[WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Gwern Branwen
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/05/how-the-professor-who-fooled-wikipedia-got-caught-by-reddit/257134/
Print: 
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/print/2012/05/how-the-professor-who-fooled-wikipedia-got-caught-by-reddit/257134/

 A woman opens an old steamer trunk and discovers tantalizing clues that a 
 long-dead relative may actually have been a serial killer, stalking the 
 streets of New York in the closing years of the nineteenth century. A beer 
 enthusiast is presented by his neighbor with the original recipe for Brown's 
 Ale, salvaged decades before from the wreckage of the old brewery--the very 
 building where the Star-Spangled Banner was sewn in 1813. A student buys a 
 sandwich called the Last American Pirate and unearths the long-forgotten tale 
 of Edward Owens, who terrorized the Chesapeake Bay in the 1870s.

 These stories have two things in common. They are all tailor-made for viral 
 success on the internet. And they are all lies.

 Each tale was carefully fabricated by undergraduates at George Mason 
 University who were enrolled in T. Mills Kelly's course, Lying About the 
 Past. Their escapades not only went unpunished, they were actually encouraged 
 by their professor. Four years ago, students created a Wikipedia page 
 detailing the exploits of Edward Owens, successfully fooling Wikipedia's 
 community of editors. This year, though, one group of students made the 
 mistake of launching their hoax on Reddit. What they learned in the process 
 provides a valuable lesson for anyone who turns to the Internet for 
 information.

 The first time Kelly taught the course, in 2008, his students confected the 
 life of Edward Owens, mixing together actual lives and events with brazen 
 fabrications. They created YouTube videos, interviewed experts, scanned and 
 transcribed primary documents, and built a Wikipedia page to honor Owens' 
 memory. The romantic tale of a pirate plying his trade in the Chesapeake 
 struck a chord, and quickly landed on USA Today's pop culture blog. When 
 Kelly announced the hoax at the end of the semester, some were amused, 
 applauding his pedagogical innovations. Many others were livid.

 Critics decried the creation of a fake Wikipedia page as digital vandalism. 
 Things like that really, really, really annoy me, fumed founder Jimmy 
 Wales, comparing it to dumping trash in the streets to test the willingness 
 of a community to keep it clean. But the indignation may, in part, have been 
 compounded by the weaknesses the project exposed. Wikipedia operates on a 
 presumption of good will. Determined contributors, from public relations 
 firms to activists to pranksters, often exploit that, inserting information 
 they would like displayed. The sprawling scale of Wikipedia, with nearly four 
 million English-language entries, ensures that even if overall quality 
 remains high, many such efforts will prove successful.

 One group took its inspiration from the fact that the original Star-Spangled 
 Banner had been sewn on the floor of Brown's Brewery in Baltimore. The group 
 decided that a story that good deserved a beer of its own. They crafted a 
 tale of discovering the old recipe used by Brown's to make its brews, 
 registered BeerOf1812.com, built a Wikipedia page for the brewery, and 
 tweeted out the tale on their Twitter feed. No one suspected a thing. In 
 fact, hardly anyone even noticed. They did manage to fool one well-meaning DJ 
 in Washington, DC, but the hoax was otherwise a dud.  The second group 
 settled on the story of serial killer Joe Scafe. Using newspaper databases, 
 they identified four actual women murdered in New York City from 1895 to 
 1897, victims of broadly similar crimes. They created Wikipedia articles for 
 the victims, carefully following the rules of the site. They concocted an 
 elaborate story of discovery, and fabricated images of the trunk's contents.

 ...it took just twenty-six minutes for a redditor to call foul, noting the 
 Wikipedia entries' recent vintage. Others were quick to pile on, 
 deconstructing the entire tale. The faded newspaper pages looked artificially 
 aged. The Wikipedia articles had been posted and edited by a small group of 
 new users. Finding documents in an old steamer trunk sounded too convenient. 
 And why had Lisa been savvy enough to ask Reddit, but not enough to Google 
 the names and find the Wikipedia entries on her own? The hoax took months to 
 plan but just minutes to fail.

 Why...One answer lies in the structure of the Internet's various communities. 
 Wikipedia has a weak community, but centralizes the exchange of information. 
 It has a small number of extremely active editors, but participation is 
 declining, and most users feel little ownership of the content. And although 
 everyone views the same information, edits take place on a separate page, and 
 discussions of reliability on another, insulating ordinary users from any 
 doubts that might be 

Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Charles Matthews
On 16 May 2012 16:49, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:

 Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?

And why haven't they taken those who generalise broadly from a single
example with them?

