Re: Down with the government

2010-10-21 Thread John Williams
On Thu, Oct 21, 2010 at 12:43 AM, Charlie Bell char...@culturelist.org wrote:

 Small government and low taxation libertarians don't explain how these
 infrastructure services are to be maintained if the mechanisms for
 maintaining them are disbanded

Actually, quite a few libertarians do explain how that can be done. I
assume that either you disagree with the explanations you have
encountered, or that you have not read any significant libertarian
essays on the subject.

By the way, the Chris' post fits the definition of a troll much better
than anything I have posted recently, since it was not addressing any
points that had been made in the thread so far, did not appear to make
any effort to explain the change of subject or make a serious point,
but rather seemed designed to be inflammatory.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Troll_%28Internet%29
In Internet slang, a troll is someone who posts inflammatory,
extraneous, or off-topic messages in an online community, such as an
online discussion forum, chat room, or blog, with the primary intent
of provoking other users into a desired emotional response or of
otherwise disrupting normal on-topic discussion.

But I do not mean to complain about anyone trolling. I just wanted
Chris to clarify his point if he had one, or to find out if he did not
have a point.

And I only brought up trolling now because Charlie's behavior seems to
indicate a tendency to call a post a troll if he disagrees with the
opinion expressed, and to call a post worthwhile if he agrees with the
opinion expressed.

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-21 Thread David Hobby

John Williams wrote:
...

By the way, the Chris' post fits the definition of a troll much better
than anything I have posted recently, since it was not addressing any
points that had been made in the thread so far, did not appear to make
any effort to explain the change of subject or make a serious point,
but rather seemed designed to be inflammatory.

...

Wait a minute.  He wrote:
On Wed, Oct 20, 2010 at 6:26 AM, Chris Frandsen lear...@mac.com wrote:
  Sorry, Charlie, it seems the new angry crowd out there either 
think that roads and sewage systems just appear or that we pay too much 
for them.  We can all go back to dirt roads and septic systems, you know:-)

 

It's not that far off topic, definitely does make a
serious point, and is less inflammatory than many of
your recent comments.

---David

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread Charlie Bell

On 20/10/2010, at 8:45 AM, Dave Land wrote:

 On Oct 19, 2010, at 7:18 AM, anar...@gmail.com wrote:
 
 There's also people like me who figure I'll not see much, if anything out of 
 them but don't grouse too much about paying for those already in their 
 golden years.
 
 For many years, this is how I have understood Social Security: It's money I'm 
 giving to the self-proclaimed Greatest Generation.

Whereas in much of Europe, it's just tax you pay knowing there's a health 
system and social security that is functional if, god forbid, you actually need 
it. Like you pay for roads, schools etc.

Charlie.
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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread Charlie Bell

On 20/10/2010, at 8:48 AM, John Williams wrote:

 
 On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 1:07 PM, Pat Mathews mathew...@msn.com wrote:
 Okay. Have it your way. We/they didn't save enough and consume health care 
 with reckless abandon. May you never be in the workplace where the clerk, 
 knowing that one must never, ever, consume health care one cannot afford, 
 comes to work with the flu.
 
 That is a poor example of reducing health care costs. Flu shots cost almost 
 nothing compared to expensive diagnostics (MRI, CT scans, etc.) or  major 
 surgeries. Also, paying for health care for the working is not a big problem, 
 but paying for decades of premium health care for the retired is a big 
 problem.

And *WHOOSH* did you miss Pat's point.

Point being, people who come to work ill 'cause they can't afford to take a day 
off 'cause they don't get sick leave and have to pay for the quack, so they 
turn up to work with the sniffles.

So they give everyone else what they have. Those people can't afford a day off 
either.

And production goes down. It's called presenteeism, and it costs companies. 
Maybe in the States they'll twig to this and providing a quota of sick leave 
and some reasonable health care insurance (in lieu of an actual health care 
system...) is beneficial in the long run.

Charlie.



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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread Chris Frandsen
Sorry, Charlie, it seems the new angry crowd out there either think that roads 
and sewage systems just appear or that we pay too much for them.  We can all go 
back to dirt roads and septic systems, you know:-)

chris Frandsen

On Oct 20, 2010, at 7:09, Charlie Bell char...@culturelist.org wrote:

 
 On 20/10/2010, at 8:45 AM, Dave Land wrote:
 
 On Oct 19, 2010, at 7:18 AM, anar...@gmail.com wrote:
 
 There's also people like me who figure I'll not see much, if anything out 
 of them but don't grouse too much about paying for those already in their 
 golden years.
 
 For many years, this is how I have understood Social Security: It's money 
 I'm giving to the self-proclaimed Greatest Generation.
 
 Whereas in much of Europe, it's just tax you pay knowing there's a health 
 system and social security that is functional if, god forbid, you actually 
 need it. Like you pay for roads, schools etc.
 
 Charlie.
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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread John Williams
On Wed, Oct 20, 2010 at 5:09 AM, Charlie Bell char...@culturelist.org wrote:

 Whereas in much of Europe, it's just tax you pay knowing there's a health 
 system and social security that is functional if, god forbid, you actually 
 need it. Like you pay for roads, schools etc.

I am not very familiar with how that works in Europe, but in the US,
that is not how it works. Most of the money for SS and MC is paid by
working people to support current retirees. Unfortunately, the
demographics and costs are such that those paying now will not receive
anything close to what they paid in, many years down the road when
they are finally able to retire.

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread John Williams
On Wed, Oct 20, 2010 at 5:14 AM, Charlie Bell char...@culturelist.org wrote:

 And *WHOOSH* did you miss Pat's point.

 Point being, people who come to work ill 'cause they can't afford to take a 
 day off 'cause they don't get sick leave and have to pay for the quack, so 
 they turn up to work with the sniffles.

No, you completely missed the point. Which is that paying for that
sort of health care for working people is not a problem. It is other,
premium health care for retired people that is making the system
unsustainable.

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread John Williams
On Wed, Oct 20, 2010 at 6:26 AM, Chris Frandsen lear...@mac.com wrote:
 Sorry, Charlie, it seems the new angry crowd out there either think that 
 roads and sewage systems just appear or that we pay too much for them.  We 
 can all go back to dirt roads and septic systems, you know:-)


Was this supposed to have the slightest relevance to the conversation?
Or are you just inserting totally random comments?

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 19, 2010, at 9:46 AM, Dan Minette wrote:

When I talked about this last year with the Google people, they  
said that

they still believed that you got more dollars for your money hiring
engineers in Mountain View than in Durham or Austin.



They could be wrong, but I wouldn't lay long odds on it...


I'm curious.  Do they pay starting engineers $250k/year, and still  
think
that Berkley and Stanford are so much better than every other  
engineering
school in the nation that it's worth it?  If they don't pay that  
kind of

money, how can a engineer have a house and family?


They probably don't pay them that kind of money: I know, because I have
hired experienced engineers for much less than that. I make much less  
than

that with 20-some years experience. Then again, maybe I'm just a really
bad negotiator.

I paid half what my house is worth, but with refinancing and upgrades  
over
the years, my mortgage is above 3/4 of the current Zillow estimated  
value
of the property, so I can tell you that you can afford to live here on  
far,
far less than $250K/year. You just have to understand that you'll  
accumulate

debt doing so :-(.

Dave


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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread Chris Frandsen
John;
My bad. You were right, just  a random misplaced thought. Back to lurking.

learner
On Oct 20, 2010, at 9:43 AM, John Williams wrote:

 On Wed, Oct 20, 2010 at 6:26 AM, Chris Frandsen lear...@mac.com wrote:
 Sorry, Charlie, it seems the new angry crowd out there either think that 
 roads and sewage systems just appear or that we pay too much for them.  We 
 can all go back to dirt roads and septic systems, you know:-)
 
 
 Was this supposed to have the slightest relevance to the conversation?
 Or are you just inserting totally random comments?
 
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down with the government

2010-10-20 Thread Jon Louis Mann

My bad. You were right, just  a random misplaced thought. Back to lurking.

 Sorry, Charlie, it seems the new angry crowd out there either think that 
 roads and sewage systems just appear or that we pay too much for them.  We 
 can all go back to dirt roads and septic systems, you know:-)

 Was this supposed to have the slightest relevance to the conversation?
 Or are you just inserting totally random comments?

not random at all, chris don't be bullied into lurking. what you said is very 
relevant to how angry tea baggers want to close down government services, 
except for the defense industry.
jon m.


  

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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Julia
The old people don't equate to the old culture.  There's a fairly large
intersection of the two, but neither is a subset (proper or improper) of the
other.

Old people, or more to the point, their lobbies (think AARP) wield a fair
amount of political power right now.  That's where the Social
Security/Medicare untouchability comes from.  The old culture is losing
cultural ground and trying to make up for it by seizing whatever political
ground it can.

Julia

-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of John Williams
Sent: Monday, October 18, 2010 11:42 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government

I'm curious, if the old culture is in such decline, why are Social Security
and Medicare still untouchable? There is no way, with the current system,
that today's young and middle-aged are going to get as much out of the
system as they put in. It is a giant Ponzi scheme. So if the old are so
powerless, why doesn't the system get reformed to be more age-equitable?



