Re: Median voter thm. Elementary question

2002-12-05 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 12/5/02 12:56:07 AM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: Howdy, I've never really studied the Median Voter Theorem. Recently I read where someone claimed that the U.S. political system was designed to keep the two parties nearly identical by keeping other parties out. I assumed that

Fw: Median voter theorem

2002-12-05 Thread Alypius Skinner
But perhaps third parties don't siphon off more votes because they're undercapitalized. It's hard for an upstart domestic auto company to challenge General Motors, or other established automakers. Remember DeLorean? He was a third party automaker. Democratic politics appear to be (inherently?)

U of Cal scientists question efficient market hypothesis

2002-12-05 Thread Alypius Skinner
http://www.newscientist.com/news/news.jsp?id=ns3124 Statistical physics predicts stock market gloom 11:5902December02 NewScientist.com news service A statistical physics model is predicting that the US stock

Re: reaganomics--elementary question

2002-12-05 Thread William Sjostrom
Did Reaganomics essentially hinge on the Laffer Curve (i.e. the elasticity of tax receipts w/ respect to tax rate [?]), and its implications regarding tax revenue? Or was there alot more to it than that? Paul Craig Roberts has a fascinating book about economic policy in the early years of

Re: U of Cal scientists question efficient market hypothesis

2002-12-05 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Alypius Skinner [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: A statistical physics model is predicting that the US stock market recovery suggested by recent rises will only last until spring next year, before tumbling yet further. Why would this contradict efficient markets? The efficient-market

Re: Median voter thm. Elementary question

2002-12-05 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- john hull [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: ... So then I thought, suppose a third party were let into the race, does the MVT still hold w/ for 3 or more candidates? MVT posits a bell-shaped distribution of political views, and the parties respond to that. Think of hot-dog vendors at a beach.

RE: Median voter thm. Elementary question

2002-12-05 Thread Robson, Alex
Fred Foldvary wrote: MVT posits a bell-shaped distribution of political views. No, it doesn't. A uniform distribution works just as well. Comes a third vendor. If he is in the center, each now gets 1/3 the sales. If one vendor moves just a bit away, he gets 1/2 while the others get 1/4.

RE: Median voter thm

2002-12-05 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- Robson, Alex [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: A uniform distribution works just as well. Of course MVT does not require a bell-shaped distribution of political views, but empirically that is what is found in most populations. There is, of course, a mixed strategy equilibrium. which is what I

Re: A Short Review of *Hard Heads, Soft Hearts*

2002-12-05 Thread Fred Foldvary
--- john hull [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Aren't payments in kind worth less than payments in cash, when the value is a significant portion of one's income, because they impose the consumption decision (for lack of a better term) on the individual? Yes, assuming no tax difference. Many payments

Re: U of Cal scientists question efficient market hypothesis

2002-12-05 Thread Alypius Skinner
--- Alypius Skinner [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: A statistical physics model is predicting that the US stock market recovery suggested by recent rises will only last until spring next year, before tumbling yet further. Why would this contradict efficient markets? I originally called

Re: reaganomics--elementary question

2002-12-05 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 12/5/02 10:04:34 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: As a historical note abou the Laffer curve, it's interesting to see that the phenomenon was already described by Bastiat in his 1847-02-21 article Curieux phénomène économique (a peculiar economical phenomenon), itself