Charles

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Rob Schnautz

This discussion has flowed onto Wikipedia's Administrator's Noticeboard:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:AN#False_articles_created_for_the_good_of_education

Rob

-Original Message- 
From: Charles Matthews

Sent: Wednesday, 16 May 2012 1:34 PM
To: English Wikipedia
Subject: Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught 
by Reddit, _The Atlantic_


On 16 May 2012 16:49, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:


Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?


And why haven't they taken those who generalise broadly from a single
example with them?

Charles

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Tom Morris
On Wednesday, 16 May 2012 at 16:49, Gwern Branwen wrote:
 Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?




26 minutes? I'm trying to imagine how much the angry inclusionists would be 
soiling my talk page with accusations of BITEyness if I had IAR deleted this 
page after just 26 minutes. ;-) 

The question also presumes that Wikipedians are not also Redditors.

-- 
Tom Morris
http://tommorris.org/



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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Gwern Branwen
On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 2:34 PM, Charles Matthews
charles.r.matth...@ntlworld.com wrote:
 And why haven't they taken those who generalise broadly from a single
 example with them?

Are you denying the general decline in editors, even as Internet usage
continues to increase?

-- 
gwern

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread James Alexander
On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 11:38 AM, Tom Morris t...@tommorris.org wrote:

 On Wednesday, 16 May 2012 at 16:49, Gwern Branwen wrote:
  Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?




 26 minutes? I'm trying to imagine how much the angry inclusionists would
 be soiling my talk page with accusations of BITEyness if I had IAR deleted
 this page after just 26 minutes. ;-)

 The question also presumes that Wikipedians are not also Redditors.


I think this is important. The more and more I look at Reddit the more I
realize that not only are they very similar to Wikipedians they ARE
Wikipedians. In fact recently I've started wondering if a Reddit post may
be an easier way to reach Wikipedians then a watchlist post or central
notice ;)




 --
 Tom Morris
 http://tommorris.org/



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James Alexander @Jamesofur
jameso...@gmail.com
jalexan...@wikimedia.org
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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread WereSpielChequers
If you spot something is a blatant hoax and delete it after 26 seconds I
think you'll find that even the most ardent inclusionists are as intolerant
of hoaxes as we are of attack pages.

WSC

On 16 May 2012 19:38, Tom Morris t...@tommorris.org wrote:

 On Wednesday, 16 May 2012 at 16:49, Gwern Branwen wrote:
  Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?




 26 minutes? I'm trying to imagine how much the angry inclusionists would
 be soiling my talk page with accusations of BITEyness if I had IAR deleted
 this page after just 26 minutes. ;-)

 The question also presumes that Wikipedians are not also Redditors.

 --
 Tom Morris
 http://tommorris.org/



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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Ian Woollard
There's no great drop in the number of editors:

http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ENglish_Wikipedia_active_users_%28September_2011%29.png

The number of new articles appearing has been dropping, but it looks like
we're just running out of things to write about- the rate of decrease of
new articles is much more than any reduction in editors. The number of
editors is fairly static, although there were about 25% more people
volunteering in 2006 when there were lots of new things to write about.

On 16 May 2012 19:41, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 2:34 PM, Charles Matthews
 charles.r.matth...@ntlworld.com wrote:
  And why haven't they taken those who generalise broadly from a single
  example with them?

 Are you denying the general decline in editors, even as Internet usage
 continues to increase?

 --
 gwern

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-- 
-Ian Woollard
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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Gwern Branwen
On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 8:47 PM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.com wrote:
 The number of
 editors is fairly static, although there were about 25% more people
 volunteering in 2006 when there were lots of new things to write about.

Staticness is a serious problem: the world is not staying still. We
can't keep up with a growing world with a editor base that is static
in absolute terms. Productivity improvements like
anti-obvious-vandalism bots offer limited gains which can keep our
heads over the rising water, temporarily, but they don't change the
bigger picture.

As I demonstrated earlier with my external link experiment, editors
are not keeping up with even the clearest, best intentioned, highest
quality suggestions. How can you hope that this means that more
sophisticated and difficult tasks like anti-troll, vandalism, hoax,
etc. are still being performed to past standards?

Incidentally, I have been finishing an experiment involving the
removal of 100 random external links by an IP; I haven't analyzed it
yet, so I don't know the outcome, but this gives us an opportunity!

Would anyone in this thread (especially the ones convinced Wikipedia's
editing community is in fine shape) care to predict what percentage or
percentage range they expect will have been reverted?

Or what percentage/percentage range they would regard as an acceptable
failure-to-revert rate?

