-Caveat Lector-

China Stole Nuclear Secrets From Los Alamos

By JAMES RISEN and JEFF GERTH

The New York Times

WASHINGTON -- Working with nuclear secrets stolen from a U.S.
government laboratory, China has made a leap in the development of
nuclear weapons: the miniaturization of its bombs, according to
administration officials.

Until recently, China's nuclear weapons designs were a generation behind
those of the United States, largely because Beijing was unable to
produce small warheads that could be launched from a single missile at
multiple targets and form the backbone of a modern nuclear force.

But by the mid-1990s, China had built and tested such small bombs, a
breakthrough that officials say was accelerated by the theft of U.S.
nuclear secrets from Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico.

The espionage is believed to have occurred in the mid-1980s, officials
said. But it was not detected until 1995, when American experts
analyzing Chinese nuclear test results found similarities to America's most
advanced miniature warhead, the W-88.

By the next year, government investigators had identified a suspect, an
American scientist at Los Alamos laboratory, where the atomic bomb
was first developed. The investigators also concluded that Beijing was
continuing to steal secrets from the government's major nuclear
weapons laboratories, which had been increasingly opened to foreign
visitors since the end of the Cold War.

The White House was told of the full extent of China's spying in the summer
of 1997, on the eve of the first U.S.-Chinese summit meeting in
eight years -- a meeting intended to dramatize the success of President
Clinton's efforts to improve relations with Beijing.

White House officials say they took the allegations seriously; as proof of
this they cite Clinton's ordering the labs within six months to improve
security.

But some U.S. officials assert that the White House sought to minimize the
espionage issue for policy reasons.

"This conflicted with their China policy," said a U.S. official, who like many
others in this article spoke on condition of anonymity. "It undercut the
administration's efforts to have a strategic partnership with the Chinese."

The White House denies the assertions. "The idea that we tried to cover up
or downplay these allegations to limit the damage to United
States-Chinese relations is absolutely wrong," said Gary Samore, the
senior National Security Council official who handled the issue.

Yet a reconstruction by The New York Times reveals that throughout the
government, the response to the nuclear theft was marked by delays,
inaction and skepticism -- even though senior intelligence officials
regarded it as one of the most damaging spy cases in recent history.

Initially, the FBI did not aggressively pursue the criminal investigation of lab
theft, U.S. officials said. Now, nearly three years later, no arrests
have been made.

Only in the last several weeks, after prodding from Congress and the
secretary of energy, have government officials administered lie detector
tests to the main suspect, a Los Alamos computer scientist who is Chinese-
American. The suspect failed a test in February, according to
senior administration officials.

At the Energy Department, officials waited more than a year to act on the
FBI's 1997 recommendations to improve security at the weapons
laboratories and restrict the suspect's access to classified information,
officials said.

The department's chief of intelligence, who raised the first alarm about the
case, was ordered last year by senior officials not to tell Congress
about his findings because critics might use them to attack the
administration's China policies, officials said.

And at the White House, senior aides to Clinton fostered a skeptical view
of the evidence of Chinese espionage and its significance.

White House officials, for example, said they determined on learning of it
that the Chinese spying would have no bearing on the
administration's dealings with China, which included the increased exports
of satellites and other militarily useful items. They continued to
advocate looser controls over sales of supercomputers and other
equipment, even as intelligence analysts documented the scope of China's
espionage.

Samore, the Security Council official, did not accept the Energy
Department's conclusion that China's nuclear advances stemmed largely
from
the theft of U.S. secrets.

In 1997, as Clinton prepared to meet with President Jiang Zemin of China,
he asked the CIA for a quick alternative analysis of the issue. The
agency found that China had stolen secrets from Los Alamos but differed
with the Energy Department over the significance of the spying.

In personal terms, the handling of this case is very much the story of the
Energy Department intelligence official who first raised questions
about the Los Alamos case, Notra Trulock.

Trulock became a secret star witness before a select congressional
committee last fall. In a unanimous report that remains secret, the
bipartisan panel embraced his conclusions about Chinese espionage,
officials said. Taking issue with the White House's view, the panel saw
clear implications in the espionage case for U.S.-China policy, and has
now made dozens of policy-related recommendations, officials said.

A debate still rages within the government over whether Trulock was right
about the significance of the Los Alamos nuclear theft. But even
senior administration officials who do not think so credit Trulock with
forcing them to confront the realities of Chinese atomic espionage.

China's technical advance allows it to make mobile missiles, ballistic
missiles with multiple warheads and small warheads for submarines --
the main elements of a modern nuclear force.

While White House officials question whether China will actually deploy a
more advanced nuclear force soon, they acknowledge that Beijing
has made plans to do so.

In early 1996 Trulock traveled to CIA headquarters to tell officials there of
the evidence his team had gathered on the apparent Chinese theft of
U.S. nuclear designs.

As Trulock gathered his charts and drawings and wrapped up his top-
secret briefing, the agency's chief spy hunter, Paul Redmond, sat
stunned.

At the dawn of the Atomic Age, a Soviet spy ring that included Julius
Rosenberg had stolen the first nuclear secrets out of Los Alamos. Now, at
the end of the Cold War, the Chinese seemed to have succeeded in
penetrating the same weapons lab.

