Re: Re: Re: Mass arrests of Muslims in LA
On 20/12/2002 11:17 AM, joanna bujes [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: At 09:07 PM 12/19/2002 +, you wrote: The question is which nationality, race, group, or religion is next. Mohammad Maljoo The roundup is expected to intensify. By January 10, men from the following countries must report to immigration officials: Afghanistan, Algeria, Bahrain, Eritrea, Lebanon, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Somalia, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, Yemen, and the only non-Muslim country on the list: North Korea. Joanna Will Cubans have to report? I doubt North Korean refugees have any greater love for their former dictator... Thiago - This mail sent through IMP: www-mail.usyd.edu.au
Marxist Utahpia
Feature - December 19, 2002 Marxist Utahpia And you thought it was dead. Marxism is alive and well at the University of Utah. by Shane McCammon http://www.slweekly.com/editorial/2002/feat_2002-12-19.cfm attachment: winmail.dat
RE: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much?
The Washington Post reported a while ago that there has been a slump in the market for $1 million plus McMansions in the DC area. On a another topic, Jim Devine turned out to be wrong about Doonesbury on Iraq. If you followed the episodes for a few more days it turns out that the Iraqi plant manager is telling the truth, that the radioactivity in the yougurt (I think that's what it was) comes from milk from cows eating grass contaminated by radioactive contamination from the Gulf war. -Original Message- From: Michael Perelman [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] Sent: Thursday, December 19, 2002 11:51 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: [PEN-L:33256] Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much? The WSJ has been having pieces about the incentives sellers of high end houses are having to give. One of the best indicators of an impending bubble burst would be the length of time required for sell a house. During the high bubble in San Francsico, houses would sell at a premium as soon as they were listed. I don't think anything like that is happening now. So even if prices are holding, you can have considerable weakness in the market. -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
RE: RE: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much?
Title: RE: [PEN-L:33262] RE: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much? Martin writes: On a another topic, Jim Devine turned out to be wrong about Doonesbury on Iraq. If you followed the episodes for a few more days it turns out that the Iraqi plant manager is telling the truth, that the radioactivity in the yougurt (I think that's what it was) comes from milk from cows eating grass contaminated by radioactive contamination from the Gulf war. it's the first time I've been wrong this year! Jim
Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Louis Proyect wrote, It is astonishing, for example, that the Economist can say: Class war is the sine qua non of Marx. But the class war, if it ever existed, is over. In western democracies today, who chooses who rules, and for how long? Who tells governments how companies will be regulated? Who in the end owns the companies? Workers for hire--the proletariat. Oh those proles, the lucky duckies: they own the companies, they tell the government what to do, they choose who rules... and they don't even have to pay taxes! http://www.salon.com/comics/boll/2002/12/19/boll/index.html?x Could it be that the Wall Street Journal and the Economist have been infiltrated by Onion satirists? Tom Walker
Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much?
Devine, James wrote: but how much have mortgage payments risen as a percentage of personal disposable income? after all, interest rates have fallen and refinancing is the big trend these days. The decline in the interest burden from refinanced mortgages is a surprisingly small number. Most refinancings these days involve taking cash out of appreciated equity, which adds to principal. Goldman Sachs estimates that cashouts are as high as 4% of DPI. Doug
Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much?
Michael Perelman wrote: We should ask Doug H., who is now on the radio. http://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/housedebt/default.htm Debt service % of DPI total consumer mortgage 01q1 14.05 7.91 6.14 01q2 14.16 7.96 6.20 01q3 13.94 7.79 6.16 01q4 14.39 8.05 6.35 02q1 14.09 7.88 6.22 02q2 14.03 7.82 6.20 02q3 14.00 7.76 6.24
Re: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Peter Drucker proclaimed the United States the first truly 'Socialist' country, because workers, through their pension funds own at least 25% of its equity capital, which is more than enough for control. In Drucker's reckoning, socialism was introduced by then head of General Motors Charles Wilson in 1950 to blunt union militancy by making visible the workers' stake in company profits and company success. Drucker, Peter F. 1976. The Unseen Revolution: How Pension Fund Socialism Came to America (NY: Harper and Row): p. 6. On Fri, Dec 20, 2002 at 09:31:41AM -0800, Tom Walker wrote: Oh those proles, the lucky duckies: they own the companies, they tell the government what to do, they choose who rules... and they don't even have to pay taxes! -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is TooMuch?
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Mortgage debt-service burden for Q4 2001-Q3 2002 ties the burden recorded in Q4 1990-Q3 1991 as the highest ever for four consecutive quarters This just in from St Alan - don't worry about it! http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20021219/ A full enumeration of the caveats surrounding the economic outlook would, as usual, be lengthy. But often-cited concerns about the levels of debt and debt-servicing costs of households and firms appear a bit stretched. The combination of household mortgage and consumer debt as a share of disposable income has moved up to a historically high level. But the upward trend in the series reflects, in part, financial innovations that have increased access to credit markets for many households. These innovations include the development of a deep secondary market for home mortgages, along with the advent of credit scoring and automated underwriting models that have enhanced the ability of loan officers and credit card companies to identify good credit risks. These innovations lower the risk level of any given amount of debt. To be sure, the mortgage debt of homeowners relative to their income is high by historical norms. But, as a consequence of low interest rates, the servicing requirement for that debt relative to homeowners' income is roughly in line with the historical average. Moreover, owing to continued large gains in residential real estate values, equity in homes has continued to rise despite very large debt-financed extractions. Adding in the fixed costs associated with other financial obligations, such as rental payments of tenants, consumer installment credit, and auto leases, the total servicing costs faced by households relative to their income appears somewhat elevated compared with longer-run averages. But arguably they are not a significant cause for concern. Some strain from corporate debt burdens became evident as rates of return on capital projects financed with debt fell short of expectations over the past several years. While overall debt has not been paid down, corporations have significantly increased holdings of cash and have reduced their near-term debt obligations by issuing bonds to pay down commercial paper and bank loans.
