Re: [R] lme - problems with model

2004-02-24 Thread Dick Beyer
As Spencer Graves suggested, I tried this with continuous variables.  Seems to work ok:

 lme(maill6 ~ water * temp  , random= ~1|rep, data = milk)
Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML
  Data: milk 
  Log-restricted-likelihood: -10.57237
  Fixed: maill6 ~ water * temp 
 (Intercept)water temp   water:temp 
-1.107227891  0.928965420  0.032507653 -0.008792517 

Random effects:
 Formula: ~1 | rep
(Intercept)  Residual
StdDev:   0.1358565 0.2189339

Number of Observations: 27
Number of Groups: 3

For the smaller model, I get:

 lme(maill6 ~ water + temp  , random= ~1|rep, data = milk)
Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML
  Data: milk 
  Log-restricted-likelihood: -8.068963
  Fixed: maill6 ~ water + temp 
(Intercept)   watertemp 
 1.1708 -0.05819444  0.01212500 

Random effects:
 Formula: ~1 | rep
(Intercept)  Residual
StdDev:   0.1328748 0.2348303

Number of Observations: 27
Number of Groups: 3 

Cheers,
Dick
***
Richard P. Beyer, Ph.D. University of Washington
Tel.:(206) 616 7378 Env.  Occ. Health Sci. , Box 354695
Fax: (206) 685 4696 4225 Roosevelt Way NE, # 100
Seattle, WA 98105-6099
http://depts.washington.edu/ceeh/ServiceCores/FC5/FC5.html
***

Message: 14
Date: Mon, 23 Feb 2004 07:41:07 -0800
From: Spencer Graves [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: [R] lme - problems with model
To: CG Pettersson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: Douglas Bates [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Message-ID: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed

  If you want to try to get the same answers as PROC MIXED, I 
suggest you try to figure out how SAS codes interactions and which ones 
it retains.  Then you can try code those manually and include them as 
separate explanatory variables, e.g., I((water==2)(temp==110)).  You 
could work this out in lm then try the result on lme. 

  An alternative would be to convert temp from a factor to a 
continuous variable.  I would make plots of the response variables vs. 
temp with different lines and symbols for water and rep to make 
sure I had something that was mostly linear in some transformation of 
temp. 

  hope this helps. 
  spencer graves

CG Pettersson wrote:

Thanks a lot for the answer!

Now, I only have the last one left - How do I get round it?
I knew about the missing cells in the design, but didn´t know how lme
would react on them.

In this case, I can remove the water:temp term, but how can I be sure
that this is the right thing to do?

Is the lm run without the random term enough for removing water:temp
from the lme model, or do I have to do a PROC MIXED run with the
random term to make that decision in a case like this? 

Is it possible (for me)  to understand why MIXED accepts the design
but not lme? They ought to get the same sort of problems, or have I
missed something?

/CG

---
  

CG Pettersson [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:



Hello all!

I´m working with some training datasets in a SAS-based course,
  

trying
  

to do the same things in lme that I do in PROC MIXED. 

Why don´t lme do an analysis on this dataset when I use the model
water*temp?
The trouble comes from the water:temp term, as it works with
water+temp.
The data are, indeed, assymetric but lm accepts the water:temp
  

term
  

giving results in the F-test near what PROC MIXED produces. MIXED
accepts the model.

The water:temp term can be removed from the model according to the
F-test in SAS (and to the lm model without any random term). Doing
  

so
  

in both MIXED and lme gives reasonably similar results for both
systems.

What do the error message mean, and how can I get around this?
  

Because of missing cells in the design



xtabs(~water + temp, milk)
  

 temp
water 100 110 120 140
1 3   3   3   0  
2 3   0   3   3  
3 3   3   0   3  

the model matrix for the fixed effects is rank deficient.  In lm the
rank deficiency is detected and appropriate adjustments made



coef(summary(lm(maill6 ~ water * temp, milk)))
  

  Estimate Std. Errort value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) 2.1767  0.1142339 19.0544730 2.218661e-13
water2  0.2833  0.1615511  1.7538308 9.647013e-02
water3  0.0533  0.1615511  0.3301329 7.451108e-01
temp110 0.1400  0.1615511  0.8665987 3.975669e-01
temp120 0.3133  0.1615511  1.9395305 6.827304e-02
temp140 0.2333  0.1615511  1.4443312 1.658280e-01
water3:temp110 -0.1867  0.2284678 -0.8170371 4.245898e-01
water2:temp120  0.0967  0.2284678  0.4231085 6.772282e-01
water2:temp140  0.2167  0.2284678  0.9483467 3.555125e-01

Notice that you would expect 6 degrees of freedom for the


interaction
  

term but only three coefficients are estimated

Re: [R] lme - problems with model

2004-02-23 Thread CG Pettersson
Thanks a lot for the answer!

