-Caveat Lector-

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I found this article very interesting. Thanks for posting it.


>From: alypius m. skinner [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]
>Sent:Sunday, September 30, 2001 11:52
>To:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>Subject:[AlasBabylon] The End Game
>
><http://www.ddc.net/ygg/new/clips.htm>
>
>The End Game
>
>September 14, 2001
>
>That collector from Northern Virginia who introduced me to Sir
>Arthur Keith has admonished me to outline for you the debate
>going on in the halls of government between various factions of
>the inner party.
>
>Op Ed pieces are beginning to appear in our national newspapers
>which reflect that debate. Numerous articles are floating the
>trial balloon of "ending states"which harbor terrorists. In
>addition, several other press organs are breathing life back
>into a notion born of our most excellent imperial adventure over
>the skies of Serbia. In the words of an op-ed piece in the Wall
>Street Journal of 9-14-01, "any state that harbors or abets
>terrorists - or abuses its own citizens - forfeits its sovereign
>rights."
>
>In order to examine exactly what such a statement might mean in
>actual practice we must understand that the attack on the twin
>towers in Manhattan occurs within the context of a clearly
>defined imperial structure of rewards and punishments.
>
>The multi-racial empire of the old Soviet Union fragmented into
>its ethnic and racial components (collapsed to a lower order of
>complexity) because its centrally planned economy could not
>provide enough tangible benefits to all the constituent groups
>within that empire to purchase their continued allegiance. The
>young turks of the KGB decided that they would be better off and
>have more power with a smaller, ethnically cohesive Russian
>nation state.
>
>See Pillar 7, "The Collapse of Complex Societies"by Joseph
>Tainter.
>
>The same exact thing will happen to the United States if the
>empire can no longer provide tangible benefits to its citizens
>that justify the expense of the imperial adventure. And the
>expense of maintaining that empire has just increased
>dramatically - at least $20 billions in lost real estate, a $40
>billion anti-terrorism appropriation, plus untold costs
>associated with shutting down air travel and the financial
>markets for a week.
>
>Until now, the empire has been ruled by a financial system of
>rewards and punishments.
>
>The American consumer benefits from imports manufactured with
>cheap foreign labor. In addition, American consumers benefit
>from the availability of cheap credit to purchase those goods -
>cheap credit made possible by the recycling of the dollars we
>pay for those imported goods back into U.S. securities by the
>importing countries. Because of this basic circular money flow,
>Americans have been allowed to consume far beyond their means
>for decades, and it feels good. It is one hell of a seductive
>arrangement.
>
>In addition, our intellectual property laws (patent and
>copyright) guarantee a stream of payments from our trading
>partners in perpetuity that resemble tribute, and guarantee that
>our trading partners within the empire can never compete with
>the U.S. on an equal economic footing. Indeed, we cripple their
>ability to innovate and obtain patents of their own by hiring
>away their best and brightest at our overseas subsidiaries
>(thereby gaining ownership of their innovations) and by removing
>talented innovators from their native lands through 16(b) visas
>and immigration.
>
>Our trading partners are, in effect, permanent vassal states.
>
>Now you might reasonably ask, "why do they put up with this
>unbalanced system?"
>
>First, they are reasonably comfortable for the time being,
>largely because the United States debt balloon provides them
>with a large export market which allows them to provide
>employment for their people.>
>
>Second, because the dollar is used to settle so many trade
>transactions between nations other than the United States,
>non-U.S. participants in the empire are forced to hold very
>large dollar reserves - meaning that they have no choice but to
>buy our debt - so that they can trade with other nations (buy
>oil).
>
>Third and last are the financial punishments.
>
>A number of countries possess cheap labor and compete for the
>U.S. export market. Thus, we have the power to reduce access or
>close our markets to one country and open them to another and
>invest in that other country simultaneously so as to shift
>production from the country being punished.