Re: Re: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
In that case, the Economist and Peter Drucker won't mind if we abolish the wage relationship and private appropriation of returns on capital, turning the factories and offices and farms over to the workers and farmers, who will manage them themselves and collective appropriate the entire fruits of their labor -- nothing left overfor the rentiers.. After all, we're already socialist, so that woukd be an inessential tweak on the fundamental underlying structure. Sheesh. Do these guys believe that shit, or do they expect anyone else to believe it, or to believe that they believe it? Why do they say it then? jks Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Peter Drucker proclaimed the United States "the first truly'Socialist' country," because workers, through their pension funds"own at least 25% of its equity capital, which is more than enoughfor control." In Drucker's reckoning, socialism was introduced bythen head of General Motors Charles Wilson in 1950 to "blunt unionmilitancy by making visible the workers' stake in company profitsand company success." Drucker, Peter F. 1976. The UnseenRevolution: How Pension Fund Socialism Came to America (NY: Harperand Row): p. 6.On Fri, Dec 20, 2002 at 09:31:41AM -0800, Tom Walker wrote: Oh those proles, the lucky duckies: they own the companies, they tell the government what to do, they choose who rules... and they don't even have to pay taxes! -- Michael PerelmanEconomics DepartmentCalifornia State Univ! ersityChico, CA 95929Tel. 530-898-5321E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Mail Plus - Powerful. Affordable. Sign up now
U.S. Still Pushing for an Early Election in Venezuela
U.S. working for early elections in Venezuela Reuters, 12.20.02, 1:26 PM ET By Pablo Bachelet WASHINGTON20 (Reuters) - The United States is still quietly pushing for an early election in Venezuela, beset by a power struggle and national strike, despite publicly backing off the idea, a source familiar with the talks told Reuters. The United States is brokering a deal for an early election in Venezuela, the source said this week in a telephone interview. Behind the scenes we're still pushing for an early election. The United States has rallied the Organization of American States and Latin American countries, most notably Brazil, to help pressure leftist Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez into accepting an election, according to the source The White House issued a statement on Dec. 13 calling for an early election, as demanded by the opposition, but backtracked Monday, when a spokesman said Washington supported a referendum on Chavez's continued rule. The opposition is calling for Chavez to resign and hold early elections. He has refused and told his foes to wait until August, halfway through his term, when the constitution allows for a binding referendum on his rule. Observers say the U.S. endorsement of an early election in effect violated the Venezuelan constitution which allows for a referendum on Chavez no sooner than August 2003 OLD, UNDEMOCRATIC WAYS? In April, when it looked like Chavez had been ousted in a coup, the White House appeared pleased that he had been toppled and was embarrassed when he was reinstated by loyalist officers. The coup alarmed Latin American countries that saw a return to old undemocratic ways This week a State Department official confirmed that the United States is actively mediating talks in Caracas, together with OAS Secretary General Cesar Gaviria, to broker a deal. On Thursday, Powell also hinted at the U.S. involvement, although he did not mention elections directly. We have presented some ideas to the secretary general (of the OAS) for his consideration, Powell told reporters. There have been some efforts in the last day or two to put forward ideas from both sides that might be a basis of discussion. One source familiar with the talks said that Chavez wants guarantees that he would be allowed to run in an election -- some opponents want him barred from the ballot -- and that a mechanism be put in place that guarantee impartiality from the opposition-controlled media. http://www.forbes.com/business/newswire/2002/12/20/rtr830494.html -- Yoshie * Calendar of Events in Columbus: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/calendar.html * Anti-War Activist Resources: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/activist.html * Student International Forum: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/ * Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osu.edu/students/CJP/
Re: Re: Re: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
- Original Message - From: andie nachgeborenen [EMAIL PROTECTED] In that case, the Economist and Peter Drucker won't mind if we abolish the wage relationship and private appropriation of returns on capital, turning the factories and offices and farms over to the workers and farmers, who will manage them themselves and collective appropriate the entire fruits of their labor -- nothing left over for the rentiers.. After all, we're already socialist, so that woukd be an inessential tweak on the fundamental underlying structure. Sheesh. Do these guys believe that shit, or do they expect anyone else to believe it, or to believe that they believe it? Why do they say it then? jks == They lurk on this list to see if we still read their drivel. Ian
RE: Re: Re: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Title: RE: [PEN-L:33272] Re: Re: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx in common parlance, even among many economists, socialism refers to any government interference in the so-called free market. (For example, the economic historian Peter Temin referred to the rise of state intervention during the 1930s as socialism in many countries.) Even some socialists see socialism as merely referring to state ownership of the means of production, not caring who or what owns the state. Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine JKS wrote: In that case, the Economist and Peter Drucker won't mind if we abolish the wage relationship and private appropriation of returns on capital, turning the factories and offices and farms over to the workers and farmers, who will manage them themselves and collective appropriate the entire fruits of their labor -- nothing left over for the rentiers.. After all, we're already socialist, so that woukd be an inessential tweak on the fundamental underlying structure. Sheesh. Do these guys believe that shit, or do they expect anyone else to believe it, or to believe that they believe it? Why do they say it then? jks Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Peter Drucker proclaimed the United States the first truly 'Socialist' country, because workers, through their pension funds own at least 25% of its equity capital, which is more than enough for control. In Drucker's reckoning, socialism was introduced by then head of General Motors Charles Wilson in 1950 to blunt union militancy by making visible the workers' stake in company profits and company success. Drucker, Peter F. 1976. The Unseen Revolution: How Pension Fund Socialism Came to America (NY: Harper and Row): p. 6. On Fri, Dec 20, 2002 at 09:31:41AM -0800, Tom Walker wrote: Oh those proles, the lucky duckies: they own the companies, they tell the government what to do, they choose who rules... and they don't even have to pay taxes!
The Economist considers Karl Marx
"Devine, James" [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: in common parlance, even among many economists, "socialism" refers to any government "interference" in the so-called "free market." Well, there's no helping the economists, they're dunderheads anyway, but that's not common parlance outside the loony right wing. The judges I clerked for were all New Deal liberals (even though one of them was/is a Repug), and all of them believe in extensive govt regulation of the economy, and would say so, and all of them would have a heart attack if you called them a socialist. Even some socialists see "socialism" as merely referring to state ownership of the means of production, not caring who or what owns the state. There's a big diff between interference so called and ownership, even if the ownership is merely public and not democratic. jks Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine JKS wrote: In that case, the Economist and Peter Drucker won't mind if we abolish the wage relationship and private appropriation of returns on capital, turning the factories and offices and farms over to the workers and farmers, who will manage them themselves and collective appropriate the entire fruits of their labor -- nothing left over for the rentiers.. After all, we're already socialist, so that woukd be an inessential tweak on the fundamental underlying structure. Sheesh. Do these guys believe that shit, or do they expect anyone else to believe it, or to believe that they believe it? Why do they say it then? jks Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Peter Drucker proclaimed the United States "the first truly 'Socialist' country," because workers, through their pension funds "own at least 25% of its equity capital, which is more than enough for control." In Drucker's reckoning, socialism was introduced by then head of General Motors Charles Wilson in 1950 to "blunt union militancy by making visible the workers' stake in company profits and company success." Drucker, Peter F. 1976. The Unseen Revolution: How Pension Fund Socialism Came to America (NY: Harper and Row): p. 6. On Fri, Dec 20, 2002 at 09:31:41AM -0800, Tom Walker wrote: Oh those proles, the lucky duckies: they own the companies, they tell the government what to do, they choose who rules... and they don't even have to pay taxes! Do you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Mail Plus - Powerful. Affordable. Sign up now
