China question

2004-04-14 Thread Michael Perelman
How is China able to export fruits and nuts?  Where do the farmers find the land to
grow such crops?  Are they cutting back on the production of grains?


--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail michael at ecst.csuchico.edu


Re: China question

2004-04-14 Thread jjlassen
Hi Michael,

Land tenure is changing. After the rural reforms in the early 80s when the
communes/brigades were disbanded, rural land usufruct rights were given to
households while ownership remained in the hands of the state at the local
level.

Rural land usufruct rights are now increasingly tradeable. The government
encourages the development of integrated agricultural companies that either
lease the land from villages, or establish contracts with individual farmers to
produce. Many of these companies are foreign, I know of some big Hong Kong and
Thai players, but I don't keep track of this stuff very much. There's a good
recent article about this here:
http://www.chinastudygroup.org/index.php?type=newsid=5360

Yes, grain production has been falling in China recently, although everyone
claims that there is plenty of reserve grain. Usually urban sprawl and shady
land deals are blamed for the reduction in grain production, not shifting
production. China lost arable land equal to the area of Maryland to these
processes last year according to this interesting article:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A6653-2004Apr12.html

Cheers,

Jonathan



How is China able to export fruits and nuts?  Where do the farmers find the land
to grow such crops?  Are they cutting back on the production of grains?





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Re: China question

2003-10-27 Thread Doug Henwood
Michael Perelman wrote:

I am reading all sorts of reports about soaring Chinese demand
pushing up commodity prices.  Has anybody thought abut the extent
to which this effect undo the the beneficial effects of cheap
Chinese imports??
Commodity prices, outside oil, have almost no effect on general
inflation levels. The major cost these days is labor; raw materials
are, by comparison, trivial.
Doug


Re: China question

2003-10-27 Thread Michael Perelman
I am hearing more about natural gas than oil going up as a result of
Chinese demand.  Of course, coming out of the oil shocks in the 70s, some
economists wrote that oil prices could not have much of an effect because
fuel costs were so low.


On Mon, Oct 27, 2003 at 10:01:32AM -0500, Doug Henwood wrote:
 Michael Perelman wrote:

 I am reading all sorts of reports about soaring Chinese demand
 pushing up commodity prices.  Has anybody thought abut the extent
 to which this effect undo the the beneficial effects of cheap
 Chinese imports??

 Commodity prices, outside oil, have almost no effect on general
 inflation levels. The major cost these days is labor; raw materials
 are, by comparison, trivial.

 Doug

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]


China question

2003-10-26 Thread Michael Perelman
I am reading all sorts of reports about soaring Chinese demand
pushing up commodity prices.  Has anybody thought abut the extent
to which this effect undo the the beneficial effects of cheap
Chinese imports??

--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929

Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Re: China question

2003-10-26 Thread Eugene Coyle
This doesn't respond to your question but as I read of the same demand
for commodities I wonder if China is pouring dollars back out of the
country for a couple of purposes -- to hedge on commodity prices and to
lower the heat on the devaluation issue.  Any thoughts?
Gene Coyle

Michael Perelman wrote:

I am reading all sorts of reports about soaring Chinese demand
pushing up commodity prices.  Has anybody thought abut the extent
to which this effect undo the the beneficial effects of cheap
Chinese imports??
--
Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
Chico, CA 95929
Tel. 530-898-5321
E-Mail [EMAIL PROTECTED]