Re: US, Khaddafy, and ObL

2002-10-14 Thread Charles Jannuzi

A more interesting question is, assuming that the
US could have prevented 9-11 from happening, what
happened in the national security state from 1998
to 2001 that led up to the conditions that
allowed 9-11 to happen.

Direct blowback theory: that Al Qaeda people
infiltrated a covert operation--for example,
preparations for a major campaign against Iraq
was the trojan horse that allowed them into the
US in numbers sufficient to pull off 9-11. The
reason they went 'unnoticed' is that they were
there for some other official reason--such as
personnel with Egyptian or Saudi military getting
ready for the post-Hussein Iraq.

Indirect blowback theory: that the US military
and intelligence establishment was so busy
getting ready for the coming invasion of Iraq,
that they forgot that OBL was in Afghanistan,
capable of pulling off missions worldwide, and
was at war with the US--with the US even bombing
Afghanistan in 1999, remember?

You can be sure that key figures in the Senate
will not be telling us the truth about 9-11 if it
is blowback from their anti-Hussein efforts.

Interesting background reading, a Washington Post
article that now covers history.

CJ
-

February 26, 1998


C.I.A. Drafts Covert Plan to Topple Saddam





By TIM WEINER

WASHINGTON -- The CIA has drafted plans for a
major program of sabotage and subversion against
Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, U.S. officials
say. 

Four prior covert operations, involving
everything from radio propaganda to paramilitary
plots, have failed to dislodge the Iraqi leader,
just as smart bombs, cruise missiles and stiff
economic sanctions have failed. 

The CIA's new plan, months in the making, must
still be approved by President Clinton. That
approval is by no means certain, and some of his
key advisers are skeptical of the plan. 

The debate over the need for new covert action
has intensified in the last few weeks, with
senior members of Congress openly calling for the
CIA to destabilize Saddam. But some of the
president's advisers consider the new plan no
more likely to succeed than the agency's earlier
efforts, and they are likely to argue against
approving it, the officials said. 

The plan, still in the draft stage, has not yet
been put into final form for a decision by the
president. The fact that officials are disclosing
it shows the depth of their doubts. 

The director of Central Intelligence, George
Tenet, has told Clinton that the plan is risky,
the officials said, and national security adviser
Samuel Berger is skeptical of the CIA's ability
to undermine Saddam. 

The plan calls for enlisting Kurdish and Shiite
agents to destroy or damage key Iraqi pillars of
economic and political power, like utility plants
or government broadcast stations, the officials
said. At the same time, the plan calls for
increasing political pressure on Iraq through
propaganda programs like a Radio Free Iraq
broadcast to Baghdad. 

The plan aims to try to undermine Saddam by
showing Iraqi citizens that he is not invincible,
strengthening his opponents inside Iraq and
trying to ignite a rebellion within his inner
circle. 

This is not a propaganda operation, one senior
government official said of the CIA's plan. This
is a major campaign of sabotage. 

For the plan to go forward, the president must
sign a written order, known as a finding. If it
is approved as now conceived, it could become one
of the biggest covert actions since the end of
the Cold War, costing tens of millions of dollars
a year, officials said. 




Since the Persian Gulf war in 1991, the agency
has backed Kurdish dissidents in the north of
Iraq, Shiite Muslim groups in the south, Iraqi
exiles in London and Iraqi military defectors
based in Jordan. These operations, which have
cost about $100 million, have had little or no
success. 

Most recently, in August 1996, Saddam sent tanks
into northern Iraq to destroy a CIA base staffed
by U.S. intelligence officers and Kurdish agents,
arresting and executing scores of Kurds. 

But now influential senators -- notably John
McCain, R-Ariz.; John Kerry, D-Mass.; and Arlen
Specter, R-Pa., a former chairman of the Senate
Intelligence Committee -- are calling on the
agency once more. 

It may well be that a covert action or covert
actions might succeed in deposing Saddam
Hussein, Specter said Monday on the Senate
floor. He said a covert action -- along with the
establishment of an Iraqi government-in-exile,
expansion of no flight zones to cover all of
Iraq and a naval blockade -- could help bring
Saddam Hussein to his knees. 

But the Iraqi opposition is fragmented, plagued
by divisions, in the words of Wafiq Samoraei, a
former head of Iraqi military intelligence based
in London. 

