Imperfect Reasoning (was: reading recommendation)

2000-09-26 Thread Robin Hanson
Bryan Caplan wrote: At least on my reading, a lot of cognitive psychologists want to say more than "People occasionally reason imperfectly, and policy might improve on that." Rather, they are saying "We now know that human judgment is quite poor, and economic models that presume otherwise are

Re: Imperfect Reasoning (was: reading recommendation)

2000-09-26 Thread Bryan Caplan
Robin Hanson wrote: To me the central issue is instead human meta-rationality. If cognitive errors make workers sometimes miss-estimate the safety of a job, but workers realize that they might make such errors, then wiser-than-thou academics just need to *tell* workers that their particular

Re: Imperfect Reasoning (was: reading recommendation)

2000-09-26 Thread Robin Hanson
Bryan Caplan wrote: ... If people have time-inconsistent preferences, but realize this fact, then it can be enough to give them means to commit to future choices. If people can neglect possible ways a contract can go bad, but realize this fact, they can give arbitrators discretion to deal

Re: Imperfect Reasoning (was: reading recommendation)

2000-09-26 Thread Bryan Caplan
Robin Hanson wrote: People talk a lot about their difficulty in committing to long term plans. They choose savings plans that they can't get out of. They take efforts to avoid being around tempting candy bars. These look more like conflicting preferences to me than "meta-rationality."