Re: Decision Markets

2002-02-12 Thread fabio guillermo rojas


> be informative for decisions.  Anyone want to give odds that I'll be
> able to keep the term meaning what I want it to mean? :-)

According to Stigler (the statistician, not the economist) almost
every "named" scientific term is in error. So I'd say the odds
are huge that your name will be incorrectly attached to something,
and somebody else will get the credit for what you  invented.

Fabio




Re: Decision Markets

2002-02-12 Thread Robin Hanson

Dr. Alexander Tabarrok wrote:
> Another armchair economist made the news!  Robin (Hanson) was
>mentioned in yesterday's (Sunday Feb. 10, 2002) New York Times in an
>interesting article about using experimental markets to generate
>marketing information.  ...
>http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/10/business/yourmoney/10TRAD.html
>Creating markets in order to generate public policy information is the
>subject of Robin's contribution to Entrepreneurial Economics: Bright
>Ideas from the Dismal Science ... www.EntrepreneurialEconomics.org

It's nice to get press, but always disturbing to see how wrong reporters
can get things.  I'm introduced as giving the name "decision markets"
to the Iowa Electronic Markets and to the marketing markets described.
But I introduced the term to be specific to markets that estimate the
consequences of decisions, rather than just markets that might somehow
be informative for decisions.  Anyone want to give odds that I'll be
able to keep the term meaning what I want it to mean? :-)

Robin Hanson  [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-
703-993-2326  FAX: 703-993-2323



Decision Markets

2002-02-11 Thread Alex Tabarrok

Another armchair economist made the news!  Robin (Hanson) was
mentioned in yesterday's (Sunday Feb. 10, 2002) New York Times in an
interesting article about using experimental markets to generate
marketing information.  In an experiment conducted at MIT, for example,
traders traded aspects of ski resorts such as crowdedness and distance
to the slopes.  The prices established in these markets were then used
to estimate the demand for various attributes and to thus help firms
optimize accordingly - in essence an experimental approach to deriving
hedonic prices.

The article is available here

http://www.nytimes.com/2002/02/10/business/yourmoney/10TRAD.html

 Following Hayek's Use of Knowledge in Society paper, economists
have become accustomed to extracting information from markets but the
creation of markets in order to generate information is more recent. 
Creating markets in order to generate public policy information is the
subject of Robin's contribution to Entrepreneurial Economics: Bright
Ideas from the Dismal Science (see also my introduction to the book for
further applications).  More info on EntrepreneurialEconomics can be
found here:

www.EntrepreneurialEconomics.org 

Alex
-- 
Dr. Alexander Tabarrok
Vice President and Director of Research
The Independent Institute
100 Swan Way
Oakland, CA, 94621-1428
Tel. 510-632-1366, FAX: 510-568-6040
Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]