It is lacking in sufficient support in
Baghdad-controlled Iraq to be a significant
factor in internal 

Re: US, Khaddafy, and ObL

2002-10-14 Thread Charles Jannuzi

And then there is the alleged meetings between
Atta and an Iraqi diplomat in Prague.

The US government was real keen on the story when
it was thought to show links between Hussein and
Al Qaeda terrorists, but now they disavow the
story. Funny though, the Czechs don't.

What if Atta had indeed been working for the
anti-Hussein covert ops? Then one mission he
might have had in Prague would be to contact high
ranking Iraqis to try and turn them to work
against Hussein. There was a major defection from
the Iraqi diplomatic mission to Prague.

CJ

--

 UN envoy confirms terrorist meeting 

Kmonicek says Al-Ani, Atta spoke in Prague 


By Frank Griffiths 
FOR THE POST


The Czech envoy to the UN has confirmed that an
Iraqi agent met with suspected Sept. 11 hijacker
Mohamed Atta, in the latest rebuke to widespread
U.S. media reports dismissing the Prague
encounter as a fabrication. 

The meeting took place, Hynek Kmonicek, a
former deputy foreign minister, told The Prague
Post flatly in a New York City interview. 

Czech Interior Minister Stanislav Gross announced
last fall that Atta and Ahmed Khalil Ibrahim
Samir al-Ani, a second consul at the Iraqi
Embassy in Prague, had conversed at least once,
in April 2001. Gross would not rule out other
encounters. 

The controversial meeting became known as the
Prague connection and was mentioned frequently
as a possible pretext for renewed hostilities
between the United States and Iraq. 

Al-Ani was expelled from the Czech Republic April
22, 2001 -- less than a month after the
conversation -- for engaging in activities
beyond his diplomatic duties, a phrase usually
reserved for allegations of spying or
terrorist-related activities. 

Kmonicek, the Czech Republic's UN envoy since
October, is the most senior government official
to openly confirm the encounter since unnamed
U.S. intelligence officials began challenging it
in anonymous comments reported last month by
Newsweek magazine, The Washington Post and The
New York Times. 

Kmonicek, considered a Middle East expert, once
directed the Middle East department of the
Foreign Ministry. 

In the interview, Kmonicek said he ordered
al-Ani's expulsion after failing to receive
answers from the Iraqi chief of mission regarding
al-Ani's role in Prague. 

He didn't know [what al-Ani was up to],
Kmonicek said. He just didn't know. 

Kmonicek refused to label al-Ani a spy, however. 

Last fall, international media widely reported
that Atta, a 33-year-old Egyptian who allegedly
piloted one of the hijacked Sept. 11 jetliners,
and al-Ani had spoken in Prague -- though the
subject of their meetings was never positively
revealed. 

The rendezvous between the al-Qaida operative and
the Iraqi intelligence agent was confirmed by
Prime Minister Milos Zeman, who told CNN in
October that the two men were scheming to destroy
the headquarters of U.S.-funded Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty. 

Zeman later backtracked, saying he was describing
only one possible scenario. 

In recent weeks, unnamed U.S. law enforcement and
intelligence sources have been quoted as saying
the Czechs may have made up the encounter or at
the very least confused the dates. 

Although Atta flew from Prague to the United
States in June 2000, the sources said that the
Czech intelligence apparatus, the Security
Information Service (BIS), had failed to convince
them Atta and al-Ani ever came face to face. 

The Newsweek report hinted that the Czech
government might actually have retracted the
allegation and apologized to the United States
for making the error. 

But Kmonicek, a government official with top
security clearance, was adamant that al-Ani and
Atta met in April 2001, as Czech officials have
stated repeatedly. 

At the time [of the meeting] I was in Prague,
he said. It's not like they [the Czech
government] sent me a cable saying, 'Say this
because you are our ambassador.' It's not like
that. I was the person who had to [expel]
al-Ani. 

Last October, in an interview with The Times of
London, Kmonicek raised alarm bells about the
possible significance of the meeting. It is not
a common thing for an Iraqi diplomat to meet a
student from a neighboring country, he said. He
made similar remarks to Newsweek, which
apparently did not seek him out when it reported
the recent U.S. rebuttals. 

