Begin forwarded message:
From: Mario Profaca <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: September 16, 2008 10:00:07 AM PDT
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [SPY NEWS] War à la carte
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http://www.australia.to/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=183:eric-walberg&catid=13:north-america&Itemid=36
<http://www.australia.to/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=183:eric-walberg&catid=13:north-america&Itemid=36
>
*War à la carte*
Eric WalbergThe US is inventing wars aplenty these days. Will it be Iran
or Ossetia this month? asks Eric Walberg
Last week, Georgia launched a major military offensive against the rebel
province South Ossetia , just hours after President Mikheil Saakashvili
had announced a unilateral ceasefire. Close to 1,500 have been killed,
Russian officials say. Thirty thousand refugees, mostly women and
children, streamed across the border into the North Ossetian capital
Vladikavkaz in Russia .
The timing — and subterfuge — suggest the unscrupulous Saakashvili was
counting on surprise. “Most decision makers have gone for the holidays,”
he said in an interview with CNN. “Brilliant moment to attack a small
country.” Apparently he was referring to Russia invading Georgia ,
despite the fact that it was Georgia which had just launched a
full-scale invasion of the “small country” South Ossetia, while Russian
Prime Minister Vladimir Putin was in Beijing for the Olympics.
Twenty-seven Russian peacekeepers and troops have been killed and 150
wounded so far, many when their barracks were shelled by Georgian forces
at the start of the invasion. Georgian State Minister for Reintegration
Temur Yakobashvili rushed to announce that their mini-blitzkreig had
destroyed ten Russian combat planes ( Russia says two) and that Georgian
troops were in full control of the capital Tskhinvali.
Russia’s Defense Ministry denounced the Georgian attack as a “dirty
adventure.” From Beijing , Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin said,
“It is regrettable that on the day before the opening of the Olympic
Games, the Georgian authorities have undertaken aggressive actions in
South Ossetia .” He later added, “War has started.” Russian President
Dmitry Medvedev vowed that Moscow will protect Russian citizens — most
South Ossetians hold Russian passports. The offensive prompted Moscow to
send in 150 tanks, to launch air strikes on nearby Gori and military
sites, and to order warships to Georgia ’s Black Sea coast.
Georgia’s national security council declared a state of war with Russia
and a full military mobilisation. US military planes are already flying
Georgia ’s 2,000 troops in Iraq — the third-largest force after the
United States and Britain — back to confront the Russians. By Sunday,
despite early claims of victory, Georgian troops had retreated from
South Ossetia , leaving diplomatic rubble behind which will be very hard
to clear. Truth is stranger than fiction in Georgia .
The writing has been on the wall for months. Georgian President
Saakashvili’s fawning over Western leaders at the “emergency” NATO
meeting in April and his pre-election anti-Russian bluster in May made
it clear to all that Georgia is the more-than-willing canary in the
Eastern mine shaft. The Georgian attack on South Ossetia’s capital
Tskhinvali — I repeat — just hours after Saakashvili declared a
cease-fire, looks very much like an attempt to reincorporate the rebel
province into Georgia unilaterally. But whoever is advising the brash
young president ignores the postscript — no pasaran! South Ossetia has
been independent for 16 years and is not likely to drape flowers on
invading Georgia tanks. It also just happens to have Russia as patron.
The aftershocks of this wild gamble by Saakashvili are just beginning.
This is Russia ’s most serious altercation with a foreign country since
the collapse of the Soviet Union and could escalate into an all-out war
engulfing much of the Caucasus region. Russian warships are not planning
to block shipments of oil from Georgia 's Black Sea port of Poti ,
Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin said on Sunday, but
reserve the right to search ships coming to and from it. Another source
naval source said, “The crews are assigned the task to not allow arms
and military hardware supplies to reach Georgia by sea.” The Russians
have already sunk a Georgian missile boat that was trying to attack
Russian ships. Upping the ante, Ukraine said it reserved the right to
bar Russian warships from returning to their nominally Ukrainian —
formerly Russian — base of Sevastopol , on the Crimean peninsula. On
Saturday, Russia accused Ukraine of “arming the Georgians to the teeth.”