-- 
gwern

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Andreas Kolbe
On Thu, May 17, 2012 at 1:47 AM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:

 There's no great drop in the number of editors:


 http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ENglish_Wikipedia_active_users_%28September_2011%29.png



See

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaEN.htm

Editors making 100+ edits a month in English Wikipedia were at 5,000+ in
early 2007, and are now down to less than 3,500.

German, French, Spanish, Portuguese and Polish core editor numbers are
stable, on the other hand:

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaDE.htm
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaFR.htm
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaES.htm
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaPT.htm
http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaPL.htm

Russian is booming:

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaRU.htm

Japanese (another project with a strong popular culture bias) is declining
too:

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaJA.htm

Another interesting variable is editor retention, measured as the
percentage of all Wikipedians who still make 100 or more edits a month:

0.45% in English WP
0.59% in Japanese WP
0.73% in Spanish WP
0.90% in German WP*
0.99% in Polish WP*
1.01% in French WP
1.49% in Russian WP*

* The German, Polish and Russian Wikipedias have flagged revisions. (I am
currently looking at this data to see if there is a correlation between
flagged revisions and editor retention.)

Andreas
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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Andreas Kolbe
On Thu, May 17, 2012 at 2:21 AM, Andreas Kolbe jayen...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Thu, May 17, 2012 at 1:47 AM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:

 There's no great drop in the number of editors:


 http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:ENglish_Wikipedia_active_users_%28September_2011%29.png



 See

 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaEN.htm

 Editors making 100+ edits a month in English Wikipedia were at 5,000+ in
 early 2007, and are now down to less than 3,500.

 German, French, Spanish, Portuguese and Polish core editor numbers are
 stable, on the other hand:

 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaDE.htm
 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaFR.htm
 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaES.htm
 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaPT.htm
 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaPL.htm

 Russian is booming:

 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaRU.htm

 Japanese (another project with a strong popular culture bias) is declining
 too:

 http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaJA.htm

 Another interesting variable is editor retention, measured as the
 percentage of all Wikipedians who still make 100 or more edits a month:

 0.45% in English WP
 0.59% in Japanese WP
 0.73% in Spanish WP
 0.90% in German WP*
 0.99% in Polish WP*
 1.01% in French WP
 1.49% in Russian WP*

 * The German, Polish and Russian Wikipedias have flagged revisions. (I am
 currently looking at this data to see if there is a correlation between
 flagged revisions and editor retention.)

 Andreas


I forgot to add the editor retention figure in Portuguese WP: it's 0.62%,
based on the latest reported month (April 2012).
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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Andreas Kolbe
On Thu, May 17, 2012 at 3:02 AM, Ian Woollard ian.wooll...@gmail.comwrote:

 On 17 May 2012 02:21, Andreas Kolbe jayen...@gmail.com wrote:

  Editors making 100+ edits a month in English Wikipedia were at 5,000+ in
  early 2007, and are now down to less than 3,500.
 

 Sounds about right.


  German, French, Spanish, Portuguese and Polish core editor numbers are
  stable, on the other hand:
 

 It's a bit like mining coal.

 If you've only got a few miners, then as you ramp up the miners, the coal
 output will grow, and then level off and shipped coal will be a flat line,
 because there's plenty of coal for each miner. That's what's happening in
 the other Wikipedia's. The haven't got enough contributors to mine all the
 information out and put it in Wikipedia; the number of new articles will be
 flat.

 If you've got a lot of miners, then the amount of coal shipped will climb
 up to a peak, as you get the easiest coal out, and then it gets more
 difficult to mine more and the mining will fall again. That's what's
 happened on the English Wikipedia, with a much bigger number of English
 speakers and editors we've been able to create most of the encyclopedic
 articles we need and polish them up fairly well.

 So the fact that the English Wikipedia's growth is falling is a result of
 wild success, not failure. There's only really a finite number of general
 ideas out there that humans have come up with, and you can only put them in
 Wikipedia once.



I think that analysis is optimistic, for several reasons. Editor numbers
started falling when en:WP had well under 2 million articles. The number of
articles has more than doubled in the five years since then. Editor numbers
in the Japanese Wikipedia, meanwhile, are following a similar pattern of
decline, even though that project is still well below 1 million articles.
This suggests that there can be other reasons than running out of stuff to
write about for a decline in editor numbers. Lastly, it is not as though
there is little work to do in the English Wikipedia. There are backlogs in
multiple areas; including over 600 pending submissions at Articles for
creation.

Given that en:WP now has 4 million articles, a healthy core editor base is
essential to ensure maintenance. A declining core editor base combined with
a rising number of articles is not a good development.

