Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle

2004-01-05 Thread William Dickens
Sure it does if you think that high box office movies are also likely to be prize winners! Everybody wants to release their film at Christmas, but unless it is really really good you know that you are going to play second fiddle to the good movies. Thus you release at some other time if you

Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle

2004-01-05 Thread Dan Lewis
I think that's a bit backward. It's more likely that those who choose whatis released when want the ability to say nominated for six Golden Globes or ride the Oscar nomination of an actor/actress. Movies like Cold Mountain, Mystic River, and Lost in Translation aren't going to get the viewers

Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle

2004-01-05 Thread William Dickens
Sure it does if you think that high box office movies are also likely to be prize winners! Everybody wants to release their film at Christmas, but unless it is really really good you know that you are going to play second fiddle to the good movies. Thus you release at some other time if you

Re: Oscar Political Business Cycle

2004-01-05 Thread Robert A. Book
Bryan Caplan [EMAIL PROTECTED]: The Political Business Cycle story has not fared well empirically in recent years (though Kevin Grier has done interesting work on Mexico's PBC). But it seems overwhelming in the Oscars. It seems like roughly half of the big nominees get released in December.