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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread John Williams
On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 6:35 AM, Julia ju...@zurg.net wrote:
 The old people don't equate to the old culture.  There's a fairly large
 intersection of the two, but neither is a subset (proper or improper) of the
 other.

I understand that, but as you say, there's a fairly large
intersection of the two.
I agree, which is why I posed my question. I don't think the fact that
there is not a perfect correspondence of old culture with old
people answers my question.

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread anarien
There's also people like me who figure I'll not see much, if anything out of 
them but don't grouse too much about paying for those already in their golden 
years.  

  - jmh

Sent from my iPhone

On Oct 19, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John Williams jwilliams4...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 6:35 AM, Julia ju...@zurg.net wrote:
 The old people don't equate to the old culture.  There's a fairly large
 intersection of the two, but neither is a subset (proper or improper) of the
 other.
 
 I understand that, but as you say, there's a fairly large
 intersection of the two.
 I agree, which is why I posed my question. I don't think the fact that
 there is not a perfect correspondence of old culture with old
 people answers my question.
 
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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Pat Mathews

Besides which, we greedy geezers will pass our ill-gotten wealth down to you 
hard-pressed Xers and your children in due time via the normal process of 
inheritance, if the medical bills needed to keep us functioning don't eat every 
last bit of it up. 


http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/







 From: ju...@zurg.net
 To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
 Subject: RE: Down with the government
 Date: Tue, 19 Oct 2010 08:35:21 -0500
 
 The old people don't equate to the old culture.  There's a fairly large
 intersection of the two, but neither is a subset (proper or improper) of the
 other.
 
 Old people, or more to the point, their lobbies (think AARP) wield a fair
 amount of political power right now.  That's where the Social
 Security/Medicare untouchability comes from.  The old culture is losing
 cultural ground and trying to make up for it by seizing whatever political
 ground it can.
 
   Julia
 
 -Original Message-
 From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
 Behalf Of John Williams
 Sent: Monday, October 18, 2010 11:42 PM
 To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
 Subject: Re: Down with the government
 
 I'm curious, if the old culture is in such decline, why are Social Security
 and Medicare still untouchable? There is no way, with the current system,
 that today's young and middle-aged are going to get as much out of the
 system as they put in. It is a giant Ponzi scheme. So if the old are so
 powerless, why doesn't the system get reformed to be more age-equitable?
 
 
 
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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread John Williams
On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 8:41 AM, Pat Mathews mathew...@msn.com wrote:

  Besides which, we greedy geezers will pass our ill-gotten wealth down to
 you hard-pressed Xers and your children in due time via the normal process
 of inheritance, if the medical bills needed to keep us functioning don't eat
 every last bit of it up.

 Not greedy, in most cases, just poor financial planners / lack of
understanding of future costs vs. savings. As demonstrated by the above
comment.

As a group, Americans nearing the age they expect to retire have saved far
too little to support themselves and their care until they die (which is a
lot longer now than it was 50 years ago).  In the aggregate, there is not
going to be wealth, ill-gotten or otherwise, to pass on. The reverse,
actually.
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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Brad DeLong
Better engineers, and more of them?

Lots of Stanford and Berkeley engineering graduates to hire?

When I talked about this last year with the Google people, they said that
they still believed that you got more dollars for your money hiring
engineers in Mountain View than in Durham or Austin.

They could be wrong, but I wouldn't lay long odds on it...

Yours,

Brad DeLong



On Fri, Oct 15, 2010 at 1:23 PM, Dan Minette danmine...@att.net wrote:


 BTW, I think that California has just seen the tip of
 the iceberg with regards to its problems.  For example, why should someone
 build a new high tech enterprise in pricy San Jose instead of cheap
 Raleigh-Durham or Austin?

 California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
 another factor of before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
 can debate. :-)

 Dan M.


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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Dan Minette



From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Brad DeLong
Sent: Tuesday, October 19, 2010 11:21 AM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government

Better engineers, and more of them?

Lots of Stanford and Berkeley engineering graduates to hire?

When I talked about this last year with the Google people, they said that
they still believed that you got more dollars for your money hiring
engineers in Mountain View than in Durham or Austin.

They could be wrong, but I wouldn't lay long odds on it...

I'm curious.  Do they pay starting engineers $250k/year, and still think
that Berkley and Stanford are so much better than every other engineering
school in the nation that it's worth it?  If they don't pay that kind of
money, how can a engineer have a house and family?

Dan M. 


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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Pat Mathews

There is NO WAY an ordinary wage-earner could have saved enough to cover the 
sort of insurance-inflated medical bills common today. Call around and ask what 
various procedures and prescription medications cost. I have insurance because 
I worked for a University. A lot of people were unable to get work with people 
who offer insurance at that level. Call around and ask what these procedures 
and meds cost for someone without insurance. 

Then make a budget that allows for rent, food, transportation, etc AND savings 
at that level. 


http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/







Date: Tue, 19 Oct 2010 09:14:56 -0700
Subject: Re: Down with the government
From: jwilliams4...@gmail.com
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com

On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 8:41 AM, Pat Mathews mathew...@msn.com wrote:






Besides which, we greedy geezers will pass our ill-gotten wealth down to you 
hard-pressed Xers and your children in due time via the normal process of 
inheritance, if the medical bills needed to keep us functioning don't eat every 
last bit of it up. 


Not greedy, in most cases, just poor financial planners / lack of understanding 
of future costs vs. savings. As demonstrated by the above comment.

As a group, Americans nearing the age they expect to retire have saved far too 
little to support themselves and their care until they die (which is a lot 
longer now than it was 50 years ago).  In the aggregate, there is not going to 
be wealth, ill-gotten or otherwise, to pass on. The reverse, actually.




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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Alberto Monteiro

Bruce Bostwick wrote:
 
 In other words, we have a continuing culture ware against a backdrop  
 of change that is rapidly making the old culture obsolete.
 
 Well put.  I might add that the old culture is becoming at least  
 vaguely aware of their increasing marginality, irrelevance, and  
 obsolescence, and doesn't like it at all ..
 
I think this has been said before. Was it Cicero? No, probably
some ancient summerian said it earlier.

Alberto Monteiro


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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread John Williams
On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 10:06 AM, Pat Mathews mathew...@msn.com wrote:

  There is NO WAY an ordinary wage-earner could have saved enough to cover
 the sort of insurance-inflated medical bills common today.


If true, then by what magic of aggregation can a group of such people afford
something that most individuals cannot afford?

There are only two possibilities I can think of:

(1) A fraction of the group members have saved a great deal, enough to
support the rest of the group

(2) A different group will pay to support the group that did not save enough


The problem with (1) is that I think even if you confiscated all of the
excess savings of those who have saved enough for themselves, you still
would not have enough to take care of all those who did not save enough.

The problem with (2) is how does the other group save enough to support
themselves as well as support the first group? It is either a giant Ponzi
scheme that will eventually collapse, or you are relying on some innovations
that reduce care costs in the future, something which has not happened so
far despite many advances -- people always want more and better life, and
they have tended to choose that over freezing the status quo and reducing
the costs.
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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Dan Minette
There is NO WAY an ordinary wage-earner could have saved enough to cover
the sort of insurance-inflated medical bills common today.

If true, then by what magic of aggregation can a group of such people
afford something that most individuals cannot afford?

There are only two possibilities I can think of:

(1) A fraction of the group members have saved a great deal, enough to
support the rest of the group

(2) A different group will pay to support the group that did not save
enough

I have tended not to answer you John because I have not been able to solve
the problem of dialog with you.  Whenever I use facts or correlations to
support an argument you point to the causal density of economics (not your
term but a neat term I found explaining why social sciences aren't science)
to state that there is no way to use data to point to conclusionseven if
the data is so simple as people getting negative interest from T-Bills shows
an extreme flight to safety.

But, in this case, we have an obvious solution.  Medical costs are
skyrocketinguniquely so in the United States.  People in the medical
field are making enormous amounts of money, compared to their contemporaries
in other developed countries.  While folks have heard horror stories about
medical care in the UK and Canada, etc. surveys of satisfaction with care
get greater percentages of people who are satisfied in those countries than
in the USso they can't be all that worse.

So, a single payer system, with the right of rich people to spend whatever
extra that they want which pays the going rate for medical care in every
other developed country would cost a lot less money.  It's the threat of
doctors to go to Blue Cross, which presently pays much more (my sister who
bills for her husband who's a physician says he gets about $120 from Blue
Cross, $80 from Medicare, and $40 from Medicade for the exact same service)
that keeps the government dolling out the money at high rates (well the high
voting percentages of the elderly who are scared of this actually does it). 

If we paid primary care physicians $100k/year, specialists $130k/year, and
about as much as every other developed country for all the other parts of
medical care, as well as required malfeasance for malpractice, we'd be able
to reverse the inflation in Medicareand have costs in line with what is
affordable.

As for Social Security, if we capped the highest SS payment to inflation
instead of the increase in the average income,  and got back on the
GDP/capita growth rate of 1960-2005 (number picked out of my head, not
cherry picked.  Pick any other two dates between 1940 and 2007 which are at
least 30 years apart, and I'll be happy to use that.)  SS taxes would
actually be able to go down in 30 years with ZPG.  We had a big discussion
on this here around 2005 and the numbers are pretty easy to crank out.