Now, I only have the last one left - How do I get round it?
I knew about the missing cells in the design, but didn´t know how lme
would react on them.

In this case, I can remove the water:temp term, but how can I be sure
that this is the right thing to do?

Is the lm run without the random term enough for removing water:temp
from the lme model, or do I have to do a PROC MIXED run with the
random term to make that decision in a case like this? 

Is it possible (for me)  to understand why MIXED accepts the design
but not lme? They ought to get the same sort of problems, or have I
missed something?

/CG

---
 CG Pettersson [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:
 
  Hello all!
  
  I´m working with some training datasets in a SAS-based course,
trying
  to do the same things in lme that I do in PROC MIXED. 
  
  Why don´t lme do an analysis on this dataset when I use the model
  water*temp?
  The trouble comes from the water:temp term, as it works with
  water+temp.
  The data are, indeed, assymetric but lm accepts the water:temp
term
  giving results in the F-test near what PROC MIXED produces. MIXED
  accepts the model.
  
  The water:temp term can be removed from the model according to the
  F-test in SAS (and to the lm model without any random term). Doing
so
  in both MIXED and lme gives reasonably similar results for both
  systems.
  
  What do the error message mean, and how can I get around this?
 
 Because of missing cells in the design
 
  xtabs(~water + temp, milk)
  temp
 water 100 110 120 140
 1 3   3   3   0  
 2 3   0   3   3  
 3 3   3   0   3  
 
 the model matrix for the fixed effects is rank deficient.  In lm the
 rank deficiency is detected and appropriate adjustments made
 
  coef(summary(lm(maill6 ~ water * temp, milk)))
   Estimate Std. Errort value Pr(|t|)
 (Intercept) 2.1767  0.1142339 19.0544730 2.218661e-13
 water2  0.2833  0.1615511  1.7538308 9.647013e-02
 water3  0.0533  0.1615511  0.3301329 7.451108e-01
 temp110 0.1400  0.1615511  0.8665987 3.975669e-01
 temp120 0.3133  0.1615511  1.9395305 6.827304e-02
 temp140 0.2333  0.1615511  1.4443312 1.658280e-01
 water3:temp110 -0.1867  0.2284678 -0.8170371 4.245898e-01
 water2:temp120  0.0967  0.2284678  0.4231085 6.772282e-01
 water2:temp140  0.2167  0.2284678  0.9483467 3.555125e-01
 
 Notice that you would expect 6 degrees of freedom for the
interaction
 term but only three coefficients are estimated.
 
 In lme it is much more difficult to compensate for such rank
 deficiencies because they could be systematic, like this, or they
 could be due to relative precision parameters approaching zero
during
 the iterations.  Because of this we just report the error (although
 admittedly we could be a bit more explicit about the nature of the
 problem - we are reporting the symptom that we detect, not the
 probable cause).
 
