On Mon, Jun 03, 2002 at 05:16:53PM -0700, Devine, James wrote:
 BTW, Rosen is of the Chicago school (though not one of the most extreme of
 that school). That school seems to aim to end diversity of economic thought,
 by winning the game of competition with other schools. 

-- 
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




Munich gets China entry

2002-06-03 Thread Ulhas Joglekar

The Economic Times

Saturday, June 01, 2002

Munich gets China entry

REUTERS

BEIJING: China's insurance industry regulator said on Friday it has given
Munich Re, the world's biggest reinsurer, approval to set up a branch.

China is opening up its insurance market, now dominated by state giants
China Life Insurance Co, People's Insurance Co of China and China
Re-Insurance Co, to fulfil its commitments on joining WTO.

We have given approval to Munich Re to make preparations for setting up a
branch in China, said a spokesman for the China Insurance Regulatory
Commission (CIRC).

Copyright © 2002 Times Internet Limited. All rights reserved.




Darwinian doctrine

2002-06-03 Thread Charles Brown

 Darwinian doctrine
by Hinrich Kuhls
01 June 2002 22:06 

http://csf.colorado.edu/pen-l/2002II/msg01976.html

Anti-Dühring by Frederick Engels 1877
Part I: Philosophy

VII.Philosophy of Nature.
The Organic World
A single and uniform ladder of intermediate steps leads from the mechanics of 
pressure and impact to the linking together of sensations and ideas {D. Ph. 104}.

With this assurance Herr Dühring saves himself the trouble of saying anything further 
about the origin of life, although it might reasonably have been expected that a 
thinker who had traced the evolution of the world back to its self-equal state, and is 
so much at home on other celestial bodies, would have known exactly what's what also 
on this point. For the rest, however, the assurance he gives us is only half right 
unless it is completed by the Hegelian nodal line of measure relations which has 
already been mentioned. In spite of all gradualness, the transition from one form of 
motion to another always remains a leap, a decisive change. This is true of the 
transition from the mechanics of celestial bodies to that of smaller masses on a 
particular celestial body; it is equally true of the transition from the mechanics of 
masses to the mechanics of molecules * including the forms of motion investigated in 
physics proper: heat, light, electricity, magnetism. In the same way,!
 the transition from the physics of molecules to the physics of atoms * chemistry * in 
turn involves a decided leap; and this is even more clearly the case in the transition 
from ordinary chemical action to the chemism of albumen which we call life. [39] Then 
within the sphere of life the leaps become ever more infrequent and imperceptible. * 
Once again, therefore, it is Hegel who has to correct Herr Dühring.

The concept of purpose provides Herr Dühring with a conceptual transition to the 
organic world. Once again, this is borrowed from Hegel, who in his Logic * the 
Doctrine of the Notion * makes the transition from chemism to life by means of 
teleology, or the science of purpose. Wherever we look in Herr Dühring we run into a 
Hegelian crudity, which he quite unblushingly dishes out to us as his own 
deep-rooted science. It would take us too far afield to investigate here the extent to 
which it is legitimate and appropriate to apply the ideas of means and end to the 
organic world. In any case, even the application of the Hegelian inner purpose * 
i.e., a purpose which is not imported into nature by some third party acting 
purposively, such as the wisdom of providence, but lies in the necessity of the thing 
itself * constantly leads people who are not well versed in philosophy to 
thoughtlessly ascribing to nature conscious and purposive activity. That same Herr 
Dühring who is fi!
lled with boundless moral indignation at the slightest spiritistic tendency in other 
people assures us

with certainty that the instinctive sensations were primarily created for the sake of 
the satisfaction involved in their activity {D. Ph. 158}.

He tells us that poor nature

is obliged incessantly to maintain order in the world of objects {159} and in doing 
so she has to settle more than one business which requires more subtlety on the part 
of nature than is usually credited to her {165}. But nature not only knows why she 
does one thing or another; she has not only to perform the duties of a housemaid, she 
not only possesses subtlety, in itself a pretty good accomplishment in subjective 
conscious thought; she has also a will. For what the instincts do in addition, 
incidentally fulfilling real natural functions such as nutrition propagation, etc., 
we should not regard as directly but only indirectly willed {169}.

So we have arrived at a consciously thinking and acting nature, and are thus already 
standing on the bridge * not indeed from the static to the dynamic, but from 
pantheism to deism. Or is Herr Dühring perhaps just for once indulging a little in 
natural-philosophical semi-poetry?

Impossible! All that our philosopher of reality can tell us of organic nature is 
restricted to the fight against this natural-philosophical semi-poetry, against 
charlatanism with its frivolous superficialities and pseudo-scientific 
mystifications, against the poetising features {109} of Darwinism.