So, that's the other option.  The real problem, as I see it, is that the GDP
growth from 2000-2008 was mostly tied to the housing bubble and bank
profits.  If you look at jobs growth from 1939-2010, and take a mean
percentage growth per year as the baseline, you will see the US starting to
fall off the baseline in 2001.  The last 3 years have been very bad, but
real growth stopped when the internet bubble burst.

Dan M. 


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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread John Williams
On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 11:01 AM, Dan Minette danmine...@att.net wrote:

 I have tended not to answer you John because I have not been able to solve
 the problem of dialog with you.  Whenever I use facts or correlations to
 support an argument you point to the causal density of economics (not your
 term but a neat term I found explaining why social sciences aren't science)
 to state that there is no way to use data to point to conclusionseven if
 the data is so simple as people getting negative interest from T-Bills shows
 an extreme flight to safety.

Your difficulty is caused by your belief that a few simple data points
can accurately predict how a complex system will behave in the future.
You refuse to accept that it cannot be so. If it were so, then there
would be people who consistently predict things like the unemployment
rate or the chances of Fannie Mae blowing up. But what we actually see
are the experts rarely getting their predictions correct, such as
this:

http://michaelscomments.wordpress.com/2010/07/02/june-2010-unemployment-numbers-theyre-real-and-theyre-spectacular/

 But, in this case, we have an obvious solution.

It may be an obvious thing to do, but it is not obviously a solution
to the problem of how to pay for the best medical care for Americans.

 While folks have heard horror stories about
 medical care in the UK and Canada, etc. surveys of satisfaction with care
 get greater percentages of people who are satisfied in those countries than
 in the USso they can't be all that worse.

Satisfaction surveys (for all areas) are notorious for being
unreliable. The results depend on how you ask the question. And it is
never clear what you are actually measuring. One well-known phenomenon
is that people tend to respond to these things relatively -- if they
are better off than their neighbor, then they are happy. But that
makes the results of happiness surveys difficult to interpret, since
each person may be measuring relative to a different benchmark.

I prefer to consider more objective measurements for judging health
care quality. For example, 5-year-survival-rates for a given serious
disease.

 If we paid primary care physicians $100k/year, specialists $130k/year, and
 about as much as every other developed country for all the other parts of
 medical care, as well as required malfeasance for malpractice, we'd be able
 to reverse the inflation in Medicareand have costs in line with what is
 affordable.

Are you suggesting that we prohibit by law anyone from paying doctors
more than your proposed amounts? If so, I would strongly oppose such a
law. I find the idea of putting someone in jail because they paid a
doctor too much to be reprehensible.

If you mean that we should create a two-tiered health care system, one
where the doctors agree to treat the national health-care plan people
and to have a salary cap, and a premium tier for those doctors who do
not want a salary cap and for those who can afford to pay their rates,
well. I do not find that as repellant as the first option, but I do
not think it will work. The people in the lower tier will be always
clamoring for the higher quality, higher cost care of the higher tier,
and so the costs will keep rising quickly, just as they are now.

 As for Social Security, if we capped the highest SS payment to inflation
 instead of the increase in the average income,

I agree it is a good idea, but it is not a new idea. The fact that the
Carter administration changed it despite objections about the
unsustainability, and that it has not been fixed yet, makes me wonder
what the chances are that it will be done now.

  and got back on the
 GDP/capita growth rate of 1960-2005 (number picked out of my head, not
 cherry picked.  Pick any other two dates between 1940 and 2007 which are at
 least 30 years apart, and I'll be happy to use that.)

I hope that GDP growth can return to that rate, but it seems we have a
long way to go to get there from here.

  The real problem, as I see it, is that the GDP
 growth from 2000-2008 was mostly tied to the housing bubble and bank
 profits.  If you look at jobs growth from 1939-2010, and take a mean
 percentage growth per year as the baseline, you will see the US starting to
 fall off the baseline in 2001.  The last 3 years have been very bad, but
 real growth stopped when the internet bubble burst.

Yup.

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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Pat Mathews

Okay. Have it your way. We/they didn't save enough and consume health care with 
reckless abandon. May you never be in the workplace where the clerk, knowing 
that one must never, ever, consume health care one cannot afford, comes to work 
with the flu.


http://idiotgrrl.livejournal.com/







Date: Tue, 19 Oct 2010 10:24:36 -0700
Subject: Re: Down with the government
From: jwilliams4...@gmail.com
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com

On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 10:06 AM, Pat Mathews mathew...@msn.com wrote:






There is NO WAY an ordinary wage-earner could have saved enough to cover the 
sort of insurance-inflated medical bills common today.

If true, then by what magic of aggregation can a group of such people afford 
something that most individuals cannot afford?


There are only two possibilities I can think of:

(1) A fraction of the group members have saved a great deal, enough to support 
the rest of the group

(2) A different group will pay to support the group that did not save enough



The problem with (1) is that I think even if you confiscated all of the excess 
savings of those who have saved enough for themselves, you still would not have 
enough to take care of all those who did not save enough.


The problem with (2) is how does the other group save enough to support 
themselves as well as support the first group? It is either a giant Ponzi 
scheme that will eventually collapse, or you are relying on some innovations 
that reduce care costs in the future, something which has not happened so far 
despite many advances -- people always want more and better life, and they have 
tended to choose that over freezing the status quo and reducing the costs.




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Culture wars (was Down with the government)

2010-10-19 Thread Jon Louis Mann
I'm not saying that everything coming out of Garrett's interview with Bernanke 
is not worth considering only because of his party affiliation.  I am saying 
that from my perspective his agenda sucks, so I am judging him by his group, as 
far as that goes.  These are people who know how to twist facts, take what 
people say out of context, and interrupt them before they can verbalize a 
rational reply (Bill O'Reilly could teach Garrett a thing or two!~)   To see 
what I mean, just watch Fox Noise, the most popular news program in the world.  
They REALLY know how to use emotional, ad hominem attacks and straw man 
arguments!~)

As for wasteful spending by the government, BOTH political parties engage in 
wasteful spending, BUT they have different priorities.  One party wastes money 
on administrating entitlements and the other on the defense industry 
bureaucracy.  

On the other hand, much of corporate spending (of stockholder profits) is 
targeted for rewarding the executives, which they don't consider wasteful.  
After all, it is their job to increase profits, no matter how it affects, the 
environment, job creation, etc.

One of the jobs of the corporate elite is to protect their destructive 
priorities to waste the environment.  Therefore, in order to recruit 
mainstream, gawd fearing, true blue Americans to their Tea Party cause, they 
question whether Obama is really American (those thinly veiled racist, viral 
e-mails) label health care as a further descent into socialism (but not defense 
spending) and taking our government back, from those lazy, welfare parasites 
(some truth to that!~).

Change is always scary for traditional fundamentalist conservatives.  They 
fight it by promulgating good old fashioned family values.  They nationalize 
patriotism, preach that (in the bible) marriage is only for opposite sexes, 
etc.  They advocate a gun in every holster, fear and hatred of The Other (non 
whites) and good old greed for the NEW American dream (not for that house, 
anymore, but to be good little units of consumption!~)

These industrialist capitalists capitalized on Marxist divisions how to make 
the transition from an agrarian to an industrial society and made sure the 
monopolists controlled the means of production.  They blamed undocumented 
workers for taking away American jobs while hiring them to clean their homes, 
etc.

Turns out Marx was right about a lot of things; too bad his standard bearers 
are only human and susceptible to demagoguery and corruption, like everyone 
else.

Some of the progress for human rights is being reversed, but pendulum swings 
are part of the process of change.  Two steps forward, one step back.  I expect 
the Republicans will stage a temporary comeback, and the Tea Party will elect 
some nut jobs, but they will be ridiculed and laughed at by 2012.  That may be 
Obama's plan. 

I don't agree that Social Security and Medicare are untouchable; reform is 
needed in billing for sure so  insurance fraud is stringently prosecuted, 
pharmaceutical companies are held to reasonable profit margins, and  preventive 
care is practiced, etc.  By the time today's young reach retirement age they 
will inherit a reformed system that is cost effective and age-equitable.  Right 
now AARP is one of those systems that is feeding off the status quo; they are 
also a business.  

I paid more pre-inflation dollars into Social Security than I will be getting 
out of it, but I'm OK with that;  I lived in a time when wages were decent and 
was able to set some aside because I knew what was coming.  It didn't take that 
much foresight to figure out world population would quadruple in my lifetime, 
so I lived like a monk, worked two jobs, bought 40 acres of land and own my 
home outright.  

Good thing I have Social Security because my annuities, 401Ks, mutual funds, 
and pension plans are in the tank.  I will continue to live like a monk and 
hold off retirement til I'm 70, so my Social Security will double, hopefully 
enough to meet inflation.  