 
  The dataset:
   milk
 water temp rep maill4 maill6 maill8 taste4 taste6 taste8
  1  1  100   1   2.90   2.13   2.39   10.1   10.09.6
  2  1  100   2   2.19   2.20   2.27   11.09.3   11.0
  3  1  100   3   2.13   2.20   2.41   10.17.09.6
  4  1  110   1   2.13   2.34   2.41   11.0   10.59.8
  5  1  110   2   2.32   2.27   2.25   11.0   11.3   11.2
  6  1  110   3   2.13   2.34   2.429.4   10.79.0
  7  1  120   1   2.00   2.49   2.71   11.1   11.2   11.4
  8  1  120   2   2.41   2.49   2.46   11.6   11.79.6
  9  1  120   3   2.22   2.49   2.73   10.7   10.3   10.2
  10 2  100   1   2.13   2.41   2.49   11.1   10.8   11.2
  11 2  100   2   2.49   2.34   2.53   11.1   11.29.2
  12 2  100   3   2.80   2.63   3.338.39.77.8
  13 2  120   1   2.38   2.85   2.06   11.9   11.2   11.2
  14 2  120   2   2.61   2.70   2.70   11.7   10.8   11.0
  15 2  120   3   2.77   3.06   3.25   10.99.09.4
  16 2  140   1   2.56   2.84   3.10   10.7   11.29.8
  17 2  140   2   2.63   2.61   2.81   10.8   11.0   11.6
  18 2  140   3   2.99   3.28   3.759.29.69.6
  19 3  100   1   2.60   2.24   2.32   10.88.4   10.8
  20 3  100   2   2.06   2.11   2.20   11.0   11.2   11.8
  21 3  100   3   1.98   2.34   2.80   10.3   10.2   10.6
  22 3  110   1   1.91   2.06   2.29   11.0   11.49.4
  23 3  110   2   1.98   1.98   2.15   10.0   11.8   10.6
  24 3  110   3   1.98   2.51   2.819.39.2   10.2
  25 3  140   1   2.27   2.42   2.72   10.8   11.6   12.0
  26 3  140   2   2.27   2.20   2.41   11.2   11.0   11.4
  27 3  140   3   2.20   2.77   3.06   10.5   10.2   10.0
  
  The failing model:
   lme(maill6 ~ water * temp  , random= ~1|rep, data = milk)
  Error in MEEM(object, conLin, control$niterEM) : 
  Singularity in backsolve at level 0, block 1
  
  The smaller (working) model:
   lme(maill6 ~ 

Re: [R] lme - problems with model

2004-02-23 Thread Spencer Graves
 If you want to try to get the same answers as PROC MIXED, I 
suggest you try to figure out how SAS codes interactions and which ones 
it retains.  Then you can try code those manually and include them as 
separate explanatory variables, e.g., I((water==2)(temp==110)).  You 
could work this out in lm then try the result on lme. 

 An alternative would be to convert temp from a factor to a 
continuous variable.  I would make plots of the response variables vs. 
temp with different lines and symbols for water and rep to make 
sure I had something that was mostly linear in some transformation of 
temp. 

 hope this helps. 
 spencer graves

CG Pettersson wrote:

Thanks a lot for the answer!

Now, I only have the last one left - How do I get round it?
I knew about the missing cells in the design, but didn´t know how lme
would react on them.
In this case, I can remove the water:temp term, but how can I be sure
that this is the right thing to do?
Is the lm run without the random term enough for removing water:temp
from the lme model, or do I have to do a PROC MIXED run with the
random term to make that decision in a case like this? 

Is it possible (for me)  to understand why MIXED accepts the design
but not lme? They ought to get the same sort of problems, or have I
missed something?
/CG

---
 

CG Pettersson [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

   

Hello all!

I´m working with some training datasets in a SAS-based course,
 

trying
 

to do the same things in lme that I do in PROC MIXED. 

Why don´t lme do an analysis on this dataset when I use the model
water*temp?
The trouble comes from the water:temp term, as it works with
water+temp.
The data are, indeed, assymetric but lm accepts the water:temp
 

term
 

giving results in the F-test near what PROC MIXED produces. MIXED
accepts the model.
The water:temp term can be removed from the model according to the
F-test in SAS (and to the lm model without any random term). Doing
 

so
 

in both MIXED and lme gives reasonably similar results for both
systems.
What do the error message mean, and how can I get around this?
 

Because of missing cells in the design

   

xtabs(~water + temp, milk)
 

temp
water 100 110 120 140
   1 3   3   3   0  
   2 3   0   3   3  
   3 3   3   0   3  

the model matrix for the fixed effects is rank deficient.  In lm the
rank deficiency is detected and appropriate adjustments made
   

coef(summary(lm(maill6 ~ water * temp, milk)))
 

 Estimate Std. Errort value Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) 2.1767  0.1142339 19.0544730 2.218661e-13
water2  0.2833  0.1615511  1.7538308 9.647013e-02
water3  0.0533  0.1615511  0.3301329 7.451108e-01
temp110 0.1400  0.1615511  0.8665987 3.975669e-01
temp120 0.3133  0.1615511  1.9395305 6.827304e-02
temp140 0.2333  0.1615511  1.4443312 1.658280e-01
water3:temp110 -0.1867  0.2284678 -0.8170371 4.245898e-01
water2:temp120  0.0967  0.2284678  0.4231085 6.772282e-01
water2:temp140  0.2167  0.2284678  0.9483467 3.555125e-01
Notice that you would expect 6 degrees of freedom for the
   

interaction
 

term but only three coefficients are estimated.

