Begin forwarded message:
From: "Alamaine, IVe" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: November 6, 2008 5:33:58 AM PST
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: [ctrl] How Wrong They Were
Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/0,1518,588819,00.html
11/06/2008 12:10 PM
THE ELECTION PROGNOSTICATORS
How Wrong They Were
"He cannot win," and other chestnuts. Remembering an election season
full of
fabulously wrongheaded predictions.
Bill Kristol, "Fox News Sunday" -- Dec. 17, 2006
"If (Hillary Clinton)gets a race against John Edwards and Barack
Obama, she's
going to be the nominee. Gore is the only threat to her ... Barack
Obama is not
going to beat Hillary Clinton in a single democratic primary. I'll
predict that
right now."
AFP
Banking on a Bradley effect turned out to be a disappointing strategy.
Karl Rove, "Fox News Sunday" -- Aug. 19, 2007
On Hillary Clinton: "The Democrats are going to choose a nominee. I
believe
it's going to be her. That's their business...But I think she's going
to be the
nominee."
Peter Mulhern, Real Clear Politics -- Oct. 1, 2007
"In this case conventional wisdom is not just wrong but comically so.
(Fred)Thompson will win the Republican nomination for two reasons.
First, he's
a very impressive candidate. Second, there's no realistic alternative.
He will
win the general election for the same two reasons."
Ann Coulter, "Hannity & Colmes" on Fox News -- Dec. 20, 2007
"I think it's probably going to be Romney for the Republicans, Hillary
for the
Democrats."
Jonah Goldberg, National Review -- Jan. 4, 2008
"I think it's worth imagining a certain scenario. Imagine the
Democrats do
rally around Obama. Imagine the media invests as heavily in him as I
think we
all know they will if he's the nominee -- and then imagine he loses. I
seriously think certain segments of American political life will become
completely unhinged. I can imagine the fear of this social unraveling
actually
aiding Obama enormously in 2008. Forget Hillary's inevitability. Obama
has a
rendezvous with destiny, or so we will be told. And if he's denied it,
teeth
shall be gnashed, clothes rent and prices paid."
Rudy Giuliani, the Washington Post -- Jan. 12, 2008
"We'll win Florida. It's an unconventional strategy, but I've never
followed
conventional wisdom before; it's always worked."
Hillary Clinton, ABC News -- April 3, 2008
A source with "direct knowledge" of Hillary to Bill Richardson
concerning
Obama: "He cannot win, Bill. He cannot win."
Pat Buchanan, MSNBC's "Hardball With Chris Matthews" -- May 21, 2008
On McCain's vice-presidential choice: "My guess is he's going to win
Florida by
himself. And Charlie Crist, of course, would seal it, but McCain will
win it by
himself. Jindal is a tremendously popular figure with conservatives.
He's a
traditionalist Catholic, Chris. But I just don't see McCain going to
Louisiana.
I agree with Norah on that. I think Romney is somewhat more likely
because I
think McCain is going to go north."
Rudy Giuliani, MSNBC's "Road to the White House" -- Aug. 6, 2008
"And when you look at the serious questions that face us, whether it's
energy
or the economy, or the war on terror, I think John McCain's experience
ends up
being something that will win the race for him."
President Bush, Republican National Convention -- Sept. 2, 2008
"We live in a dangerous world. And we need a president who understands
the
lessons of September 11, 2001: that to protect America, we must stay
on the
offense, stop attacks before they happen, and not wait to be hit
again. The man
we need is John McCain ... When the debates have ended and all the ads
have run
and it is time to vote, Americans will look closely at the judgment, the
experience, and the policies of the candidates -- and they will cast
their
ballots for the McCain-Palin ticket."
George Allen, the "Today" show -- Sept. 24, 2008
"I think Virginians are really getting fired up for this ticket of
McCain and
Palin ... but the key issues of Virginia: national security, energy
security,
lower taxes, and that's why I think ultimately John McCain will win
here in
Virginia."
