RE: Fw: why Iraq? here's one theory

2003-02-13 Thread Grey Thomas
Bill says the whole (too long) report is nonsense. I mostly agree, BUT with a caveat. If switching to petro Euros has no affect on foreign investment into the US, then I'd agree the report is useless. However, if the switch to Euros, or the war in Iraq, or a feeling that US assets are overpriced,

Re: Fw: why Iraq? here's one theory

2003-02-12 Thread Wei Dai
On Tue, Feb 11, 2003 at 10:34:40PM -0500, William Dickens wrote: Should OPEC set oil prices in Euros and hold their cash reserves in Euros what would be the real consequences for the US? 1. A tiny increase in risk wrt oil prices (we know its tiny because the cost of currency hedging is

Re: Fw: why Iraq? here's one theory

2003-02-11 Thread William Dickens
Utter and complete nonsense. The reason the press doesn't discuss the issue is because it is a non-issue. The only necessary harm done to the US by the Euro becoming the world's primary reserve currency (or sharing the status with the Euro) is a loss of a few hundred million in revenue for the