Hide from friends, but not from enemies

on this will be found at: http://hanson.gmu.edu/openhide.html Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Now Bush to win 1.5:1

other institutions that on average do better? So far direction comparisons between markets and other institutions in the field have favored markets. And real and play money have come out about the same. But the jury is still out. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant

Re: Now Bush to win 1.5:1

about yesterday. But if you wait a few years, I'm sure the academics who did the previous studies will extend them to include this new data. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-

Kerry to win, 2.5 to 1

Tradesports, IEM, Betfair give Kerry a 71 to 74% chance to win. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Is Manipulation Good?

Since the precedent has been set, let me advertise my new paper: --- http://hanson.gmu.edu/biashelp.pdf Manipulators Increase Information Market Accuracy by Robin Hanson and Ryan Oprea, March 2004

Re: why aren't we smarter?

plausibility. But you'd need to argue that the huge increase in IQ that has been documented during this last century isn't really an increase in intelligence. And doing that makes it harder to take Jewish IQ as relevant data. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor

Re: why aren't we smarter?

the questions of what exactly are the cues that our evolved minds use to figure out which topics they should act dumb on. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703

What's Wrong With Blood Feuds?

? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

by assumption the opportunity cost of humans is roughly the cost to feed them. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

of laborers is low and fat. The demand curve may rise to great heights, but eventually if falls down to meet such a low supply curve. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming (fwd)

than 11 people trying to plow with hand tools. I'm not sure why taht's so hard to believe. Also possible, but perhaps surprising. 11 people are lots clever than one. So the returns to being clever must be very low here. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor

Re: Economics and E.T.s (fwd)

. The costs of colonizing should fall drastically in a million years. Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323

Re: Horses and Subsistence Farming

as ten people, or is it that they can eat foods that are cheaper than food humans can live on? Robin Hanson [EMAIL PROTECTED] http://hanson.gmu.edu Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030- 703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323