Re: [biofuel] % diesel used versus amount of wvo available

2004-08-04 Thread rob crowley

hi steven

hakan falk recently posted a useful link in reply to the hybrid vehicle 
thread.  the link is:
http://energysavingnow.com/biofuels/dieseltech.shtml

at the bottom of the page is another link to a talk given by an exec of 
Bosch USA that discusses the impact on U.S. fuel consumption and 
pollution if the U.S. increased the percentage of diesel passenger 
vehicles.  currently, one percent of U.S. new vehicle sales are diesel. 
 he looks at the impact if the U.S. went to forty and eighty percent 
diesel-equipped new vehicle sales by 2010.  quite interesting.  perhaps 
you could extrapolate to biodiesel from his numbers. it might help you 
check your numbers for your presentation to the sierra club.

good luck,
 rob


steven mesibov wrote:

Keith, John,

Thanks for the response.  Hopefully the Club Sierra will be fairly well
controled, if for no other reason than I was invited by one of the
directors!  :-)

As far as the right questions to ask:

My approach is that no one solution is going to fix the problem.  The
problem is far to complex and developed over to many years.  But as any
MBA knows, the real cost is always at the margin:  What would happen if we
reduced our dependance on foriegn oil by 2%?  5%?  Prices may not go down
much but they would certainly tend to go down if all other things
remaining the same.  

Of course demand won't remain the same, its going to go up as it has been
for years. And that needs to be addressed.  But as for me, thats a topic
for another day...  I'm focusing on the topic of my talk:  A Step in the
Right Direction

Steve


  






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Re: [biofuel] % diesel used versus amount of wvo available

2004-08-04 Thread steven mesibov

Thanks Rob!

Those are some excellent links with good overview points.  I'll try to
incorporate some of that in my next talk.

Tonight's presentation to the Sierra Club went extremely well.  They let
me ramble on for over an hour while interrupting many times to ask some
excellent questions.  Except for one gadfly (what happens to the sodium or
potassium in the wash water?  Won't it contaminate drinking water or
fields...) every one was extremely positive.   In fact one guy with
business and political connections thought I was thinking too small when I
proposed a coop type partnership.  He suggested I approach Stetson
University (yes, the one started by the hat guy here in Deland, FL)
business school for a business development grant or even the county
council to fuel the local school buses etc.  He even thought that the
University would love to jump all over a green project and will approach
the University president!  We might even get a lot of student interest and
support similar to Piedmont and UNC.  Three of us are meeting this coming
Monday night here in Deland to plot strategy.

If anyone out there would like to join us, just let me know!

Thanks again!

Steve 

--- rob crowley [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 hi steven
 
 hakan falk recently posted a useful link in reply to the hybrid vehicle 
 thread.  the link is:
 http://energysavingnow.com/biofuels/dieseltech.shtml
 
 at the bottom of the page is another link to a talk given by an exec of 
 Bosch USA that discusses the impact on U.S. fuel consumption and 
 pollution if the U.S. increased the percentage of diesel passenger 
 vehicles.  currently, one percent of U.S. new vehicle sales are diesel. 
  he looks at the impact if the U.S. went to forty and eighty percent 
 diesel-equipped new vehicle sales by 2010.  quite interesting.  perhaps 
 you could extrapolate to biodiesel from his numbers. it might help you 
 check your numbers for your presentation to the sierra club.
 
 good luck,
  rob
 
 
 steven mesibov wrote:
 
 Keith, John,
 
 Thanks for the response.  Hopefully the Club Sierra will be fairly well
 controled, if for no other reason than I was invited by one of the
 directors!  :-)
 
 As far as the right questions to ask:
 
 My approach is that no one solution is going to fix the problem.  The
 problem is far to complex and developed over to many years.  But as any
 MBA knows, the real cost is always at the margin:  What would happen if
 we
 reduced our dependance on foriegn oil by 2%?  5%?  Prices may not go
 down
 much but they would certainly tend to go down if all other things
 remaining the same.  
 