In lme it is much more difficult to compensate for such rank
deficiencies because they could be systematic, like this, or they
could be due to relative precision parameters approaching zero
   

during
 

the iterations.  Because of this we just report the error (although
admittedly we could be a bit more explicit about the nature of the
problem - we are reporting the symptom that we detect, not the
probable cause).
   

The dataset:
 

milk
   

  water temp rep maill4 maill6 maill8 taste4 taste6 taste8
1  1  100   1   2.90   2.13   2.39   10.1   10.09.6
2  1  100   2   2.19   2.20   2.27   11.09.3   11.0
3  1  100   3   2.13   2.20   2.41   10.17.09.6
4  1  110   1   2.13   2.34   2.41   11.0   10.59.8
5  1  110   2   2.32   2.27   2.25   11.0   11.3   11.2
6  1  110   3   2.13   2.34   2.429.4   10.79.0
7  1  120   1   2.00   2.49   2.71   11.1   11.2   11.4
8  1  120   2   2.41   2.49   2.46   11.6   11.79.6
9  1  120   3   2.22   2.49   2.73   10.7   10.3   10.2
10 2  100   1   2.13   2.41   2.49   11.1   10.8   11.2
11 2  100   2   2.49   2.34   2.53   11.1   11.29.2
12 2  100   3   2.80   2.63   3.338.39.77.8
13 2  120   1   2.38   2.85   2.06   11.9   11.2   11.2
14 2  120   2   2.61   2.70   2.70   11.7   10.8   11.0
15 2  120   3   2.77   3.06   3.25   10.99.09.4
16 2  140   1   2.56   2.84   3.10   10.7   11.29.8
17 2  140   2   2.63   2.61   2.81   10.8   11.0   11.6
18 2  140   3   2.99   3.28   3.759.29.69.6
19 3  100   1   2.60   2.24   2.32   10.88.4   10.8
20 3  100   2   2.06   2.11   2.20   11.0   11.2   11.8
21 3  100   3   1.98   2.34 

Re: [R] lme - problems with model

2004-02-23 Thread Douglas Bates
CG Pettersson [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 Thanks a lot for the answer!

 Now, I only have the last one left - How do I get round it?
 I knew about the missing cells in the design, but didn´t know how lme
 would react on them.

 In this case, I can remove the water:temp term, but how can I be sure
 that this is the right thing to do?

Others may be able to come up with inventive ways of creating the
model matrix to do this but I would simply compare the additive model
to the cell means model.

 milk = read.table(/tmp/milk.txt, header = TRUE)
 milk$water = factor(milk$water)
 milk$temp = factor(milk$temp)
 milk$WaterTemp = factor(paste(milk$water, milk$temp, sep = '/'))
 xtabs(~ water + temp, milk)
 temp
water 100 110 120 140
1 3   3   3   0  
2 3   0   3   3  
3 3   3   0   3  
 xtabs(~ WaterTemp, milk)
WaterTemp
1/100 1/110 1/120 2/100 2/120 2/140 3/100 3/110 3/140 
3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 
 library(lme4)
Loading required package: stats4 
Loading required package: lattice 
 summary(fm1 - lme(maill6 ~ water + temp, milk, ~ 1 | rep))
Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML
 Data: milk 
  AIC  BIC   logLik
 6.155644 14.51182 4.922178

Random effects:
 Groups   NameVariance Std.Dev.
 rep  (Intercept) 0.021838 0.14778 
 Residual 0.017505 0.13231 

Fixed effects: maill6 ~ water + temp 
 Estimate Std. Error DF t value  Pr(|t|)
(Intercept)  2.194667   0.103828 19 21.1376 1.162e-14 ***
water2   0.328000   0.068322 19  4.8008 0.0001243 ***
water3  -0.045333   0.068322 19 -0.6635 0.5149678
temp110  0.078000   0.072467 19  1.0764 0.2952465
temp120  0.321333   0.072467 19  4.4342 0.0002847 ***
temp140  0.350667   0.072467 19  4.8390 0.0001140 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 `***' 0.001 `**' 0.01 `*' 0.05 `.' 0.1 ` ' 1 

