Re: Posturing...

2010-11-14 Thread Euan Ritchie

 I wonder if the reason the USSR was engaging in
 brinkmanship was less for imperialism and exporting
 communism, than  from fear of the U.S. threat.  
 Looked at strategically, the USSR was surrounded by 
 enemies.  America had bases in Japan, Turkey, Europe, 
 etc. When Castro invited Russia to put nukes in Cuba, 
 it was seen as a threat within our hemisphere.  Sort 
 of a double standard, isn't it?

You may recall part of the resolution of Cuba was an acknowledgement by
the U.S they would not replace U.S missles in Turkey when they
obsoltered later in the year. In that part Cuba was a small success for
the U.S.S.R.

The U.S.S.R had good reason to worry about it's borders. Most of the
wealthier world had sent troops to support the Tsar against the
revolution and leaders of the new state had personal experience of the
willingness of other nations to stick oars in their affairs.

U.S troops were only some of those supporting the White Russian cause in
Russian territory for years (little known details of the foreign
intervention include how long it persisted) .


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Brin: Arguing Doesn't Work: Fact Vs Belief

2010-11-14 Thread KZK
More evidence of how badly designed the brain is.  I can only add a 
truism: It’s cheap to maintain Lies and expensive to maintain Trvth.


http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=128490874f=1014sc=tw


New research suggests that misinformed people rarely change their minds 
when presented with the facts — and often become even more attached to 
their beliefs. The finding raises questions about a key principle of a 
strong democracy: that a well-informed electorate is best.


...

CONAN: And when facts are readily available, why are they not enough to 
change people's minds?


Mr. NYHAN: Well, the problem is, you know, as human beings, we want to 
believe, you know, the things that we already believe. And so when you 
hear some information that contradicts your pre-existing views, 
unfortunately, what we tend to do is think of why we believed those 
things in the first place.


And, you know, so when, you know, we get these corrections, we tend to 
say I'm right, and I'm going to stick with my view. And the thing that 
my research, which is with Jason Reifler at Georgia State University, 
found is that in some cases, that corrective information can actually 
make the problem worse.


http://www-personal.umich.edu/~bnyhan/nyhan-reifler.pdf


Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's 
even remotely true.

--Homer J. Simpson

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Re: Brin: Arguing Doesn't Work: Fact Vs Belief

2010-11-14 Thread William T Goodall

On 14 Nov 2010, at 11:14, KZK wrote:

 More evidence of how badly designed the brain is.  I can only add a truism: 
 It’s cheap to maintain Lies and expensive to maintain Trvth.
 
 http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=128490874f=1014sc=tw
 
 
 New research suggests that misinformed people rarely change their minds when 
 presented with the facts — and often become even more attached to their 
 beliefs. The finding raises questions about a key principle of a strong 
 democracy: that a well-informed electorate is best.
 

This is why it is futile to argue with religionists.

-- 
William T Goodall
Mail : w...@wtgab.demon.co.uk
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk 
Blog : http://blog.williamgoodall.name/

 The word god is for me nothing more than the expression and product of human 
weaknesses, the Bible a collection of honourable, but still primitive legends 
which are nevertheless pretty childish. - Albert Einstein






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Re: Brin: Arguing Doesn't Work: Fact Vs Belief

2010-11-14 Thread KZK

On 11/14/2010 10:39 AM, William T Goodall wrote:


On 14 Nov 2010, at 11:14, KZK wrote:


More evidence of how badly designed the brain is.  I can only add
a truism: It’s cheap to maintain Lies and expensive to maintain
Trvth.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=128490874f=1014sc=tw





New research suggests that misinformed people rarely change their
minds when presented with the facts
— and often become even more attached to their beliefs. The
finding raises questions about a key principle
of a strong democracy: that a well-informed electorate is best.



This is why it is futile to argue with religionists.



That is obvious.  Anyone who professes a belief in something unprovable 
(or provably false) is a denialist.


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Re: Brin: Arguing Doesn't Work: Fact Vs Belief

2010-11-14 Thread David Hobby

KZK wrote:

On 11/14/2010 10:39 AM, William T Goodall wrote:

...

This is why it is futile to argue with religionists.



That is obvious.  Anyone who professes a belief in something unprovable 
(or provably false) is a denialist.


This isn't really a fair criticism.  Religious belief
is often explicitly said by its adherents to be done in
the absence of evidence.  At least that's how I interpret
Hebrews 11:1 Now faith is the substance of things hoped
for, the evidence of things not seen.

Once they've ceded that, using evidence to argue for or
against religious belief is probably pointless.  Arguments
like that may well sharpen one's thinking, but are unlikely
to change one's beliefs.

