Re: the answer is...

2004-12-18 Thread Christopher Auld
ck > > > > -Original Message- > > From: William Dickens [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > > Sent: Thursday, December 16, 2004 6:51 PM > > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > > Subject: Re: the answer is... > > > > > > >>> Cyril Morong <[EMAIL

Re: the answer is...

2004-12-18 Thread Robert A. Book
Blue areas. > > Walt Warnick > > -Original Message- > From: William Dickens [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] > Sent: Thursday, December 16, 2004 6:51 PM > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] > Subject: Re: the answer is... > > > >>> Cyril Morong <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

Re: the answer is...

2004-12-18 Thread Warnick, Walt
--reportedly, among the most striking cultural divides are white birth rates in Red areas vs. Blue areas. Walt Warnick -Original Message- From: William Dickens [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Sent: Thursday, December 16, 2004 6:51 PM To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Subject: Re: the answer is... >>> Cyr

Re: the answer is...

2004-12-16 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 12/16/04 6:52:22 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: >More rural states >vote Republican more and have lower income, education and test scores. >- >- Bill Dickens Iowa might be an outlier, but as I understand it they're above the national average in per capita income, have one of th

Re: the answer is...

2004-12-16 Thread Cyril Morong
Could there be some collinearity with education or educational attainment? If people with more education make more income (and were more likely to vote for Kerry), maybe something else is going on. I actually don't know if Kerry got more support from the best educated.  

Re: the answer is...

2004-12-16 Thread AdmrlLocke
In a message dated 12/16/04 4:12:28 PM, [EMAIL PROTECTED] writes: >The correlation between per-capita state income and Kerry vote >percentage is +.70. That makes Bill by far the most accurate of our >guessers. If you do a bivariate regression, every +$1000 of per cap >income is associated with +

the answer is...

2004-12-16 Thread Bryan Caplan
The correlation between per-capita state income and Kerry vote percentage is +.70. That makes Bill by far the most accurate of our guessers. If you do a bivariate regression, every +$1000 of per cap income is associated with +1.48 percentage points of Kerry share. Scatter plot with regression lin