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
(Intr) water2 water3 tmp110 tmp120
water2  -0.329
water3  -0.329  0.500 
temp110 -0.310  0.236  0.000  
temp120 -0.310  0.000  0.236  0.333   
temp140 -0.155 -0.236 -0.236  0.333  0.333

Number of Observations: 27
Number of Groups: 3 
 summary(fm2 - lme(maill6 ~ WaterTemp, milk, ~ 1 | rep))
Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML
 Data: milk 
  AIC  BIC   logLik
 14.96052 24.75461 3.519738

Random effects:
 Groups   NameVariance Std.Dev.
 rep  (Intercept) 0.021862 0.14786 
 Residual 0.017286 0.13148 

Fixed effects: maill6 ~ WaterTemp 
 Estimate Std. Error DF t value  Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) 2.177  0.1142339 16 19.0545 2.016e-12 ***
WaterTemp1/110  0.140  0.1073502 16  1.3041   0.21064
WaterTemp1/120  0.313  0.1073502 16  2.9188   0.01004 *  
WaterTemp2/100  0.283  0.1073502 16  2.6393   0.01785 *  
WaterTemp2/120  0.693  0.1073502 16  6.4586 7.897e-06 ***
WaterTemp2/140  0.733  0.1073502 16  6.8312 4.035e-06 ***
WaterTemp3/100  0.053  0.1073502 16  0.4968   0.62608
WaterTemp3/110  0.007  0.1073502 16  0.0621   0.95125
WaterTemp3/140  0.287  0.1073502 16  2.6704   0.01676 *  
---
Signif. codes:  0 `***' 0.001 `**' 0.01 `*' 0.05 `.' 0.1 ` ' 1 

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
(Intr) WT1/11 WT1/12 WT2/10 WT2/12 WT2/14 WT3/10 WT3/11
WtrTmp1/110 -0.470 
WtrTmp1/120 -0.470  0.500  
WtrTmp2/100 -0.470  0.500  0.500   
WtrTmp2/120 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500
WtrTmp2/140 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500 
WtrTmp3/100 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  
WtrTmp3/110 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500   
WtrTmp3/140 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500

Number of Observations: 27
Number of Groups: 3 

Both AIC and BIC, which are on the scale of smaller is better,
indicate strong preference for the additive model.  A likelihood ratio
test would not show significant improvement in the fit of the cell
means model relative to the additive model.

In general one should be cautious when using likelihood ratio tests on
the fixed-effects terms but in this case it is probably ok because the
estimates for the random effects are nearly identical for the two
models.

 Is the lm run without the random term enough for removing water:temp
 from the lme model, or do I have to do a PROC MIXED run with the
 random term to make that decision in a case like this? 

I would use this analysis instead.

 Is it possible (for me)  to understand why MIXED accepts the design
 but not lme? They ought to get the same sort of problems, or have I
 missed something?

Because of the way that model matrices are created in SAS, the
computational methods *must* detect rank deficiencies and compensate
for them.  Whenever there is a categorical factor in the model the SAS
model matrix will be rank deficient.  

Re: [R] lme - problems with model

2004-02-23 Thread Spencer Graves
 Doug's xtabs suggests to me that the following might be 
estimable, with data.$Temp - as.numeric(as.character(data.$temp))

 water*(Temp+I(Temp^2))

 It looks like it should be estimable in lm, and depending on the 
noise model, it should also be estimable in lme.  ???

 hope this helps.  spencer graves

Douglas Bates wrote:

CG Pettersson [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 

Thanks a lot for the answer!
   

 

Now, I only have the last one left - How do I get round it?
I knew about the missing cells in the design, but didn´t know how lme
would react on them.
   

 

In this case, I can remove the water:temp term, but how can I be sure
that this is the right thing to do?
   

