Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-09-05 Thread Robin van Spaandonk
In reply to  Jed Rothwell's message of Fri, 02 Sep 2005 13:19:26
-0400:
Hi,

The Australian CSIRO has determined that Relenza (See
http://www.fda.gov/cder/news/relenza/default.htm ) is effective
against avian flue. 

[snip]
Things like polio and tsunamis are natural in origin, obviously, but the 
fact that they still kill large numbers of people nowadays is entirely our 
fault. Avian flu cannot be prevented. It will probably cross over to our 
species eventually. It will kill hundreds of thousands of people -- mainly 
sick, old people, we hope. That is normal for any new form of influenza, 
and it cannot be prevented. But if it kills millions of healthy young 
people that will be our fault. That can probably be prevented with proper 
public health measures and intense research now, while there is still time. 
[snip]
Regards,

Robin van Spaandonk

In a town full of candlestick makers, 
everyone lives in the light,
In a town full of thieves, 
there is only one candle, 
and everyone lives in the night.



Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-09-03 Thread Wesley Bruce
I did't know you had a rural section of the coastline. I look at google 
sat maps from earlier this year and its just a string of suburbs from 
Texus to florida.


http://maps.google.com/maps?oi=mapq=New+Orleans,+LA has an up to date 
sat photo of the damaged CBD. Click on 'Katrina'.

Jed Rothwell wrote:


Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:

This storm was powerful and the effects were awful, but not 
unprecedented. It was partly bad luck.



I'm not sure bad luck is the right term for it.



I meant bad luck in the sense that it hit New Orleans, rather than a 
rural section of the coastline. It has been known for a long time that 
the levees and pumps in New Orleans need repairs and upgrades, and 
that the city is exceptionally vulnerable to hurricane damage.


Of course it was bound to be hit sooner or later.

As people learn more about nature and our control over nature 
increases, the notion of luck becomes less and less applicable to 
natural disasters. Things like polio and tsunamis are natural in 
origin, obviously, but the fact that they still kill large numbers of 
people nowadays is entirely our fault. Avian flu cannot be prevented. 
It will probably cross over to our species eventually. It will kill 
hundreds of thousands of people -- mainly sick, old people, we hope. 
That is normal for any new form of influenza, and it cannot be 
prevented. But if it kills millions of healthy young people that will 
be our fault. That can probably be prevented with proper public health 
measures and intense research now, while there is still time. The 
rapid evolution and spread of avian flu is caused by bad sanitation 
and thousands of chickens crammed together. The high toll from the 
1918 influenza pandemic was caused by human activity: mainly war and 
the famine it triggered, and improved transportation.


- Jed






Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-09-02 Thread Stephen A. Lawrence



Jed Rothwell wrote:


John Coviello wrote:


1st time martial law has been declared since WW2.



Martial law has been declared many times, especially during the 
rioting in the 1960s. I do not know whether it has been declared after 
natural disasters, but I expect it has been.


This storm was powerful and the effects were awful, but not 
unprecedented. It was partly bad luck.


I'm not sure bad luck is the right term for it. I haven't double 
checked any of this, but here are some interesting quotes. It may be 
that those who feel we've been spending too much money abroad are right, 
and, of course, the lion's share of that has been sent to Iraq. At any 
rate problems with the levees have apparently been known for quite a 
while, and funding apparently was lacking to fix them as the engineers 
wanted to see them fixed.


But you may draw your own conclusions; I'm not really sufficiently well 
informed on this issue to judge what information I have available.



/It appears that the money has been moved in the president’s budget to
handle homeland security and the war in Iraq, and I suppose that’s the
price we pay. Nobody locally is happy that the levees can’t be finished,
and we are doing everything we can to make the case that this is a
security issue for us./

-- *Walter Maestri, emergency management chief for Jefferson Parish,
Louisiana; New Orleans Times-Picayune, June 8, 2004.*



And here's a lengthy excerpt from a much-forwarded article (can't figure 
out what the original journal is from the email, sorry, and sorry about 
the length):



New Orleans had long known it was highly vulnerable to flooding and a
direct hit from a hurricane. In fact, the federal government has been
working with state and local officials in the region since the late
1960s on major hurricane and flood relief efforts. When flooding from a
massive rainstorm in May 1995 killed six people, Congress authorized the
Southeast Louisiana Urban Flood Control Project, or SELA.

Over the next 10 years, the Army Corps of Engineers, tasked with
carrying out SELA, spent $430 million on shoring up levees and building
pumping stations, with $50 million in local aid. But at least $250
million in crucial projects remained, even as hurricane activity in the
Atlantic Basin increased dramatically and the levees surrounding New
Orleans continued to subside.

Yet after 2003, the flow of federal dollars toward SELA dropped to a
trickle. The Corps never tried to hide the fact that the spending
pressures of the war in Iraq, as well as homeland security -- coming at
the same time as federal tax cuts -- was the reason for the strain. At
least nine articles in the Times-Picayune from 2004 and 2005
specifically cite the cost of Iraq as a reason for the lack of
hurricane- and flood-control dollars. (Much of the research here is from
Nexis, which is why some articles aren't linked.)



