Re: Economist IQ?

2003-12-15 Thread zgocheno
A far cry from perfect, but if you use the GRE as a test of intelligence, economics 
PhD students are the fourth most intelligent behind physicists, mathematicians, and 
computer scientists - according to the ETS in 2002.  Mean scores for engineering (in 
some forms) are not much lower - but anthropology, archaeology, history, political 
science, theology, sociology, and communications are all fields with significantly 
lower scores.

I suspect intuitively, due to a number of reasons - mostly the analytical nature of 
the field and the mathematical rigor - that economists are significantly more 
intelligent than PhDs in many other fields.  But probably not all fields, and maybe 
not even most.

- Zac Gochenour
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


- Original Message -
From: Stephen Miller [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Monday, December 15, 2003 10:40 am
Subject: Economist IQ?

 I doubt anyone has hard data on this, but I'm wondering what
 people on this
 list would guess is the average IQ of Ph.D. economists?  Would it
 be much
 different from the average IQ of Ph.D.s in general?




Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

2003-08-21 Thread zgocheno
 OK, but then the question applies to transportation.  Can a horse
 really move as much as ten people, or is it that they can  eat
 foods that are cheaper than food humans can live on?

The fact that a horse can consume and digest grasses is a contributing factor, but 
definitely not the whole picture.  A horse, galloping flat out, can reach speeds in 
excess of 30 mph (the top speed is around 45 mph, but unsustainable).  A horse can 
walk all day with very brief rest periods and can carry humans, tools, and food.  A 
well conditioned horse can travel 50 or so miles a day with a rider and a small load.

When moving large loads over long distances, humans are notoriously bad.  This is 
mainly because we're bipedals.  While our top running speed is reasonably high, our 
endurance is lacking.  Adding the marginal human being does not make you move faster, 
and with any significant load, human speed is drastically reduced.

Horses can also walk at a rather young age, I believe.  I do not know at what age they 
begin to be useful as far as transportation is concerned, but I'm positive it is only 
a matter of a few years at best.  Human males take upwards of a decade to become 
useful at all in farming or foraging.

Simply speaking, 1 horse is clearly better than 10 humans.  The populations of the 
pedestrian foragers exploded when they began learning riding techniques and using 
horses because of the drastic increase in the available food supply.  Before using 
horses, no number of humans could ever catch a migrating pack of bison or other large 
herbivores.  But in a farming subsistence pattern, there really is no room for the 
horse, where transportation is a non-issue and land may be limited.

- Zac Gochenour
[EMAIL PROTECTED]


Re: Family Businesses and Licensing

2003-07-11 Thread zgocheno
 In my informal experience, fathers and sons tend to work together 
 full-time only in professions with strict licensing or training 
 requirements.  Electricians, lawyers, realtors and even CPAs - 
 I've found more father/son teams here than in any other type of 
 job.  All of those jobs have fairly rigid prerequisites 
 (electricians have to pass journeyman and master-level tests; 
 lawyers have the bar and law school, etc).  Why is that?

As Eric pointed out, farming is also a profession where fathers and sons usually work 
together: in addition to what was named:  Carpenting, construction, medicine, 
mechanics, etc.  This is a social phenomenom much older than government licensing; it 
spans eras and cultures.  I'd say rather than licensing requirements, fathers and sons 
often work together in vocations with specialized training requirements.  Sons often 
learn this trade from their fathers and grow up in an environment where respect for 
this trade is fostered and encouraged.

Often in these professions, people must work together in teams and use very 
specialized knowledge to be successful.  A family bond is a good way to reduce search 
costs for good employees.  Vocational training is combined with father-son bonding for 
further reduction in the cost of training.  In other types of jobs that require less 
specialized training, the benefits of working with/for your father are typically much 
smaller.

 Also - why is it more often father/son, and not 
 mother/daughter or mother/son?  Or father/daughter?

In general, women do not go in to these types of professions.  Sons tend not to follow 
in the footsteps of their mothers for obvious reasons.  Mother-daughter professional 
relationships are less common because there are far fewer female professionals in 
these fields - but consider mother/daughter relationships in housewifery, modeling, 
beauty pageantry, etc.

- Zac Gochenour
[EMAIL PROTECTED]






Do Not Call -- The newest public interest miracle?

2003-06-29 Thread zgocheno
As most/all of you know, our favorite regulatory agency the FTC (the nation's 
consumer protection agency as they call themselves) has established a nation-wide do 
not call list (www.donotcall.gov).  Of course, the list does not apply to 
politicians, only evil capitalists.

