HTTP://WWW.STOPNATO.ORG.UK
---------------------------


 Thanks for the superb analysis, Kosta!

David


[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
> Hey all,
> 
> While most commentaries on Venezuela are drawing parallels to Chile, 
> Argentina, etc. - and the impact this will have on progressive movements 
> in 
> South America, rebel movements in Colombia, or world oil prices, etc. - 
> I 
> think we should also look to the Carribean for some clues as to what 
> might 
> happen and how this coup will be used to forward US interests there.  
> 
> Reports are coming in from Granma that the Cuban embassy has been 
> besieged by 
> angry mobs. Apparently water and electricity to the embassy has been cut 
> off 
> and the safety of the personel inside the embassy is in real danger.  
> For 
> anyone who's read anything on CIA covert operations - I would suggest 
> reading 
> Philip Agee's excellent book on the topic, which gives an insiders 
> perspective on how the CIA operates in Latin America - they can already 
> guess 
> that the mob outside the embassy has been fired up by fabricated 
> anti-Cuban 
> "black propaganda" most probably transmitted through the Catholic church 
> and 
> privately owned media outlets. 
> 
> Such "black" operations (aka psychological operations, or PSYOPs) have 
> been 
> waged so often by CIA operatives against Cuba, throughout Latin America, 
> that 
> no serious scholar of the region gives such stories any credence 
> anymore.  
> This history, of course, has never stopped the Church and local private 
> media 
> from taking advantage of high-illeteracy rates to at least temporarily 
> sway 
> some people with the old hsyterical story about an imminent "Communist 
> conspiracy to destroy the patria/nation."  Neoliberal structural 
> adjustment 
> programs that target education spending in the South have, of course, 
> only 
> made the job of US psychological warfare experts in these regions that 
> much 
> easier in recent years. 
> 
> Former US President John F. Kennedy - no stranger to Cold War-era 
> propaganda 
> techniques himself - once said "you can fool some of the people some of 
> the 
> time..." and that's all the US really needs in fluid situations such as 
> this 
> one in order to quickly get what they want done. Thus even if you can't 
> "...fool all the people all of the time", at least you've managed to 
> neutralize resistance in the first critical moments.  The truth may come 
> out 
> later - i.e. that most of the dead from Thursday's violence where Chavez 
> 
> supporters, or that anti-Chavez "Bandera Roja" extremists where the 
> first to 
> fire upon the crowd - but by then the US will have gotten what it wants: 
> i.e. 
> the complete eradication of a viable progressive resistance in 
> Venezuela.  
> 
> The story being peddled now in Venezuela, by both the Church and the 
> privately owned news media, is that Castro basically advised Chavez to 
> kill 
> unarmed demonstrators.  Like all good propaganda, they don't go out and 
> say 
> it, but they've all been reporting that the military has allegedly 
> uncovered 
> "tape-recorded messages" in which Castro told Chavez to lure 
> demonstrators to 
> the Miraflores Palace and then to "clear them out by any means" (of 
> course 
> since the tapes don't exist - other than in the minds of "relliable 
> sources 
> in the military" - no one has, or ever will, actually hear these tapes). 
>  
> This story, of course, also falls into line with the oligarchic media's 
> long-standing attempts to portray Chavez as nothing but a bumbling Cuban 
> 
> controlled patsy.
> 
> The goal?  Well, of course, the USA - just as it tries to do in every 
> other 
> Latin American country - will work with those forces seeking to remove 
> all 
> traces of a Cuban presence from the country and to enlist Venezuela in 
> Washington's decades old anti-Cuba crusade (a project that the 
> Venezuelan 
> elite is very fond of).  In Venezuela this story will be used to 
> legitimize 
> the persecution of progressives by framing them as traitors to the 
> nation and 
> to deflect attention away from the real selling-off of the country's 
> assets 
> to the international financial community.
> 
> As the BBC reported today, the state-oil company PDVSA - now again in 
> the 
> hands of the old corrupt oil management - has moved to cut off all oil 
> supplies to Cuba.  This will certainly cripple the Cuban economy seeing 
> as 
> Venezuela, under Chavez, had cut a deal with all Carribean countries to 
> sell 
> them cheap oil so they wouldn't suffer as a result of OPEC's price 
> hikes.  
> This marks just another stepping-stone in the dramatic return of 
> US-Latin 
> American militarism in the past few years.  