RE: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Title: RE: [PEN-L:33277] The Economist considers Karl Marx I wrote: in common parlance, even among many economists, socialism refers to any government interference in the so-called free market. JKS writes:Well, there's no helping the economists, they're dunderheads anyway, but that's not common parlance outside the loony right wing. The judges I clerked for were all New Deal liberals (even though one of them was/is a Repug), and all of them believe in extensive govt regulation of the economy, and would say so, and all of them would have a heart attack if you called them a socialist. but just as the lunatics have taken over the asylum, the looney right wing has taken over the conciousness of much of the US citizenry (at least here in SoCal), along with taking over more and more of the judiciary every day. Of course, in _practice_, there's an amendment that should be made: if the government intervention directly and materially helps businesses, it's not socialism but is part of laissez-faire. This amendment reflects the common contrast between laissez-faire theory (no guvmint!) and laizzez-faire practice (guvmint should help biz, in public/private partnerships). Even some socialists see socialism as merely referring to state ownership of the means of production, not caring who or what owns the state. There's a big diff between interference so called and ownership, even if the ownership is merely public and not democratic. yes, but in much of popular consciousness, state ownership is simply further down the spectrum from state intervention in the free market. It's a matter of quantitative change becoming qualitative. Jim
Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
- Original Message - From: andie nachgeborenen [EMAIL PROTECTED] Even some socialists see socialism as merely referring to state ownership of the means of production, not caring who or what owns the state. There's a big diff between interference so called and ownership, even if the ownership is merely public and not democratic. jks === Aren't governments unownable by definition? Sure some factions/classes may think the government their personal property, but don't we deride that as delusional? Non-interference in the market is a legal impossibility, no? Ian
RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Title: RE: [PEN-L:33279] Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx Aren't governments unownable by definition? Sure some factions/classes may think the government their personal property, but don't we deride that as delusional? officially, the Absolutist kings owned their states (l'état c'est moi!) and appointed the boards of directors (i.e., governments). The equivalents of today's left existing at the time might have seen this claim as delusional, but it was backed by the force of arms. Might may not make right in the moral sense of the word, but it often does so in practice. Non-interference in the market is a legal impossibility, no? Markets couldn't exist without the state, but common mythology (shared by many econo-dunderheads) has it that markets are natural. Jim
Re: RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
- Original Message - From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] Aren't governments unownable by definition? Sure some factions/classes may think the government their personal property, but don't we deride that as delusional? officially, the Absolutist kings owned their states (l'état c'est moi!) and appointed the boards of directors (i.e., governments). The equivalents of today's left existing at the time might have seen this claim as delusional, but it was backed by the force of arms. Might may not make right in the moral sense of the word, but it often does so in practice. = And how many absolute monarchies still exist today? Isn't that an example of a modicum of progress, a gift from the struggles of the past? Non-interference in the market is a legal impossibility, no? Markets couldn't exist without the state, but common mythology (shared by many econo-dunderheads) has it that markets are natural. Jim === Well, since we have no idea as to what is non-natural, we can chalk that up to insufficient attention to language. Ian
Re: Re: RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Ian Murray wrote: - Original Message - From: Devine, James [EMAIL PROTECTED] [clip] Markets couldn't exist without the state, but common mythology (shared by many econo-dunderheads) has it that markets are natural. Jim === Well, since we have no idea as to what is non-natural, we can chalk that up to insufficient attention to language. Natural takes up about 14 columns in the OED. I don't think we can ground ths argument in linguistics or semantics. I didn't pry into those 14 columns, but I bet they contain abundant (respectable) sanction for the linguistic acceptability of the proposition that Markets are natural. Carrol
RE: Re: RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Title: RE: [PEN-L:33281] Re: RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx Aren't governments unownable by definition? Sure some factions/classes may think the government their personal property, but don't we deride that as delusional? I wrote: officially, the Absolutist kings owned their states (l'état c'est moi!) and appointed the boards of directors (i.e., governments). The equivalents of today's left existing at the time might have seen this claim as delusional, but it was backed by the force of arms. Might may not make right in the moral sense of the word, but it often does so in practice. Ian writes: And how many absolute monarchies still exist today? Isn't that an example of a modicum of progress, a gift from the struggles of the past? It's possible we could have Absolutism again. That's where the Bush admin. is heading. Non-interference in the market is a legal impossibility, no? said I: Markets couldn't exist without the state, but common mythology (shared by many econo-dunderheads) has it that markets are natural. Ian: Well, since we have no idea as to what is non-natural, we can chalk that up to insufficient attention to language. I'm only reporting the common myth. Astrology doesn't make sense either, but it's quite popular. Jim
Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
- Original Message - From: Carrol Cox [EMAIL PROTECTED] Well, since we have no idea as to what is non-natural, we can chalk that up to insufficient attention to language. Natural takes up about 14 columns in the OED. I don't think we can ground ths argument in linguistics or semantics. I didn't pry into those 14 columns, but I bet they contain abundant (respectable) sanction for the linguistic acceptability of the proposition that Markets are natural. Carrol === Which renders such statements totally innocuous and beside the point. Government is natural. Space flight is natural. Bowling is natural. Ian
Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
At 03:59 PM 12/20/2002 -0600, you wrote: I didn't pry into those 14 columns, but I bet they contain abundant (respectable) sanction for the linguistic acceptability of the proposition that Markets are natural. The question is though Markets are natural to what? Joanna
New Brazilian Ministers
More news from the land of samba, smoking inside restaurants and cooption... *Big news is that the PMDB (a Social Democrat party with cosmetic distinctions from the ruling PSDB) will not be forming a coalition with the PT. This is the best news I have heard out of Brazil all week. This has been blamed for a halt in the reversal of the Real's fortunes. (The dollar hit a three month low against the real earlier this week.) *New ministers confirmed today. (I summarized these from the Folha de Sao Paulo and the PT web site): Cristovam Buarque goes into the Ministry of Education. Recently elected as PT senator for the Federal District of Brasilia. Doctorate in economics from the Univesity of Paris, worked forthe IADB in the 70s; has published 18 books about childhood education. Jaques Wagner, Minister for Work. Founder of the CUT in Bahia state; president of the union of chemical workers in that state. Opposes GM foods. Humberto Costa, Minister of Health. Psychiatrist and journalists, been with the PT since the beginning. Dilma Rousseff - Minister of Mines and Energy. Doctorate in theoretical economics from the University of Campinas; worked as treasurer in Porto Alegre 1986-88. Occupied the Secretary of Mines and Enegry in the Dutra governemnt in Rio Grande do Sul state. Nilmário Miranda - National Secretary for Human Rights. One of the founders of the PT, postgraduate in Political Sicence. In 1995 he headed the Commission into Political Deaths and Disappearings. These folks look like proper middle of the road PT guys, instead of the neoliberal trash Lula served up last week. *Lula has created a Ministry of Cities, which will link the Federal Government directly to the cities. Olivio Dutra, the ex-governor of Rio Grande do Sul, will take charge of it. It seems that this new organ is a federal counterpart to the grass-roots PT strategy of focusing on mayoral and local politics. A sure hit with the NGOs, could be a mixed blessing if it brings the often very radical local PT groupings under the control of the very unradical federal PT. *The Brazilian Institute of Geography and Economics estimates current unemployment at 11% (I'd say this is a wacky understatement). GDP grew by 0.94% in the last three months of 2002. Thiago Oppermann - This mail sent through IMP: www-mail.usyd.edu.au
SF IMC Interviews Al Giordano on Venezuela, Etc.