In early 2004, as the cost of the conflict in Iraq soared, President
Bush proposed spending less than 20 percent of what the Corps said was
needed for Lake Pontchartrain, according to this Feb. 16, 2004, article,
in New Orleans CityBusiness:

/The $750 million Lake Pontchartrain and Vicinity Hurricane Protection
project is another major Corps project, which remains about 20%
incomplete due to lack of funds, said Al Naomi, project manager. That
project consists of building up levees and protection for pumping
stations on the east bank of the Mississippi River in Orleans, St.
Bernard, St. Charles and Jefferson parishes./

/The Lake Pontchartrain project is slated to receive $3.9 million in the
president's 2005 budget. Naomi said about $20 million is needed./

/The longer we wait without funding, the more we sink, he said. I've
got at least six levee construction contracts that need to be done to
raise the levee protection back to where it should be (because of
settling). Right now I owe my contractors about $5 million. And we're
going to have to pay them interest./

That June, with the 2004 hurricane seasion starting, the Corps' Naomi
went before a local agency, the East Jefferson Levee Authority, and
essentially begged for $2 million for urgent work that Washington was
now unable to pay for. From the June 18, 2004 Times-Picayune:

/The system is in great shape, but the levees are sinking. Everything
is sinking, and if we don’t get the money fast enough to raise them,
then we can’t stay ahead of the settlement, he said. The problem that
we have isn’t that the levee is low, but that the federal funds have
dried up so that we can’t raise them./

The panel authorized that money, and on July 1, 2004, it had to pony up
another $250,000 when it learned that stretches of the levee in Metairie
had sunk by four feet. The agency had to pay for the work with higher
property taxes. The levee board noted in October 2004 that the feds were
also now not paying for a hoped-for $15 million project to better shore
up the banks of Lake Pontchartrain.

The 2004 hurricane season, as you 

Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-09-02 Thread Jed Rothwell

Stephen A. Lawrence wrote:

This storm was powerful and the effects were awful, but not 
unprecedented. It was partly bad luck.


I'm not sure bad luck is the right term for it.


I meant bad luck in the sense that it hit New Orleans, rather than a rural 
section of the coastline. It has been known for a long time that the levees 
and pumps in New Orleans need repairs and upgrades, and that the city is 
exceptionally vulnerable to hurricane damage.


Of course it was bound to be hit sooner or later.

As people learn more about nature and our control over nature increases, 
the notion of luck becomes less and less applicable to natural disasters. 
Things like polio and tsunamis are natural in origin, obviously, but the 
fact that they still kill large numbers of people nowadays is entirely our 
fault. Avian flu cannot be prevented. It will probably cross over to our 
species eventually. It will kill hundreds of thousands of people -- mainly 
sick, old people, we hope. That is normal for any new form of influenza, 
and it cannot be prevented. But if it kills millions of healthy young 
people that will be our fault. That can probably be prevented with proper 
public health measures and intense research now, while there is still time. 
The rapid evolution and spread of avian flu is caused by bad sanitation and 
thousands of chickens crammed together. The high toll from the 1918 
influenza pandemic was caused by human activity: mainly war and the famine 
it triggered, and improved transportation.


- Jed




Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-08-31 Thread Jed Rothwell

John Coviello wrote:


1st time martial law has been declared since WW2.


Martial law has been declared many times, especially during the rioting in 
the 1960s. I do not know whether it has been declared after natural 
disasters, but I expect it has been.


This storm was powerful and the effects were awful, but not unprecedented. 
It was partly bad luck. If the dikes in New Orleans had held, the damage 
would have been moderate.


I am a little surprised there has been nothing in the national news 
claiming this was caused in part by global warming. I expect it was. The 
number of hurricanes and the average power of them has been increasing 
rapidly in the US and Japan. Yesterday, the Japanese Ministry of 
environment released a study claiming that global warming has changed the 
nature of the monsoon and typhoons in Japan. Rain has increased 10% and the 
power of the storms has increased by about 20%. I will translate more of 
this later on.


- Jed




Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-08-31 Thread Wesley Bruce

Jed Rothwell wrote:


John Coviello wrote:


1st time martial law has been declared since WW2.



Martial law has been declared many times, especially during the 
rioting in the 1960s. I do not know whether it has been declared after 
natural disasters, but I expect it has been.


This storm was powerful and the effects were awful, but not 
unprecedented. It was partly bad luck. If the dikes in New Orleans had 
held, the damage would have been moderate.


I am a little surprised there has been nothing in the national news 
claiming this was caused in part by global warming. I expect it was. 
The number of hurricanes and the average power of them has been 
increasing rapidly in the US and Japan. Yesterday, the Japanese 
Ministry of environment released a study claiming that global warming 
has changed the nature of the monsoon and typhoons in Japan. Rain has 
increased 10% and the power of the storms has increased by about 20%. 
I will translate more of this later on.


- Jed


I think the global warming claim has reached the point where it often 
goes assumed but unstated.
There is a 50 year cycle in climatology that confuses the issue a 
little. The last big storm of this intensity and size was in the 40's 
and got overshaddowed in the news by the war.
I really wish I had a franchise on amphibious cars in the gulf states 
right now. I know of two companies in that game. You would make a mint 
selling them

to rescuers and others today and tomorrow.
I know the Aussy Boyd Wyatt in Queensland (he's waiting for the fusion 
powerplants I told him we're hoping to make); http://www.ozamphibian.com/


http://www.gizmag.com.au/go/3814/
   the malaysian project.
http://www.inventqjaya.com/enterprise_revamp.htm

Where are those great big hovercraft the marines use? Did we leave them 
in the other gulf?




New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-08-30 Thread Steven Krivit


http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/08/30/katrina/index.html



Re: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water

2005-08-30 Thread John Coviello
The latest news is that they are planning on evacuating the entire city of 
New Orleans.  This is the worst thing I've seen in my life in the United 
States.  1st time martial law has been declared since WW2.


- Original Message - 
From: Steven Krivit [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: vortex-l@eskimo.com
Sent: Tuesday, August 30, 2005 9:49 PM
Subject: New Orleans: 80 percent of the city under water




http://www.cnn.com/2005/WEATHER/08/30/katrina/index.html