http://www.hindustantimes.com/StoryPage/StoryPage.aspx?sectionName=HomePage&id=1abd01b7-f06a-4a59-b142-bf300f07903a&Headline=Pakistan+could+collapse+within+six+months


Pakistan could collapse within six months 
Press Trust Of India
New York, April 06, 2009

Last Updated: 13:26 IST(6/4/2009)
 
Pakistan could collapse within six months in the face of snowballing 
insurgency, according to a top expert on guerrilla warfare.

Such dire prediction was given by David Kilcullen, a former adviser to top US 
military commander General David H. Petraeus.

Petraeus also echoed the same thought when he told a Congressional testimony 
last week that insurgency was one which could "take down" Pakistan, which is 
home to nuclear arms and al Qaeda.

Kilcullen's comments come as Pakistan is witnessing an unprecedented upswing in 
terrorists strikes and now some analysts in Pakistan and Washington are putting 
forward apocalyptic timetables for the country.

In an analysis piece, the New York Times cast doubts about the success of 
President Barack Obama's strategy offering Pakistan a partnership to defeat 
insurgency, but the Pakistanis still consider India enemy number one.

Officially, Pakistan's government welcomed Obama's strategy, with its hefty 
infusions of American money, hailing it as a "positive change", the paper said.

But as the Obama administration tries to bring Pakistanis to its side, large 
parts of the public, political class and the military have brushed off the 
plan, rebuffing the idea that the threat from al-Qaeda and the Taliban, which 
Washington calls a common enemy, is so urgent, it added.


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