-Caveat Lector-

from:
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<A HREF="http://www.aci.net/kalliste/">The Home Page of J. Orlin Grabbe</A>
-----


The Politics of China

Bomb Blasts in China Linked to Rural Revolt

CHINA has been hit by a wave of mysterious bomb blasts killing 31 people
and injuring more than 100.
Police have been quick to blame the explosions on individual criminals
or would-be suicides. But although there is no sign that the blasts are
connected, human-rights activists have linked them to growing discontent
among China's laid-off workers, migrant labourers and hard-pressed
peasant farmers.

Violent protests are common in rural China as farmers demonstrate
against local abuses of power, including illegal taxes and levies,
confiscation of property and the issuing of IOUs instead of cash for
crops bought by the state.

Two of the blasts occurred in the southern Hunan province, scene of
several large demonstrations this year reported to have involving
thousands of angry farmers and hundreds of troops.

Last week a blast tore through a market yards from Hunan's Yizhang
county government offices, killing nine and wounding 65. Hospital
sources said nails had been found in the victims. On Jan 17, an
explosion injured 37 on a bus in Hunan's capital, Changsha. Police said
they were looking for a farmer seen running from the scene, but could
not say if the bombing had been deliberately timed.

Four days earlier an explosion in a litter bin near a bus stop in
Zhuhai, just across the border from the Portuguese enclave of Macao,
injured four. In the bloodiest incident, on Jan 6, a bomb killed 19
passengers on a bus in the north-eastern province of Liaoning. Police
said a man was planning to rob passengers after stunning them with the
explosion.

Last Friday police held a youth in Shenzen, on the border with Hong
Kong, after a tip that he was planning to blow up a bus. The local state
newspaper, the Special Zone Daily, said a bomb was found on him, and
safely detonated nearby. The man was trying to commit suicide, the paper
said.

Information about rural protests is tightly controlled by the Chinese
authorities. However, the Hong Kong-based Information Centre of Human
Rights and Democratic Movement in China, has claimed that the blasts are
linked to rising tension and social unrest.

The London Telegraph, Feb. 2, 1999


Impeached POTUS

Video Tapes Roll as Lewinsky Questioned for 6 Hours

"Nothing new": that is, the President is still guilty as hell

MONICA LEWINSKY was questioned for six hours on camera yesterday, the
first time President Clinton's former lover has been captured talking
about perjury and obstruction in the sex and cover-up scandal.
Impeachment lawyers subjected her to the interrogation in the
Presidential Suite of the Mayflower hotel in Washington.

The big question, which prosecutors and defence will contest fiercely in
the impeachment Senate trial, is whether the deposition should be
broadcast. This would give Americans the opportunity at last to judge Mr
Clinton from testimony taped by the woman who knows most about his guilt
or innocence.

Details of what the 25-year-old former White House trainee said are
secret but are likely to leak quickly. The video and transcripts will be
available for senators to view today. Miss Lewinsky testified 22 times
last year to a grand jury and transcripts were published by Kenneth
Starr, the independent counsel.

But no one except the jurors - certainly not the senators deciding the
President's future - has been able to look at her and judge her
truthfulness since the Oval Office sex scandal broke in January last
year.

The questioning was led by Congressman Ed Bryant, who struck up a
rapport with Miss Lewinsky at an informal meeting a week ago. He skirted
details of her sexual contact with the President and focused primarily
on who coached her - and how - before she filed a false affidavit in
Paula Jones's sexual harassment suit against Mr Clinton.

Prosecutors also want to bring out the extent and intensity of the
search for a job for Miss Lewinsky by Vernon Jordan, the President's
friend. They played down expectations, although they need something
dramatic if they are to reverse the strong tide toward acquittal.
Congressman Bill McCollum said: "I don't want anybody to think there's
some big bombshell."

Miss Lewinksy is expected to clear up contradictions in testimony,
particularly over calls made by Betty Currie, the President's secretary,
to arrange to collect gifts and hide them.

Mr Bryant's questioning took four hours. Then Cheryl Mills and Nicole
Seligman, of the White House defence team, used less than half their
allotted four hours encouraging Miss Lewinsky to expand on her earlier
statement: "No one ever told me to lie."

The London Telegraph, Feb. 2, 1999


Sydney Futures Exchange

SFE To Trade on Screen

Joint venture with Computershare & Agtex


The Sydney Futures Exchange has formed a joint venture with
Computershare, an information technology provider, and Agtex Australia,
an agricultural services group, in efforts to establish an electronic
trading market for physical commodities, to be known as the Commodities
Exchange of Australia. Traders and farmers welcomed the move.


