[Vo]:the Parkhomov paper translated

[Peter Gluck]

Not so fast as I wanted but here it is:

http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2014/12/fast-translation-of-parkhomov-paper.html

Questions and corrections to my e-mail address please, I hope to discuss
with the author.

Peter

-- 
Dr. Peter Gluck
Cluj, Romania
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com

[Vo]:exponential information technology 1890-2014 10exp17 more MIPS per constant 2004 dollar in 124 years, Luke Muehlhauser, Machine Intelligence Research Institute 2014.05.12: Rich Murray 2014.12.2

[Rich Murray]

exponential information technology 1890-2014 10exp17 more MIPS per constant
2004 dollar in 124 years, Luke Muehlhauser, Machine Intelligence Research
Institute 2014.05.12: Rich Murray 2014.12.27

since 1890, increase by 10 times every 7.3 years --

since 1950 -- 2014 = 54 years, with about 10exp13  times more =
10,000,000,000,000 times more per device, from vacuum tubes to multicore
processors -- increase by 10 times every 4 years per constant 2004 dollar.

!! Rich









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Exponential and non-exponential trends in information technology





May 12, 2014  |  Luke Muehlhauser
  |  Analysis


*Co-authored with Lila Rieber.*

In *The Singularity is Near*
,
Ray Kurzweil writes that “every aspect of information and information
technology is growing at an exponential pace.”1

 In *Abundance
*,
the authors list eight fields — including nanomaterials, robotics, and
medicine — as “exponentially growing fields.”2

 *The Second Machine Age*

says
that “technical progress” in general is “improving exponentially.”3


These authors are correct to emphasize that exponential trends in
technological development are surprisingly common (Nagy et al. 2013
),
and that these trends challenge the wisdom of our built-in heuristic
to ignore futures that
*sound* absurd. (To someone in the 1980s, the iPhone is absurd. To us, it
is an affordable consumer good.)

Unfortunately, these and other popular discussions of “exponential
technologies” are often very succinct and therefore ambiguous, resulting in
public and professional misunderstanding.4

I
(Luke) regularly encounter people who have read the books above and come
away with the impression that all information technologies show roughly
exponential trends all the time. But this isn’t true unless you have a
*very* broad concept of what counts as “roughly exponential.”

So, without speculating much about what Kurzweil & company intend to claim,
we’ll try to clear up some common misunderstandings about exponential
technologies by showing a few examples of exponential and
not-so-exponential trends in information technology. A more thorough survey
of trends in information technology must be left to other investigators.5


Computations per dollar: still exponential

It’s clear that Kurzweil himself does not *literally* mean that “every
aspect of information and information technology is growing at an
exponential pace,” for he has previously discussed examples of
non-exponential growth in some aspects of information technology. For
example, he’s well aware that the exponential trend in processor clock
speed broke down in 2004, as shown in Fuller & Millett (2011a)

:6

[image: Fuller & Millett figure 1]

Because this is a logarithmic chart, a straight line represents an
exponential trend. Notice that clock speed stopped improving exponentially
in 2004, but transistors per chip has continued to increase exponentially
via the jump from single-core to multicore processors.

Elsewhere, Kurzweil tends to emphasize exponential trends in *price-performance
ratios* specifically, for example *computations per dollar*. This is
perfectly reasonable. Most of us don’t care about the fine details of
processor architecture — we just care about how much *stuff we can do* per
dollar.7

And
thus far, the exponential trend in computations per dollar has kept up.8


It’s unclear, however, how much longer this trend can be ma

Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Eric Walker]

On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 8:35 AM, Jones Beene  wrote:

>   The main missing detail is a control run with no “fuel”; and then
> isotopic mass analysis of the ash.
>
Yes -- the first is pretty much a must-have.  The second would definitely
be nice.

Does anyone have information on the fellow who did the experiment?