SF IMC Interviews Al Giordano on Venezuela, the media, and anarchism by nessie * Friday December 20, 2002 at 12:10 PM ...nessie: So Al. You're the closest thing we have to a guy on the ground there. We need your input. Care to enlighten us as to what's really happening? Al Giordano: In fact, we (and that we includes IndyMedia) have an enormous network of friends and allies on the ground there who are the ones Venezuelans proudly call Community Journalists. The independent media movement in Venezuela is the most advanced in the hemisphere, probably in the world. There are 25 Community TV and Radio stations in Venezuela, many of which began as pirate stations, one dating back to the 1960s, that were legalized under the Bolivarian Constitution of 1999. There are movement also includes important print and Internet publications. The Popular Revolutionary Assembly has one of the best online centers of information I've ever seen at: http://www.aporrea.org It updates every hour or more often for 24 hours a day. In recent days it has been invaluable. Anyone who has been reading the Aporrea site for the past two weeks has witnessed, time and time again, how the people from the grassroots are leading and pushing Chávez to resist the coup, not vice versa. nessie: How does their work compare to the corporate media? Al Giordano: There's something very racist in the reporting of simulators like the British journalist Phil Gunson, a freelance mercenary who has published knowingly false stories recently in Newsweek/MSNBC, the Christian Science Monitor and the daily newspaper of coup-plotters everywhere, the Miami Herald. There's something positively sleazy about this guy and his work. I observed him in action down in Venezuela during a presidential press conference - him and this little clique of boy reporters from England and the U.S., and their snobby superiority complex, who would be more comfortable with Chávez as their gardener than as president of an oil-rich nation of 24 million people. You can see the frustration on their faces of having to report on this dark-skinned hawk-nosed soldier who is smarter and more popular than they are, and who during a five hour press conference answers all their snotty questions in great detail - Imagine Bush or Gore or Clinton ever doing that! - and he beats them on the facts and they have to call him president in their reports. And the press conference itself is broadcast on national TV, and the Venezuelan people get to see just how snotty and clueless the U.S. and European press corps, as a group (because there is always the occasional good one or two in their midst; they know who they are), get completely beaten at their own game by Chávez. If your sympathies are with the working class, and you distrust the commercial media correspondents as I do, it's great entertainment, and it's part of the educational process underway there. You can see them, these divine caste reporters, wince as it happens because they know that Chávez is not the buffoon they try to portray him to be. He's smarter than they are. In fact, if anything, he's very suave and smooth, which is why his five-hour live TV shows every Sunday - Alo Presidente! - are the most popular or at least one of the most popular programs in the country. Whole families gather every Sunday to watch the show, on which he takes live phone calls. I could just see the Gunsons and others like him sitting there, thinking to them selves, if this guy were my gardener or chauffeur, he'd be a lot of fun. Oh, it's a sad thing, what happens to U.S. and British and Spaniard correspondents when they enter lands with oligarchies, because they start to think of themselves as landed gentry. They move into the wealthy neighborhoods and live behind walls, they send their kids to private schools with the other oligarchs, and from that perspective flows their reporting. They also develop very unhealthy parasitic relationships with US and European Embassy, and multinational corporate, spin-doctors. But back to Gunson, because he's got this coming. Gunson, interviewed last week on NPR, gave an example of this inherent racism and snobbery when he said, and I quote: I think it's important to point out that last night what we saw was perhaps the worst example so far of something, a phenomenon that we've seen before, which is concerted attacks on different media organizations by mobs that are clearly organized by the government. For example, the mobs in most places were led by deputies, by congresspeople, belonging to the ruling party. Gunson said that, not me. The idea that the people - who Gunson calls mobs - would only protest at Commercial TV stations if organized by the government has a racist ring to it. He suggests that the people aren't smart enough or organized enough to think of it or do it themselves. But anyone who has been reading the Aporrea website and following the
Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: Re: How Much Housing Credit Is Too Much?
Very soothing. AG's 12/19 speech actually contains several rounds of Greenspan-D'Arista Smackdown, including his response to the idea of using regulatory tools to slow the credit expansions that breed bubbles. I can't remember any time in recent years when Father Greenspan has been quite so defensive in public (first the Jax Hole speech, now this) -- or when the Fed has seemed so Out There in its reassurances (in announcing its 50 bp cut last month, the FOMC claimed that with this action...the risks are balanced). TS In a message dated 12/20/2002 12:55:25 PM Eastern Standard Time, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Mortgage debt-service burden for Q4 2001-Q3 2002 ties the burden recorded in Q4 1990-Q3 1991 as the highest ever for four consecutive quarters This just in from St Alan - don't worry about it! http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20021219/ A full enumeration of the caveats surrounding the economic outlook would, as usual, be lengthy. But often-cited concerns about the levels of debt and debt-servicing costs of households and firms appear a bit stretched. The combination of household mortgage and consumer debt as a share of disposable income has moved up to a historically high level. But the upward trend in the series reflects, in part, financial innovations that have increased access to credit markets for many households. These innovations include the development of a deep secondary market for home mortgages, along with the advent of credit scoring and automated underwriting models that have enhanced the ability of loan officers and credit card companies to identify good credit risks. These innovations lower the risk level of any given amount of debt. To be sure, the mortgage debt of homeowners relative to their income is high by historical norms. But, as a consequence of low interest rates, the servicing requirement for that debt relative to homeowners' income is roughly in line with the historical average. Moreover, owing to continued large gains in residential real estate values, equity in homes has continued to rise despite very large debt-financed extractions. Adding in the fixed costs associated with other financial obligations, such as rental payments of tenants, consumer installment credit, and auto leases, the total servicing costs faced by households relative to their income appears somewhat elevated compared with longer-run averages. But arguably they are not a significant cause for concern. Some strain from corporate debt burdens became evident as rates of return on capital projects financed with debt fell short of expectations over the past several years. While overall debt has not been paid down, corporations have significantly increased holdings of cash and have reduced their near-term debt obligations by issuing bonds to pay down commercial paper and bank loans.
The choreography of war
What is chilling is how coherent the move to war against Iraq, and the process of regional change in the Middle East, has become. While Bush makes a show of letting the determinations of war take place through the United Nations, and while, yes, there may be arguments within the Defense Department about what size of force is needed for success, the overwhelming picture is of a coordinated process, political, military and economic. This includes variations in the stances of the different imperialist/capitalist states. The fact that the position of the UK and the USA is not identical just adds to the system being more coordinated. Britain is prepared to play soft cop to Syria, and Iran. Powell is prepared to be the judicious voice commenting on the procedure by with the Security Counsel will go through a show of a due process, before punishment is imposed by the executive arm of the United Nations, the United States of America. They have choreographed the presentation of a complex, but inevitable process, shaping consensus for war. Even those opposed to war are coopted into the same scenario by trying to modify it or mitigate it. Look at how FYR of Macedonia has been quietly pacified and has slipped out of the headlines. Chris Burford London
The Economist considers Karl Marx