Unfortunately I won't be leaving anything to my sons as I plan to liquidate 
everything and set up a trust for Alcor.  I just hope it isn't just another 
scam and there isn't a complete collapse of civilization so the electricity 
isn't turned off!~)
Jon M



  

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 19, 2010, at 7:18 AM, anar...@gmail.com wrote:

There's also people like me who figure I'll not see much, if  
anything out of them but don't grouse too much about paying for  
those already in their golden years.


For many years, this is how I have understood Social Security: It's  
money I'm giving to the self-proclaimed Greatest Generation.


Dave



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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread John Williams
On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 1:07 PM, Pat Mathews mathew...@msn.com wrote:

  Okay. Have it your way. We/they didn't save enough and consume health care
 with reckless abandon. May you never be in the workplace where the clerk,
 knowing that one must never, ever, consume health care one cannot afford,
 comes to work with the flu.


That is a poor example of reducing health care costs. Flu shots cost almost
nothing compared to expensive diagnostics (MRI, CT scans, etc.) or  major
surgeries. Also, paying for health care for the working is not a big
problem, but paying for decades of premium health care for the retired is a
big problem.
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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread Bruce Bostwick
On Oct 19, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John Williams jwilliams4...@gmail.com  
wrote:

On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 6:35 AM, Julia ju...@zurg.net wrote:
The old people don't equate to the old culture.  There's a  
fairly large
intersection of the two, but neither is a subset (proper or  
improper) of the

other.


I understand that, but as you say, there's a fairly large
intersection of the two.
I agree, which is why I posed my question. I don't think the fact that
there is not a perfect correspondence of old culture with old
people answers my question.


It's not an absolute correlation.

I fit many people's profile of old people.  Maybe only by a few  
years, but I'm definitely at least partially stuck in that cubbyhole.


But I'm pretty far out on the bleeding edge of new culture, at least  
in the sense of this current cultural conflict, and plan to stay there  
as long as possible.  And I know people far more into the age range of  
what's culturally considered old people who are at least as many  
sigmas out from the mean in my direction as I am, if not more.   
Granted, my corner of the Venn diagram is a lonely one, but it's not  
completely uninhabited ..


Almost nothing that trickles down is fit to consume. -- Davidson Loehr


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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-19 Thread John Williams
On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 3:03 PM, Bruce Bostwick
lihan161...@sbcglobal.net wrote:
 On Oct 19, 2010, at 8:53 AM, John Williams jwilliams4...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Tue, Oct 19, 2010 at 6:35 AM, Julia ju...@zurg.net wrote:

 The old people don't equate to the old culture.  There's a fairly
 large
 intersection of the two, but neither is a subset (proper or improper) of
 the
 other.

 I understand that, but as you say, there's a fairly large
 intersection of the two.
 I agree, which is why I posed my question. I don't think the fact that
 there is not a perfect correspondence of old culture with old
 people answers my question.

 It's not an absolute correlation.

Didn't I just agree with that in the text quoted above? I don't
understand your point.

My point, to borrow Julia's phrasing, is that since there is a fairly
large intersection of the two (but not a perfect correlation), that
the old people and the old culture should have approximately equal
political power. Then I picked a political issue (SS, MC) that old
people are generally in favor of, but which young and middle-aged
people should favor much less, and asked why, if the old culture has
so little power, they appear to have control of the issue.

I don't believe any of the replies so far have directly addressed my
question. The closest thing I saw was the implication that young
people don't really care about the costs (and I'm not sure I believe
that, anecdotal evidence notwithstanding).

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Back to the Plantation!~(was Down with the Government)

2010-10-18 Thread Jon Louis Mann
I'm no expert, but it almost seems as if both parties are in on it together and 
taking turns while the pendulum swings more and more to the right.  

I dunno if the entire financial system would have collapsed if there were no 
bailout, and I'm not saying that a depression was what the country needed, 
although it may yet happen. 

Nor am I saying the government should do nothing; they should help out the 
small people.  Those with more assets invested than was insured are better 
able to make up their losses. 

The government can bail out my losses, and down with AIG!~)  As long as these 
corporations run things their way, it will be business as usual and they'll 
keep getting their bonuses, etc. 

Seriously:
http://www.dollarsandsense.org/archives/2010/0310alperovitzdaly.html
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/10/17/world/asia/17japan.html
and...
http://www.columbia.edu/~lnp3/mydocs/computers/technical_inheritance.htm

Get me some of that electric Kool Aid!  I agree with Dan about the Tea 
Baggers.  Those fockers can't wait to return the country to laissez faire 
capitalism!  No minimum wage, no employer paid pension plans, health insurance, 
etc.  

No public education, but a powerful military ain't socialism.  It's there in 
the constitution, so that makes it okay to run up a deficit to pay for Bush's 
wars.  Good way to keep the economy going til the bill comes due and you can 
turn the government over to that black guy...  

They way things are going those connoisseurs of Earl Grey may yet get their way 
and start massacring strikers again.  Maybe even bring back child labor. What 
an even better world that would be for the elite!~{

Hey, I'm no fan of Bernanke, but that Congressman, Garrett, would not let the 
poor guy finish his answers!


  

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Re: Back to the Plantation!~(was Down with the Government)

2010-10-18 Thread Alberto Monteiro

Jon Louis Mann wrote:
 
 They way things are going those connoisseurs of Earl Grey may yet 
 get their way and start massacring strikers again.  Maybe even bring 
 back child labor. What an even better world that would be for the elite!~{
 
Talking about child labor... What about France? It seems that _they_
will have to bring back child labor, because the mature people
don't want to work.

Alberto Monteiro

PS: for those who are interested, Brazil came up with a nice
solution to the retirement problem, and it's _not_ killing
old people.


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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-18 Thread Damon Agretto
I don't know if the Tea Party is a manufactured political movement, but one
thing I feel certain about, it's titular head Sarah Palin is exploiting it
for all it's worth. I can't imagine she would do anything that would not
ultimately benefit her bank account.

One thing about the Tea Party: if it was REALLY about small(er)government,
local issues decided by local governments, etc. I could get behind it. But
it seems to me that much of the anti-intellectualism of the Republicans
migrated here.
Damon.
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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-18 Thread Kevin O'Brien

 On 10/15/2010 4:23 PM, Dan Minette wrote:


-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
Sent: Friday, October 15, 2010 1:54 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government


Leftists should recognize the right has a valid
argument about wasteful government spending.
I would argue that the right (the one that was in power anyway) was
the one doing all the wasteful spending.  The idea that the right is
fiscally conservative _in practice_ is a farce.  I'm not saying that
the left has it completely correct either, far from it, but if you
vote for the GOP because you want to curb wasteful spending, you're
barking up the wrong tree.

That's what makes the Tea Party so interesting.  They are actually small
government believers.  I don't say I agree with them, I have strong
differences with them, but their candidates do have a self-consistent
message.  I think most folks at their rallies don't think through their
viewpoints.
I think a little historical perspective can be helpful here. I don't 
think there is any argument against the fact that some government 
spending is wasteful, just as some corporate spending is wasteful, some 
private family spending is wasteful, etc. Simply saying that is not 
particularly insightful, but I cannot take seriously a claim that the 
Tea Party represents a disagreement about spending levels and 
priorities. When large numbers of people start questioning whether Obama 
is really American, when the Republican health care plan from 1993 is 
now described as a descent into socialism, and a totally white group of 
people start talking about taking OUR country back, you have to face 
the fact that this is much deeper than a budget disagreement.


What I think is really going on is that we are going through a period of 
rapid and intense change, and a whole lot of people want to stop this 
and turn the clock back. I think we all know it is not going to happen, 
long term, but in the short term a lot of fear and anger (and that is 
what the Tea Party really represents) can perhaps cause a hiccup on the 
path we're headed on. It is not a new phenomenon. One could compare the 
current moment to the transition from an agrarian to an industrial 
society a century ago. A way of life that most people thought would last 
forever was disappearing before people's eyes, and being replaced by 
something strange and unnatural. Then ,as now, people looked for a 
scapegoats who could be portrayed as un-American. This was also the 
first period of intense anti-Immigrant agitation . Only then it was not 
Mexicans. In my family I grew up hearing stories about signs in the 
windows of Boston establishments Help Wanted - No Irish Need Apply. 
The changes that are coming are pretty clear. Whites will be a minority 
in America in a few decades. Young people today not only are much less 
racially biased, they also don't see the point of homophobia, they tend 
to think women and men should work together more equally, etc. And they 
came out in force to help elect the first black President in 2008. In 
other words, we have a continuing culture ware against a backdrop of 
change that is rapidly making the old culture obsolete. And I would 
suggest the economic difficulties, which are very real, are best 
understood within this context, as just another example of everything 
going haywire. The Republican party is basically the party of old white 
folks, and there are fewer of them every day.


I don't think they will win in the long run. In my lifetime, I saw 
people lynched in the South, and we now have our first black President. 
The numbers of women in top positions is generally increasing, even if 
some of them make me wince (Sarah Palin). But it is still a notable 
change. And there is no doubt in my mind that if we had not elected our 
first black President in 2008, we would have elected our first female 
President (Hillary Clinton). And I don't see much of that progress being 
reversed, even if the Republicans stage a temporary comeback.


