RE: charlatanism

2002-08-14 Thread Alex Robson

John Hull wrote:

Example 3: Subjective Utility

Most of the utility 'functions' occurring in
neoclassical microeconomics...are not well defined--as
Henri Poincare pointed out to Leon Walras.  In fact,
the only conditions required of them is that they be
twice differentiable, the first derivative being
positive and the second negative.  Obviously,
infinitely many functions satisfy these mild
requirements.  THIS OFTEN SUFFICES IN SOME BRANCHES OF
PURE MATHEMATICS  BUT THE FACTUAL (OR EMPIRICAL)
SCIENCES ARE MORE DEMANDING: HERE ONE USES ONLY
FUNCTIONS THAT ARE DEFINED EXPLICITLY...OR IMPLICITLY.
 Finally, experimental studies have shown that
preferences and subjective estimates of utility and
risk do not satisfy the assumptions of expected
utility theory.

In short, THE USE OF UTILITY FUNCTIONS IS OFTEN
MATHEMATICALLY SLOPPY AND EMPIRICALLY UNWARRANTED.
Now, rational choice models make heavy use of both
subjective utilities and subjective probabilities, as
well as of the simplistic hypothesis that selfishness
is the only motivation of human behavior.  Not
suprisingly, NONE OF THESE MODELS FITS THE FACT.
Hence, although at first sight they look scientific,
as a matter of fact they are pseudoscientific.


My only comment on this is: it is a silly, uninformed criticism of
economics.  Economics may or may not be pseudoscientific, but not for
these reasons.  First, it has been shown long ago, by Gerard Debreu and
others, that utility functions are not needed in order arrive at many of the
important results in microeconomic theory.  Second, the claim that
economists use the hypothesis that selfishness is the only motivation of
human behaviour is simply wrong, wrong, wrong.  Finally, yes, economists
often use models that are false and don't fit some data.  So do physicists
when they assume away the existence of any frictions.  Is physics also a
pseudoscience for this reason?


Alex






RE: North on ideology

2002-08-12 Thread Alex Robson

Kevin Carson wrote:

I haven't read the Pipes book.  He's a neoconservative, isn't he?

I don't know what the term  neoconservative means, nor do I understand why
that particular label is relevant to this discussion.


I've read Bethell's book in parts, and skimmed through most of it.  It
strikes me as a very ahistoric view of property:  taking the contemporary,
Lockean/capitalist model of private property as some kind of Platonic
ideal,
and then judging history as it progressively approximated that ideal over
time.

If you had actually read the book carefully, you would realize that your
assessment couldn't be more incorrect.

Alex






RE: North on ideology

2002-08-12 Thread Alex Robson

Kevin Carson wrote:

 As for socialism, its defining characteristic is not necessarily the
absence
of private property rights.  Tucker simply defined socialism by two
criteria:  the beliefs that 1) all value was created by labor; and 2) that
labor should get 100% of its product.  In his view, exploitation was
possible only through the state's coercion, by which it enabled legally
privileged classes to extract a premium in unpaid labor.  If such privilege
were eliminated, the free market would cause wages to rise to 100% of
value-added.

I haven't read Tucker, but I've always thought that Von Mises is correct
when he says that the essential mark of socialism is that one will alone,
acts, irrespective of whose will it is (Human Action, p 695.)  To me, this
essential mark implies an absence of private property rights.


Alex Robson







RE: Public support for farm subsidies

2002-07-31 Thread Alex Robson

David Levenstam wrote:

Far more people support the general idea of freedom
of speech than support many specific unpopular examples.

The analysis of bundling issues and logrolling has a long history in the
field of public choice, but an interesting recent paper on this topic is:

Saari, D. and K. Sieberg (2001) The Sum of the Parts can Violate the Whole
American Political Science Review, 95(2): 415-433.

Alex


Dr Alex Robson
School of Economics
Faculty of Economics and Commerce
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200.
AUSTRALIA
Ph +61-2-6125-4909

 -Original Message-
From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]  On Behalf Of
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent:   Wednesday, 31 July 2002 2:15 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:Re: Public support for farm subsidies

Hi, I'm new to the list, having just moved here after 11 years in the Field
of Farm Subsidies (Iowa), so I hope it's alright for me to reply.