Marx's intellectual legacy Marx after communism Dec 19th 2002 From The Economist print edition As a system of government, communism is dead or dying. As a system of ideas, its future looks secure. WHEN Soviet communism fell apart towards the end of the 20th century, nobody could say that it had failed on a technicality. A more comprehensive or ignominious collapsemoral, material and intellectualwould be difficult to imagine. Communism had tyrannised and impoverished its subjects, and slaughtered them in the tens of millions. For decades past, in the Soviet Union and its satellite countries, any allusion to the avowed aims of communist doctrineequality, freedom from exploitation, true justicehad provoked only bitter laughter. Finally, when the monuments were torn down, statues of Karl Marx were defaced as contemptuously as those of Lenin and Stalin. Communism was repudiated as theory and as practice; its champions were cast aside, intellectual founders and sociopathic rulers alike. People in the West, their judgment not impaired by having lived in the system Marx inspired, mostly came to a more dispassionate view. Marx had been misunderstood, they tended to feel. The communism of Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union was a perversion of his thought. What happened in those benighted lands would have appalled Marx as much as it appals us. It has no bearing on the validity of his ideas. full: http://economist.com/printedition/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=1489165 This article is interesting not just because it finds Marxism relevant. It also repeats some classic misunderstandings of what it is about. It is astonishing, for example, that the Economist can say: Class war is the sine qua non of Marx. But the class war, if it ever existed, is over. In western democracies today, who chooses who rules, and for how long? Who tells governments how companies will be regulated? Who in the end owns the companies? Workers for hire--the proletariat. The notion that the proletariat can dictate to General Electric, Exxon or IBM is laughable at best. The article seems stuck in the 1950s, when credulity about shareholder capitalism was at its highest. It also faults Marx for not being more specific about how communism will operate: He did once say this much: In communist society, where nobody has one exclusive sphere of activity...society regulates the general production and thus makes it possible for me to do one thing today and another tomorrow, to hunt in the morning, fish in the afternoon, rear cattle in the evening, criticise after dinner, just as I have in mind, without ever becoming hunter, herdsman or critic. Whether cattle would be content to be reared only in the evening, or just as people had in mind, is one of many questions one would wish to see treated at greater length. But this cartoon is almost all Marx ever said about communism in practice. The rest has to be deduced, as an absence of things he deplored about capitalism: inequality, exploitation, alienation, private property and so forth. In reality Marx was far more interested in how workers could constitute themselves as a ruling class in a revolutionary society. His sympathy for and explanations about the Paris Commune are a cornerstone of this thought. Marx's ideas about the organization of society are rooted in historical materialism, not crystal-ball gazing so it is not surprising that he failed to spell out his plans for the far future. -- The Marxism list: www.marxmail.org
Disacknowledgements
(From http://www.disacknowledged.org, the website of Chris Brown, a U. Cal-Santa Barbara who unsuccessfully sued to be able to include the following 'disacknowledgement' in his Masters Thesis.) Disacknowledgements I would like to offer special Disacknowledgements to the following degenerates for being an ever-present hindrance during my graduate career To the Dean and staff of the Graduate Division, You fascists are the largest argument against higher education there has ever been. Any claims you make as an ally and resource for students is an utter sham. All dealings with you have ended in sheer frustration. I'd rather take a hot stick in the eye then deal with your bureaucratic nonsense. An especial disacknowledgement to David Fishman whose officious, blind devotion to absurd rules provides disservice to both education and the university. To the entire management of the Davidson Library, Your strict adherence to self-serving draconian policy has made it a supreme displeasure to work in your vicinity. Incomprehensible fines, unwillingness to help and general poor attitude has made most library visits an ogre. I trust your incompetence will preside over the continued decline in library quality. To Professor Fred Wudl (formerly of UCSB, tenured at UCLA), For failing to realize that your professorship and tenure doesn't give you the privilege of disrespectful and cruel treatment of your students and employees. Further, it has surprised me that your arrogance and proclivity at being an ass can affect even those isolated from your presence. It is my supreme pleasure to never have associations with you again. To Former Governor Pete Wilson, A supreme government jerk who has personally overseen the demise of the university. You policies have 1) raised tuition and fees fourfold since my first association with the university, 2) dismantled and traded some of the most competent senior faculty, and 3) generally hurt as many people as possible. For these, I wish you to never wield any governmental power again as you have surely proved your ineptitude. To the UC Regents, Whose continued suppression of graduate students, your most loyal employees, serves as a paragon of corrupt management. May your continually biased and corrupt practices be fraught with continued controversies brought upon by the students who you offer a fatuous disservice. And To Science, For being a hollow specter of what you should be. Your vapid conceits have rendered those in your pursuit lifeless, unfeeling zombies. If I can forever escape you, the better I will be. -- The Marxism list: www.marxmail.org
The ideological implications of Scorcese's latest film
Blood on His Hands Gangs of New York Directed by Martin Scorsese By Jonathan Rosenbaum, Chicago Reader For almost the first two-thirds of Martin Scorsese's 168-minute Gangs of New York, I was entranced. I felt like I was watching a boys' bloodthirsty adventure story -- a blend of pirate saga, 19th-century revenge tale (three parts Dumas to one part Hugo), sword-and-sandal romp, and Viking epic poem, all laced with references to works ranging from Orson Welles's claustrophobic Macbeth (the beginning of the prologue) to Pieter Brueghel's spacious Slaughter of the Innocents (at the end of the prologue) and incorporating romantic touchstones from Potemkin (a stone lion), The Lusty Men (hidden possessions), Chimes at Midnight (thrusts and counterthrusts), and The Shanghai Gesture (prostitutes in hanging cages). Scorsese once described his concept of the film as a western set on Mars, which adds two more playgrounds to the above list and helps explain the kind of historical fantasy he had in mind. I know little about New York's early history, yet I was impressed by how thoroughly he wanted to steep me in its otherness. This is undoubtedly why the title New York City 1846 doesn't appear until the end of the prologue, after we've spent a good quarter of an hour watching massive crowds of Irish Catholics and American nativists hack one another to pieces on a huge foreign-looking turf identified as Manhattan's Lower East Side, each group trying to eliminate the other. The same overarching exoticism carried me through most of the film's long middle section, which begins 16 years later. The Irish Amsterdam Vallon (Leonardo DiCaprio) emerges from 16 years in the Hellgate House of Reform and ingratiates himself with nativist William Bill the Butcher Cutting (Daniel Day-Lewis). Years earlier Cutting killed Vallon's father, a priest (Liam Neeson), and now he rules the neighborhood. The last section of the movie is set during the 1863 draft riots, and here the personal, oedipal revenge story and the wider historical epic finally come together in a fusion that seems straight out of D.W. Griffith -- complete with black bashing. Yet the intended dramatic peak feels like a pit -- one filled with corpses we haven't been persuaded to mourn. And instead of adding up to something meaningful, the movie seems hollow and affectless -- as if all the spectacular bloodletting has drained the story of its raison d'etre. The film becomes downright offensive during the final credits, over which the U2 anthem The Hands That Built America plays. If these are the hands that built this country, as the song triumphantly claims, why don't we ever see them building something instead of slashing, smashing, severing, gutting, burning, and mauling everyone and everything in sight? Is it possible that Scorsese, without meaning to -- he does, after all, include some ironic disclaimers -- is actually celebrating ethnic cleansing, as Griffith did in The Birth of a Nation? And is it churlish to ask why, after making so many allusions to nativists, Scorsese couldn't allude even once to Native Americans to throw some ironic backlighting on the label? But who knows? Maybe some real Native Americans got lost in the final edit. After all, when you're playing big-money games of this kind, the thoughtful footnotes often get lost. full: http://www.chireader.com/movies/archives/2002/1202/021220.html -- The Marxism list: www.marxmail.org
Iraq was made for oil...