Andreas
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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Anthony
On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 9:14 PM, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:
 Incidentally, I have been finishing an experiment involving the
 removal of 100 random external links by an IP; I haven't analyzed it
 yet, so I don't know the outcome, but this gives us an opportunity!

 Would anyone in this thread (especially the ones convinced Wikipedia's
 editing community is in fine shape) care to predict what percentage or
 percentage range they expect will have been reverted?

 Or what percentage/percentage range they would regard as an acceptable
 failure-to-revert rate?

First shouldn't we guess as to what percentage of the links were
actually good in the first place?

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Gwern Branwen
On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 10:49 PM, Anthony wikim...@inbox.org wrote:
 First shouldn't we guess as to what percentage of the links were
 actually good in the first place?

I must say, I didn't expect to see someone rationalizing the results
even *before* they happened.

But no, you don't need to guess: you edit Wikipedia, you already know
what external links usually look like, and how many are bad on
average. (From actually doing the deletions, my own appraisal is that
10% were at all questionable, and I felt pretty bad deleting most of
them.)

If you don't, you can go click on Special:Random 10 times and ask
yourself, 'would I delete the last link in the External links
section?' If you think 2 links are rotten, then perhaps you should be
predicting that - since everything is well, and any result is
acceptable, and the status quo is perfect - only 80% of the edits will
be reverted.

I look forward to your percentages.

-- 
gwern

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Alan Liefting

On 17/05/2012 2:21 p.m., Andreas Kolbe wrote:


Given that en:WP now has 4 million articles, a healthy core editor base is
essential to ensure maintenance. A declining core editor base combined with
a rising number of articles is not a good development.

Andreas

I strongly agree. Better still, a higher level of protection is needed 
for what is already on WP, i.e. some sort of peer review such as flagged 
revisions, or pending changes, or editor rights etc.



Alan

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Anthony
On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 10:58 PM, Gwern Branwen gwe...@gmail.com wrote:
 On Wed, May 16, 2012 at 10:49 PM, Anthony wikim...@inbox.org wrote:
 First shouldn't we guess as to what percentage of the links were
 actually good in the first place?

 I must say, I didn't expect to see someone rationalizing the results
 even *before* they happened.

No need to get personal, I wasn't rationalizing anything.

 But no, you don't need to guess: you edit Wikipedia

I do?

 If you don't, you can go click on Special:Random 10 times and ask
 yourself, 'would I delete the last link in the External links
 section?' If you think 2 links are rotten, then perhaps you should be
 predicting that - since everything is well, and any result is
 acceptable, and the status quo is perfect - only 80% of the edits will
 be reverted.

I certainly wouldn't try to make a prediction about the percentage of
links which are bad based on a biased sample where each link was the
last one in the External links section.

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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Alan Liefting

On 17/05/2012 3:49 a.m., Gwern Branwen wrote:


Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?

I take (took?) a hard line on keeping articles when doing new page 
patrol, especially for an unreferenced article from a new contributor.  
WP is under continual attack from spammers, scammer, vandals, 
mischievous students, tests of WP's systems by journalists and academics 
etc. Given all this, and the fact that it is time consuming to chase up 
the veracity of the article contents WP needs to change. (Unfortunately 
instigating change on WP is next to impossible.) The current deletion 
processes are way out of date for what WP now is.  Also, the onus should 
be on an editor to supply refs (unless it is not contentious) rather 
than the overworked regular editors to chase them up.



Alan Liefting


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Re: [WikiEN-l] How the Professor Who Fooled Wikipedia Got Caught by Reddit, _The Atlantic_

2012-05-16 Thread Alan Liefting
Some time ago {{fact}} I had real trouble getting an admin to delete a 
blatant hoax.


Alan

On 17/05/2012 12:09 p.m., WereSpielChequers wrote:

If you spot something is a blatant hoax and delete it after 26 seconds I
think you'll find that even the most ardent inclusionists are as intolerant
of hoaxes as we are of attack pages.

WSC

On 16 May 2012 19:38, Tom Morrist...@tommorris.org  wrote:


On Wednesday, 16 May 2012 at 16:49, Gwern Branwen wrote:

Indeed. Why *are* the skeptical geeks now on Reddit and not Wikipedia?




26 minutes? I'm trying to imagine how much the angry inclusionists would
be soiling my talk page with accusations of BITEyness if I had IAR deleted
this page after just 26 minutes. ;-)

The question also presumes that Wikipedians are not also Redditors.

--
Tom Morris
http://tommorris.org/





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