Living in Iowa I observed tremendous support for agricultural subsidies,
including both price supports (which legislation under the Contract With
American began to phase out) and ethanol subsidies (a form of ADC, or Aid to
Dependent Corporations, in particular to Archer Daniel Midlands, which bills
itself as Supermarket to the World but which might just as well call
itself
Airline to Bob Dole).  Even many self-proclaimed conservatives supported
ag
subsidies during the Iowa Caucus seasons, and I saw some of them unabashedly
demand from Phil and Wendy Gramm continued ag subsidies even as these
conservatives applauded the Gramms' opposition to government subsidies.

Having grown up in Chicago and lived in Denver I saw virtually no support
whatsoever from urban residents, even statist-liberals, for ag subsidies.
Of
course I am speaking anecdotally, and not statistically, but I try to recall
that the wording of a poll can substantially alter its results.  Imagine, to
take what seems like a clear example, the difference we might see between a
poll that asked do you support cutting welfare? and one that asked do you
support cutting welfare if it would cut payments to starving single
mothers?
or even one that asked simply do you support cutting welfare if it would
cut
payments to single mothers?  Many people who would in general support
cutting welfare might think twice when confronted directly with the
possibility that a cut in welfare could reduce welfare payments to single
mothers.

To take an example that Milton Friedman has I believe used over the years,
imagine the difference between asking whether people support freedom of
speech and whether they support the freedom to say nasty things about Bill
Clinton (or George Bush, or the Pope, or whomever; Iowa has a large
percentage of Catholics in the population, many of whom take a dim view of
criticizing the Pope).  Far more people support the general idea of freedom
of speech than support many specific unpopular examples.

In our ag subsidy poll, imagine the different between asking Canadians (or
indeed Americans) whether they (we) support increasing ag subsidies and
asking whether they support increasing ag subsidies if other countries'
governments already provide higher subsidies.  Contrasting Canada's low
subsidies with the subsidies of other governments plays, as Eric suggests,
on
Canadians' xenophobia; in the case of Americans, we have seen Pat Buchanan
(and Ralph Nader, though he would deny it) playing likewise on American
xenopobia.  I've personally seen herds of conservatives who would otherwise
at least claim to oppose Big Government stampeding after Buchanan (Pat
again,
not James) as he tried to lead them over the Big Government cliff of
protectionism. Yet I cannot imagine that in any national poll that asked
simply, do you support higher ag subsidies that Americans, even typically
subsidy-sympathetical statist-liberals, would in any large percentage say
yes.

Does anyone see any evidence that outside of areas in which farming plays a
large role Americans support higher (or indeed continued) ag subsidies?

Sincerely,

David B. Levenstam


In a message dated 7/30/02 3:07:14 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes:

 This question has been bounced around on the armchair list for a
while...here's a bit of evidence on the question.  It's from Canada, but I
doubt that American results would be that much different.  The vast
majority of Canadians support farm subsidies for the indefinite
future.

The question keys into a bit of standing Canadian anti-Americanism, but
change the question wording to reflect American farmers receiving lower
subsidies than the French, and I think results of an American poll would
be quite similar.

The poll, taken August 2001, can be found at:

http://www.canadianalliance.ca/hotissues/viewby/index.cfm?DoID=756readartic
le

=1dirlevel=2category=4department=37

Eric
--

If you found out that Canadian farmers receive less subsidies than
American or European farmers, which of these two statements would come
closer

RE: Q for environmental economists

2002-07-18 Thread Alex Robson

Chresten Anderson wrote:

Lomborg's primary problem is not accepting the economics behind his claim;
that we are not running out of ressources. And without the understanding
that a market is necessary to price the environment he does not get the
reasons why the environment is getting better rather than worse.

My reading of the book suggests that this is not completely true, but maybe
I'm reading more into Lomborg than I should.  To take just two examples,
consider Lomborg's take on water resources (p 156 of The Skeptical
Environmentalist):

It is likely that more sensible pricing will both only secure future water
supplies but also increase total social efficiency

and

Adequate pricing turns out to be the main issue for water problems.  When
water is a free resource - as it typically has been throughout the ages - we
consume as much as we can (given our private costs).


Or, consider his view of private property rights in China (p 67):

The crucial change occurred when the Chinese leadership initiated economic
reforms in the 1970s...Equally significant was the fact that they now
allowed people to own property and sell goods: China's production potential
was set free and it experienced a drastic increase in production.


It sounds to me like he understands economics just fine.