In a separate development, however, many traders expressed concern about
a delay in the SFE's planned switch from open outcry pit-trading to
fully electronic trading. The exchange said last week it had pushed back
the date of the switch from March to October 1.


Members blamed bugs in the SFE's new system for the delay. The switch
should be made after Sycom IV, the SFE's upgraded Windows NT
screen-based trading platform, is installed in June.


Members are concerned the delay will add to pressures in preparing for
the switch to year 2000-compliant systems. Some have said they would not
accept any new systems after the third quarter of 1999 and probably not
until after the first quarter of 2000. But the SFE said the planned
October 1 conversion to fully screen-based trading, falling between the
September contracts' roll-over period and a public holiday, would cause
minimal impact.


The exchange said last week its planned CXA would be fully electronic,
initially providing spot and forward markets for grains, pulses,
oilseeds and other agricultural products. A feasibility study would be
completed by the end of March and a launch date announced shortly
thereafter, it said.


The new market, which would eventually operate through the internet,
would also seek to create markets for non-agricultural commodities and
explore opportunities to establish markets off-shore, said Les Hosking,
SFE chief executive.


He added that the new exchange would promote transparency in
transactions involving rural commodities, and help farmers and buyers
gauge supply and demand more accurately.


"This will reduce costs and the exposure growers or consumers will have
to not getting the right price," he said. Most traders of rural
commodities rely on offshore markets or the SFE's futures contracts as
the only public pricing mechanisms available to assess the market.


A centralised exchange for physical commodities would encourage price
transparency and transaction security. Guarantees of financial
performance and settlement by the SFE Clearing House, which is backed by
a $150m guarantee fund, would help to eliminate counterparty risk, he
said. Throughout the extreme volatility of the Asian crisis, the
exchange's clearing house performed without fault or incident, Mr
Hosking added.


Computershare would develop and operate an electronic trading platform
for the new exchange, while Agtex would provide marketing services and
co-ordinate the exchange's relationship with bulk handlers.


The SFE is also continuing talks with the Australian Stock Exchange on a
merger proposal. An initial merger agreement should be ready by July,
members said. The ASX demutualised last year and listed on its own
boards in a highly successful compliance listing.

The Financial Times, Feb. 2, 1999


Single Currency

Euro Surpasses Dollar in International Bond Issues

For the moment, a dual currency world


The euro has pushed the dollar into second place in international bond
markets in its first month of trading.


Since its launch, the euro has been the currency of choice for half of
all new international bond issues, with a value equivalent of $69.3bn.
The dollar took 40 per cent ($55.7bn) of the total.


Analysts have warned that the euro's share of international borrowing
would probably fall back, but the challenge to the dollar's supremacy
would not fade away.


"If you judge by the bond markets, we are now in a dual currency world,"
said Simon Meadows, global head of debt syndication at CSFB.


The next most popular currency was sterling with a share of less than
five per cent. The Japanese yen barely registered, according to data
from Capital Data BondWare.


The euro was also more popular than its 'legacy' currencies used to be.
The proportion of bonds issued in all eleven euro "legacy" currencies
ran at between 30 and 35 per cent in recent years.


The euro has capitalised on the enthusiasm of European pension and
insurance funds for new types of bond, including offerings from European
companies. Dozens of assets managers, including Credit Suisse Asset
Management and Rothschild Asset Management, have launched dedicated
funds for euro-denominated corporate bonds.


A number of European companies, such as Olivetti, the Italian telecoms
firm; Energie, the Austrian utility; Carrefour, the French supermarket
chain; Abbey National, the British bank, and Benetton, the Italian
fashion company, have either issued bonds in euros in the last three
weeks or plan to do so.


"If you look at who has borrowed in euros it goes right across the
spectrum from banks and companies to governments," said Roger Bates,
head of the Deutsche Bank's Emu project team in London.


However, bankers say that the euro's share of the international debt
markets is likely to drop slightly to take account of the fact that many
borrowers wanted to make a splash in the currency's first month of
existence.


"A lot of borrowers wanted to be the first to establish a new benchmark
and attract publicity," said David Munves, credit market strategist at
Lehman brothers. "However, the euro has at the very least achieved
parity with the US dollar in the bond markets."


The euro's popularity has been aided by the recent weakness of the US
dollar against the Japanese yen owing to the widening US current account
deficit and the rise in Japanese bond yields.

The Financial Times, Feb. 2, 1999
-----
Aloha, He'Ping,
Om, Shalom, Salaam.
Em Hotep, Peace Be,
Omnia Bona Bonis,
All My Relations.
Adieu, Adios, Aloha.
Amen.
Roads End
Kris

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