[tips] Parachutes and gravitational challenge

2013-12-17 Thread MiguelRoig
It's been so quiet in TIPSland that I thought this item, which was posted on 
another list, might bring some comic relief from all that grading. 

Enjoy. 

Title:
Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma related to gravitational 
challenge: systematic review of randomised controlled trials 

http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7429/1459

Miguel

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re: [tips] Parachutes and gravitational challenge

2013-12-17 Thread Mike Palij

On Tue, 17 Dec 2013 03:20:15 -0800, Miguel Roig wrote:
It's been so quiet in TIPSland that I thought this item, which was 
posted on

another list, might bring some comic relief from all that grading.


I have the feeling that the volume of discussion on Tips is probably
going to be low for a while for a variety of reasons.  I'm sure that
each of us have our own reasons for this.


Enjoy.

Title:
Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma related to 
gravitational

challenge: systematic review of randomised controlled trials

http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7429/1459


If you check the date on the article, you'll see that the article was
published back in 2003 and in December when the BMJ has its
Christmas satire/cheer/whatever issue (one has to remember that
this is physician humor which means that non-physicians sometimes
wonder where the satire/humor/whatever is; see the following for
an example:
http://offsettingbehaviour.blogspot.com/2009/12/satire-or-not.html --
I'm sure that clinical psychologists make similar types of jokes
that are funny to other clinicians but are lost on non-clinicians).

A colleague pointed out the BMJ parachute article to me a few years
ago and the colleague thought it was as funny as all get out.  At first
I wasn't sure why the colleague thought that the article was funny.
The colleague was not much of an experimentalist and did a lot of
observational studies -- it seemed that the implicit message was
see, you don't need a control group to do research, just commonsense!

Anyway, I tried to point out that one didn't need to have a control
group in this kind of situation, just a record of the number of injuries
and deaths that occurred when people used parachutes, such as:
http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleid=251515
and
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0196064486801342
and
http://bjsportmed.com/content/41/6/356.abstract
and so on.

There is a wonderful scene in the movie The Bridge Over the River
Kwai where the William Holden character points out that he doesn't
have any experience parachute jumping (secretly hoping that this would
get him out of the mission) and the Jack Hawkins character checks
to see if they can arrange a couple of practice jumps before they go
off on their mission.  Hawkins comes back and says that it's best that
they skip training jumps because the probability of an injury increases
with the number of jumps (as it turns out, one member of the commando
crew dies when his parachute is caught in a tree).  Whether what the
Hawkins character says is true or not is not the point (there are a 
number

of major factual errors in the movie and book but one has to assume
that factual truth has to serve poetic truth in such cases) because
parachute jumping is in fact a dangerous activity that one needs to
be very careful about.

Okay, just to show that I'm a humorless scrooge, here are some other
bits of humor.  First, psychology jokes:
http://www.psychologytoday.com/blog/hide-and-seek/201303/top-10-psychology-jokes
Shrink jokes:
http://forums.psychcentral.com/general-social-chat/157078-whats-your-favorite-joke-about-shrinks-please-share.html
More psychology jokes:
http://forums.studentdoctor.net/threads/got-a-psychology-joke.384462/
NOTE:  From the above website:
Stanley Milgram: Electrical Contractorand
Psychologists like to do it on the couch
And so on.

Make it an A-1 day!

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu






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[tips] Political globalization of schizophrenia

2013-12-17 Thread michael sylvester
Recent international misdeeds  have  been blamed on schizophrenia by their 
perpetrators.
The sign language interpreter at Mandela's memorial said that he was hearing 
voices and having a schizophrenic attack on stage and that might explain his 
gibberish deaf language  signing word salad.
The Boston marathon bomber who was killed also appeared to be hearing voices 
and suffering from schizophrenia.
These events would seem to imply that that there is an international external 
validity to schizophrenia that  can be dramatized on the world stage.
Of all the psychological disorders,isn't schz the only one that exists in all 
cultures?
And hasn't the MMPI been validated cross-culturally?
Is there a Torrey Fuller in Tipsville?

michael

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Re: [tips] Parachutes and gravitational challenge

2013-12-17 Thread Mike Palij

On Tue, 17 Dec 2013 06:48:36 -0800, David Epstein wrote:

On Tue, 17 Dec 2013, MiguelRoig went:

Parachute use to prevent death and major trauma related to
gravitational challenge: systematic review of randomised controlled
trials
http://www.bmj.com/content/327/7429/1459


I have *cited* that paper in a serious context, as this snippet will 
show:


http://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=%22parachutes+protect+against+the+effects+of+free+fall%22


Not to take anything away from David's fine achievement ;-) but
scholar.google.com indicates that (as of this moment) there are 557
citations to the Smith and Pell (2003) article.  I leave it to the
researcher with too much time on his/her hands (or an excess of
research assistants) to determine whether all of the citations
(a) got the point of the original article, (b) realized that it was 
satire,

and (c) cited it in an appropriate way like David did.