Now, I registered my home and mobile numbers on this list.  I will be the first to 
admit that I hate telemarketers with a passion.  I usually hang up on them, sometimes 
tell them to go to hell, etc.  I can't imagine what kind of person actually buys 
things form telemarketers (though they obviously do).  I am not crying over the 
establishment of a do not call registry.  On the contrary, it seems like a genuine 
public interest policy at first glance.  I am not alone in my deep hatred for the 
telemarketer - the FTC expects 60M Americans to eventually register for its list.  
Most of the others will probably just never figure out how to do it.  The question is, 
do we need a government regulatory agency to step in and do this?  Could you really 
stop all telemarketers without a coercive government agency and its threat of an 
$11,000 fine?

It must have something to do with the property rights of a telephone number.  Should 
anyone have the right to call you?  It is possible to set up your phone so that only 
people whose phone numbers you've specified can call you.  Same goes for internet 
spam.  But why should you have to restrict access to your email or phone from people 
who may have legitimate reasons to contact you (but you don't have their information 
ahead of time?)  You would be blocking out emergency calls from hospitals, kids at 
friends' houses, telephone booths, etc.  For businesses it would be impossible.  How 
do you indicate to everyone who could possibly call you that telemarketing is an 
unacceptable reason to call and a violation of your property rights?Could you 
establish a private do not call list that you subscribe to and that then pays 
telemarketing companies not to call you?  You'd have a pretty obvious holdout problem.

Before the do not call registry was established, companies were required (by the FTC) 
to maintain their OWN do not call lists, and you would have to request to be added, 
only after they call you and harass you one time.  But I know from experience that 
this is really an uphill battle (read: is not effective at stopping calls).  There's 
also this thing called a telezapper that we tried but I never quite figured out how 
it was supposed to work, I just know it was also ineffective.  Now, if they call, they 
will be slapped with an enormous fine, and the only people I have to tell to go to 
hell are politicians.  Music to my ears, but could it be done more efficiently?  
Probably, but I can't think of it.

- Zac Gochenour




RE: TV Seasons

2003-06-05 Thread zgocheno
Wei Dai asked:
Why does TV have seasons? I know it's customary to propose possible 
answers to questions posted here, but I'm really stumped. I can't think 
of any reason why television networks all premier their new shows in 
the fall and play re-runs in the summer, instead of spreading out the 
premiers and re-runs more evenly throughout the year, or having seasons 
that aren't synchronized with each other. Why doesn't the fact that the 
competition is a lot weaker in the summer attract more premiers?

In television's infancy, something like 40 episodes were taped of each program and 
reruns were shown in the summer, when people typically watched less television 
(because the weather was better?  Not sure)  Now, reruns are shown throughout the 
season, particularly if one of the major networks is airing a major event, such as the 
Oscar's or the Super Bowl, other networks will run reruns or old movies.  The practice 
of seasons betweeen labor day and memorial day is still closely linked with the 
belief that people watch less television in the summer.  However, some shows, 
especially on new networks, are premiered in the summer and advertised as being that 
show that premiers in the summer so you don't have to watch reruns.  I have a few 
ideas about this.

Revenue comes from advertising. The larger the audience believed to be watching a 
show, the greater the amount the network can bill for advertising time during the 
show.  So it makes sense that companies will show reruns (avoiding the costs of 
production but still getting some revenue) when they believe a much smaller audience 
will be watching the show - production costs for prime-time television series are 
quite high (above and beyond the salaries of the actors which always becomes a public 
affair, e.g. Seinfeld, Friends, Sopranos).  However, viewers may be frustrated if 
reruns are shown to frequently, so networks try to find the optimal balance between 
new shows and low-cost reruns.  However, it is more acceptable to show reruns when 
everyone else is showing reruns.  So the groundwork is: if you want to show reruns, 
you should show them when other networks are showing them, or when you expect your 
viewership to be very low (due to special events).

There are only a few major networks - NBC, ABC, CBS, and Fox (the newest).  I've seen 
suggested in many places that network television is an oligopoly, and the practice of 
seasons is a form of (tacit?) collusion.  This analysis makes sense in a number of 
ways.  Consider the following: in the old days of tv, there were less reruns, and 
competition for viewership was strong even during special event broadcasting; with 
modern recording technology, special events could be viewed and other shows taped, but 
reruns are still shown during special events; in spite of (as Dr. Hanson pointed out) 
primitive technology for measuring television viewership of specific shows and the 
seemingly odd proposition that people watch much less television during the summer 
months, reruns are still shown primarily in the summer.  Fox, the newest network, 
often shows new shows or movie premiers when, say, NBC is showing a special event and 
CBS and NBC are showing reruns.  This might suggest that Fox, th!
e newco..

It will be interesting to see if a wider variety of competition as there are more 
substitutes for the 3 old channels of network television, if improvements in 
technology that reduce information costs about viewership, or improvements in home 
recording technology will change the way reruns are shown.


- Zac Gochenour