Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-21 Thread Luke Coletti

Hello Troy,

You're welcome! Regarding the reporting of the upcoming full moon (and
associated clamor), a very good local paper, The San Jose Mercury, today
reported, see URL and snippet below, that the 1912 full moon was
actually a far brighter moon. I don't know, perhaps 0.2% is far
brighter but I wouldn't have thought so. I'm not sure whether its this
lunar lemming spin or the Old Farmer's Almanac hoax which is actually
more annoying. Perhaps it was the added So there! that did it... 

http://www.mercurycenter.com/premium/front/docs/moon21.htm

As for Crazy Horse and the 1866 date, the editors of Sky  Telescope
magazine did some research and found that 1912 was actually a far
brighter moon than in 1866 or 1999. The magazine looked at actual moon
perigee distances from the years 1800 to 2100 and found that the moon
was brighter (closer) in 1912 and only slightly less bright in 1893 and
1930. So there!

Best,

Luke


[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 Thanks for the very detailed explaination Luke.  So is the answer 27.2%
 brightness difference between the June Moon and the Dec. Moon?  That would
 mean the paper was wrong.  The newspaper also predicted the January Moon
 would be even brighter (something you didn't cover).
 Another thing that bothered me is after the astronomical explanation,
 they author of the article interviewed an astrologer, who basically told him
 the moon was in Cancer (it may have been another constellation for you
 sticklers), and the brightness didn't matter.  Then he rambled off general
 predictions depending on your astrological sign.  It's hard to believe we are
 about to enter the 2000s...Frankly, I'm disappointed.  No flying cars, and
 astrologers are still taken seriously.
 ~Troy


Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-20 Thread Jim_Cobb

I decided to get out xephem 3.0 and do some calculations for the
upcoming solstice/lunar perigee/full moon.  Times are Mountain
Standard Time (UT - 7).

According to the xephem's solver, here are the time and other values
at the solstice (I found this by using the solver to minimize the
solar declination):

Limb Equ: Geo 2000.0 12/22/1999  0:26:37 MST:
 RA  Dec EaDst  Elong  Phase RiseTm SetTm
Sun  17:59:59.17 -23:26:21.5 0.9837   7:48  17:04
Moon  5:34:25.99  19:57:13.2 356675  173.1  100  17:28   7:33

Lunar perigee (found by minimizing lunar-earth distance):

Limb Equ: Geo 2000.0 12/22/1999  3:54:08 MST:
 RA  Dec EaDst  Elong  Phase RiseTm SetTm
Sun  18:00:37.55 -23:26:21.2 0.9837   7:48  17:04
Moon  5:43:46.84  20:11:20.4 356654  174.9  100  17:28   7:33

Full moon (full moon calculation built in):

Limb Equ: Geo 2000.0 12/22/1999 10:33:19 MST:
 RA  Dec EaDst  Elong  Phase RiseTm SetTm
Sun  18:01:51.38 -23:26:19.0 0.9836   7:48  17:04
Moon  6:01:49.93  20:33:15.8 356731 -177.1  100  17:28   7:33

Finally, here is the upcoming perihelion, almost twelve days later
(found by minimizing the solar-earth distance):
Limb Equ: Geo 2000.0  1/02/2000 23:35:12 MST:
 RA  Dec EaDst  Elong  Phase RiseTm SetTm
Sun  18:52:59.00 -22:52:49.6 0.9833   7:51  17:12
Moon 16:13:27.56 -16:35:37.9 405794  -37.9   11   4:07  14:40

I am not claiming high precision; I used default settings for
comparison tolerances, etc.

Jim 40N45, 111W53
 --- -- 
| Jim Cobb  | 540 Arapeen Dr. #100 | [EMAIL PROTECTED]  |
| Parametric| Salt Lake City, UT   | (801)-588-4632 |
|  Technology Corp. |   84108-1202 | Fax (801)-588-4650 |
 --- -- 
Where there is a will, there is an Inheritance Tax.


Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-20 Thread Luke Coletti

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
 In regard to the excitement over the close perigee occuring when the earth is
 closest to the sun (very close to the December solstice.)  My local paper
 made a comment that the Moon will appear 17% larger than a full moon last
 summer (that is in June-July for you down underlings), but the full moon in
 January will appear 40% larger.  I suspect it was a misprint, but I thought
 I'd send it out so you could chew on it.
 ~troy

Hello Troy,

Well, let's find out.

Full Moon June '99:
06/28 21:38 UTC
Earth-Moon distance:  401955.3 km (249764.0 miles)
True Equatorial RA: 18h 26m 34.5s Dec: -20°10'09 
Topocentric coordinates: RA: 18h 26m 58.8s  Dec: -20°25'17 

Full Moon Dec.'99:
12/22 17:33 UTC
Earth-Moon distance: 356733.3 km (221664.4 miles)
True Equatorial RA: 06h 01m 47.3s Dec: +20°33'07 
Topocentric coordinates: RA: 05h 59m 38.1s  Dec: +19°45'39 
 
The calculated ratio between the full moon distances above is
1.1267. However, to keep things straight note that the June '99 full
moon is about three days after apogee and the Dec '99 full moon is very
close to perigee, i.e., approx. 6hrs after. We'll see that this really
doesn't matter much though and will keep things relative to the June '99
full moon. 