There are some notable things about this year that are very interesting. 
Thew first is that while the Republicans are likely to take over the 
House of Representatives in this election, their approval rating is 
still abysmal, and in fact lower than Democrats. The second is that the 
policies the Republicans advocate are not very popular. In particular I 
am struck by the fact that the general concept of health care reform is 
about even in the polls, but if you poll on the specific measures within 
the legislation they poll much higher. What that tells me is that this 
election is not about polices, it is about Stop the world, I want to 
get off. And that is something the Republicans simply cannot deliver.


Regards,

--
Kevin B. O'Brien TANSTAAFL
zwil...@zwilnik.com  Linux User #333216

Re: Down with the government

2010-10-18 Thread Bruce Bostwick

On Oct 18, 2010, at 7:50 PM, Kevin O'Brien wrote:

In other words, we have a continuing culture ware against a backdrop  
of change that is rapidly making the old culture obsolete.


Well put.  I might add that the old culture is becoming at least  
vaguely aware of their increasing marginality, irrelevance, and  
obsolescence, and doesn't like it at all ..





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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-17 Thread Doug Pensinger
Dan Minette

 That's what makes the Tea Party so interesting.  They are actually small
 government believers.  I don't say I agree with them, I have strong
 differences with them, but their candidates do have a self-consistent
 message.  I think most folks at their rallies don't think through their
 viewpoints.

I have nothing but contempt for the tea party.  For all appearances
they are people with shrill voices and no real ideas and their leaders
and candidates are consummate idiots.  I suspect that a large
percentage of them are people that, not having voted or having any
particular interest in politics prior to, woke up on November 5, 2008
and were outraged when they found out that there was going to be a
n***er in the white house.

Well, they didn't do it in '08, and I'm still optimistic about this
year.

 I'm not.  Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight.com has been pretty good at analysis
 and they point to a Republican house and the Democratic lead in the Senate
 down to 52-48 as the average number.  He was within 2 electoral votes last
 time, he was a sabermetrics guru and his posts have the feel of good
 technical analysis.

 It's the economy, stupid, and this is the worst rebound from a recession
 since the Great Depression.  I think this is outside of either party's
 control; the best that can be done is to support something that will help
 over the next decade.  BTW, I think that California has just seen the tip of
 the iceberg with regards to its problems.  For example, why should someone
 build a new high tech enterprise in pricy San Jose instead of cheap
 Raleigh-Durham or Austin?

 California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
 another factor of before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
 can debate. :-)

Well I hope they don't move anymore businesses here because the
freeways are more crowded than they have ever been.   I wouldn't put
money on prices going down much more.  You can move a building to
Detroit.  Moving the talent and the silicon valley dynamic is another
question.

Doug

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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-17 Thread Dan Minette


-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
Sent: Sunday, October 17, 2010 2:08 AM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government

Dan Minette

 That's what makes the Tea Party so interesting.  They are actually small
 government believers.  I don't say I agree with them, I have strong
 differences with them, but their candidates do have a self-consistent
 message.  I think most folks at their rallies don't think through their
 viewpoints.

I have nothing but contempt for the tea party.  For all appearances
they are people with shrill voices and no real ideas and their leaders
and candidates are consummate idiots.  

Well, with all due respect, Doug, I think you are insulated (either by not
listening or not being around) from folks who tend to join the tea party.  I
know a couple who are at the forefront of supporting it here. She works for
next to nothing having developed a school that teaches kids the local public
school has rejected.  Many of them are kids with great potential and
learning disabilities.  

I've argued with the other person a lot, and found we agree on a number of
topics, including the need for social justice.  He just believes that
government is just the good 'ol boy system run amuck, and that government
programs are mostly a waste.  We differ, sometimes strongly, but I usually
don't have contempt for someone just because I differ with them.  In fact,
if you look at the demographics of tea party members, you will see that they
are usually fairly well educated, above average in income, and have been
modestly involved in the political process for years.  It's a right wing
anti-elite movement.  Again, I have profound differences with them, but I
try to understand and respect folks I differ with, as well as see if there
is any common ground.  



I wouldn't put money on prices going down much more.  You can move a
building to Detroit.  Moving the talent and the silicon valley dynamic is
another question.

Well, my experience with Silicon Valley companies, and I've had one as a
customer, is that, with the exception of Pixar and Steve Job's marketing
genius they are aging companies and not cutting edge any more.  I'd match
the talent and dynamics in the Austin research corridor and the Golden
Triangle against Silicon Valley for coming up with something truly new.

For example, even though Joule is run by Bostonians, it located its first
pilot plant in the Austin area.  Synthetic biology is centered in Boston.
I'm not sure where nanotech is.

Look at just a 6% mortgage on a 2000 sq. ft. house for a young engineer.  It
costs about 60k/year for the interest alone, and would require a 100k down
payment.  You'd have to pay an engineer 4x what you'd pay them in Austin or
the Research Triangle.

That's why both places are booming high tech. areas.  Baby boomers who
bought their house 20 years ago can manage...they have tax protection.  But,
how is a young upper middle class family going to plant roots in that area.
So, unless you thing the great new ideas will come from only old folks, then
SF will lack buyers.  You can see it in unemployment, with SF's rate 2%
higher than Austin's.  With 9%-10% unemployment the new norm, high priced
areas will be for investment bankers and family money folks.

Dan M. 


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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-17 Thread Max Battcher

On 10/17/2010 05:44 PM, Dan Minette wrote:

I've argued with the other person a lot, and found we agree on a number of
topics, including the need for social justice.  He just believes that
government is just the good 'ol boy system run amuck, and that government
programs are mostly a waste.  We differ, sometimes strongly, but I usually
don't have contempt for someone just because I differ with them.  In fact,
if you look at the demographics of tea party members, you will see that they
are usually fairly well educated, above average in income, and have been
modestly involved in the political process for years.  It's a right wing
anti-elite movement.  Again, I have profound differences with them, but I
try to understand and respect folks I differ with, as well as see if there
is any common ground.


I think this is where I have many of my most head explosion-causing 
difficulties with the Tea Party movement: it seems obviously to me, as 
a Daily Show viewer if nothing else, that the Tea Party is a whole lot 
of astroturfing. The grass roots are plastic and artificial. The Tea 
Party, to me at least, seems like a very cynical media play on the part 
of people well and deeply tied into the classic good ol' boy system 
pretending that don't have ulterior motives and aren't (knowingly) 
playing a possibly dangerous/explosive game of dirt, destruction, 
implicit racism, and explicit class warfare...


Perhaps it is just me, but how is the Tea Party's anti-elite movement 
truly any different from the anti-intellectual/anti-elite class-baiting 
garbage the existing Republican party has spewed the last few election 
cycles?


How is the Tea Party's confused stance on libertarianism that much 
different from the classic Republican/Right Wing confusion of/with 
libertarianism?


Why are there such weird blind spots in the Tea Party's elite radar? 
Why does the anti-elitism streak fail to strongly and deeply question 
its leadership, its money, or its media mouthpieces?


The Tea Party looks, smells, and sounds a lot like a designed and 
constructed media/marketing strategy to me. I can see where some of the 
individual candidates/supporters may actually be speaking what they 
believe, but I have a hard time seeing the movement as a whole as 
self-consistent or even at times adequately self-aware (except in 
worrying instances of possibly deeply self-conscious artifice).


Honestly, I can't help but worry that the Tea Party is nothing more than 
a constructed entity designed to virally produce some of the same grass 
roots voting patterns such as the work done by once-obscure actual grass 
roots groups like Move On on the left, except without any of the 
intended altruism nor the real substance of an actual, ground-based 
grass roots movement... Instead they've managed to inherit plenty of the 
existing right wing stockpiles of Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt. How are 
they any different from politics as usual or the classic good ole boy 
system? Just because they've given it a new name doesn't mean it is 
some new thing...


But then, maybe I just don't understand the Tea Party as a movement at 
all. Maybe I'm too elite to get it, I suppose.


--
--Max Battcher--
http://worldmaker.net

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Down with the government!

2010-10-16 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 I would argue that the right (the one that 
 was in power anyway) was doing all the 
 wasteful spending.  T
 if you vote for the GOP because you want to 
 curb wasteful spending, you're barking up the
 wrong tree.
 Doug fingers crossed

I was NOT arguing you should vote for the GOP (just 
opposite) but they are right about some criticisms 
of the left.  Of course they are hypocrites; defense
spending had a lot to do with Bush's huge deficit.
Both parties voted to bail out corporations that 
should have been allowed to fail.

I hope you are correct that many people in the center 
do not want to return th GOP to power.

 We are still putting everything on credit card

 the progressives are offering no real solutions.  

I agree and I think the lively conversations have 
disappeared partly because people feel alienated 
and powerless.  There are lively conversation on 
David's FB page.  

What difficulties are there that don't fit into the
left or right wing polarizing box?
 
Flaming is a problem.   The trolls are up to their 
usual tricks, even on David's FB page, where participants
tend to supplement and reinforce each other.

 California has put itself in a box and I'd expect 
 housing prices to drop another factor before it 
 can start to rebound. 
 Dan M.