---David

Not even as big as a mustard seed, Maru.

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Re: Brin: Arguing Doesn't Work: Fact Vs Belief

2010-11-14 Thread Michael Harney
Dawkins addresses this a bit in his book _The God Delusion_.  
Evolutionarily, it makes sense.  Children cannot afford to disbelieve 
things that are told to them by elders.  Doing so means consuming 
poisonous things or getting too close to lions or other dangerous 
predators.  So the person commits what was told to them in childhood to 
their model of the world.  Again, it is evolutionarily dangerous to 
question this model no matter how much false information that model 
contains.  For example, If you are taught growing up that eating red 
berries will kill you or make you very sick, you will avoid red 
berries.  If you heard a story from someone saying that they ate 
delicious red berries and nothing bad happened to them, you would not 
believe it as the risk associated with believing them and eating red 
berries is literally life or death.  If you actually see someone eating 
red berries, you would see them as foolish and maybe even try to stop 
them.  Even if nothing happens to that person, chances are that you will 
still not risk eating the red berries.  This is especially true if it is 
a stranger rather than someone you trust.  You have to be confronted 
with multiple instances of people eating red berries with no dangerous 
effects or pressured by someone that you trust before you will risk 
eating them yourself.


Meaning, people are willing to add facts to their knowledge, but are 
inclined to disbelieve those facts if they are from strangers (people 
who think or look differently than they do).  Worse yet, it is a precept 
in most belief systems that unquestioning faith is a virtue rather than 
a liability.  If a person is not willing to genuinely weigh and 
reconsider their world view, they are likely to see any facts contrary 
to their beliefs as either wrong or downright deception meant to mislead 
them (Creationists rejection of astronomy evidence of the age of the 
universe and rejection of evolution are prime examples).  Worse, as 
people tend to surround themselves with people of similar belief, others 
in their group whom they trust will reinforce their irrational beliefs.



On 11/14/2010 4:14 AM, KZK wrote:
More evidence of how badly designed the brain is.  I can only add a 
truism: It’s cheap to maintain Lies and expensive to maintain Trvth.


http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=128490874f=1014sc=tw 




New research suggests that misinformed people rarely change their 
minds when presented with the facts — and often become even more 
attached to their beliefs. The finding raises questions about a key 
principle of a strong democracy: that a well-informed electorate is best.


...

CONAN: And when facts are readily available, why are they not enough 
to change people's minds?


Mr. NYHAN: Well, the problem is, you know, as human beings, we want to 
believe, you know, the things that we already believe. And so when you 
hear some information that contradicts your pre-existing views, 
unfortunately, what we tend to do is think of why we believed those 
things in the first place.


And, you know, so when, you know, we get these corrections, we tend to 
say I'm right, and I'm going to stick with my view. And the thing that 
my research, which is with Jason Reifler at Georgia State University, 
found is that in some cases, that corrective information can actually 
make the problem worse.


http://www-personal.umich.edu/~bnyhan/nyhan-reifler.pdf


Facts are meaningless. You could use facts to prove anything that's 
even remotely true.

--Homer J. Simpson

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Posturing

2010-11-14 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 I wonder if the reason the USSR was engaging in
 brinkmanship was less for imperialism and exporting
 communism, than  from fear of the U.S. threat.  

 Wouldn't a reasonable person analyze the stated US 
 policy towards the Soviet Union since about '48,and  
 look at the history between '48 and '62 since that
 time to see if the policy was actually being followed,
 or if the policy was a cover for more aggressive actions? 
 Dan M. 

sounds reasonable.  the US was in a more powerful position 
and followed a policy of containment.  the real wars were 
over trade and resources and mostly being fought through 
surrogates.  in the end the USSR age collapsed and was 
defeated by an arms race it could never win and would 
only result in mutually assured destruction if engaged.
Jon M



  

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Re: Brin-L domains

2010-11-14 Thread Nick Arnett
Hmmm... been away a few days and wrote to Jeroen when I saw this tonight...
but the mail bounced.  I guess it was a short window of opportunity?

No real money available, anyway, but I wouldn't mind having the list in one
of those domains.

Nick

On Thu, Nov 11, 2010 at 4:16 AM, Jeroen van Baardwijk jer...@brin-l.netwrote:

 Hi all!



 Temporarily resurfacing from lurker depth.



 I’m getting rid of my old life and am working my *ss of starting a brand
 new one. Brin-L is part of my old life, so:



 Would anyone be interested in buying the domain names Brin-L.com and
 Brin-L.net? Make me an off-list offer I can’t refuse!



 returning to lurker depth



 With regards,



 Jeroen “Now All I Need Is A New Identity” van Baardwijk

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