> 
> Reactionary forces in the America's are now slowly lining up for the 
> ultimate 
> showdown with the "Prime Evil" of their paranoid fantasis, i.e. Fidel.  
> The 
> last pockets of organized resistance to the deepening of US-military 
> rule 
> over the Hemisphere - outside of Cuba - are increasingly being 
> neutralized, 
> either with brutal military force, counter-insurgency operations, and 
> classic 
> repression (mostly the weapons employed against the poor), or by 
> paralyzing 
> opposition through the appropriation of progressive language to confuse 
> those 
> who may be sympathetic to resistance in the Hemisphere (mostly used to 
> pre-empt forceful opposition among those who are better-off and don't 
> live 
> the need for resistance).
> 
> There are already reports coming out of Venezuela that MVR leaders and 
> activists - i.e. Chavez's party - and other progressive forces from the 
> Circulos Bolivarianos, are being rounded up by military and intelligence 
> 
> services and taken to undisclosed locations.  They are targeting the 
> leadership and intellectuals in order to decapitate any resistance to 
> this 
> crime against the increasingly imperilled self-determination of all 
> Third 
> World peoples.  
> 
> In this way the coup is very similar to Argentina and Chile, but I think 
> that 
> the model they are going to use to ensure that Chavez stays out is the 
> one 
> they employed in Haiti in the early 1990s.  The debacles for US foreign 
> policy in Chile and Argentina were crude attempts at supressing popular 
> movements, relative to the sophisticated mechanisms employed to 
> marginalize 
> and neutralize Aristide's Lavalas party in Haiti and other progressive 
> movements in the "post-Cold War" era.  
> 
> Since the late 1980s/early 1990s the US has shifted from supporting 
> outright 
> military dictatorships to a system of promoting "polyarchy" - which is 
> basically a system of continued elite rule, but under the facade of the 
> new 
> "market democracies" so popular in the Clinton years.  
> 
> The system ensures that venal elite sectors can simply recycle 
> candidates 
> whenever one of them steps out of line or they begin triggering mass 
> anger.  
> This system involves the funding of "indipendent" trade unions, 
> journalists, 
> student groups, etc. that can be mobilized to effect rapid changes in 
> government, steer popular discontent, etc.  Popular discontent in the 
> lead up 
> to elections is thus focused on local solutions - i.e. issues like 
> corruption, transparency, good governance, etc. - and not the neoliberal 
> 
> system that produce illigitimate regimes.
> 
> After the success or failure of an attempted regime change, these 
> elements of 
> "civil society" can be dissolved in order not to further disturb the 
> situation (note what happened to OTPOR in Yugoslavia, or what is 
> currently 
> happening to the MDC in Zimbabwe).  If you're interested in how this 
> system 
> works, I highly recommend William Robinson's "Promoting Polyarchy".
> 
> Thus the illegitimate authorities in Caracas will probably affect a 
> "transition" to a refreshed  "market democracy" - i.e. polyarchy - that 
> is 
> fast becoming a pillar of Washington's subversive strategy in the 
> region.  
> 
> The scenario is the same as Dubbya's father, Bush Sr., had engineered 
> for 
> Haiti.  In the early 1990s Jean Bertrand Aristide was elected to the 
> presidency after years of a brutal US-backed military dictatorship under 
> the 
> Duvalier Familly and their FRAPH militias.  Except that Aristide - a 
> radical 
> preacher and anti-poverty activist - wasn't supposed to win the 
> election.  
> His policies, much like Chavez's, were oriented towards empowering the 
> poor 
> in a country that was traditionally ruled by a small and corrupt, pro-US 
> 
> elite.  
> 
> Lo-and-behold a coup by Gen. Raul Cedras takes place.  The US makes 
> noises 
> about the need to "restore democracy" as soon as possible and publicly 
> condemns the new regime.  But as it has come out latter, and as Haitian 
> activists claimed all along, US agents worked hand-in-glove to ensure 
> that 
> Cedras' persecutions, torture, and imprisonment of Lavalas supporters 
> would 
> continue.  Haitians uniformly accuse the US of engineering the coup.  
> 
> Yet the action was important for the US for two reasons: on the one hand 
> it 
> could eliminate forces hostile to it locally in Haiti - many of which 
> where 
> more radical than Aristide - and on the other it could try to sell, yet 
> again, the concept of  "humanitarian intervention" as a new 
> justification for 
> the projection of US power abroad.  