Video Forum / Lecture Iraq Was Made For Oil, By Oil, and May Be Undone By Oil, Says Oystein Noreng Iraq was made for oil, it was made by oil, and it may be undone by oil, says Oystein Noreng, FINA Chair for Petroleum Economics and Management at the Norwegian School of Management. According to Noreng, the outcome of cleavages in Iraq's economic, social, and religious positions could determine whether the country becomes the key player in the oil market. Columbia's Center for Energy, Marine Transportation and Public Policy sponsored the lecture. http://www.columbia.edu/cu/news/index.html#feature03 PROFESSOR OYSTEIN NORENG NORWEGIAN SCHOOL OF MANAGEMENT, OSLO OIL AND ISLAM: MISUSE OF MONEY CAUSING SOCIAL AND POLITICAL TENSIONS The purpose of this paper is to explore the possible links between the region's oil experience over the past decades and the surge of politically radical movements referring to Islam in the Middle East and North Africa. The critical factors are the sudden rise and the subsequent decline of the oil revenues. In the 1970s, and early 1980s, the Middle East and North Africa appeared as exceptionally successful in economic and social matters. Revenues soared and social conditions improved rapidly. In the 1990s,. with some exceptions, the region appears as a resounding economic and social failure. Per capita income is falling and social conditions are deteriorating quickly. There are too few jobs for the increasing young population, so that unemployment is rising quickly. The Middle East and North Africa make up the only one of the world's major regions unable to feed its population, which is growing rapidly. Hence food supplies and nutrition standards are under a stronger economic threat than elsewhere. This has onerous political implications. http://www.worlddialogue.org/pdf/speech9.pdf Louis Proyect, Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org
Re: The ideological implications of Scorcese's latest film
I dare guess you don't agree with Rosenbaum, Louis. I've not seen the film yet, although see it I shall. But I'd not be surprised if Rosenbaum has a point when he writes the film's 'blockbuster dimensions ... tend to overwhelm ironic subtexts and morose afterthoughts'. Producers can do that to a film, after all. Indeed, a significant slice of the history of US film might be characterised as that of writers and or directors necessarily taking the curse off hopefully durable subtexts and morose afterthoughts with seat-filling spectacle. After all, Spartacus could conceivably have pleased the socialists and homosexuals of the time as much as it did a McCarthy-infected and typically homophobic 'mainstream'. Anyway, taking advantage of the notoriously tendentious and superficial 'history' to which so many Americans are subjected (virtuously heroic history-changing statesmen, frontiersman and entrepreneurs) to offer a gap-filling narrative that effectively transforms the whole picture has got to be the stuff of art, no? To explain the birth of the American Dream in terms of marginalised and objectified women, eloquently absent Amerindians, sectarian hatreds uncomfortably redolent of the very Old World in opposition to which the US defines, nay glorifies, itself, and the material dependence of propertyless young men on the predeccessors of Veblenian Robber-Barons (The Hands That Built America') - well, it all sounds like a potent counter-hegemonic tour de force to me. It's all about balance, of course, and Rosenbaum may have hit that particular nail on the head for all I know, but I'm even keener to see the film now than I was half an hour ago. What's your take? Cheers, Rob. Louis Proyect wrote: Blood on His Hands Gangs of New York Directed by Martin Scorsese By Jonathan Rosenbaum, Chicago Reader For almost the first two-thirds of Martin Scorsese's 168-minute Gangs of New York, I was entranced. I felt like I was watching a boys' bloodthirsty adventure story ... after we've spent a good quarter of an hour watching massive crowds of Irish Catholics and American nativists hack one another to pieces on a huge foreign-looking turf identified as Manhattan's Lower East Side, each group trying to eliminate the other ... The Irish Amsterdam Vallon (Leonardo DiCaprio) emerges from 16 years in the Hellgate House of Reform and ingratiates himself with nativist William Bill the Butcher Cutting (Daniel Day-Lewis) ... the movie seems hollow and affectless -- as if all the spectacular bloodletting has drained the story of its raison d'etre ... The film becomes downright offensive during the final credits, over which the U2 anthem The Hands That Built America plays. If these are the hands that built this country, as the song triumphantly claims, why don't we ever see them building something instead of slashing, smashing, severing, gutting, burning, and mauling everyone and everything in sight? ... Scorsese couldn't allude even once to Native Americans to throw some ironic backlighting on the label? But who knows? Maybe some real Native Americans got lost in the final edit. After all, when you're playing big-money games of this kind, the thoughtful footnotes often get lost ...w
progressive taxation
Wednesday night from Governor Davis: Fifty-one percent ($17.7 billion) of this [deficit] problem is a reduction in revenues based on predictions in our current budget. Thirty-six percent ($12.6 billion) of the problem are the one-time reductions that we used last year to solve that problem. Twelve-point-five percent ($4.5 billion) are increased expenditures. As you well know, we have a very progressive system in this state - 80% of our revenues come from 10% of the tax earners. So, we depend heavily on the well-being of highly compensated Californians. .From 1995 to 2000 these taxpayers experienced an increase in what they were providing state government on the order of about 18% in '95, '96, '97, and '98, and then it shot up in '99 to about 25%, and a little higher in 2000. In 2001, they actually dropped down to zero - so there was a dramatic falloff in 2001. And 2002 they are down about 3%... But when you have a very progressive tax system - which basically exempts everyone from taxes making up to $45,000 a year - and depend heavily on the performance of the top ten percent of your wage earners, then you run the risk that, if they do badly, services have to be reduced and there's not the revenue for other things we'd like to do in government. So, if there is one single problem that has caused this problem, this is it. http://www.prudentbear.com/creditbubblebulletin.asp
Re: Re: The ideological implications of Scorcese's latest film
It's all about balance, of course, and Rosenbaum may have hit that particular nail on the head for all I know, but I'm even keener to see the film now than I was half an hour ago. What's your take? Cheers, Rob. I haven't seen it yet, but plan to. In any case, here's something that John Cox posted to Marxmail in response to Rosenbaum's review: Two somewhat conflicting appraisals of Scorcese's new film -- the first is from today's NYTimes, and is the most favorable review I've seen yet; the second is from the latest New Yorker, and directly takes up the question Louis raised about Scorcese's treatment of the 1863 Draft Riots. Like everyone else, other than professional reviewers, I haven't seen it yet - --- Gangs of New York is an important film as well as an entertaining one. With this project, Mr. Scorsese has made his passionate ethnographic sensibility the vehicle of an especially grand ambition. He wants not only to reconstruct the details of life in a distant era but to construct, from the ground up, a narrative of historical change, to explain how we - New Yorkers, Americans, modern folk who disdain hand-to-hand bloodletting and overt displays of corruption - got from there to here, how the ancient laws gave way to modern ones. Such an ambition is rare in American movies, and rarer still is the sense of tragedy and contradiction that Mr. Scorsese brings to his saga. There is very little in the history of American cinema to prepare us for the version of American history Mr. Scorsese presents here. It is not the usual triumphalist story of moral progress and enlightenment, but rather a blood-soaked revenger's tale, in which the modern world arrives in the form of a line of soldiers firing into a crowd. The director's great accomplishment, the result of three decades of mulling and research inspired by Herbert Asbury's Gangs of New York - a 1928 book nearly as legendary as the world it illuminates - has been to bring to life not only the texture of the past but its force and velocity as well. For all its meticulously imagined costumes and sets (for which the production designer, Dante Ferretti, surely deserves an Oscar), this is no costume drama. It is informed not by the polite antiquarianism of Merchant and Ivory but by the political ardor of someone like Luchino Visconti, one of Mr. Scorsese's heroes. Senso, Visconti's lavish 1953 melodrama set during the Italian Risorgimento (and his first color film), is one of the touchstones of My Voyage to Italy, Mr. Scorsese's fascinating, quasi-autobiographical documuntaby on postwar Italian cinema. Though Gangs of New York throws in its lot with the rabble rather than the aristocracy, it shares with Senso (and also with The Leopard, Visconti's 1965 masterpiece) a feeling that the past, so full of ambiguity and complexity, of barbarism and nobility, continues to send its aftershocks into the present. It shows us a world on the brink of vanishing and manages to mourn that world without doubting the inevitability or the justice of its fate. America was born in the streets, the posters for Gangs proclaim. Later, Amsterdam