Re: [cellml-discussion] New draft secondary specification: Uncertainty

2012-05-29 Thread Alan Garny
Hi Andrew,

I don't know for the others, but in my case it would certainly help me
understand your document better and, hopefully, provide you with more useful
feedback, if you were to give us some concrete examples of the type of
models that your specification document targets.

I appreciate that your document is 'only' a specification document and this
is why I am not suggesting to have those examples as part of the
specifications, just as a side document to help the readers/reviewers. 

Alan

 -Original Message-
 From: cellml-discussion-boun...@cellml.org [mailto:cellml-discussion-
 boun...@cellml.org] On Behalf Of Andrew Miller
 Sent: 29 May 2012 01:28
 To: cellml-discussion@cellml.org
 Subject: [cellml-discussion] New draft secondary specification:
Uncertainty
 
 Hi all,
 
 I've just put up a draft secondary specification on how we could represent
 parameter uncertainty within the context of my CellML 1.2 draft.
 
 The secondary specification can be viewed here:
http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-secondary-spec-uncertainty/
 The DocBook it is generated from can be checked out here:
https://github.com/A1kmm/cellml-uncertainty-secondary
 
 It is written against this draft CellML 1.2 specification:
 
 http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-normative-spec-andrews-
 preferred/
 It builds upon, and refers to, the draft secondary specification for
models of
 differential-algebraic equations with optional events, available here:
http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-secondary-spec-dae-events
 
 Best wishes,
 Andrew
 
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Re: [cellml-discussion] New draft secondary specification: Uncertainty

2012-05-29 Thread Michael Clerx

Dear all,

I'm glad to see uncertainty being taken into acount in cell models. 
Perhaps it would be worthwhile to add the scenario where no assumptions 
are made about the uncertainty and a parameter value is simply given by 
its upper and lower bounds.


kind regards,
  Michael

On 05/29/2012 01:28 AM, Andrew Miller wrote:

Hi all,

I've just put up a draft secondary specification on how we could 
represent parameter uncertainty within the context of my CellML 1.2 
draft.


The secondary specification can be viewed here:
  http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-secondary-spec-uncertainty/
The DocBook it is generated from can be checked out here:
  https://github.com/A1kmm/cellml-uncertainty-secondary

It is written against this draft CellML 1.2 specification:
  
http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-normative-spec-andrews-preferred/
It builds upon, and refers to, the draft secondary specification for 
models of differential-algebraic equations with optional events, 
available here:

  http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-secondary-spec-dae-events

Best wishes,
Andrew

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Re: [cellml-discussion] New draft secondary specification: Uncertainty

2012-05-29 Thread Andrew Miller

On 29/05/12 20:17, Michael Clerx wrote:

Dear all,

I'm glad to see uncertainty being taken into acount in cell models.
Perhaps it would be worthwhile to add the scenario where no assumptions
are made about the uncertainty and a parameter value is simply given by
its upper and lower bounds.


I agree that there needs to be some way to handle that scenario. 
However, it might be that in most cases where people do that, a uniform 
distribution with upper and lower bounds will suffice - it seems to me 
that saying a random variable is distributed uniformly between an upper 
and lower bound is an explicit statement that the modeller knows that 
the value falls in certain bounds, but has no reason to believe it is 
any more likely to fall in one place within those bounds than anywhere else.


Such distributions already have a precedent of being used in Bayesian 
statistics as uninformative prior distributions.


Best wishes,
Andrew



kind regards,
Michael

On 05/29/2012 01:28 AM, Andrew Miller wrote:

Hi all,

I've just put up a draft secondary specification on how we could
represent parameter uncertainty within the context of my CellML 1.2
draft.

The secondary specification can be viewed here:
http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-secondary-spec-uncertainty/
The DocBook it is generated from can be checked out here:
https://github.com/A1kmm/cellml-uncertainty-secondary

It is written against this draft CellML 1.2 specification:
http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-normative-spec-andrews-preferred/

It builds upon, and refers to, the draft secondary specification for
models of differential-algebraic equations with optional events,
available here:
http://www.cellml.org/Members/miller/draft-secondary-spec-dae-events

Best wishes,
Andrew

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Re: [cellml-discussion] [sbml-distrib] New draft secondary specification: Uncertainty

2012-05-29 Thread Lucian Smith
* Andrew Miller ak.mil...@auckland.ac.nz [2012-05-29 10:52] writes:
 On 29/05/12 20:17, Michael Clerx wrote:
  Dear all,
 
  I'm glad to see uncertainty being taken into acount in cell models.
  Perhaps it would be worthwhile to add the scenario where no assumptions
  are made about the uncertainty and a parameter value is simply given by
  its upper and lower bounds.
 
 I agree that there needs to be some way to handle that scenario. 
 However, it might be that in most cases where people do that, a uniform 
 distribution with upper and lower bounds will suffice - it seems to me 
 that saying a random variable is distributed uniformly between an upper 
 and lower bound is an explicit statement that the modeller knows that 
 the value falls in certain bounds, but has no reason to believe it is 
 any more likely to fall in one place within those bounds than anywhere else.

A uniform distribution is a huge assumption about a given range; I believe 
it would be not at all justified to make such an assumption by default.  
If the user knows that the value is distributed in a uniform linear 
fashion, they should be able to say that; likewise a uniform log or a 
normal or an Epanechnikov kernel.  But telling them they have to pick, or, 
worse, assuming you know when they didn't tell you is dangerous.

-Lucian
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