> 
> It was that last concern that is critical for us to ponder.  With the 
> proliferation of new communications media and the rapidly increasing 
> flows of 
> information being made available by the early 1980s the Reagan White 
> House 
> decided to adopt a comprehensive global information strategy.  As the 
> international condemnation triggered by the US invasions of Greneda and 
> Panama showerd, the US needed a much better excuse to project power 
> globally. 
>  With the end of the Cold War this concern became paramount, especially 
>  given 
> the tendency of Democratic "doves" to favor decreases in military 
> spending.  
> The military, corporations and the US foreign policy establishment had 
> to 
> come up quickly with a new way of SELLING global empire precisely to 
> those 
> progressive sectors who thought that the end of super power rivalry 
> would 
> mean the end of military engagements (Iraq, Somalia, Haiti, Bosnia, 
> Yugoslavia, etc, are all a product of this).
> 
> Once US forces invaded Haiti in 1994, in order to "restore democracy", 
> one of 
> their first actions was to take away from the island all the records of 
> the 
> Haitian security services.  Not a single piece of paper was left - 
> thereby 
> occluding the complicity of these services with US-agents, and probably 
> hiding the lists of activists that the US had drawn up for torture and 
> murder.  The US is known to have drawn up lists of individuals to be 
> targeted 
> in the past, Chile, Argentina, but also Panama come to mind immediately. 
>  
> 
> Thus for several years Haitians were subjected to a cruel military 
> regime.  
> Once Aristide was "returned to power" by the USA, his term was already 
> up and 
> he was forced to step down by the Americans.  For the next four years 
> after 
> the "restoration" of democracy, an unacountable pro-US faction in 
> Aristide's 
> own party ruled the country WITHOUT ELECTIONS, while the US - with much 
> Canadian help - armed and trained a "new security force" to defend 
> multinational interests on the island once again.  
> 
> When elections where held again in 2000 Aristide won hands down in a 
> free 
> election!!!  Since then the US has cut assistence on the pretext that 
> two 
> seats are disputed and that the Aristide government is "anti-democratic" 
> - 
> even though if these two seats went to the opposition it still wouldn't 
> reverse the results.  Aristide has also linked-up on certain issues with 
> 
> Castro and Chavez (particularly in questioning the FTAA, although he did 
> sign 
> the document b/c of his precarious position - which includes being at 
> the 
> mercy of a CIA-controlled police force).  
> 
> The key "mistake" in Haiti, according to US comentators on the country, 
> was 
> that the USA allowed Aristide to return, thinking they could control 
> him.  
> Far-right elements in the Republican party in the early 1990s were 
> arguing 
> that Aristide should be locked up instead as he would be a danger if he 
> remained a free citizen.  For whatever reason the USA didn't do this - 
> and 
> many in Haiti continue to mistrust Aristide for this reason.  
> 
> However, it seems that the "lesson" was learned this time in Venezuela 
> and 
> that Chavez will face trumped up charges for Thursday's staged 
> "massacre". 
> Thus a "transition" period will usher in a period of silent "social 
> cleansing" in Venezuela that the world media will ignore - although it 
> is our 
> duty to do everything in our power to bring to light persecutions inside 
> 
> Venezuela.  Once the right number of people have been tortured, 
> imprisoned, 
> cowed, or killed into silence, an "election" will be held. 
> 
> Chavez, of course, will be prevented from running in those elections and 
> the 
> privately owned media, which is controlled by the Venezuelan business 
> elite 
> and the military, will probably refuse to give any coverage to Chavez's 
> movement (which by then will be severly weakened by the complete purging 
> of 
> its leadership, except maybe if the military manages to find willing 
> collaborators within the movement).   
> 
> The fascist Caracas-based media have already said that they will no 
> longer 
> broadcast any statements or speaches by Chavez.  The entire progressive 
> movement is therefore to be muzzled and everything is to be restored as 
> it 
> was in the pre-Chavez period.  These are the broad outlines of the 
> future 
> strategy.  
> 
> The propaganda about the need for a "quick restoration of democracy" in 
> the 
> A-section of every major Western paper, is undercut by the extacy this 
> coup 
> has brought to global financial markets which is so evident in any 
> Business-section part of the paper (just pick some articles in Wall 
> Street 
> Journal, Financial Times etc., or whatch things like "Money Line" or 
> "Business World" to see what I mean).  