Atta was an architecture student and draftsman in
Hamburg, Germany, during the 1990s. He is
believed to have visited Prague at least twice in
2000 and 2001. 

One senior Czech official familiar with details
of the Atta/al-Ani matter and who requested
anonymity speculated that the media reports
dismissing the meeting were the result of a
guided leak. 

This source said officials determined to
influence President George W. Bush away from
entering into renewed conflict with Iraq could
have provided such a leak. 

The Prague meeting has been mentioned as a
possible smoking gun directly linking Baghdad
with the Sept. 11 attacks, though Bush said as
recently as May 28 

Re: US, Khaddafy, and ObL

2002-10-12 Thread Shane Mage
Michael Perelman asks:


Does anyone know about this or is it just conspiracy fodder?

http://www.theage.com.au/articles/2002/10/09/1034061258269.html

The Age (Melbourne)   October 10 2002

Media gag on alleged plot to kill Gaddafi

By Paul Daley



Mr Shayler - a 36-year-old

former MI5 officer who is accused of

 disclosing government secrets to

the media and in a book

By bringing this charge, the British Government
is in fact admitting the truth  of the allegation



London – The British media have been gagged from reporting sensational
courtroom evidence of former MI5 spy David Shayler, including his
alleged
proof that the British secret service paid $270,000 for al Qaeda
terrorists
to assassinate Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi in 1986.

In its efforts to contain Mr Shayler's allegations to the privacy of the

court, the government has even stopped the media from reporting its
successful attempt to win a gag order.

The decision by an Old Bailey judge to stop the media from reporting
parts
of Mr Shayler's evidence came on Monday after two senior ministers,
David
Blunkett and Jack Straw, signed Public Interest Immunity certificates.

The certificates, which were submitted to the court, insisted that the
media
and the public leave the court if the activities of the security and
intelligence agencies were raised by the defence.

The then Labour opposition strenuously opposed the Tory government's use
of
the certificates during the arms-to-Iraq prosecution in the early '90s.
Some
guilty verdicts were subsequently overturned on appeal because the
defence
successfully argued that it had been deprived of relevant information.

When such certificates are issued, it is standard practice for the judge
to
read the applications and publicly hear the arguments for and against a
gagging order, before ruling. But in the case of Mr Shayler - a
36-year-old
former MI5 officer who is accused of disclosing government secrets to
the
media and in a book - the government wanted the judge, Justice Alan
Moses,
to consider the application in private.

The British media widely reported on Monday that lawyers acting for Mr
Shayler had accused the government of trying to intimidate Justice
Moses.
But on Tuesday the newspapers - many of which had mounted their own
legal
case against the application of the certificates - reported simply that
the
court had heard legal arguments relating to Mr Shayler's trial. The
judge
ruled that they (the legal arguments) cannot be reported, The Guardian
reported.

Although Mr Shayler's jury trial is expected to begin next week in the
Old
Bailey, any evidence relating to sensitive security or intelligence
matters
will be kept private. After the judge's ruling on Monday, several
articles
detailing Mr Shayler's anticipated evidence - and the government's
efforts
to keep it secret - were withdrawn from newspaper websites across the
country.

It is believed the government successfully applied to have parts of the
trial heard in camera. This applies to evidence on sensitive
operational
techniques of the security and intelligence services.

It is also believed that the court agreed to keep the identities of MI5
agents secret and to allow them to give evidence from behind screens.





--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901





Re: Re: US, Khaddafy, and ObL

2002-10-12 Thread topp8564
On 13/10/2002 1:54 PM, Shane Mage [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 Mr Shayler - a 36-year-old
 former MI5 officer who is accused of
  disclosing government secrets to
 the media and in a book
 
 By bringing this charge, the British Government
 is in fact admitting the truth  of the allegation

Not necessarilly: Perhaps the allegations are embarassing rather than true. 
Perhaps they are false but the British Government does not wish to have a 
former official lend them credibility, or perhaps they are unsubstantiated but 
their release would indicate how MI5 goes about its business. 

In any case, ex-spies's oral testimony and government denials are not 
particularly trustworthy sources in my opinion. I'd use them for corroboration, 
but wouldn't stake an argument on them. 

Thiago


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