Eric

Re: [Vo]:Huge/Mysterious E-field found in cold gases

[H Veeder]

Spontaneous electric fields in solid films: spontelectrics

Published online: 12 Mar 2013


F
​ull paper available here​.


http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/0144235X.2013.767109

Abstract
When dipolar gases are condensed at sufficiently low temperature onto a
solid surface, they form films that may spontaneously exhibit electric
fields in excess of 108 V/m. This effect, called the ‘spontelectric
effect’, was recently revealed using an instrument designed to measure
scattering and capture of low energy electrons by molecular films. In this
review it is described how this discovery was made and the properties of
materials that display the spontelectric effect, so-called
‘spontelectrics’, are set out. A discussion is included of properties that
differentiate spontelectrics from ferroelectrics and other species in which
spontaneous polarisation may be found.

Spontelectric films may be composed of a number of quite mundane dipolar
molecules that involve such diverse dipolar species as propane, nitrous
oxide or methyl formate. Experimental results are presented for
spontelectrics illustrating that the spontelectric field generally
decreases monotonically with increasing deposition temperature, with the
exception of methyl formate that shows an increase beyond a critical range
of deposition temperature. Films of spontelectric material show a Curie
temperature above which the spontelectric effect disappears. Heterolayers
may also be laid down creating potential wells on the nanoscale.

A model is put forward based upon competition between dipole alignment and
thermal disorder, which is successful in reproducing the variation of the
degree of dipole alignment and the spontelectric field with deposition
temperature, including the behaviour of methyl formate. This model and
associated data lead to the conclusion that the spontelectric effect is new
in solid-state physics and that spontelectrics represent a new class of
materials.


Harry

On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 1:38 PM, Eric Walker  wrote:

> On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 9:45 AM, Eric Walker
>
> my suspicion is that the potentials have to do with buildup of electrons
>> in dialectically insulated grains
>>
>
> This is not the first time I have mistyped that.  I suppose they might in
> fact be "dialectically" insulated metal grains.  In this case they should
> also be dielectrically insulted as well.
>
> Eric
>
>

RE: [Vo]:Huge/Mysterious E-field found in cold gases

[Jones Beene]

You may be trying to describe a Mott Insulator

 

 

 

From: Eric Walker [mailto:eric.wal...@gmail.com] 
Sent: Saturday, December 27, 2014 10:38 AM
To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Huge/Mysterious E-field found in cold gases

 

On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 9:45 AM, Eric Walker 

 

my suspicion is that the potentials have to do with buildup of electrons in 
dialectically insulated grains

 

This is not the first time I have mistyped that.  I suppose they might in fact 
be "dialectically" insulated metal grains.  In this case they should also be 
dielectrically insulted as well.

 

Eric

 

Re: [Vo]:Huge/Mysterious E-field found in cold gases

[Eric Walker]

On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 9:45 AM, Eric Walker

my suspicion is that the potentials have to do with buildup of electrons in
> dialectically insulated grains
>

This is not the first time I have mistyped that.  I suppose they might in
fact be "dialectically" insulated metal grains.  In this case they should
also be dielectrically insulted as well.

Eric

Re: [Vo]:Huge/Mysterious E-field found in cold gases

[Eric Walker]

In the particular case of LENR (rather than supercooled laughing gas), my
suspicion is that the potentials have to do with buildup of electrons in
dialectically insulated grains (e.g., grains with insulating impurities
interposing between them).  Once a potential reaches a certain level, the
built-up charge will then discharge like a capacitor firing off.  The
absolute amount of charge involved in a single event may be minuscule, but
on a microscopic scale I'm guessing that the strength of the field that
arise before the discharge can often be astronomical.