I see housing prices going down further in Calif. 
We have a way to go to catch up with other areas.
I think the economy is years away from rebounding.  
If Prop 19 passes the state should invest in industrial 
grow of medical marijuana, rather than let the tobacco 
companies 'harvest' all the profit!~)
Jon M


  

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RE: Down with the government!

2010-10-16 Thread Dan Minette
Both parties voted to bail out corporations that 
should have been allowed to fail.

I'm not sure why you think the main argument against letting banks fail is
false.  It is that the financial system as a whole could have collapsed if
there was no intervention.

There were measures that a panic and a bank run was about to set in.  When
the biggest insurance company in the world fails, then it is reasonable to
assume that one's insurance policies have uncertain value.  When values are
uncertain, prudent people take the lower limit.

If you look at measures of the uncertainty, like the spread in the interest
rates with corporate AA notes vs. corporate AAA notes, or that short term
T-bills started earning real negative interest (e.g. you paid money for the
right to hold money there), one couldn't dismiss the real possibility of a
full blown panic.  As it stands, the estimate of the bailout costs are now
down to $50 billion, as the government sells some of the assents it got in
the bailout at bargain prices at a higher price.

So, I'm really curious.  Do you believe that the empirical measures that
indicated a credit freeze was starting were false measures (e.g. the fact
that companies with AA ratings interest rates went from 0.25% higher than
AAA ratings to 6% higher, virtually overnight, has nothing to do with an
unwillingness to lend) or do you believe that a Depression was just what the
country needed, or that banks could fail without a massive downturn, or...?
I'm honestly curious what you think would have happened if the government
did nothing and just let the chips fall where they may.

Dan M. 


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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-16 Thread John Williams
On Sat, Oct 16, 2010 at 1:34 PM, Dan Minette danmine...@att.net wrote:

 I'm not sure why you think the main argument against letting banks fail is
 false.  It is that the financial system as a whole could have collapsed if
 there was no intervention.

Maybe he thinks it is false because it IS false. A lot of financial
company fat cats screamed for help to their cronies in Washington, and
of course, their old chums came to their rescue. What's a trillion in
taxpayer dollars between friends?

By the way, he said corporations. Why do you immediately assume he
was referring to banks? I know it is hard to keep track of all the
handouts the politicians gave to their cronies during their bailout
spree, but off the top of my head:

Fannie Mae
Freddie Mac
AIG
Bear Stearns
Citigroup
BoA
GM
Chrysler

Are you seriously going to argue that the failure to bailout all of
those would have led to disaster?

The politicians and their advisors have no clue about what would have
happened without the bailouts. He is an example of the predictive
ability of Obama's financial advisor:

The paper concludes that the probability of default by the GSEs is
extremely small. Given this, the expected monetary costs of exposure to
GSE insolvency are relatively small -- even given very large levels of
outstanding GSE debt and even assuming that the government would bear
the cost of all GSE debt in the case of insolvency. For example, if the
probability of the stress test conditions occurring is less than one in
500,000, and if the GSEs hold sufficient capital to withstand the stress
test, the implication is that the expected cost to the government of
providing an explicit government guarantee on $1 trillion in GSE debt is
less than $2 million.
--Peter R. Orszag, et al.  Implications of the New Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac Risk-based Capital Standard, in Fannie Mae Papers, Volume
1, Issue 2, March 2002.

Dan Minette wrote:
  As it stands, the estimate of the bailout costs are now
 down to $50 billion, as the government sells some of the assents it got in
 the bailout at bargain prices at a higher price.

Still drinking the Kool-aid, I see. I know there is little hope of you
seeing the truth, but I will give it a shot anyway.

The Fed has purchased over $1.5 Trillion in MBSs from Fannie and
Freddie, a large fraction of which are delinquent mortgages and
valued on the books significantly higher than the amount at which the
properties can be liquidated. And there are more big foreclosure waves
coming in late 2010 and in 2011. The FASB has helpfully suspended
rule 157, mark-to-market valuation, until at least 2013, allowing
substantial discretion in asset valuation. In other words, the asset
values currently on the books are pure fiction. You can get a decent
idea of the market value of many mortgages by checking the FDIC auctions
of mortgages it obtained from bank takeovers. Most of them are selling
well below 50 cents on the dollar.  What happens after 2012 when the
Treasury backing of the bad GSE loans goes away?

If a corporation engaged in this sort of fraud, the board and officers
would have been put in jail. But when the politicians do it, the gullible
think they are heroes saving the public!

Dan Minette wrote:
 I'm honestly curious what you think would have happened if the government
 did nothing and just let the chips fall where they may.

As I have explained to you before, there is a difference between
allowing the bad companies to fail, and doing nothing. Congress should
have passed emergency legislation streamlining the process for the bad
shareholder and bondholder debt to be stripped away, allowing the
solvent operating portion of the companies to be sold off, thus
allowing the useful portions of the companies to continue operating,
while properly penalizing the shareholders and bondholders who
imprudently allocated their capital.

I'll conclude with an excerpt from Ben Bernanke's Humphrey-Hawkins
testimony before Congress in July. He was questioned by New Jersey
Congressman Scott Garrett  of the House Financial Services Committee.

SCOTT GARRETT: You bought over a trillion dollars of GSE debt, and to
that point, under normal circumstances, on the Fed's balance sheet
what you have on there are Treasuries, or if you had anything else on
there, I assume you would have a repurchase agreement for those
securities on your balance sheet. Now of course around two-thirds of
that are in GSE debt.

BEN BERNANKE: Correct.

GARRETT: So right now, those are guaranteed - whether they're
sovereign debt or not, we don't know - but they're guaranteed by the
U.S. government. But they're only guaranteed to when? 2012, right?
After that, Congress may in its wisdom make another decision, and at
that point in time, you may be holding on your balance sheet - two
thirds of your balance sheet - something that is not guaranteed by the
Federal government. First of all, you don't have a ... do you have a
repurchase agreement on those with anyone? No.


Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 most Americans feel that we can balance the 
 budget without raising taxes by cutting waste  
 Dan M. 

Leftists should recognize the right has a valid
argument about wasteful government spending.
Jon
 
 I just can not believe that the opposition
 strategy of the big lie told over and over 

 I believe that cable news and talk radio, 
 controlled by right wing advocates, are the 
 major contributors, not the internet. 
 Chris F.

They all are.  Fox Noise and talk radio have the 
left whipped.  Progressives  are maintaining 
parity on the internet blogs; not on the viral 
spams, though.
Jon
  
 The point of wingnuts is that there are plenty 
 of crazies on the left and on the right, and
 leftists tend to believe leftist wingnuts,
 right winger tend to believe right wingnuts.
 
 I'd be happy to start a discussion of how we 
 need to face unpleasant facts.  But, I don't
 think all is lost.
 Dan M.
 
the right-wingnuts are much better are swaying
the electorate, however.
Jon



  

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Leftists should recognize the right has a valid
 argument about wasteful government spending.

I would argue that the right (the one that was in power anyway) was
the one doing all the wasteful spending.  The idea that the right is
fiscally conservative _in practice_ is a farce.  I'm not saying that
the left has it completely correct either, far from it, but if you
vote for the GOP because you want to curb wasteful spending, you're
barking up the wrong tree.


 They all are.  Fox Noise and talk radio have the
 left whipped.

Except for Jon Stewart, maybe.  The Daily Show kicks ass.

 Progressives  are maintaining
 parity on the internet blogs; not on the viral
 spams, though.

I miss the lively conversations we used to have here.

 the right-wingnuts are much better are swaying
 the electorate, however.

Well, they didn't do it in '08, and I'm still optimistic about this
year.   The way they're spinning it, unless the Republicans make huge
gains, they will have underperformed.  I think that there are signs
that many people in the center of the political spectrum are concerned
with giving a GOP that failed so miserably under Bush more power.

If the dems losses are moderate, the Republican's just say no
politics may be repudiated.

Doug
fingers crossed

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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Dan Minette


-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
Sent: Friday, October 15, 2010 1:54 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government

 Leftists should recognize the right has a valid
 argument about wasteful government spending.

I would argue that the right (the one that was in power anyway) was
the one doing all the wasteful spending.  The idea that the right is
fiscally conservative _in practice_ is a farce.  I'm not saying that
the left has it completely correct either, far from it, but if you
vote for the GOP because you want to curb wasteful spending, you're
barking up the wrong tree.

That's what makes the Tea Party so interesting.  They are actually small
government believers.  I don't say I agree with them, I have strong
differences with them, but their candidates do have a self-consistent
message.  I think most folks at their rallies don't think through their
viewpoints.



 Progressives are maintaining

Maintaining what?  We are still putting everything on a credit card as a
nation; the foundation of the job creation machine that was the US had it's
last gasp in the 2000 internet bubble, and the progressives are offering no
real solutions.  Part of it is not their fault, anyone who stated the
fundamental difficulties we faced and the real options we had would be
regulated to a fringe candidateor be electrocuted after touching 5
different third rails. 


I miss the lively conversations we used to have here.