>
>Next, our Asian trading partners have much higher savings rates
>than we do, meaning that the capital structures of their
>companies must have much higher ratios of debt to equity than
>ours in order to absorb and utilize that pool of savings. Thus,
>they become vulnerable to sudden withdrawals of foreign capital
>and attacks on their currencies despite their high domestic
>savings rates because of the leverage that those high savings
>rates create in their domestic financial structures. The inner
>party has demonstrated on many occasions that they know how to
>pull the rug out from under any country that allows in large
>amounts of alien investment capital. After each rug pull, our
>imperial financiers buy up bankrupt companies at distress prices
>just as the IMF and the other emergency lending agencies
>(staffed by their brethren) make loans to the victim thereby
>assuring that the distress purchases make huge profits for their
>new imperial owners.
>
>And we accuse others of crony capitalism! What a country!!
>
>Now it is true that Japan and China have large enough dollar
>reserves that they can pull the rug out from under us.
>
>However, deliberately selling all our debt and producing a
>massive depression in the U.S. would cut demand for their
>exports (an economic consequence) and would be perceived by the
>inner party as a belligerent act, subjecting them to the risk of
>bombs falling from the sky.
>
>In the words of the inner party financial consultant Peter
>Drucker, "never in history has the world's largest debtor had
>such an enormously powerful military."
>
>Beyond our undeniable military power is a second unique risk
>factor which makes us extremely dangerous in the eyes of many of
>our trading partners. We have an elite that has no particular
>interest in the survival of the American majority - an elite
>that openly advertises its view that the present majority is
>expendable and openly advertises its willingness to import a
>replacement population. And quite inexplicably, instead of
>feeling threatened by that attitude on the part of our elites,
>the majority population is quite comfortable, and quite easily
>persuaded to immolate themselves in hideously destructive wars
>to vindicate self- righteous slogans and conceptual abstractions
>that have absolutely nothing to do with their interests or long
>run survival - making the world safe for democracy - protecting
>freedom - fighting tyranny - securing human rights - defeating
>terrorism - each of which is applied quite unevenly in actual
>practice and none of which have any predictive value whatsoever
>until you discover the short term and shifting interests of the
>inner party. It is this unique combustible mix that makes our
>military behavior quite unpredictable and dangerous,
>particularly from the viewpoint of Asian nations.
>
>Thus, as long as the trade flows are stable, Japan and China
>have no desire to upset the empire's apple cart.
>
>In sharp contrast to the above structure, the sources of
>terrorism lie mostly outside the imperial orbit of financial
>rewards and punishments. Thus, the normal financial rewards and >
>punishments have no effect on Serbia, Syria, Afghanistan,
>Pakistan, Somalia, Lybia, Aden, North Korea, and a few others.
>These are poor countries with relatively little foreign trade.
>They have mostly autarchic economies.
>
>For these countries, the only method of control up to this
>point has been aerial bombardment.
>
>During our recent excellent adventure over the skies of Serbia,
>the inner party came out with a number of talk pieces in the
>highbrow press claiming that the civilian populations of these
>countries were guilty (in Iraq's case, of the crime of
>"complacency") and were responsible for, and should be punished
>for, the conduct of their rulers. See "What it would take to
>Cleanse Serbia."Thus, the inner party has clearly embraced
>collective civilian guilt even in situations where civilians
>have no vote, and now advocate the use of military force to kill
>that civilian population as the appropriate response.
>
>In the case of Serbia these talk pieces finally arrived at the
>conclusion that the appropriate remedy was conquest, military
>occupation and re-education.
>
>That wisdom is now reflected in the slogan "ending states"or
>"forfeiting their sovereign rights"which you see popping up in
>the papers.
>
>The problem with Islamic Terrorism is that it comes mainly from
>Afganistan, Pakistan and Iran, the central Asian regions of
>Islam, where inserting an infantry force to conquer and occupy
>the land is simply not practical. Unlike the flat desert of
>Kuwait, rugged terrain makes maneuver difficult and provides
>cover for the hundreds of thousands of fanatics who are willing
>to die for their cause. It is a relatively low tech operation in
>difficult terrain which would minimize our military advantages.
>
>Even worse, the television cameras will be rolling at the backs
>of our troops documenting their suffering over very long periods
>of time.
>
>The solution, of course, is the killing of the entire civilian
>population base that produce these "terrorists"by use of
>neutron bombs or poison gas, and that is precisely what the
>inner party is now lobbying to do, much to the horror of the
>generals.
>
>Here is what is in play.