Georgia's other separatist region, Abkhazia, was mobilising its forces
for a push into the Kodori Gorge, the only part of Abkhazia controlled
by Georgia . “No dialogue is possible with the current Georgian
leadership,” said Abkhazia’s President Sergei Bagapsh. “They are state
criminals who must be tried for the crimes committed in South Ossetia ,
the genocide of the Ossetian people.” Britain has ordered its nationals
to leave Georgia . British charity worker Sian Davis said, "It's really,
really quiet, eerily quiet. Everyone was either at home or had packed up
and moved out of the city. People are really, really scared. People are
panicking.” So far the more than 2,000 US nationals in this tiny but
strategic country are mostly staying put.
This is yet another made-in-the-USA war. US President George W Bush
loudly supported Georgia ’s request to join NATO in April, much to the
consternation of European leaders. NATO promised to send advisers in
December. Not losing any time, the US sent more than 1,000 US Marines
and soldiers to the Vaziani military base on the South Ossetian border
in July “to teach combat skills to Georgian troops.” The UN Security
Council failed to reach an agreement on the current crisis after three
emergency meetings. A Russian-drafted statement that called on Georgia
and the separatists to “renounce the use of force” was vetoed by the US
, UK and France . To dispel any conceivable doubt, Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice said Friday: “We call on Russia to cease attacks on
Georgia by aircraft and missiles, respect Georgia ’s territorial
integrity, and withdraw its ground combat forces from Georgian soil.”
But it’s also yet another made-in-Israel war. A thousand military
advisers from Israeli security firms have been training the country's
armed forces and were deeply involved in the Georgian army's
preparations to attack and capture the capital of South Ossetia ,
according to the Israeli web site Debkafiles which has close links with
the regime's intelligence and military sources. Haaretz reported that
Yakobashvili told Army Radio — in Hebrew, “ Israel should be proud of
its military which trained Georgian soldiers.” “We killed 60 Russian
soldiers just yesterday,” he boasted on Monday. “The Russians have lost
more than 50 tanks, and we have shot down 11 of their planes. They have
enormous damage in terms of manpower.” He warned that the Russians would
try and open another battlefront in Abkhazia and denied reports that the
Georgian army was retreating. “The Georgian forces are not retreating.
We move our military according to security needs.”
Israelis are active in real estate, tourism, gaming, military
manufacturing and security consulting in Georgia, including former Tel
Aviv mayor Roni Milo and Likudite and gambling operator Reuven Gavrieli.
“The Russians don't look kindly on the military cooperation of Israeli
firms with the Georgian army, and as far as I know, Israelis doing
security consulting left Georgia in the past few days because of the
events there,” the former Israeli ambassador to Georgia and Armenia ,
Baruch Ben Neria, said yesterday. Since his posting, Ben Neria has
represented Rafael Advanced Defense Systems in Georgia .
By Sunday, Putin was in Vladikavkaz and said it is unlikely South
Ossetia will ever be reintegrated into Georgia . There are really only
two possible scenarios to end the conflict: a long-term stalemate or
Russian annexation of South Ossetia . The former is beginning to look
pretty good, and Saakashvili is probably already ruing his rash move.
The Georgian president is clearly hoping he can suck the US into the
conflict. Alexander Lomaya, secretary of Georgia 's National Security
Council, said only Western intervention could prevent all-out war. But
it is very unlikely Bush will risk WWIII over this scrap of craggy
mountain.
When US puppets get out of line, like a certain Saddam Hussein, they are
easily abandoned. Saakashvili would be wise to recall the fate of the
first post-Soviet Georgian president, Zviad Gamsakhurdia, also a darling
of the US (in 1978 US Congress nominated him for the Nobel Peace Prize).
He rode to victory on a wave of nationalism in 1990, declaring
independence for Georgia and officially recognising the “Chechen
Republic of Ichkeria”. But South Ossetia wanted no part of the fiery
Gamsakhurdia’s chauvinistic vision and declared its own “independence”.
Engulfed by a wave of disgust a short two years later, abandoned by his
US friends, he fled to his beloved Ichkeria. He snuck back into western
Georgia , looking for support in restive Abkhazia, but his uprising
collapsed, prompting Abkhazia to secede.
Gamsakhurdia died in 1993, leaving the two secessionist provinces as a
legacy, and was buried in Chechnya . Saakashvili rehabilitated him in
2004 and had his remains interred in Mtatsminda Pantheon with other
Georgian “heroes”. Truth really is stranger than fiction in Georgia .
Now the burning question is: will history repeat itself?
*** Eric Walberg writes for Al-Ahram Weekly. You can reach him at
www.geocities.com/walberg2002/ <http://www.geocities.com/walberg2002/
<http://www.geocities.com/walberg2002/>>
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