Vallon, in the aftermath of the draft riots, muses that our great city was born in blood and tribulation. Nobody as steeped in film history as Mr. Scorsese could offer such a metaphor without conjuring the memory of D. W. Griffith's Birth of a Nation, and Griffith, along with John Ford and others, is one of the targets of Mr. Scorsese's revisionism. In Griffith's film, adapted from The Clansman, a best-selling novel by Thomas Dixon, the American republic was reborn after Reconstruction, when the native-born whites of the North and South overcame their sectional differences in the name of racial supremacy. Ford's myth of American origins - which involved the subjugation of the frontier and the equivocal replacement of antique honor by modern justice - also typically took place after the Civil War. In Gangs, which opens nationwide today, the pivotal event in our history is the riot that convulsed New York in July of 1863. While this emphasis places the immigrant urban working class at the center of the American story - a fairly radical notion in itself - the film hardly sentimentalizes the insurrection, which was both a revolt against local and federal authority and a vicious massacre of the black citizens of New York. The rioters are seen as exploited, oppressed and destined to be cannon fodder in a war they barely understand, but they are far from heroic, and the violence of the riots makes the film's opening gang battle seem quaint and decorous. What we are witnessing is the eclipse of warlordism and the catastrophic birth of a modern society. Like the old order, the new one is riven by class resentment, racism and political hypocrisy, attributes that change their form at every stage of history but that seem to be as embedded in human nature as the capacity for decency,
muscular economics
Krugman's latest says: The Washington Post reports that one of Mr. Bush's frequent complaints about Larry Lindsey was that he didn't get enough physical exercise. -- Michael Perelman Economics Department California State University Chico, CA 95929 Tel. 530-898-5321 E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Re: muscular economics
- Original Message - From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED] Krugman's latest says: The Washington Post reports that one of Mr. Bush's frequent complaints about Larry Lindsey was that he didn't get enough physical exercise. = In the future, economists serving the emperor -I mean president- will have to pass a cholesterol test... Ian
Re: Re: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Ian Murray Aren't governments unownable by definition? Sure some factions/classesmay think the government their personal property, but don't we deridethat as delusional? W once referred --as Dave Barry said, i am not making this up -- to his "investorsm er I mean my contributors." Non-interference in "the market" is a legalimpossibility, no? It's a logical impossibility. If there's no state, there's no property or contract law, so no title to anything, and no sanctioned and enforceable exchanges, so no markets. This is a point Cass Sunstein has usefully insisted on over the years.jksDo you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Mail Plus - Powerful. Affordable. Sign up now
Re: RE: The Economist considers Karl Marx
Jim D: but just as the lunatics have taken over the asylum, the looney right wing has taken over the conciousness of much of the US citizenry (at least here in SoCal), along with taking over more and more of the judiciary every day. Well, Southern Cal, that's where all the loose marbles go anyway . . . . Haven't you read Nathaniel West's Day of the Lucust? Of course, in _practice_, there's an amendment that should be made: if the government intervention directly and materially helps businesses, it's not "socialism" but is part of "laissez-faire." This amendment reflects the common contrast between laissez-faire theory (no guvmint!) and laizzez-faire practice (guvmint should help biz, in public/private partnerships). But in common parlance in places where I've lived, ordinary folk may disagree about how much the govt should regulate, etc., without starting to use the S-word. yes, but in much of popular consciousness, state ownership is simply further down the spectrum from state intervention in the "free" market. It's a matter of quantitative change becoming qualitative. There's something to that, no? If the state nationalizes the commanding heights, you might not have a worker's democracy, but you won't have capitalism anymore. jksDo you Yahoo!? Yahoo! Mail Plus - Powerful. Affordable. Sign up now
Golpistas Offer Bribes to Venezuelan Military Officers
New York Times December 21, 2002 A Top General Still Stands Behind Chávez By JUAN FORERO CARACAS, Venezuela, Dec. 20 - The telephone calls have come by the dozens, from leaders of the antigovernment movement, ordinary Venezuelans and even a couple of military officers, all pleading with Gen. Raúl Baduel for his help in removing President Hugo Chávez from power. But General Baduel, commander of Venezuela's most important division and the general most responsible for ensuring Mr. Chávez's hold on the presidency, has rejected the requests. There have been calls and propositions, even from high levels, of an economic nature that at this point have reached hundreds of thousands of dollars, General Baduel, a 26-year army veteran, told a group of foreign reporters on Thursday at his office in the city of Maracay. The general said government foes wanted him to put pressure on the president so that he understands that he has to resolve this situation by resigning. As a punishing national strike continues into its 19th day, rumors of a possible coup against the left-leaning president abound. After all, he was briefly deposed in April when high-ranking military officers - who had been holding secret meetings with opposition figures - withdrew their support for the government in the wake of street violence. Military officers and experts said Mr. Chávez, a former army paratrooper with close ties to the military, has taken steps since April to ensure that important commands are in the hands of trusted allies - even if he cannot account for the loyalty of all middle-grade officers. He has also spent much of his time visiting bases and talking with soldiers, building ties that could prove useful if some officers grow restless. Eight months of reshuffling of commands and pressing of the flesh may be paying off now, military experts say, as the government continues to weather the strike. Today, hundreds of thousands of anti-Chávez marchers took to the streets, while oil workers defied a Supreme Court ruling issued on Friday that ordered the reactivation of the state oil company, the lifeblood of the country's economy. To this point, the military experts said, there is little sign of unrest in the ranks. The government can feel secure, said Antonio Berarducci, who teaches military strategy to majors and lieutenant colonels at the air force's war school. As long as Chávez is president of the republic, the armed forces are going to support him. The president is counting on generals like General Baduel, 47, who has been his friend since the early 1970's and was the most visible officer to remain loyal to him when he was removed from power on April 12. General Baduel, then a brigadier general and commander of a paratrooper brigade, has since been promoted to head the 12,000-man Fourth Armored Division, which has troops in seven states. Five of seven other high-ranking officers who joined him in supporting the president in April were also promoted to important posts, including commands of the army and navy. At Plaza Altamira, a public square in an affluent section of Caracas that has become the center of antigovernment activity, generals and admirals who withdrew support for Mr. Chávez in April rail against him daily. Privately, they urge their former colleagues to join them, hoping to split the military and weaken the government. But they also acknowledge that the president has strengthened his hold. He took us out of our key jobs in the armed forces, and he put in people close to his ideology, lamented Gen. Carlos Alfonzo, the former second in command of the National Guard. Every day that passes, he is gaining more space in the armed forces. Still, some military experts say there are occasional rumblings of dissent in the barracks. Col. Joseph Nunez, who teaches at the United States Army War College and has close contacts with the Venezuelan military, said there were officers in the forces with divided loyalties. They are subjected to heavy pressure from both sides, he said, with the government urging officers to speak out for Mr. Chávez and the opposition pleading for support. There are lot of retired senior officers who are working very aggressively to get active duty officers to turn, and to get them to take a stand publicly against the president, Colonel Nunez said. The president, in an interview on Sunday, said he was well aware that military officers had been approached by opposition leaders. But he was confident about the military's support, and described how he met regularly with soldiers and officers. I have to permanently be sending messages to them, clarifying things, he said with a smile. http://www.nytimes.com/2002/12/21/international/americas/21VENE.html -- Yoshie * Calendar of Events in Columbus: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/calendar.html * Anti-War Activist Resources: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/activist.html * Student
Discontent Boils Over in East Timor