The main reproach levelled against Darwin is that he transferred the Malthusian 
population theory from political economy to natural science, that he was held captive 
by the ideas of an animal breeder, that in his theory of the struggle for existence he 
pursued unscientific semi-poetry, and that the whole of Darwinism, after deducting 
what had been borrowed from Lamarck, is a piece of brutality directed against humanity.

Darwin brought back from his scientific travels the view that plant and animal species 
are not constant but subject to variation. In order to follow up this idea after his 
return home there was no better field available than that of the breeding 

Darwinian doctrine

2002-06-03 Thread Charles Brown

 Darwinian doctrine
by Chris Burford
03 June 2002 13:41 UTC



Further on in the letter Engels writes

I should regard the social instinct as one of the most essential factors 
in the evolution of humans from apes.

Although this might imply that social factors are not important for apes, 
it is perhaps one of those passages Engels wrote in haste.




Charles: Or Engels might not be saying that social factors are not important for apes, 
but that social factors are even greater with humans than apes, and that they are the 
essence of the transition for apes to humans.



What is important is the main idea, which is consistent with the importance 
he gives to work and to language in human evolution: that we are a social 
species, temporarily under the fragmenting sway of capitalist relations of 
production.

Chris Burford






Re: Re: RE: Re: Re: Markets and Diversity

2002-06-03 Thread Eugene Coyle

So is the Chicago school.

Michael Perelman wrote:

 Actually, he is dead.

 On Mon, Jun 03, 2002 at 05:16:53PM -0700, Devine, James wrote:
  BTW, Rosen is of the Chicago school (though not one of the most extreme of
  that school). That school seems to aim to end diversity of economic thought,
  by winning the game of competition with other schools.

 --
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 Chico, CA 95929

 Tel. 530-898-5321
 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]




The future's so bright

2002-06-03 Thread Sabri Oncu

You thought I was joking, right?

Sabri

++

The future's so bright ...

You may not need shades just yet, but the economy is starting to
look sunny.
June 3, 2002: 5:27 PM EDT

By Kathleen Hays, CNN/Money Contributing Columnist

Manufacturing rebound continues! Residential construction hits
record high in April! Commercial building rises for the first
time since January! Home prices jumped 6 percent in the first
quarter, from a year earlier.

Why all the exclamation points? Because if you're just watching
the stock market, you might think the economy was still looking
pretty dismal. Let's make it clear: The economy is in recovery.
That's the message from Monday's reports, and more good news
probably lies ahead.

Today we again see that one of the four indicators used to date
the business cycle -- the turn from growth to recession, back to
growth again -- is flashing a major green light, and that's the
manufacturing sector. The National Bureau of Economic Research
has four indicators -- employment, industrial production,
personal income and business sales. Manufacturing makes up about
87 percent of industrial output.

The Institute of Supply Management's monthly survey of
manufacturers is one of the most important numbers we get each
month. With May's rise, the group's index has shown growth in
manufacturing for four months in a row, bringing it to its
highest level since February 2000. And new orders are up even
more than the overall business activity index, so all this points
to more gains ahead for manufacturing and the overall economy.

Also very positive: Inventories are too low according to 22
percent of those surveyed, and economists say that means a lot of
companies will have to start rebuilding them, and that means more
orders, output, and maybe even more jobs. According to John
Ryding of Bear Stearns, most of the strength in the latest report
continues to come from sectors related to the consumer like autos
and housing.

Technology is still putting in a mixed performance. There's still
little sign that capital spending is picking up and he says --
like virtually every other economist on Wall Street -- that's
what MUST pick up for the economy to really start firing on all
cylinders. But Ryding is convinced that pickup is just around the
corner.

Worth noting the rise in the Prices Paid component of the ISM
survey to 63 in May from 60 in April. Remember: Any number above
50 means growth, so this signals more companies receiving higher
prices for their output. Once upon a time, we would have worried
about inflation and the Federal Reserve raising interest rates,
but not now. Even Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan thinks companies
need to raise their profits if the economy is to grow again. And
getting some pricing power back for manufacturers is one way of
doing that.

Greenspan has also noted that inflation is low and expectations
for rising inflation low, which gives the Fed time before it
raises rates. Interpretation by many Wall Street economists: The
Fed is willing to tolerate a little more inflation to make sure
the recovery takes hold.

Why this shift from a couple of years ago? As Greenspan has
noted, whatever rise in inflation develops is coming off a very
low base, AND worker productivity appears to be strong enough to
keep unit labor costs low. Maybe even more important is a
perception that if the economy were to falter from here,
de-flation could be just around the corner. When more prices are
rising than falling, profits tend to get crushed, and company
layoffs really go through the roof. Not a pretty picture. Not a
likely scenario in the United States, according to most
economists, but a reality in Japan. That makes it more than a
theoretical abstraction for the Fed.

