Re: [Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread mixent
In reply to  Jürg Wyttenbach's message of Fri, 6 Sep 2019 00:49:53 +0200:
Hi,
[snip]
>Randy Mills will face the same, if he cannot manage to enhance his 
>reaction with a second LENR step.
>J.W.

I've been trying to tell him that for years, but he won't have a bar of it.

Regards,


Robin van Spaandonk

local asymmetry = temporary success



Re: [Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread Jed Rothwell
Jürg Wyttenbach  wrote:

> You can always sell a good idea without any true relation to reality if
> you manage to produce/show the investors a better reality...
>
The company did not only sell that idea to investors and bigwigs such as a
former Secretary of State. It also sold the idea to many skilled
researchers. Those researchers devoted years of their lives to try to make
the technology work. They largely failed. We should not condemn them for
trying. They were experts and they thought the idea might have a true
relation to reality. No one knew for sure, and there was no way to find out
except by trying.

They were aware or problems such as "contamination from skin, tissue . . ."
They thought they could work around these problems.

There were some examples of blatant fraud in the company. But there was
also many technical failures. We should never condemn the latter as
unethical. You cannot have progress without failures.

>


Re: [Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread Jürg Wyttenbach

Am 05.09.19 um 20:27 schrieb Jed Rothwell:
I do not think there was any IP to sell off when they liquidated. 
That's a waste of money and talent. It is a shame. But it is _not_ 
criminal, and not fraud.


According to German scientists there exist about 20 tests that can 
easily be done with tiny amounts of blood. The main problem is that you 
need a professional for taking the blood because the main reason for 
failure was contamination from skin, tissue etc..


You can always sell a good idea without any true relation to reality if 
you manage to produce/show the investors a better reality...


Randy Mills will face the same, if he cannot manage to enhance his 
reaction with a second LENR step.



J.W.


--
Jürg Wyttenbach
Bifangstr.22
8910 Affoltern a.A.
044 760 14 18
079 246 36 06



Re: [Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread Jed Rothwell
I agree that is a good book. Very interesting. There are some unsettling
parallels to some aspects of cold fusion research.

I think some of the reviews and comments got the story wrong. They
portrayed both Holmes and the company as complete fakes, with no redeeming
qualities. She was a fake, but many of the people at the company were
honest researchers making a serious effort to improve the technology. They
failed. As I recall from the book, the project did not meet any of its
objectives. I do not think there was any IP to sell off when they
liquidated. That's a waste of money and talent. It is a shame. But it is
*not* criminal, and not fraud. It better not be, or every programmer will
end up jail, along with all cold fusion scientists. We must be careful not
to condemn failure, or equate it to being stupid or negligent, or worse,
criminal. Any R worth doing is risky. It can always fail. If you knew for
sure it would succeed, it wouldn't be research.


RE: [Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread JonesBeene
Right. That was the basis for  the “orange turtleneck” comment.

However, she is such an well-practiced liar that a few insiders are predicting 
an eventual acquittal, especially if a similar blood test  product does come to 
market before the trial.

From: Terry Blanton

> Followers of LENR will be struck by the parallels of this sad tale  to the 
> Andrea Rossi story…

Except for this one difference:

https://techcrunch.com/2019/06/28/theranos-founder-elizabeth-holmes-to-stand-trial-in-2020/





Re: [Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread Terry Blanton
On Thu, Sep 5, 2019 at 9:31 AM JonesBeene  wrote:

> Followers of LENR will be struck by the parallels of this sad tale  to the 
> Andrea Rossi story…

Except for this one difference:

https://techcrunch.com/2019/06/28/theranos-founder-elizabeth-holmes-to-stand-trial-in-2020/



[Vo]:Fake it till you make it

2019-09-05 Thread JonesBeene

Just finished reading “Bad Blood” which is the story of the high flying startup 
company Theranos and its founder (at age 19) Elizabeth Holmes.

https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Blood-Secrets-Silicon-Startup/dp/152473165X/

It is a page turner – recommended if not the best book of the year so far … 
plus … 

Followers of LENR will be struck by the parallels of this sad tale  to the 
Andrea Rossi story…

“Fonly” (if only) Rossi had the smile and charm of Holmes (not to mention the 
cahones) … he might have pulled it off. (assuming the nickel-hydrogen reaction 
is indeed anomalous)

Had Liz  been a bit more honest – she too could possibly would have found a 
(reduced) niche for her product. It did work, on occasion.

For a brief moment she was worth about $ 5 billion… now she is homeless and 
facing “orange is the new black”.  Does the Jobs’ turtleneck come in orange?

Hang in there Liz … maybe you can still “talk you way out” of this one… like 
Rossi, you still have a legion of supporters and a base technology which 
arguably does work from time to time.

In fact, another silicon valley startup is actually moving into this 
blood-testing space and picking up the pieces – with  a similar but product 
(and with greatly reduced specs) which they  will probably take it to market 
soon. Curiously, that would be the best thing that could happen for Holmes in 
terms of a “Fake it till you make it” defense.

Which they don’t teach in B-school… yet…  but faking (overstating) data to a 
lesser degree  is still, as it always was, a cornerstone strategy of many a 
high tech startups.