 Of course demand won't remain the same, its going to go up as it has
 been
 for years. And that needs to be addressed.  But as for me, thats a
 topic
 for another day...  I'm focusing on the topic of my talk:  A Step in
 the
 Right Direction
 
 Steve
 
 
   
 
 
 
 
 




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Re: [biofuel] % diesel used versus amount of wvo available

2004-08-03 Thread steven mesibov

Keith, John,

Thanks for the response.  Hopefully the Club Sierra will be fairly well
controled, if for no other reason than I was invited by one of the
directors!  :-)

As far as the right questions to ask:

My approach is that no one solution is going to fix the problem.  The
problem is far to complex and developed over to many years.  But as any
MBA knows, the real cost is always at the margin:  What would happen if we
reduced our dependance on foriegn oil by 2%?  5%?  Prices may not go down
much but they would certainly tend to go down if all other things
remaining the same.  

Of course demand won't remain the same, its going to go up as it has been
for years. And that needs to be addressed.  But as for me, thats a topic
for another day...  I'm focusing on the topic of my talk:  A Step in the
Right Direction

Steve

--- Keith Addison [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Hello Steve
 
 I'm preparing a presentation to the local Sierra club and I can't seem
 to
 find the statistic on the amount of wvo available in the US versus the
 amount of diesel fuel used.
 
 :-)
 
 If you mention the D-word there the sky will fall on your head.
 
 Actually, if you can even get them to listen, you're doing very well! 
 Good for you. Others here have tried and got nowhere. Which might be 
 why it's often known here as Club Sierra.
 
 If you find accurate data on the amount of WVO available in the US, 
 let alone it's fate, then again you're doing much better than anyone 
 else here has done. (Please let us know!) The best we can do is that 
 it's about 2 or 3 billion gallons a year, and that about 10% of it is 
 accounted for, which is about average for the OECD countries. 
 Estimates we've seen for the US, the UK and other industrialised 
 countries vary by up to a factor of 10. Which is quite an eye-opener 
 in itself. If you can't get accurate figures, that very fact is worth 
 presenting - why not? Yet we're supposed to pretend that government 
 or anyone else is taking biofuels and climate change seriously?
 
 I can see you're trying to answer the usual question of whether 
 there'll be enough biofuels. We tend to think it's the wrong 
 question. Enough for what? To replace current fossil-fuel use? Or 
 some estimate of future use, based on projections of current growth 
 rates? That's what the US DoE has done in its estimates for biodiesel 
 expansion. Why would current growth rates be sustainable, no matter 
 what fuel was used? Current usage rates aren't sustainable either. 
 The related question is How much biofuels can we grow? The answer, 
 based on the same fallacy, is usually, Not enough, so let's just 
 forget the whole thing. People have said this is a tactic used to 
 dismiss alternatives, picking them off this way one by one - as if 
 current energy supply is dependent on only one source, only one 
 technology.
 
 A rational and sustainable energy future requires great reductions in 
 energy use, great improvements in energy efficiency, and the 
 decentralisation of supply to the local level, along with the use of 
 all available renewable technologie in combination as the local 
 circumstances demand.
 
 That makes for rather a different prospect for WVO's role in future 
 fuel supplies.
 
 The total vegetable oil that could be made
 into diesel would be a nice figure too.
 
 Again, wrong question. Any number you get would be meaningless. 
 Please have a look at these previous messages:
 
 http://infoarchive.net/sgroup/biofuel/37289/
 Re: [biofuel] Biofuels and sustainability
 
 http://archive.nnytech.net/sgroup/BIOFUELS-BIZ/1801/
 Re: Biofuels hold key to future of British farming
 
 http://archive.nnytech.net/sgroup/BIOFUELS-BIZ/1395/
 How much fuel can we grow?
 
 HTH
 
 Best
 
 Keith
 
 
 Anyone have that around?
 
 Thanks!
 