Eric




On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 12:27 AM, Axil Axil  wrote:

> This all comes from the uncertainty principle. When electrons are tightly
> confined, there energy levels go out of sight. Energy and distances are
> directly related in quantum mechanics.
>
> On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 1:52 AM, Eric Walker 
> wrote:
>
>> On Tue, Dec 23, 2014 at 7:50 AM, MarkI-ZeroPoint 
>> wrote:
>>
>> [From the article:] A potential of around 14.5 volts appeared
>>> spontaneously on the film, which in turn produced an enormous electrical
>>> field of more than 100 million volts per metre.
>>>
>>
>> This lends credence to my hunch that the E-fields that can arise at the
>> nano- and micro-levels in a metal are enormous.  Where there are enormous
>> electric fields, there is acceleration.
>>
>> Eric
>>
>>
>

[Vo]:Lugano experiment Russian style

[Peter Gluck]

A good solution of the heat measurement problem for the Lugano experiment:
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.ro/2014/12/lugano-experiment-russian-style.html

I am translating the paper and- if you have questions re the text, I will
ask you fast.
I want to get in touch with the author, if somebody can help...

Peter

-- 
Dr. Peter Gluck
Cluj, Romania
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com

Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Bob Cook]

RE: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heatIt seems to 
me that there must be a separate cooling mechanism happening to remove or 
redistribute the heat within the reactor.  If it gets to hot the reaction may 
shut off because of sintering of the fuel.  I would bet that the heat after 
death has to do with the availability of Li vapor from the ceramic reactor 
vessel.  It would be interesting to know if the fuel has changed it shape from 
small (nano) particles to a sintered substance.  If the Russian experiment is 
like the Lugano experiment, I think there should be a depletion of the Li.  
This could cause the reaction to cease also as the internal cooling from Li 
vapor is deminished. 

Bob
  - Original Message - 
  From: Jones Beene 
  To: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
  Sent: Saturday, December 27, 2014 8:35 AM
  Subject: RE: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat



  From: Peter Gluck 


  Jones, it is radiation data it cleally says no more than background


  From: Jed Rothwell 


  " . . . On the same diagram shows the count rate Geiger counter SI-8B. this 
counter responsive to alpha, beta, gamma and X-rays. It is seen that all during 
heating, the radiation situation is not very different from the background.



  Thanks - lack of radiation is expected given the record of gain in NiH – but 
it is most interesting in leaving the door wide open for many new explanations 
and investigations. 

  The main missing detail is a control run with no “fuel”; and then isotopic 
mass analysis of the ash. 


  There is still a decent chance that thermal gain will be seen with no “fuel” 
which means that we are playing a brand new game, in terms of prior 
expectations.

RE: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jones Beene]

From: Peter Gluck 

Jones, it is radiation data it cleally says no more than background

From: Jed Rothwell 

" . . . On the same diagram shows the count rate Geiger counter SI-8B. this 
counter responsive to alpha, beta, gamma and X-rays. It is seen that all during 
heating, the radiation situation is not very different from the background.


Thanks - lack of radiation is expected given the record of gain in NiH – but it 
is most interesting in leaving the door wide open for many new explanations and 
investigations. 

The main missing detail is a control run with no “fuel”; and then isotopic mass 
analysis of the ash. 

There is still a decent chance that thermal gain will be seen with no “fuel” 
which means that we are playing a brand new game, in terms of prior 
expectations.

 

Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Peter Gluck]

Jones, it is radiation data it cleally says no more than background

I am just translating the paper. NIX radiation, fine
Peter

On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 6:06 PM, Jones Beene  wrote:

>
>
> Since this is a boil-off reactor setup, the likelihood of accuracy is much
> higher than the Lugano thermometry.
>
>
>
> Sadly - there appears to be no radiation data.
>
>
>
> An analysis of the ash will be most important in furthering our
> understanding of what is going on.
>
>
>
> It is still not ruled out that the gram of “fuel” used was unnecessary,
> and that the gain comes from SPP or DCE.
>
>
>
>
>
> *From:* Jed Rothwell
>
>
>
> Table translated here:
>
>
>
> http://i.imgur.com/rYpgEm4.png
>
>
>



-- 
Dr. Peter Gluck
Cluj, Romania
http://egooutpeters.blogspot.com

Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jed Rothwell]

Jones Beene  wrote:
>
>

> Since this is a boil-off reactor setup, the likelihood of accuracy is much
> higher than the Lugano thermometry.
>

I agree. I am surprised the rapid heat loss did not quench the reaction
(assuming there is a reaction). I guess the cell is well insulated.



