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[EMAIL PROTECTED]; Keith Johnson
Subject: More Reliable Than Exit Polls: Bookies

 


Interesting :)  Check out the chart:
http://predicts.betfair.com/new-national-chart/

 

To make a long story into just a sentence: Historically, gamblers have
proven better election forecaster than polls [see
<http://www.huffingtonpost.com/keith-thomson/the-most-accurate-electio_b_140
181.html>  the Huffington Post's full story].

Below, watch bookmaker Betfair.com's betting odds change in real-time over
the course of Election Day. 

 

According to Betfair's political expert Michael Robb, "The real value in
watching the betting markets is that they will be quickest to react to news
coming through. On election night you might watch one of CNN, ABC, Fox, etc,
but the fact that there are thousands of people betting in these markets
means that the impact of all the differing reports coming from different
sources are reflected in the candidates' market price."

 

As University of Kansas economics professor/betting trends expert Koleman
Strumpf says,"On Election Night I'll look at the movement on the betting
sites to see what's going on. I watch CNN too, out of the corner of an eye,
but it's not necessary."


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/keith-thomson/more-reliable-than-exit-p_b_1406
56.html

 

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