Below is the context of David's citation of Smith and Pell:

|We examined whether simultaneous abstinence from heroin
|and cocaine could be achieved by combining individualized (flexible)
|high-dose (100 mg) methadone and voucher-based CM in
|heroin- and cocaine-dependent individuals. We ended the study
|before reaching our planned sample size, partly due to slow
|accrual, and partly because we had begun to suspect that a clinical
|trial comparing flexible high-dose methadone to fixed lower-dose
|methadone was becoming like a clinical trial of whether parachutes
|protect against the effects of free fall (Smith and Pell, 2003).
|Therefore, we were surprised to find that our flexible/high-dose
|methadone participants were less likely to achieve simultaneous
|abstinence from heroin and cocaine than participants receiving
|a lower, fixed dose, and that they did not even show a
|greater likelihood of abstinence from heroin alone.
(p82)

However, there may be something special about the Smith and
Pell (2003) article because the somewhat similar article by Upper (1974)
only has 31 cites (as of this moment).  See:

Upper, D. (1974). THE UNSUCCESSFUL SELF-TREATMENT OF A CASE OF WRITER'S 
BLOCK. Journal of Applied Behavior Analysis, 7(3), 497-497.

or
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1311997/

-Mike Palij
New York University
m...@nyu.edu

P.S.  I really should take David to task about not comparing the effect
size from his study to that found in Smith and Pell, otherwise how would
we know that the two studies are actually comparable. ;-)


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[tips] Stunning motion illusion

2013-12-17 Thread MiguelRoig
And for my second post of the day, check out this stunning motion illusion 
posted by Marc Breelove's Biopsychology newslist:
  
http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/12/15/optical_illusion_motion_using_vertical_slits.html

Miguel

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Re: [tips] Sources of happiness

2013-12-17 Thread John Kulig

Philippe: Yes, and we are getting more snow. It was -10 F this morning (-23 C) 
and more snow for tonight. But I'm in the country so we handle it better than 
the cities. 

The 50/40/10 is probably accurate. It's close to 50% based on data from Caprara 
et al. (2009) Human optimal functioning: The genetics of positive orientation 
toward self, life, and the future. _Behavioral Genetics_. Also, Plomin et al 
recent book Behavioral Genetics (2013) cites 30 to 60% genetics on 
subjective well being. The last time I looked seriously at twin/heritability 
research, I was working through gene/environment overlap, for example, 
gene-environment co-variance; people create their own environments. So the 
split into 3 simple categories is simplified .. but the 50% is probably close 
to the mark. And yes, any r squared gives us percent of variance .. by the 
way, a crude way to estimate heritability is to double the difference between 
the correlations of MZ and DZ twins. So if r(mz) = .9 and r(dz) = .5, 
Heritability = 2*(.4) = .80. But there are more elaborate and accurate 
methods.There is lots of good info in the Wikipedia entry which gets technical 
very quickly. On simple thing I stress with students is that the 50% figure 
refers to amount of _variance_ so it cannot be applied to individuals, only 
populations. 

JK 
== 
John W. Kulig, Ph.D. 
Professor of Psychology 
Coordinator, Psychology Honors 
Plymouth State University 
Plymouth NH 03264 
== 

- Original Message -

From: Philippe Gervaix phil.gerv...@bluewin.ch 
To: Teaching in the Psychological Sciences (TIPS) 
tips@fsulist.frostburg.edu 
Sent: Monday, December 16, 2013 4:41:17 PM 
Subject: [tips] Sources of happiness 

Hello from the not so snowy side of the ocean! 

One of my students presented an end of school project on the sources of 
happiness, and quoted a 50/40/10 proportion as being scientifically 
established: 50% attributed to genes, 40% to us and 10% left to ouside 
events. 

Quite a few popolar books and TV shows here in Europe have taken up on these 
numbers. 

A column in yesterday's NY Times caught my attention 

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/15/opinion/sunday/a-formula-for-happiness.html 

To review: About half of happiness is genetically determined. Up to an 
additional 40 percent comes from the things that have occurred in our recent 
past — but that won’t last very long. That leaves just about 12 percent... 


Any critical thoughts on my students numbers or the NY Times Sunday morning 
article? 

Also, I am looking for a critical review of the researches on twins quoted in 
the article. 

BTW, am I mistaken, or doesn't a 0.7 correlation only accounts for 50% of the 
variance? 

Have a nice Xmas holiday! 

Philippe Gervaix 

phil.gerv...@bluewin.ch 

Lycée de Burier 
Montreux 
Switzerland 




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Re: [tips] Sources of happiness

2013-12-17 Thread Jeffry Ricker, Ph.D.