> Sadly - there appears to be no radiation data.
>

There is some:

" . . . On the same diagram shows the count rate Geiger counter SI-8B. this
counter responsive to alpha, beta, gamma and X-rays. It is seen that all
during heating, the radiation situation is not very different from the
background.

A slight increase in temperature is noticeable only about 600 to 1000 ° C.
further studies have shown that this chance or regularity. Dosimeter DK-02
is not found during the experiment set dose within the measurement error (5
MP)."

- Jed

Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jed Rothwell]

Jones Beene  wrote:


> Of interest is the temperature chart:
>
> http://i.imgur.com/gWF7z9y.png
>
>
>
> Where the reactor temperature remains elevated for 8 minutes after power
> is cut.
>

Heat after death! Notice how quickly the temperature falls after the heat
stops. That sure indicates an energy source. It could be conventional I
suppose, but I doubt there is much fuel.

This is temperature hysteresis. In other words, energy release hysteresis.
The cell wants to remain at the same temperature, like a piece of burning
wood that is disturbed and then returns to burning at the same rate.
Because the shape of the wood and the rate of fuel release is the same. I
believe Stan Pons was the first person to describe this.

- Jed

RE: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jones Beene]

 

Since this is a boil-off reactor setup, the likelihood of accuracy is much 
higher than the Lugano thermometry. 

 

Sadly - there appears to be no radiation data.

 

An analysis of the ash will be most important in furthering our understanding 
of what is going on.

 

It is still not ruled out that the gram of “fuel” used was unnecessary, and 
that the gain comes from SPP or DCE.

 

 

From: Jed Rothwell 

 

Table translated here:

 

http://i.imgur.com/rYpgEm4.png

 

Re: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jed Rothwell]

Table translated here:

http://i.imgur.com/rYpgEm4.png

RE: [Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jones Beene]

From: Jed Rothwell:

 

http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/12/27/lugano-confirmed-replication-report-published-of-hot-cat-device-by-russian-researcher-alexander-g-parkhomov/

 

 

Of interest is the temperature chart:

http://i.imgur.com/gWF7z9y.png

 

Where the reactor temperature remains elevated for 8 minutes after power is cut.

 

This is actually more impressive than Rossi’s “thermometry” in a way, since it 
is independent of proper calibration. 

 

There appears to be a threshold or phase change around 1150°C which fits nicely 
with the SPP explanation of needing IR photons of a resonant wavelength.

 

Jones

[Vo]:Russian scientist reports replicating hot-cat excess heat

[Jed Rothwell]

See:

http://www.e-catworld.com/2014/12/27/lugano-confirmed-replication-report-published-of-hot-cat-device-by-russian-researcher-alexander-g-parkhomov/

Re: [Vo]:Huge/Mysterious E-field found in cold gases

[Axil Axil]

This all comes from the uncertainty principle. When electrons are tightly
confined, there energy levels go out of sight. Energy and distances are
directly related in quantum mechanics.

On Sat, Dec 27, 2014 at 1:52 AM, Eric Walker  wrote:

> On Tue, Dec 23, 2014 at 7:50 AM, MarkI-ZeroPoint 
> wrote:
>
> [From the article:] A potential of around 14.5 volts appeared
>> spontaneously on the film, which in turn produced an enormous electrical
>> field of more than 100 million volts per metre.
>>
>
> This lends credence to my hunch that the E-fields that can arise at the
> nano- and micro-levels in a metal are enormous.  Where there are enormous
> electric fields, there is acceleration.
>
> Eric
>
>

Re: [Vo]:MFMP working with Piantelli

[Kevin O'Malley]

Jed says:


Piantelli has not been very cooperative in the past. I think he is getting
old and he realizes it is now or never for his discoveries.
  and also:

I have heard he is acting now because he is old and he fears his
discoveries will be lost if he dies.
 *** So basically, it takes him looking across the abyss to do what he
should have been doing all along as a scientist.  Cold fusion seems to have
more than the usual number of such selfish souls.

>