Alex

Dr Alex Robson
School of Economics
Faculty of Economics and Commerce
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200.
AUSTRALIA
Ph +61-2-6125-4909

 -Original Message-
From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]  On Behalf Of
Chresten Anderson
Sent:   Friday, 19 July 2002 4:11 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:SV: Q for environmental economists

Being from Denmark I have been able to read the two previous books by
Lomborg. The first is essentially the same as the sceptical environmentalist
and the second is an answer to some of the attacks on him by the Greens. In
his English version he has updated the first book and incorporated some of
the valid points from the greens that he acknowledged in the second.

However both versions of the Sceptical Environmentalist are essentially
updated versions of Julian Simon's The Ultimate Ressource (both versions),
but without the explicit theoretical framework. Lomborg is pro-government
and does therefore not present the pro-market arguments that explain why the
state of the environment is as it is.



As understood by

Chresten Anderson

-Oprindelig meddelelse-
Fra: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]Pa vegne af
john hull
Sendt: 18. juli 2002 07:14
Til: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Emne: Q for environmental economists


Howdy,

As ad hominem arguments fly around the internet, I
seem unable to get an impartial opinion.  Would those
who study the envirnment give me the straight dope on
The Skeptical Environmentalist by Bjorn Lomborg?  His
economic arguments seem pretty sound, and this
statistical methods, from what I can tell (not much?)
seem good.  However, I would really enjoy an unbiased
review (however brief it may be) from someone more
knowledgeable than me.

Sincerely from a barefooted, gap-toothed
mouthbreather,
-jsh

=
...for no one admits that he incurs an obligation to another merely because
that other has done him no wrong.
-Machiavelli, Discourses on Livy, Discourse 16.

__
Do You Yahoo!?
Yahoo! Autos - Get free new car price quotes
http://autos.yahoo.com





RE: limited liability

2002-07-18 Thread Alex Robson

Jason DeBacker wrote:

What is the economic argument for limited liability of corporations?
Can anyone suggest some readings on this?

For starters, I would recommend:

Easterbrook, Frank and Fischel, Daniel (1991) The Economic Structure of
Corporate Law, Harvard University Press.

After that, you could read the papers referred to in this book.

Alex


Dr Alex Robson
School of Economics
Faculty of Economics and Commerce
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200.
AUSTRALIA
Ph +61-2-6125-4909

 -Original Message-
From:   [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]  On Behalf Of
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent:   Thursday, 18 July 2002 11:40 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject:limited liability

What is the economic argument for limited liability of corporations?
Can anyone suggest some readings on this?








Criminal Sanctions for Price Collusion

2002-07-02 Thread Alex Robson

Armchairers,
Australian regulators are currently pushing for jail sentences to be imposed
on those found guilty of price collusion.  Their claim is that custodial
sentences will act as a more effective deterrent against this kind of
collusive behavior, and they cite the US and Europe in support of their
claims.

My question: is anyone on this list aware of any US or European empirical
studies which actually show that custodial sentences have been more
effective than monetary fines as a deterrent against these kinds of
crimes?

Dr Alex Robson
School of Economics
Faculty of Economics and Commerce
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200.
AUSTRALIA
Ph +61-2-6125-4909






RE: General Theory

2002-04-23 Thread Alex Robson

John Jernigan wrote:
I remember reading someplace that someone had written what was essentially a
line-by-line response to Keynes General Theory  based on libertarian
grounds.  Does anyone know what I'm talking about and is it any good?

The reference is Henry Hazlitt (1959)  The Failure of the New Economics: An
Analysis of the Keynesian Fallacies New York: Arlington House.  Hazlitt (a
journalist, not an economist) is a great writer.  This book, along with his
Economics in One Lesson make very good reading.

Alex Robson
School of Economics
Australian National University
Canberra ACT 0200.
AUSTRALIA






RE: Excessive drinking

2001-09-12 Thread Alex Robson

Ed Lopez wrote:
In a Forbes article last year, a professor of health at Indiana University
notes that since the increase in the legal drinking age to 21 (1987), total
amount of alcohol consumed dropped but the incidence of EXCESSIVE drinking
increased among 18-20 year olds.

1. any takers on why?
It's an obvious point, but do the Indiana professor's findings control for
other factors, such as price of alcohol, price of substitutes  complements
(including changes in legal sanctions for consuming other drugs, police
enforcement etc), income, and so on?  Without knowing about what is being
held constant and what isn't, how can we say anything about the effect of a
particular law at the margin?

Alex Robson
Australian National University