Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-07 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/7/03 12:53:47 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: I find it interesting that there are so many more articles about bubbles than about the underlying reality of the equity premium puzzle. This is a nice case where a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. The average investor

Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-07 Thread Fred Foldvary
If one had a cynical bent one might suggest that the predominance of stories about the small bubbles in the huge cake batter of the miracle of modern economic growth stems from a prevalence of statists in the news media. David Levenstam What about the large bubbles? Fred Foldvary =

Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-07 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Bryan D Caplan [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I find it interesting that there are so many more articles about bubbles than about the underlying reality of the equity premium puzzle. This is a nice case where a little knowledge is a dangerous thing. The average investor would be far better off

Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-07 Thread Alypius Skinner
The average investor would be far better off if they did think that enormous returns could continue forever because, in a deep though less dramatic way, they DO. I suspect that a lot of people have been turned off to stock ownership for decades in spite of the fact that they are the smart

Employment Index Derivatives

2003-01-07 Thread Jonathan Kalbfeld
I've been reading about weather derivatives at http://www.weatherderivs.com/ and was curious if anyone knew of an existence of other kinds of derivatives, on things like labor market size, unemployment rate, CPI, inflation rate, cost of gas at the pump, etc? Is anyone interested in working on

[Fwd: a non-profit oddity]

2003-01-07 Thread Bryan D Caplan
An interesting observation by my friend Jim. -- Prof. Bryan Caplan Department of Economics George Mason University http://www.bcaplan.com [EMAIL PROTECTED] Mr. Banks: Will you be good enough to explain all this?! Mary

Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-07 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 1/7/03 11:58:51 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: If one had a cynical bent one might suggest that the predominance of stories about the small bubbles in the huge cake batter of the miracle of modern economic growth stems from a prevalence of statists in the news media. David

Re: FW: History shows paths to market crashes, but lessons seem forgotten

2003-01-07 Thread Bryan D Caplan
Alypius Skinner wrote: People aren't always alive in the long-term! Lots of baby boomers are approaching retirement when they will begin to draw down their savings. If their savings are being decimated by a bear market at the same time, they may not have enough to last them until they die.

Re: Employment Index Derivatives

2003-01-07 Thread Alex Tabarrok
It's a good idea. Not much exists yet but Robert Shiller has been actively promoting similar ideas for some time. A good introduction is his paper with co-authors in the volume I edited called Entrepreneurial Economics: Bright Ideas from the Dismal Science, see

Re: [Fwd: a non-profit oddity]

2003-01-07 Thread Alex Tabarrok
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