They have disappeared elsewhere too.  Lord knows, I've tried to write posts
that I've thought about.  But, I noticed that my suggestions of fundamental
problems that both parties are ignoring seem to be ignored here.  I've done
analysis of this and see some difficulties that don't fit into either the
left wing or right wing polarizing box, so they tend to be ignored.  But, I
know if I found the time (with my wife working 70 hours/week trying to turn
a small church around and me working full time and spending hours trying to
help her time is hard to come by) it would be ignored or I'd be insulted
personally in response.  Most internet discussions are either flame wars or
self select for group thinkwhich leads to few posts.

 the right-wingnuts are much better are swaying
 the electorate, however.

Well, they didn't do it in '08, and I'm still optimistic about this
year.   

I'm not.  Nate Silver's fivethirtyeight.com has been pretty good at analysis
and they point to a Republican house and the Democratic lead in the Senate
down to 52-48 as the average number.  He was within 2 electoral votes last
time, he was a sabermetrics guru and his posts have the feel of good
technical analysis.

It's the economy, stupid, and this is the worst rebound from a recession
since the Great Depression.  I think this is outside of either party's
control; the best that can be done is to support something that will help
over the next decade.  BTW, I think that California has just seen the tip of
the iceberg with regards to its problems.  For example, why should someone
build a new high tech enterprise in pricy San Jose instead of cheap
Raleigh-Durham or Austin? 

California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
another factor of before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
can debate. :-)

Dan M.


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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Ronn! Blankenship

At 03:23 PM Friday 10/15/2010, Dan Minette wrote:


[snip]

California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
another factor of



?



before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
can debate. :-)

Dan M.




Something missing here . . .


. . . ronn!  :)



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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Trent Shipley
On 10/15/2010 05:15 PM, Ronn! Blankenship wrote:
 At 03:23 PM Friday 10/15/2010, Dan Minette wrote:

 [snip]

 California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
 another factor of


 ?


 before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
 can debate. :-)

 Dan M.



 Something missing here . . .


 . . . ronn!  :)



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The cost of living in California is still too high for it to compete
with other livable areas.  Therefore, no new business moves to
California, especially the bay area.  But if housing costs matched those
in the Plains or Appalachia then it would be more attractive to open a
business in California.  After all, a low cost of living is why New
England has weathered the Great Recession so well.

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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Dan Minette


-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Ronn! Blankenship
Sent: Friday, October 15, 2010 7:16 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: RE: Down with the government

At 03:23 PM Friday 10/15/2010, Dan Minette wrote:

[snip]

California has put itself in a box and I'd expect housing prices to drop
another factor of


2


before it can start to rebound.  Now, there's a topic we
can debate. :-)

Dan M.



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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-15 Thread Dan Minette
The cost of living in California is still too high for it to compete
with other livable areas.  Therefore, no new business moves to
California, especially the bay area.  But if housing costs matched those
in the Plains or Appalachia then it would be more attractive to open a
business in California.  After all, a low cost of living is why New
England has weathered the Great Recession so well.

I think you're righteven money, I'd rather be in San Francisco than
Austin...but there's a long way down to even money. In the high tech
corridor north of Austin friends of ours bought a nice newish house for 
$80 per square foot.  It's not in a bad neighborhood or anything, has nice
upgrades, etc. It's only about 20 minutes from a lot of high tech employers.
San Francisco is $550 per sq. ft., Berkley is $440, so there is a long way
to go, even if you think living in the bay area is worth twice the price.

Prices have to drop a factor of two.  In the new world we're living in
(trade deficit should be another half trillion this year), companies cannot
afford to hire engineers or programmers at salaries that allow them to live
in the Bay area.  

Dan M.


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Down with the government

2010-10-13 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 That's a tempting idea, but this article got  
 me thinking it is just not true.
 Small Change Why the revolution will not be 
 tweeted. by Malcolm Gladwell

http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/bios/malcolm_gladwell/search?contributorName=malcolm%20gladwell

 Read more
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell#ixzz12BH0HcYw
 
 Gladwell's observation is that social media is a 
 great place for people who don't want to put much
 energy into their activism.
 Nick

The article started out to say the opposite and that the Internet actually help 
organize revolts in Moldova and Iran, then it contradicted those claims, but 
not very convincingly.
It's probably true that my generation was more active without the Internet, but 
we had television.  I hitched cross country to attend every single anti-Vietnam 
moratorium. I was in Ohio in an 18 wheeler listening to CB radio chat about a 
demonstration at Kent state, so I had my ride let me out.  The campus was 
barricaded.  I hitched a ride to L.A. from some really freaked out 
organizers!~) 

One reason why this generation is less than enthusiastic about protesting the 
government is they feel powerless.  That's why they woke up briefly and got 
behind Obama.  There was tremendous buzz about him on the Internet and now 
there is apathy about his presidency.  Before that millions turned out to 
protest Bush's policies. 

Another reason for the lack of solidarity in America is people are growing 
weary of all the negativism and polarization.  They just want to nerd out 
online, play video games or watch Jersey Shore.  

Maybe I've wasted twenty years of my life advocating for a Virtual Town Hall.  
I think this will be my last election.
Jon


  

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Re: Down with the government

2010-10-13 Thread Chris Frandsen
I am enjoying these discussions just lurking around.  I am an example of a 
great many, I fear.
I got really involved in politics for the first time in my life working as a 
trainer in the Obama campaign.  Since then it seems that  I have been on 
sabbatical from life.  I just can not believe that the opposition strategy of 
the big lie told over and over using repostings of old claims recycled from 
before the election has worked to marginalize this very intelligent and capable 
president.  His inexperience can explain some disillusionment  but the vitriol 
thrown out using every media available is unprecedented in my lifetime.
I believe that cable news and talk radio, controlled by right wing advocates, 
are the major contributors, not the internet.  Email spam may have an effect. I 
suspect a poll of internet savvy voters would support rational policies and in 
general Obama. 

I agree with Dan M. and Pogo, I have met the enemy and he is us. I am trying 
hard to get up and moving to help reeducate the Fox Koolaid drinkers but it is 
difficult to stay motivated.

Chris F.


On Oct 13, 2010, at 2:28 PM, Dan Minette wrote:

 
 One reason why this generation is less than enthusiastic about protesting
 the government is they feel powerless.  
 
 Well, they are powerless to do what they want.  According to recent polls,
 most Americans feel that we can balance the budget without raising taxes by
 cutting waste alone.
 
 By cutting waste, they are not talking about that local program that creates
 jobs, national defense, Medicare, Social security, etc.  It's those folks
 over there wasting money.
 
 Wingnuts makes a fairly convincing argument that most Americans believe
 convenient falsehoods.  For example, most folks of the greatest generation
 believed that they put far more into Social Security and Medicare than they
 received.  I've pushed people on this and they fell to arguing that they
 would have invested in 3M, switched to Microsoft at the right moment, and
 then into Talbs funds if only they didn't pay those taxes.  
 
 I think Pogo is right.  We have met the enemy and he is us.  Remember, in
 the early '70s, Archie Bunker was closer to the average American than Abbie
 Hoffman. 
 
 Dan M. 
 
 
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RE: Down with the government

2010-10-13 Thread Dan Minette

I agree with Dan M. and Pogo, I have met the enemy and he is us. I am
trying hard to get up and moving to help reeducate the Fox Koolaid drinkers
but it is difficult to stay motivated.

The education is not just that, IMHO.  It's seeing the eschewing of hard
consequences from things one has been evaluating oneself.  I try to counter
this by finding intelligent, reasonable people with different points of
view.  For the last 10+ years I've had Dr. Mukunda to debate with, first on
this list, and then via IM when he felt it was time to leave here.  (I
usually don't drop titles, but his still squeaks it's so new).

The point of wingnuts is that there are plenty of crazies on the left and on
the right, and leftists tend to believe leftist wingnuts, right winger tend
to believe right wingnuts, and independents believe some combination,
depending on the circumstances.

Let me give you one example of something neither party is talking about.
There is a good reason new jobs are not being created now, and why few were
created under Bush II.  It's a hard problem to face, and any politician that
gave an honest assessment would lose any chance of election.

In short, I'd argue the government is so dysfunctional because it represents
national thinking well.

Now, that may be a bit overstated, but I'd be happy to start a discussion of
how we need to face unpleasant facts.  But, I don't think all is loss.  I
think China is very much like Japan in the '80s.

Dan M. 


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RE: Down with the government!

2010-10-12 Thread Dan Minette


-Original Message-
From: brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com [mailto:brin-l-boun...@mccmedia.com] On
Behalf Of Doug Pensinger
Sent: Monday, October 11, 2010 8:17 PM
To: Killer Bs (David Brin et al) Discussion
Subject: Re: Down with the government!

 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for
social issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also
affords more people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.
Moderated sites work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized
discourse.

As long as the moderator isn't a censor.

After 20 years of changes in internet groups, I think its reasonable to see
what really happens in internet forums.  Yes, there will be the rare
exception, but I've seen multiple postings that indicate that, when the
forums are used, they are trivial and decisions are based on rumors.  The
birther rumor is a good example of this.

Dan M. 


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Direct participatory democracy (was down with the government)

2010-10-12 Thread Jon Louis Mann

 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for
 brainstorming solutions for
 social issues, as you can take time to edit your
 comments. ?It also
 affords more people an opportunity to be less
 passive and have a voice.
 Moderated sites work best to stay on topic and
 maintain civilized discourse.