>
>The Moslem fundamentalists have concluded that the Trade Towers
>attack has a high probability of provoking an ugly over-reaction
>of the sort that will cause a rebellion by the populations of
>the puppet regimes of Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the Emirates, Jordan
>and Egypt.
>
>Once the population overthrows the puppet regimes, then the
>fundamentalists will have at their disposal the oil weapon and
>will no longer need to resort to terrorism.
>
>They will simply shut off the oil and precipitate an economic
>depression that would deprive the empire of its ability to
>provide tangible benefits to its citizens, causing its racial
>components to split apart just as the old Soviet Union (a close
>neighbor) flew apart.
>
>Evidence that the fundamentalists have this calculus in mind
>can be found in the careful word choice of bin Laden, when he
>urged Americans to adopt a nationalist government that would
>represent American interests and not Israel's interest. It is
>clear that he has been surfing the internet.
>
>Note the timing of this attack. It is right at the beginning of
>a relatively rare economic occurrence - the synchronous slowing
>of all the major economies of the world. Is the timing
>accidental?
>
>Could these Moslem fundamentalists have studied Kondratief?
>Have they read about the Elliott grand super cycle wave?
>
>If the empire does over-react and spur the Arab populations to
>overthrow the puppet governments and get their hands on the oil
>weapon, then the fundamentalists themselves will stop terrorism
>in a heartbeat, and give the inner party no pretext to invade >
>and occupy Arabia - an invasion and occupation that would be
>necessary to keep the oil flowing.
>
>In fact, the empire has controlled the oil flow in Arabia for
>50 years. The only question has been how to control that flow at
>the least cost, and the cheapest way to do it has been to find
>compliant locals to do the job, thereby avoiding the wrath of
>the local population.
>
>If the empire were to overturn those new fundamentalist regimes
>by invading Arabia and turning the oil back on, the occupation
>of Islam's holiest sites by the empire could provoke a jihad by
>all 1.5 billion Moslems worldwide (except in America, where
>Islam appears to be devolving into just another wimpy Protestant
>denomination).
>
>The Moslem fundamentalists believe that their biggest problem
>is the softness of their own Moslem governments. They know the
>popular mood and know that an over-reaction by the empire would
>solve that problem.
>
>Thus, the inner party is now pondering whether the outer party
>in America is enraged enough to abandon their notions of
>civilized warfare and contemplate wholesale genocide. Simply
>kill off the population bases that produce terrorists and be
>done with it.
>
>The inner party clearly believes that the example of turning
>one Moslem country into a burning glass ball will frighten the
>Moslem populations left standing sufficiently to ensure docile
>acceptance of inner party rule.
>
>Of course, the genocide option would work a profound
>transformation upon the attitudes of China, Russia, India, and
>Iran toward the empire. The genocide option is an inner party
>delusion, but it could happen.
>
>Lesser options involve a clear risk of fundamentalist control
>of oil prices, and a consequent risk of worldwide depression and
>a splitting of the U.S. into separate racial republics as the
>expense of the racial spoils system becomes unbearable, and the
>dependent racial blocks erupt in violence in response to a cut
>back in their perceived benefits.
>
>Powerful forces have now been unleashed, and one false step
>could lead, over a period of years, to disaster for the empire
>and total public exposure of the inner party and its power.
>
>My bet is that the inner party lust for biblical genocide will
>be rejected by Bush out of instinct and not because of any
>understanding of the world situation.
>
>However, it is very possible that he will see an opportunity to
>appease the inner party and appear tough and presidential at the
>same time by launching some big, messy and highly visible
>operation that may nevertheless destabilize all of the puppet
>regimes.
>
>Naturally, being realists, Russia and China might help the
>empire stick its foot into that trap.
>
>Such assistance will puff up the inner party's feelings of
>invincibility and increase the probability that the empire self
>destructs. Being relatively poor countries, China and Russia
>have less distance to fall, and being, repspectively a
>totalitarian and a relatively cohesive nation, they have far
>less risk of collapse.
>
>They will survive the economic fall out.
>
>The American empire may not.
>
>And from that cause, a new American nation may be born.
>
>Yggdrasil-
>


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I will break the CIA into a thousand pieces and
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~~President John F. Kennedy  (Nov. 1963)

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