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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A59403-2003Mar7.html
washingtonpost.com

Some Evidence on Iraq Called Fake
U.N. Nuclear Inspector Says Documents on Purchases Were Forged

By Joby Warrick
Washington Post Staff Writer
Saturday, March 8, 2003; Page A01

A key piece of evidence linking Iraq to a nuclear weapons program appears
to have been fabricated, the United Nations' chief nuclear inspector said
yesterday in a report that called into question U.S. and British claims
about Iraq's secret nuclear ambitions.

Documents that purportedly showed Iraqi officials shopping for uranium in
Africa two years ago were deemed "not authentic" after careful scrutiny
by U.N. and independent experts, Mohamed ElBaradei, director general of
the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), told the U.N. Security
Council.

ElBaradei also rejected a key Bush administration claim -- made twice by
the president in major speeches and repeated by Secretary of State Colin
L. Powell yesterday -- that Iraq had tried to purchase high-strength
aluminum tubes to use in centrifuges for uranium enrichment. Also,
ElBaradei reported finding no evidence of banned weapons or nuclear
material in an extensive sweep of Iraq using advanced radiation detectors.

"There is no indication of resumed nuclear activities," ElBaradei said.

Knowledgeable sources familiar with the forgery investigation described
the faked evidence as a series of letters between Iraqi agents and officials
in the central African nation of Niger. The documents had been given to
the U.N. inspectors by Britain and reviewed extensively by U.S.
intelligence. The forgers had made relatively crude errors that eventually
gave them away -- including names and titles that did not match up with
the individuals who held office at the time the letters were purportedly
written, the officials said.

"We fell for it," said one U.S. official who reviewed the documents.

A spokesman for the IAEA said the agency did not blame either Britain or
the United States for the forgery. The documents "were shared with us in
good faith," he said.

The discovery was a further setback to U.S. and British efforts to convince
reluctant U.N. Security Council members of the urgency of the threat
posed by Iraq's weapons of mass destruction. Powell, in his statement to
the Security Council Friday, acknowledged ElBaradei's findings but also
cited "new information" suggesting that Iraq continues to try to get
nuclear weapons components.

"It is not time to close the book on these tubes," a senior State
Department official said, adding that Iraq was prohibited from importing
sensitive parts, such as tubes, regardless of their planned use.

Iraqi President Saddam Hussein pursued an ambitious nuclear agenda
throughout the 1970s and 1980s and launched a crash program to build a
bomb in 1990 following his invasion of neighboring Kuwait. But Iraq's
nuclear infrastructure was heavily damaged by allied bombing in 1991, and
the country's known stocks of nuclear fuel and equipment were removed
or destroyed during the U.N. inspections after the war.

However, Iraq never surrendered the blueprints for nuclear weapons, and
kept key teams of nuclear scientists intact after U.N. inspectors were
forced to leave in 1998. Despite international sanctions intended to block
Iraq from obtaining weapons components, Western intelligence agencies
and former weapons inspectors were convinced the Iraqi president had
resumed his quest for the bomb in the late 1990s, citing defectors' stories
and satellite images that showed new construction at facilities that were
once part of Iraq's nuclear machinery.

Last September, the United States and Britain issued reports accusing Iraq
of renewing its quest for nuclear weapons. In Britain's assessment, Iraq
reportedly had "sought significant amounts of uranium from Africa, despite
having no active civil nuclear program that could require it."

Separately, President Bush, in his speech to the U.N. Security Council on
Sept. 12, said Iraq had made "several attempts to buy-high-strength
aluminum tubes used to enrich uranium for nuclear weapons."

Doubts about both claims began to emerge shortly after U.N. inspectors
returned to Iraq last November. In early December, the IAEA began an
intensive investigation of the aluminum tubes, which Iraq had tried for two
years to purchase by the tens of thousands from China and at least one
other country. Certain types of high-strength aluminum tubes can be used
to build centrifuges, which enrich uranium for nuclear weapons and
commercial power plants.

By early January, the IAEA had reached a preliminary conclusion: The
81mm tubes sought by Iraq were "not directly suitable" for centrifuges, but
appeared intended for use as conventional artillery rockets, as Iraq had
claimed. The Bush administration, meanwhile, stuck to its original position
while acknowledging disagreement among U.S. officials who had reviewed
the evidence.

In his State of the Union address on Jan. 28, Bush said Iraq had "attempted
to purchase high-strength aluminum tubes suitable for nuclear weapons
production."

Last month, Powell likewise dismissed the IAEA's conclusions, telling U.N.
leaders that Iraq would not have ordered tubes at such high prices and
with such exacting performance ratings if intended for use as ordinary
rockets. Powell specifically noted that Iraq had sought tubes that had
been "anodized," or coated with a thin outer film -- a procedure that
Powell said was required if the tubes were to be used in centrifuges.

ElBaradei's report yesterday all but ruled out the use of the tubes in a
nuclear program. The IAEA chief said investigators had unearthed extensive
records that backed up Iraq's explanation. The documents, which included
blueprints, invoices and notes from meetings, detailed a 14-year struggle
by Iraq to make 81mm conventional rockets that would perform well and
resist corrosion. Successive failures led Iraqi officials to revise their
standards and request increasingly higher and more expensive metals,
ElBaradei said.

Moreover, further work by the IAEA's team of centrifuge experts -- two
Americans, two Britons and a French citizen -- has reinforced the IAEA's
conclusion that the tubes were ill suited for centrifuges. "It was highly
unlikely that Iraq could have achieved the considerable redesign needed
to use them in a revived centrifuge program," ElBaradei said.

A number of independent experts on uranium enrichment have sided with
IAEA's conclusion that the tubes were at best ill suited for centrifuges.
Several have said that the "anodized" features mentioned by Powell are
actually a strong argument for use in rockets, not centrifuges, contrary to
the administration's statement.

The Institute for Science and International Security, a Washington-based
research organization that specializes in nuclear issues, reported
yesterday that Powell's staff had been briefed about the implications of
the anodized coatings before Powell's address to the Security Council last
month. "Despite being presented with the falseness of this claim, the
administration persists in making misleading arguments about the
significance of the tubes," the institute's president, David Albright, wrote
in the report.

Powell's spokesman said the secretary of state had consulted numerous
experts and stood by his U.N. statement.

© 2003 The Washington Post Company
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