On Dec 17, 2013, at 1:01 PM, Christopher Green wrote:

 My understanding is that here, as in the intelligence debate, proportions of 
 variance attributable to heredity are only valid for a given level of 
 variance in the environment. Restrict the range of variability in the 
 environment and heredity goes up. Increase the variability of the 
 environment and heredity goes down. In short, it can be a highly misleading 
 statistic unless the environment is somehow artificially standardized.

Yes, that was the point I was trying to make with my example.

I have never really understood the fascination with heritability estimates. 
They were developed primarily for agricultural purposes (if I remember 
correctly: it's been a long time since I studied the history of this area) 
because knowing the proportion of additive genetic variance to total phenotypic 
variance helps us to estimate responses to artificial selection. However, even 
when heritability is zero, genes will still be important contributors to the 
development of a trait. A heritability of zero simply means that genetic 
variance is not associated with phenotypic variance. This will occur, for 
example, when directional selection (or genetic drift) has led to the fixation 
of genes important for the development of a trait.

And there are many other complexities that enter into interpreting 
heritability. For me, it was useful simply for showing that there were genes in 
a population that we might want to take a look at. Understanding how these 
genes were important for the development of a phenotype (i.e., describing 
gene-environment interactions and epigenetics) was always the goal. I never got 
very far in this line of work, but many others have since then.

Best,
Jeff
-- 
-
Jeffry Ricker, Ph.D.
Professor of Psychology
-
Scottsdale Community College
9000 E. Chaparral Road
Scottsdale, AZ 85256-2626
Office: SB-123
Phone: (480) 423-6213
Fax: (480) 423-6298


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Re: [tips] Sources of happiness

2013-12-17 Thread Christopher Green
My understanding is that here, as in the intelligence debate, proportions of 
variance attributable to heredity are only valid for a given level of 
variance in the environment. Restrict the range of variability in the 
environment and heredity goes up. Increase the variability of the environment 
and heredity goes down. In short, it can be a highly misleading statistic 
unless the environment is somehow artificially standardized. 

Chris
...
Christopher D Green
Department of Psychology
York University
Toronto, ON M6C 1G4

chri...@yorku.ca
http://www.yorku.ca/christo

 On Dec 17, 2013, at 1:49 PM, Jeffry Ricker, Ph.D. 
 jeff.ric...@scottsdalecc.edu wrote:
 
  
 
 
  
 
 
  
 
 
 On Dec 16, 2013, at 2:41 PM, Philippe Gervaix wrote:
 
 One of my students presented an end of school project on the sources of 
 happiness, and quoted a 50/40/10 proportion as being scientifically 
 established: 50% attributed to genes, 40% to us and 10% left to ouside 
 events.
 
 On Dec 17, 2013, at 9:58 AM, John Kulig wrote:
 
 The 50/40/10 is probably accurate. It's close to 50% based on data from 
 Caprara et al. (2009) Human optimal functioning: The genetics of positive 
 orientation toward self, life, and the future. _Behavioral Genetics_. Also, 
 Plomin et al recent book Behavioral Genetics (2013) cites 30 to 60% 
 genetics on subjective well being. One simple thing I stress with 
 students is that the 50% figure refers to amount of _variance_ so it cannot 
 be applied to individuals, only populations. [emphasis added]
 
 Thanks, John. That last sentence is what most people forget when they make 
 statements such as 50% of X is due to genes. And just to clarify John's 
 statement further, heritability refers to the amount of variance in X 
 associated with variation in genes in a particular population (I'm ignoring 
 the difference between broad and narrow heritability): it cannot be 
 generalized to other populations, nor even to that population in the past or 
 the future. The latter is especially important because things change. 
 
 For example, the heritability of height is quite high currently in 
 developed countries because the majority of people have enough to eat: 
 malnutrition is not a problem for most. Thus, variation in height due to 
 variation in environmental factors is much smaller in developed countries 
 relative to variation in height due to variation in genetic factors. However, 
 during historical time periods when there were wide variations in food 
 consumption in those very same countries, the heritability of height would 
 have been much smaller.
 
 I just found the following article, which might be a good one for students 
 who want to understand the concept of heritability better: 
 http://www.nature.com/scitable/topicpage/estimating-trait-heritability-46889
 
 Best,
 Jeff
 
 P.S. My bona fides: in a former life, I was a young researcher in the area 
 of behavior genetics and evolution. Now, I'm getting to be an old teacher of 
 all kinds of things.
 
 -- 
 -
 Jeffry Ricker, Ph.D.
 Professor of Psychology
 -
 Scottsdale Community College
 9000 E. Chaparral Road
 Scottsdale, AZ 85256-2626
 Office: SB-123
 Phone: (480) 423-6213
 Fax: (480) 423-6298
 
 
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