 As long as the moderator isn't a censor.
  Doug P

 After 20 years of changes in internet groups, 
 I think its reasonable to see
 what really happens in internet forums.  
 Yes, there will be the rare
 exception, but I've seen multiple postings 
 that indicate that, when the
 forums are used, they are trivial and 
 decisions are based on rumors.  The
 birther rumor is a good example of this. 
 Dan M.

That has been the case and there are worse examples.
What I am trying to do in Santa Monica is to have
the forums on the city website with participation
from city officials.  The topics would be on local 
issues and the moderators on each topic would be 
would be selected by participants to prevent any 
attempts to censor or slant the discussion.
Jon M



  

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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-12 Thread Nick Arnett
On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.comwrote:



 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for
 social issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords
 more people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated
 sites work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.


That's a tempting idea, but this article got me thinking it is just not
true.

Small ChangeWhy the revolution will not be tweeted.by Malcolm
Gladwellhttp://www.newyorker.com/magazine/bios/malcolm_gladwell/search?contributorName=malcolm%20gladwell
Read more
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell#ixzz12BH0HcYw

Gladwell's observation is that social media is a great place for people who
don't want to put much energy into their activism.

Nick

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell
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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-12 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 12, 2010, at 2:05 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:

On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 1:30 PM, Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.com 
 wrote:



Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions  
for social issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It  
also affords more people an opportunity to be less passive and have  
a voice.  Moderated sites work best to stay on topic and maintain  
civilized discourse.


That's a tempting idea, but this article got me thinking it is just  
not true.


Small Change
Why the revolution will not be tweeted.

by Malcolm Gladwell

Read more 
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell#ixzz12BH0HcYw

Gladwell's observation is that social media is a great place for  
people who don't want to put much energy into their activism.


Which makes it perfect for me.

Dave


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Re: DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-11 Thread Alex Gogan
BTW Jon,

This would be great internationally as well not just in the US,

If you want a bit of (free) adivce on websites, its what I do for a living
for my sins.

My Facebook and twit profile is alexgogan

Good luck with the project love the idea!

On Sat, Oct 9, 2010 at 7:41 PM, Jon Louis Mann net_democr...@yahoo.comwrote:

  I'm running because I want to oppose that system and give
  residents a voice in how those millions are spent with a
  virtual town hall forum on the city website, for
  transparency, and to hold city officials accountable.
  Jon

  You sound like the kind of guy I might just vote for,
  name recognition  or not!
  Dave

   Sounds like you got your priorities right to me. I
   wonder if you couldn't have run under your old name,
   or if people would just find that weird?
   Charlie

 Thanks guys, if anyone is interested they can follow my
 campaign by friending me on Facebook.  I am trying to
 figure out how to set up a website and am working on
 putting it on smartvoter.org.
 Jon




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Re: DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-11 Thread Alex Gogan
And there I was trying to add David as a Friend and Facebook say do I know
David Personally!!!

Well he doesn't know me but my bookshelf knows him very well :¬}

On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 12:38 AM, Dave Land dml...@gmail.com wrote:

 On Oct 10, 2010, at 3:45 PM, Dave Land wrote:

 Where would a guy find you on Facebook? Searching for
 Jon Louis Mann didn't cut it.


 Never mind. I remembered that you and I are both friends
 of some guy named David Brin.


 Dave



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Down with the government!

2010-10-11 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 This would be great internationally as well, 
 not just in the US.  If you want a bit of 
 (free) adivce on websites, its what I do for 
 a living for my sins.   
 My Facebook and twitter profile is alexgogan 
 Good luck with the project love the idea!

Thanks Alex I'll look you up.  I pop up on FB as Jon Mann on Dr. Brin's page.  
My e-mail address is net_democr...@yahoo.com

The concept of the electronic village is found in SF, especially if you've 
read Earth.  It's evolving on the internet as weblogs, etc.  The Internet 
enables discussions to be held online and provides a way for the people to 
gather together, allowing everyone speak their mind, discuss an issue, make a 
decision, and vote to have it carried out. It is a means to implement direct 
participatory democracy, as opposed to representative government.

Town halls can no longer work as they did in ancient times.  They are a 
function of the size of the group, which places limits on speaking time.  
Within the decision making process some people talk more than others.
   
Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for social 
issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords more 
people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated sites 
work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.


  

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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-11 Thread Doug Pensinger
 Electronic forums are the ideal venue for brainstorming solutions for social 
 issues, as you can take time to edit your comments.  It also affords more 
 people an opportunity to be less passive and have a voice.  Moderated sites 
 work best to stay on topic and maintain civilized discourse.

As long as the moderator isn't a censor.

Doug
I(ttb)AMoaC

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Re: DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-10 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 9, 2010, at 11:41 AM, Jon Louis Mann wrote:


I'm running because I want to oppose that system and give
residents a voice in how those millions are spent with a
virtual town hall forum on the city website, for
transparency, and to hold city officials accountable.
Jon



You sound like the kind of guy I might just vote for,
name recognition  or not!
Dave



Sounds like you got your priorities right to me. I
wonder if you couldn't have run under your old name,
or if people would just find that weird?
Charlie


Thanks guys, if anyone is interested they can follow my
campaign by friending me on Facebook.  I am trying to
figure out how to set up a website and am working on
putting it on smartvoter.org.


Where would a guy find you on Facebook? Searching for
Jon Louis Mann didn't cut it.

Dave



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Re: DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-10 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 10, 2010, at 3:45 PM, Dave Land wrote:


Where would a guy find you on Facebook? Searching for
Jon Louis Mann didn't cut it.


Never mind. I remembered that you and I are both friends
of some guy named David Brin.

Dave



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DOWN with the government!~)

2010-10-09 Thread Jon Louis Mann
 I'm running because I want to oppose that system and give
 residents a voice in how those millions are spent with a
 virtual town hall forum on the city website, for
 transparency, and to hold city officials accountable.
 Jon

 You sound like the kind of guy I might just vote for, 
 name recognition  or not! 
 Dave
 
  Sounds like you got your priorities right to me. I
  wonder if you couldn't have run under your old name, 
  or if people would just find that weird?
  Charlie

Thanks guys, if anyone is interested they can follow my 
campaign by friending me on Facebook.  I am trying to 
figure out how to set up a website and am working on 
putting it on smartvoter.org.
Jon


  

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Down with the government!

2010-10-08 Thread Jon Louis Mann
Tiririca was a TV clown, he ran for Congress. 
He won because he said things like Do you know 
what a Congressman does?  I don't know either. 
Put me there and I will tell you.

I am also running for political office, 
for the tenth time...~{

Good luck :-)
Alberto Monteiro

Proving the old adage, if at first you don't 
succeed, don't have the common sense to quit?
Dave

I was starting to get name recognition around the 6th or 7th campaign, then I 
got married, took my wife's name and had to start over from scratch.   
Incumbents almost always get re-elected and are usually put into office by the 
local political machine.  The one exception was Bobby Shriver, whose 
brother-in-law is the Governator.  

Most serious candidates raise at least $100,000, much of which comes from 
special interests; developers, realtors, city employees, etc. The job pays 
$12,000 a year but you have control over a budget of 554 MILLION bucks, for a 
city of 80,000!  

I'm running because I want to oppose that system and give residents a voice in 
how those millions are spent with a virtual town hall forum on the city 
website, for transparency, and to hold city officials accountable.
Jon



  

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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-08 Thread Dave Land

On Oct 8, 2010, at 2:31 PM, Jon Louis Mann wrote:


I am also running for political office,
for the tenth time...~{


Proving the old adage, if at first you don't
succeed, don't have the common sense to quit?


Of course, you understand that this was said in the friendliest way  
possible. Common sense might have told you to quit, but as your story  
shows, repeated attempts increase your name recognition.


I was starting to get name recognition around the 6th or 7th  
campaign, then I got married, took my wife's name and had to start  
over from scratch.



Sounds like you got your priorities right to me. I wonder if you  
couldn't have run under your old name, or if people would just find  
that weird?


Most serious candidates raise at least $100,000, much of which comes  
from special interests; developers, realtors, city employees, etc.  
The job pays $12,000 a year but you have control over a budget of  
554 MILLION bucks, for a city of 80,000!


I'm running because I want to oppose that system and give residents  
a voice in how those millions are spent with a virtual town hall  
forum on the city website, for transparency, and to hold city  
officials accountable.


You sound like the kind of guy I might just vote for, name recognition  
or not!


Dave



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Re: Down with the government!

2010-10-08 Thread Charlie Bell

On 09/10/2010, at 10:36 AM, Dave Land wrote:
 
 
 Sounds like you got your priorities right to me. I wonder if you couldn't 
 have run under your old name, or if people would just find that weird?

It's not uncommon for female careerists or politicians or authors or 
sportswomen to continue to work/run/publish/compete under their birth name even 
if they've legally taken their partner's name for all other purposes. As Jon 
has discovered, having to rebuild the name recognition is a handicap. So yes, 
he could've continued under his birth name. But now, 3 campaigns on, he'll have 
done a lot of the hard work in that rebranding.


Charlie.
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