> 
> The Latin American press is in such a celebratory mood - and filled with 
> 
> outlandished Cold War era type fabrications of how Chavez spent his last 
> 
> moments holed up and surrounded only by "Cuban advisors" before his 
> resignation - that it makes my stomach turn.  The lessons of the past it 
> 
> seems still have to be learnt...
> 
> Saturday, 13 April, 2002, 09:51 GMT 10:51 UK 
> Election pledge for Venezuela
> 
> 
> Tight security still in evidence after the week's upheaval
> 
> 
> Venezuela's new caretaker president Pedro Carmona has promised a swift 
> return 
> to democratic government following the removal from office of Hugo 
> Chavez by 
> the armed forces. 
> 
> 
> People have the right to remove their government, but they have to do so 
> 
> through democratic channels 
> 
>     
> Alejandro Toledo
> Peruvian president 
>     
> The interim government has said it will hold presidential elections 
> within a 
> year, but Latin American leaders have refused to recognise the new 
> regime. 
> While not expressing personal support for Mr Chavez - renowned for his 
> fiery 
> rhetoric - Latin American leaders condemned "the interruption of 
> constitutional order in Venezuela". Mr Chavez was forced to step down 
> after 
> the deaths of at least 13 anti-government protesters in violence on 
> Thursday 
> night. 
> 
> Laws repealed 
> 
> At a sombre ceremony on Friday, Mr Carmona, 60, a former oil executive, 
> was 
> sworn in as interim president.
> 
>   
> Pedro Carmona: Quick elections promised 
> 
> He quickly moved to repeal dozens of controversial economic laws and 
> dissolved the Supreme Court and the National Assembly. Promising 
> presidential 
> elections within a year, Mr Carmona said: "We can achieve the 
> governability 
> required to improve Venezuela's image." "The strongman era has ended." 
> Latin 
> American leaders, at a Group of Rio meeting in Costa Rica, expressed 
> regret 
> at the loss of life on Thursday, but also concern at the manner of Mr 
> Chavez's downfall.
> 
>  
> "It is a lie, all lies. He said he never resigned 
> 
>     
> Hugo Chavez's daughter Maria Gabriela 
>     
> The United States was initially unsympathetic, saying the government had 
> 
> tried to suppress a peaceful demonstration. Washington blamed Mr Chavez 
> for 
> creating the conditions that led to his removal. 
> 
> International concern 
> 
> But the US and Spain later issued a joint statement calling for calm, an 
> end 
> to violence and a swift return to normality with a "guarantee of 
> fundamental 
> rights and freedoms". UK Foreign Office Minister Denis MacShane, who met 
> Mr 
> Chavez just a few days ago, said he hoped the president's resignation 
> would 
> prevent more bloodshed. 
> 
> 
> Chavez befriended Cuba's isolated leader Fidel Castro
> 
> But elections should be held as soon possible, he said. "Any delay to 
> this 
> process will be contrary to Venezuela's long history of democracy and 
> unacceptable to the international community." Cuba, a staunch supporter 
> of Mr 
> Chavez's left-wing policies, has expressed concern for his safety. He 
> was 
> initially being held at the Fuerte Tiuna military base in the capital, 
> Caracas. But Cuban television broadcast an interview with his daughter, 
> Maria 
> Gabriela Chavez, who said there were reports he had been moved to an 
> undisclosed location. The army has rejected his plea to be allowed to go 
> into 
> exile in Cuba. Army General Roman Fuemayor said: "He has to be held 
> accountable to his country." 
> 
> Chavez's version 
> 
> Military leaders said Mr Chavez resigned at their insistence after he 
> ordered 
> troops and civilian gunmen to fire on a crowd of more than 150,000. At 
> least 
> 13 people died and more than 240 were injured. But Mr Chavez's daughter 
> insisted he was the victim of a coup. "It is a lie, all lies. He said he 
> 
> never resigned, that a group of military took him away and he is being 
> held 
> incommunicado," she said. Mr Chavez won a landslide victory in 1998, six 
> 
> years after he led an abortive coup as a young paratroop 
> officer.Following 
> events of the last few days, oil production and distribution are 
> beginning to 
> return to normal for the world's fourth-largest oil producer after 
> workers 
> abandoned their action.But PDVSA has suspended oil exports to Cuba in 
> protest 
> at Havana's support for Mr Chavez who agreed cheap rates with President 
> Fidel 
> Castro. 
> 
> 
>     
> 
>  
> 
> 
> 

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