Surveys consistently find welfare spending to be one of the least
popular major activities of government.  The 1996 welfare reform
probably changed this a bit, but I bet the basic pattern is still
there.  It seems like this is one area where government does more than
the median voter wants.

But: When you probe voter preferences a little further, it seems to me
that you find something quite different, and this gem of a question from
the National Survey of Public Knowledge of Welfare Reform and the
Federal Budget (http://www.kff.org/content/archive/1001/welftbl.html)
shows.

Table 19: The Principal Goal Of Welfare Reform 

Views of American Adults By Political Affiliation 

                                                Total   Dem.    Rep.
Get people off welfare, but only if we can get
them decent jobs by providing job training and
education                                       63%     66%     60%

Get people off welfare even if it means they    27%     22%     33%
have to take a low-paying job

Get people off welfare regardless of the        6%      7%      5%
consequences
                                                          
Provide people on welfare with more money so    2%      5%      2%
that they have a higher standard of living
                                                           
Other (vol.)                                    2%      1%      1%



In other words, most Americans are unwilling to accept the only feasible
way of drastically scaling back the system, which is expecting welfare
recipients to take low-paying jobs.  Frankly, this hesitance boggles my
mind - if former welfare recipients shouldn't take low-paying jobs, who
should?  In any case, this strongly suggests to me that the lack of
radical change is basically what the median voter wants.  They only
support radical reforms conditional on things that are sure to never
happen.
-- 
                        Prof. Bryan Caplan                
       Department of Economics      George Mason University
        http://www.bcaplan.com      [EMAIL PROTECTED]

  "He was thinking that Prince Andrei was in error and did not see the
   true light, and that he, Pierre, ought to come to his aid, to 
   enlighten and uplift him.  But no sooner had he thought out what he 
   should say and how to say it than he foresaw that Prince Andrei, 
   with one word, a single argument, would discredit all his teachings, 
   and he was afraid to begin, afraid to expose to possible ridicule 
   what he cherished and held sacred."     
                   Leo Tolstoy, *War and Peace*

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