Others may be able to come up with inventive ways of creating the
model matrix to do this but I would simply compare the additive model
to the cell means model.
 

milk = read.table(/tmp/milk.txt, header = TRUE)
milk$water = factor(milk$water)
milk$temp = factor(milk$temp)
milk$WaterTemp = factor(paste(milk$water, milk$temp, sep = '/'))
xtabs(~ water + temp, milk)
   

temp
water 100 110 120 140
   1 3   3   3   0  
   2 3   0   3   3  
   3 3   3   0   3  
 

xtabs(~ WaterTemp, milk)
   

WaterTemp
1/100 1/110 1/120 2/100 2/120 2/140 3/100 3/110 3/140 
   3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 
 

library(lme4)
   

Loading required package: stats4 
Loading required package: lattice 
 

summary(fm1 - lme(maill6 ~ water + temp, milk, ~ 1 | rep))
   

Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML
Data: milk 
 AIC  BIC   logLik
6.155644 14.51182 4.922178

Random effects:
Groups   NameVariance Std.Dev.
rep  (Intercept) 0.021838 0.14778 
Residual 0.017505 0.13231 

Fixed effects: maill6 ~ water + temp 
Estimate Std. Error DF t value  Pr(|t|)
(Intercept)  2.194667   0.103828 19 21.1376 1.162e-14 ***
water2   0.328000   0.068322 19  4.8008 0.0001243 ***
water3  -0.045333   0.068322 19 -0.6635 0.5149678
temp110  0.078000   0.072467 19  1.0764 0.2952465
temp120  0.321333   0.072467 19  4.4342 0.0002847 ***
temp140  0.350667   0.072467 19  4.8390 0.0001140 ***
---
Signif. codes:  0 `***' 0.001 `**' 0.01 `*' 0.05 `.' 0.1 ` ' 1 

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
   (Intr) water2 water3 tmp110 tmp120
water2  -0.329
water3  -0.329  0.500 
temp110 -0.310  0.236  0.000  
temp120 -0.310  0.000  0.236  0.333   
temp140 -0.155 -0.236 -0.236  0.333  0.333

Number of Observations: 27
Number of Groups: 3 
 

summary(fm2 - lme(maill6 ~ WaterTemp, milk, ~ 1 | rep))
   

Linear mixed-effects model fit by REML
Data: milk 
 AIC  BIC   logLik
14.96052 24.75461 3.519738

Random effects:
Groups   NameVariance Std.Dev.
rep  (Intercept) 0.021862 0.14786 
Residual 0.017286 0.13148 

Fixed effects: maill6 ~ WaterTemp 
Estimate Std. Error DF t value  Pr(|t|)
(Intercept) 2.177  0.1142339 16 19.0545 2.016e-12 ***
WaterTemp1/110  0.140  0.1073502 16  1.3041   0.21064
WaterTemp1/120  0.313  0.1073502 16  2.9188   0.01004 *  
WaterTemp2/100  0.283  0.1073502 16  2.6393   0.01785 *  
WaterTemp2/120  0.693  0.1073502 16  6.4586 7.897e-06 ***
WaterTemp2/140  0.733  0.1073502 16  6.8312 4.035e-06 ***
WaterTemp3/100  0.053  0.1073502 16  0.4968   0.62608
WaterTemp3/110  0.007  0.1073502 16  0.0621   0.95125
WaterTemp3/140  0.287  0.1073502 16  2.6704   0.01676 *  
---
Signif. codes:  0 `***' 0.001 `**' 0.01 `*' 0.05 `.' 0.1 ` ' 1 

Correlation of Fixed Effects:
   (Intr) WT1/11 WT1/12 WT2/10 WT2/12 WT2/14 WT3/10 WT3/11
WtrTmp1/110 -0.470 
WtrTmp1/120 -0.470  0.500  
WtrTmp2/100 -0.470  0.500  0.500   
WtrTmp2/120 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500
WtrTmp2/140 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500 
WtrTmp3/100 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  
WtrTmp3/110 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500   
WtrTmp3/140 -0.470  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500  0.500

Number of Observations: 27
Number of Groups: 3 

Both AIC and BIC, which are on the scale of smaller is better,
indicate strong preference for the additive model.  A likelihood ratio
test would not show significant improvement in the fit of the cell
means model relative to the additive model.
In general one should be cautious when using likelihood ratio tests on
the fixed-effects terms but in this case it is probably ok because the
estimates for the random effects are nearly identical for the two
models.
 

Is the lm run without the random term enough for removing water:temp
from the lme model, or do I have to do a PROC MIXED run with the
random term to make that decision in a case like this? 
   

I would use this analysis instead.

 

Is it possible (for me)