Abstract

Widely-used online "trust" authorities issue certifications without substantial verification of the actual trustworthiness of recipients. Their lax approach gives rise to adverse selection: The sites that seek and obtain trust certifications are actually significantly less trustworthy than those that forego certification. I demonstrate this adverse selection empirically via a new dataset on web site characteristics and safety. I find that TRUSTe-certified sites are more than twice as likely to be untrustworthy as uncertified sites, a difference which remains statistically and economically significant when restricted to "complex" commercial sites. I also present analogous results of adverse selection in search engine advertising - finding ads at leading search engines to be more than twice as likely to be untrustworthy as corresponding organic search results for the same search terms.

See http://www.benedelman.org/publications/advsel-trust-draft.pdf

Enjoy,
Aram Perez

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