Re: Self-assessment vs. Rationality

2002-11-11 Thread Eric Crampton
On Mon, 11 Nov 2002, William Dickens wrote: > concern to some decision problem. Rational expectations does require > that ones forecast have minimum variance and not just that it is > unbiased. However, money is still neutral in most RatX models even if Of course. Meant high in absolute terms, n

Re: Self-assessment vs. Rationality

2002-11-11 Thread Bryan Caplan
William Dickens wrote: > Rational expectations does require > that ones forecast have minimum variance and not just that it is > unbiased. In defense of Eric, he didn't say anything false. He said RE is consistent with high variance. It is, as long as that high variance is also the minimum var

Re: Self-assessment vs. Rationality

2002-11-11 Thread William Dickens
Nope. Still not right. Someone with rational expectations is making the best possible use of available information to forecast variables of concern to some decision problem. Rational expectations does require that ones forecast have minimum variance and not just that it is unbiased. However, money