Hugh Hewitt, Townhall.com -- Oct. 3, 2008
"So, despite the rapture of college students and the registration of the
homeless in Ohio, the common sense of Americans will override
curiosity about
Barack Obama and infatuation with his celebrity, and trust John McCain
to pilot
the country for the next four years ... America is a great and good
nation, and
it will not turn itself over to a party in the grip of its hardest
left cadres,
its most corrupt machine and its least experienced nominee ever.
Especially not
when it has a man of enormous courage and proven devotion and
sacrifice at the
ready to lead through difficult times."
Tom Ridge, CNN -- Oct. 28, 2008
"I believe we need to prevail in Pennsylvania for John to win. And I
think we
will ... I think John made an excellent choice. I've been with Gov.
Palin. I've
seen her energize the crowds. I know how the Republican Party and the
base
feels about her. John wasn't looking for a candidate to help in one
state, he
was looking for a candidate to help in all 50. I think he found that
running
mate."
Rush Limbaugh, interview with London Telegraph and on his radio
program -- Oct.
31, 2008
To London Telegraph: "I think (Obama has)been dead in the water since
the
primaries. He is going to need to be up 10 to 12 points to win by 3 or
4 ...
Don't forget that Hillary winning was a foregone conclusion, too. If
the polls
had been right it would have been Giuliani versus Hillary. That's why
polls a
year out are worthless."
On his radio program: "My gut hadn't been giving me any indication on
this
race, but it started talking to me last night ... Barack is headed
back to Iowa.
That should be a lock; it´s a dead heat ... Florida, Ohio and Nevada
look like
pretty good McCain certainties here. Obama still has to run ads in
California."
McCain advisor Charlie Black, as reported in Time -- Nov. 2, 2008
"McCain is in a good position to win every red state ... Plus he is
probably
going to win Pennsylvania and Iowa."
Carl Cameron, Fox News -- Nov. 3, 2008
"When you look at what's happened in the polls in Ohio, Virginia, North
Carolina and Florida -- they believe that they've strengthened.
Essentially,
the conservative districts in those states are now secured. That they
still
have a little bit of work to do, particularly in the much-vaunted GOP
ground
game: knocking on doors, making phone calls, lots of e-mails to shore
them up
entirely. But most of the red states they think they're now safe
in ... In
places like Pennsylvania, Ohio and Missouri expect a late night. No
quick calls
tomorrow.
Kathryn Jean Lopez, National Review -- Nov. 4, 2008
Shortly before Pennsylvania was called for Obama on Election Night,
Lopez wrote
on the Corner blog: "Barone ... throws serious cold water on the Pa.
calls."
Ed Morrissey, Washingtonpost.com -- Nov. 4, 2008
The Hot Air blogger predicted that John McCain would win 51 percent of
the
popular vote and beat Obama in the electoral vote 273-262. He also
predicted
that Al Franken would receive only 36 perecent of the vote in the
Minnesota
Senate race.
Dick Morris
Morris released a book in October 2005 titled "Condi vs. Hillary: The
Next
Great Presidential Race."
URL:
http://www.spiegel.de/international/zeitgeist/0,1518,588819,00.html
RELATED SPIEGEL ONLINE LINKS:
Yes He Could: Barack Obama Makes History by Winning the US Presidency
(11/05/2008)
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,588528,00.html
Obama's Historic Election Victory: The Resurrection of the American
Dream
(11/05/2008)
http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/0,1518,588554,00.html
Good Morning, Mr. President: What Europe Wants from Obama (11/05/2008)
http://www.spiegel.de/international/europe/0,1518,588190,00.html
Photo Gallery: The World Celebrates Obama Victory
http://www.spiegel.de/fotostrecke/fotostrecke-36835.html
© SPIEGEL ONLINE 2008
All Rights Reserved
Reproduction only allowed with the permission of SPIEGELnet GmbH
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Alamaine, IVe
Grand Forks, ND, US of A
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
"All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusion is called a
philosopher." - Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914)
"Being ignorant is not such a shame as being unwilling to learn." -
Poor Richard's Almanack, 1758 (Benjamin Franklin)
~~~~~~~
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