* Social discontent boils over in East Timor protests By John Ward and Peter Symonds 6 December 2002 At least two people have been killed and more than 20 injured in clashes with police and soldiers during two days of protests and rioting by students and unemployed youth in the East Timorese capital of Dili. The situation remains tense after the government imposed an overnight curfew on Wednesday and called for UN troops to help police guard key buildings and patrol the city's streets. Most shops and businesses, as well as the university and high schools, were closed yesterday. A protest by students erupted on Tuesday after police entered a high school to arrest a student for alleged involvement in gang violence. On Wednesday morning, at least 500 students and others gathered outside police headquarters in Dili to protest the arrest. President Xanana Gusmao came to the police station to appeal for calm but was ignored and had to be escorted inside as stones began to fly. Police responded to the stone-throwing by firing warning shots then shooting into the crowd, killing at least one student, and then stirred even more resentment when they tried to grab the body. Enraged students were joined by others in a rampage directed at the government, the UN and foreign-owned businesses. Protestors looted and burned shops, vehicles and other buildings, including the residence of Prime Minister Mari Alkatiri, the parliament building and the Dili mosque. East Timorese officials have announced that two people were killed-one of them a 14-year-old student, Honorio Ximenes-but the death toll could be higher. Eyewitnesses claim that the police shot and killed up to five people. Saturnino Saldaha, a doctor at the Dili hospital, said the facility had been swamped by seriously injured young people and created an urgent need for blood. About 80 people have been arrested on looting and other charges and are being detained at a UN facility at Tasieolo outside Dili Interior Affairs Minister Rogerio Lobato baldly asserted that the protests were an orchestrated manoeuvre to topple the government. He and other officials alleged that the CDP-RDTL (Popular Defence Committee-Democratic Republic of East Timor) was behind the rioting. The group, which opposes the UN presence and calls for full independence for East Timor, has organised a number of anti-government protests. The government is clearly looking for a scapegoat to deflect attention from the failure of their own policies. There is a huge social divide between a tiny elite of government officials, businessmen, foreign officials, aid workers and troops and the vast majority of the population, most of whom are unemployed and living below the poverty line. Young people, in particular, are angry that their prospects for an education and a job are extremely small. Among the businesses ransacked on Wednesday was the Australian-owned Hello Mister supermarket, which specialises in supplying imported goods to UN and other foreign workers. While UN troops and officials are paid hefty living allowances of $US100 a day, most East Timorese are struggling to survive from day to day. The few who have jobs earn an average of about $6 a week. Estimates of the jobless rate vary between 70 and 80 percent. Moreover, it has worsened since East Timor formally declared independence on May 20, as the number of UN personnel has been reduced. The difficulties facing villagers in rural areas have been compounded by a severe drought. Even with the official poverty rate set at just US 50 cents a day, a UN survey last year found that 60 percent of people in rural areas were living in poverty. Education and health services are rudimentary. Many East Timorese have begun to feel betrayed as the promises that accompanied the Australian-led UN military intervention into East Timor have failed to materialise. Clearly nervous about the situation, Australian Prime Minister John Howard phoned his counterpart in Dili to pledge financial assistance-to bolster the police and judiciary, not to alleviate the underlying social crisis. The view that the Alkatiri administration governs for a small elite has been reinforced by its decision to impose Portuguese, the language of the former colonial power, as the country's official language. Most of the population-around 90 percent-speak only Bahasa Indonesia or Tetum and other local languages and are thus excluded from government jobs and alienated from parliament, the courts and other official institutions. ...Unable to address the social and economic problems facing the majority of the population, the government is signalling its intention of cracking down on any political opposition. In doing so, it rests almost exclusively on 4,700 foreign troops and police still in East Timor under the UN flag. Significantly, Foreign Minister Jose Ramos Horta, speaking from Madrid, called on the UN to
Mass Abstention Nullify Serbian Election Result
* Mass abstentions nullify Serbian election result By Paul Bond and Tony Robson 21 October 2002 Described by one observer as an election that never was, the failure of the Serbian presidential elections to produce a result offers a damning commentary on the record of the Western-supported coalition that has governed since the ousting of President Slobodan Milosevic. After the lack of a clear winner in the first poll, the elections were forced into a second round run-off between the two leading candidates. This round, held on October 13, also failed to produce a result. A turnout of just 45.46 percent of the electorate (2,979,254 voters) means that the process will have to be repeated and increases the likelihood of early parliamentary elections. Under Serbian law a 50 percent turnout was required for the election to be valid. The result is embarrassing for both of the candidates. Current Yugoslav President Vojislav Kostunica of the Democratic Party of Serbia (DSS) won 66.86 percent of the vote, while the economist Miroljub Labus, deputy prime minister in the ruling Democratic Opposition of Serbia (DOS) coalition, polled just 30.92 percent. Labus is supported by Prime Minister Zoran Djindjic. Both candidates are supporters of the privatisation and economic reform process. They had emerged as frontrunners from the first round, when 11 candidates stood. Kostunica polled 31.2 percent, Labus 27.7 percent, from a turnout of 55.7 percent. Turnout was expected to be lower for the second round even before nationalist parties started issuing threats of boycotting the process. What emerges most clearly from the low turnout is the growing disillusionment with the course taken by the government in the two years since the ousting of Milosevic. Unemployment is running at around 50 percent, with something like one-third of all economic transactions taking place on the black market. The average monthly salary is in the region of 160 euros Ognen Pribicevic, an analyst from the Centre for South Eastern European Studies in Belgrade, stated, Disillusionment here is much greater than in other central and east European countries because voters honestly believed when Milosevic fell that living conditions would improve overnight. They did not The Centre for Free Elections and Democracy (CeSID), fearful that the electoral debacle could hamper the government's economic reform programme, has launched a petition to change the electoral law. The Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) had already expressed anxieties that legislative shortcomings-i.e., the 50 percent turnout requirement-could lead to a series of repeat elections without outcome. Cristina Gallach, spokeswoman for the European Union's foreign policy chief Javier Solana, said the EU would ask Serbia's politicians to find imaginative ways of avoiding a repeat of the election fiasco. Both Kostunica and Labus have supported calls for a change in the electoral law. Both are aware that this will be a requirement in order to satisfy Western financiers. Labus said, It will jeopardise our image if we don't have a president of the state. That's something no country is proud of http://www.wsws.org/articles/2002/oct2002/serb-o21.shtml * * Serbian high court rejects claim of victory in presidential election 12/17/02 Aleksandar Vasovic Associated Press Belgrade, Yugoslavia - Serbia's highest court yesterday rejected a complaint from Yugoslav President Vojislav Kostunica's party that he was the rightful winner of two invalid Serbian presidential elections. According to official results of the Dec. 8 election, voter turnout was 44 percent, less than the required 50 percent, making the election invalid for the second time this year. The first vote two months ago also failed because of insufficient turnout It is unclear if and when new elections will be held http://www.cleveland.com/news/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/news/1040121395283860.xml * * 20 Dec 2002 14:54 War crimes court seeks outgoing Serb president By Matt Daily THE HAGUE, Dec 20 (Reuters) - The Hague war crimes tribunal called on Yugoslavia on Friday to ensure outgoing Serbian President Milan Milutinovic surrenders to face charges of crimes against humanity after his term ends on January 5. A successor for the former ally of ousted Yugoslav leader Slobodan Milosevic has yet to be officially designated after low turnout invalidated elections in Yugoslavia's dominant republic Serbia for the third time this year http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/L20248467 * -- Yoshie * Calendar of Events in Columbus: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/calendar.html * Anti-War Activist Resources: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/activist.html * Student International Forum: http://www.osu.edu/students/sif/ * Committee for Justice in Palestine: http://www.osu.edu/students/CJP/