Speaking of prices going up, the official numbers on single
family homes are in from the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise
Oversight, an independent entity of HUD which watches over the
nation's mortgage lending giants, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Prices rose 6.05 percent in the first quarter of this year, but
that is actually a less rapid pace than last year. Take a look.
Prices rose 7.4 percent in the fourth quarter, 8.9 percent in the
third quarter, 9.0 percent in the second quarter and 9.3 percent
in the first quarter -- all on a year-over-year basis.

It's more good news for homeowners because it increases their
wealth. And that's good for the economy if it helps keep spending
going at a time when stocks are going nowhere in the aggregate.

When we get to the end of the week, you might not feel the news
is so good because the May employment report is expected to show
only another small gain in new jobs and a small rise in the
unemployment rate. But as long as that helps keep the Fed on the
sidelines, with fingers crossed and hoping for a sustained
recovery, then maybe that's the kind of not-so-good news that
isn't so bad.

Kathleen Hays co-anchors Money  Markets, airing Monday to Friday
on CNNfn, and 

Krugman's IQ drop..

2002-06-03 Thread Ian Murray

[Jim Devine, did PK ever take an ethics class? Or a political theory
class? Has he ever *worked* in a Fortune 500 firm?]

June 4, 2002
Greed Is Bad
By PAUL KRUGMAN


The point is, ladies and gentlemen, greed is good. Greed works, greed is
right. . . . and greed, mark my words, will save not only Teldar Paper
but the other malfunctioning corporation called the U.S.A.

Gordon Gekko, the corporate raider who gave that speech in the 1987
movie Wall Street, got his comeuppance; but in real life his
philosophy came to dominate corporate practice. And that is the
backstory of the wave of scandal now engulfing American business.

Let me be clear: I'm not talking about morality, I'm talking about
management theory. As people, corporate leaders are no worse (and no
better) than they've always been. What changed were the incentives.

Twenty-five years ago, American corporations bore little resemblance to
today's hard-nosed institutions. Indeed, by modern standards they were
Socialist republics. C.E.O. salaries were tiny compared with today's
lavish packages. Executives didn't focus single-mindedly on maximizing
stock prices; they thought of themselves as serving multiple
constituencies, including their employees. The quintessential pre-Gekko
corporation was known internally as Generous Motors.

These days we are so steeped in greed-is-good ideology that it's hard to
imagine that such a system ever worked. In fact, during the generation
that followed World War II the nation's standard of living doubled. But
then, growth faltered - and the corporate raiders arrived.

The raiders claimed - usually correctly - that they could increase
profits, and hence stock prices, by inducing companies to get leaner and
meaner. By replacing much of a company's stock with debt, they forced
management to shape up or go bankrupt. At the same time, by giving
executives a large personal stake in the company's stock price, they
induced them to do whatever it took to drive that price higher.

All of this made sense to professors of corporate finance. Gekko's
speech was practically a textbook exposition of principal-agent
theory, which says that managers' pay should depend strongly on stock
prices: Today management has no stake in the company. Together the men
sitting here [the top executives] own less than 3 percent of the
company.

And in the 1990's corporations put that theory into practice. The
predators faded from the scene, because they were no longer needed;
corporate America embraced its inner Gekko. Or as Steven Kaplan of the
University of Chicago's business school put it - approvingly - in 1998:
We are all Henry Kravis now. The new tough-mindedness was enforced,
above all, with executive pay packages that offered princely rewards if
stock prices rose.

And until just a few months ago we thought it was working.

Now, as each day seems to bring a new business scandal, we can see the
theory's fatal flaw: a system that lavishly rewards executives for
success tempts those executives, who control much of the information
available to outsiders, to fabricate the appearance of success.
Aggressive accounting, fictitious transactions that inflate sales,
whatever it takes.

It's true that in the long run reality catches up with you. But a few
years of illusory achievement can leave an executive immensely wealthy.
Ken Lay, Gary Winnick, Chuck Watson, Dennis Kozlowski - all will be
consoled in their early retirement by nine-figure nest eggs. Unless you
go to jail - and does anyone think any of our modern malefactors of
great wealth will actually do time? - dishonesty is, hands down, the
best policy.

And no, we're not talking about a few bad apples. Statistics for the
last five years show a dramatic divergence between the profits companies
reported to investors and other measures of profit growth; this is clear
evidence that many, perhaps most, large companies were fudging their
numbers.

Now, distrust of corporations threatens our still-tentative economic
recovery; it turns out greed is bad, after all. But what will reform our
system? Washington seems determined to validate the judgment of the
quite apolitical Web site of Corporate Governance (corpgov.net), which
matter-of-factly remarks, Given the power of corporate lobbyists,
government control often equates to de facto corporate control anyway.

Perhaps corporations will reform themselves, but so far they show no
signs of changing their ways. And you have to wonder: Who will save that
malfunctioning corporation called the U.S.A.?