The intensity of light varies as the inverse square of the
distance between a light source and the observer. Therefore, the
intensity difference between these two distances is 1.2696 or
approximately 27%. This is not trivial by any means. The trivial part is
as follows. There has been some recent clamor about the claim of the
Dec. 22 full moon not being the brightest full moon in 133yrs. Well,
the fact is that those denying this are correct but what is the real
magnitude of such a disclaimer?  Well, let's take the same June '99 full
moon distance, i.e., 401955.3 km and see what value we get when we
divide it by the closest perigee in the years 1750 through 2125, which
was 356375 km on January 4, 1912 and as it turns out was very close to
being entirely full. So, 401955.3 km / 356375 km = 1.1279 and 1.1279^2 =
1.2722. Drum roll please, (1.2722/1.2696) * 100 = 0.2%. Is anyone
impressed? A lot of disclaimer for 0.2%!

The question of apparent size relates to the subtended angle of
the moon at its various distances and is just the 2 * arc_sin(lunar
radius / lunar distance). The lunar distances should be calculated as
topocentric distances to be as accurate as possible.

My suggestion, ENJOY IT! For a much more detailed treatment
visit the following URL:

http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/moon_ap_per.html


Best,

Luke


Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-20 Thread PsykoKidd

Thanks for the very detailed explaination Luke.  So is the answer 27.2% 
brightness difference between the June Moon and the Dec. Moon?  That would 
mean the paper was wrong.  The newspaper also predicted the January Moon 
would be even brighter (something you didn't cover).
Another thing that bothered me is after the astronomical explanation, 
they author of the article interviewed an astrologer, who basically told him 
the moon was in Cancer (it may have been another constellation for you 
sticklers), and the brightness didn't matter.  Then he rambled off general 
predictions depending on your astrological sign.  It's hard to believe we are 
about to enter the 2000s...Frankly, I'm disappointed.  No flying cars, and 
astrologers are still taken seriously.
~Troy


Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-19 Thread John Carmichael

Last night, I was looking at the moon.  It was noticibly larger than the
night before.  This was easy to judge, as it was very close to Jupiter and
Saturn which help as size references.  These planets look to be about 10
degrees apart.  So looking at the moon again tonight, it will be easy to
tell about how far the moon moved east in 24 hours.  Sorry, don't  know the
exact declination, except that since the moon is so very close to Jupiter
and Saturn, it must be almost on the ecliptic.

John Carmichael

\When planning your solstice celebrations, the lunar perigee will be an
additional focus this year. An interesting point is that your sundials will
act as moondials on that night when the moon is full. The location of the
moon is directly opposite the sun so the time is  displaced by 12 hours. By
the moon, a reading of 10:00 will be 10:00 pm. The solar shadow in the will
be in the same position at 10:00 am. 

What about the declination? I know it will be large and positive but does
anyone here know the lunar declination on 21/22 Dec when the moon is full?

Roger Bailey
N51  W115 




Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-19 Thread John Davis

Roger,

I'm not sure of the exact time of Full Moon, but according to my Psion the
declination at midnight will be 19deg26min.

I hope that helps!

John


Dr J R Davis
Flowton, UK
52.08N, 1.043E
email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]



Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-19 Thread Luke Coletti

Roger,

I hope the information below is helpful. Note that because the moon is
so close there is an offset between the true geocentric coords. and
the apparent or topocentric coords., this effect is termed geocentric
parallax. See chap. 39 in Meeus for more details. The topocentric values
given below are for my latitude at +36.5deg.
 
Do the discussions of moon dialing you've read account for this slight
offset? In the the articles I've read, I've never seen mention of it but
I'm just starting to get interested after reading John Davis' glossary
(superbly done BTW) entry on Tidal Sundials and the 92.2 BSS Bulletin
article of the same. A sundial to indicate the tides (ocean tides),
surely you jest!(?) 

Lunar Perigee:
12/22 10:44 UTC 
12/22 02:44 PST
Earth-Moon distance: 356656.8 km (221616.8 miles)
True Equatorial RA: 05h 43m 17.7s Dec: +20°10'33 
Topocentric coordinates: RA: 05h 40m 50.3s  Dec: +19°48'17

Full Moon:
12/22 17:33 UTC
12/22 09:33 PST
Earth-Moon distance: 356733.3 km (221664.4 miles)
True Equatorial RA: 06h 01m 47.3s Dec: +20°33'07 
Topocentric coordinates: RA: 05h 59m 38.1s  Dec: +19°45'39 

Best,

Luke

Roger Bailey wrote:
 
 When planning your solstice celebrations, the lunar perigee will be an
 additional focus this year. An interesting point is that your sundials will
 act as moondials on that night when the moon is full. The location of the
 moon is directly opposite the sun so the time is  displaced by 12 hours. By
 the moon, a reading of 10:00 will be 10:00 pm. The solar shadow in the will
 be in the same position at 10:00 am.
 
 What about the declination? I know it will be large and positive but does
 anyone here know the lunar declination on 21/22 Dec when the moon is full?
 
 Roger Bailey
 N51  W115


Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-19 Thread PsykoKidd

In regard to the excitement over the close perigee occuring when the earth is 
closest to the sun (very close to the December solstice.)  My local paper 
made a comment that the Moon will appear 17% larger than a full moon last 
summer (that is in June-July for you down underlings), but the full moon in 
January will appear 40% larger.  I suspect it was a misprint, but I thought 
I'd send it out so you could chew on it.
~troy


Re: Solstice Perigee

1999-12-19 Thread wlg

almanac lost...there is a program that will do this..i'll see if i can find it

Roger Bailey wrote:

 When planning your solstice celebrations, the lunar perigee will be an
 additional focus this year. An interesting point is that your sundials will
 act as moondials on that night when the moon is full. The location of the
 moon is directly opposite the sun so the time is  displaced by 12 hours. By
 the moon, a reading of 10:00 will be 10:00 pm. The solar shadow in the will
 be in the same position at 10:00 am.

 What about the declination? I know it will be large and positive but does
 anyone here know the lunar declination on 21/22 Dec when the moon is full?

 Roger Bailey
 N51  W115