 Steve
 
 




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[biofuel] % diesel used versus amount of wvo available

2004-08-02 Thread steven mesibov

I'm preparing a presentation to the local Sierra club and I can't seem to
find the statistic on the amount of wvo available in the US versus the
amount of diesel fuel used.  The total vegetable oil that could be made
into diesel would be a nice figure too.

Anyone have that around?

Thanks!

Steve




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Re: [biofuel] % diesel used versus amount of wvo available

2004-08-02 Thread John Hayes

steven mesibov wrote:

 I'm preparing a presentation to the local Sierra club and I can't seem to
 find the statistic on the amount of wvo available in the US versus the
 amount of diesel fuel used.  The total vegetable oil that could be made
 into diesel would be a nice figure too.

Actually, I don't find that to be a very meaningful number in a free 
market. If the demand created for domestically produced biofuels out 
strips the latent supply of WVO, or even SVO for biodiesel production, 
new non-food oil feedstocks will enter the marketplace. These feedstocks 
could include dual purpose crops such as mustard, or it could include 
novel feedstocks such as algae-sourced oil.

Mike Briggs at UNH is currently working in this area. Here is a nice 
little summary:
http://www.unh.edu/p2/biodiesel/article_alge.html

All that having been said, I *believe* that the current US WVO supply 
could displace about 7% of petrodiesel use. However, I don't have a 
citation so don't quote me.

John Hayes




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Re: [biofuel] % diesel used versus amount of wvo available

2004-08-02 Thread Keith Addison

Hello Steve

I'm preparing a presentation to the local Sierra club and I can't seem to
find the statistic on the amount of wvo available in the US versus the
amount of diesel fuel used.

:-)

If you mention the D-word there the sky will fall on your head.

Actually, if you can even get them to listen, you're doing very well! 
Good for you. Others here have tried and got nowhere. Which might be 
why it's often known here as Club Sierra.

If you find accurate data on the amount of WVO available in the US, 
let alone it's fate, then again you're doing much better than anyone 
else here has done. (Please let us know!) The best we can do is that 
it's about 2 or 3 billion gallons a year, and that about 10% of it is 
accounted for, which is about average for the OECD countries. 
Estimates we've seen for the US, the UK and other industrialised 
countries vary by up to a factor of 10. Which is quite an eye-opener 
in itself. If you can't get accurate figures, that very fact is worth 
presenting - why not? Yet we're supposed to pretend that government 
or anyone else is taking biofuels and climate change seriously?

I can see you're trying to answer the usual question of whether 
there'll be enough biofuels. We tend to think it's the wrong 
question. Enough for what? To replace current fossil-fuel use? Or 
some estimate of future use, based on projections of current growth 
rates? That's what the US DoE has done in its estimates for biodiesel 
expansion. Why would current growth rates be sustainable, no matter 
what fuel was used? Current usage rates aren't sustainable either. 
The related question is How much biofuels can we grow? The answer, 
based on the same fallacy, is usually, Not enough, so let's just 
forget the whole thing. People have said this is a tactic used to 
dismiss alternatives, picking them off this way one by one - as if 
current energy supply is dependent on only one source, only one 
technology.

A rational and sustainable energy future requires great reductions in 
energy use, great improvements in energy efficiency, and the 
decentralisation of supply to the local level, along with the use of 
all available renewable technologie in combination as the local 
circumstances demand.

That makes for rather a different prospect for WVO's role in future 
fuel supplies.

The total vegetable oil that could be made
into diesel would be a nice figure too.

Again, wrong question. Any number you get would be meaningless. 
Please have a look at these previous messages:

http://infoarchive.net/sgroup/biofuel/37289/
Re: [biofuel] Biofuels and sustainability

http://archive.nnytech.net/sgroup/BIOFUELS-BIZ/1801/
Re: Biofuels hold key to future of British farming

http://archive.nnytech.net/sgroup/BIOFUELS-BIZ/1395/
How much fuel can we grow?

HTH

Best

Keith


Anyone have that around?

Thanks!

Steve



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