"This is going to be just as bad as the Rosenbergs," Redmond recalled
saying.

The evidence that so alarmed him had surfaced a year earlier. Senior
nuclear weapons experts at Los Alamos, poring over data from the most
recent Chinese underground nuclear tests, had detected eerie similarities
between the latest Chinese and U.S. bomb designs.

>From what they could tell, Beijing was testing a smaller and more lethal
nuclear device configured remarkably like the W-88, the most
modern, miniaturized warhead in the U.S. arsenal. In April 1995, they
brought their findings to Trulock.

Officials declined to detail the evidence uncovered by the Los Alamos
scientists, who have access to a wide range of classified intelligence
data and seismic and other measurements.

But just as the scientists were piecing it together, they were handed an
intelligence windfall from Beijing.

In June 1995, they were told, a Chinese official gave CIA analysts what
appeared to be a 1988 Chinese government document describing the
country's nuclear weapons program. The document, a senior official said,
specifically mentioned the W-88 and described some of the
warhead's key design features.

The Los Alamos laboratory, where the W-88 had been designed, quickly
emerged as the most likely source of the leak.

One of three national weapons labs owned by the Department of Energy,
Los Alamos, 35 miles outside Sante Fe, N.M., was established in
1943 during the Manhattan Project. Trulock and his team knew just how
vulnerable Los Alamos was to modern espionage.

The three labs had long resisted FBI and congressional pressure to tighten
their security policies. Energy officials acknowledge that there have
long been security problems at the labs.

Los Alamos and Sandia National Laboratories, also in New Mexico, had in
1994 been granted waivers from an Energy Department policy that
visiting foreign scientists be subjected to background checks.

Lab officials resented the intrusions caused by counterintelligence
measures, arguing that restrictions on foreign visitors would clash with the
labs' new mandate to help Russia and other nations safeguard their nuclear
stockpiles.

The Clinton administration was also using increased access to the
laboratories to support its policy of engagement with China, as had been
done under previous, Republican administrations.

In December 1996, for example, China's defense minister, Gen. Chi
Haotian, visited Sandia on a Pentagon-sponsored trip. Energy
Department officials were not told in advance, and they later complained
that Chi and his delegation had not received proper clearances,
officials said.

Still, there is no evidence in this case that foreign visitors were involved in
the theft of information.

In late 1995 and early 1996, Trulock and his team took their findings to the
FBI. A team of FBI and Energy Department officials traveled to the
three weapons labs and pored over travel and work records of lab
scientists who had access to the relevant technology.

By February the team had narrowed its focus to five possible suspects,
including a computer scientist working in the nuclear weapons area at
Los Alamos, officials said.

This suspect "stuck out like a sore thumb," said one official. In 1985, for
example, the suspect's wife was invited to address a Chinese
conference on sophisticated computer topics even though she was only a
secretary at Los Alamos. Her husband, the real expert,
accompanied her, a U.S. official said.

By April 1996, the Energy Department decided to brief the White House. A
group of senior officials including Trulock sat down with Sandy
Berger, then Clinton's deputy national security adviser, to tell him that China
appeared to have acquired the W-88 and that a spy for China
might still be at Los Alamos.

"I was first made aware of this in 1996," Berger, now national security
adviser, said in an interview.

By June the FBI formally opened a criminal investigation into the theft of the
W-88 design. But the inquiry made little progress over the rest of
the year. When Energy Department officials asked about the inquiry at the
end of 1996, they came away convinced that the bureau had
assigned few resources to the case.

A senior bureau official acknowledged that his agency was aware of the
Energy Department's criticism but pointed out that it was difficult to
investigate the case without alerting the suspects.

The bureau maintained tight control over the case. The CIA
counterintelligence office, for one, was not kept informed of its status,
according to
Redmond, who has since retired.

Energy Department officials were also being stymied in their efforts to
address security problems at the laboratories.

After Frederico Pena became energy secretary in early 1997, a previously
approved counterintelligence program was quietly placed on the
back burner for more than a year, officials said.

In April 1997, the FBI issued a classified report on the labs that
recommended, among other things, reinstating background checks on
visitors
to Los Alamos and Sandia, officials said. The Energy Department and the
labs ignored the FBI recommendation for 17 months. An Energy
Department spokeswoman was unable to explain the delay.

Another official said, "We couldn't get an order requiring the labs to report
to counterintelligence officials when the Chinese were present. All
those requirements had been waived."

In early 1997, with the FBI's investigation making scant progress and the
Energy Department's counterintelligence program in limbo, Trulock
and other intelligence officials began to see new evidence that the Chinese
had other, ongoing spy operations at the weapons labs.

But Trulock was unable to quickly inform senior U.S. officials about the new
evidence. He asked to speak directly with Pena, the energy
secretary, but had to wait four months for an appointment.

In an interview, Pena said he did not know why Trulock was kept waiting
until July but recalled that he "brought some very important issues to
my attention and that's what we need in the government."

Pena immediately sent Trulock back to the White House -- and to Berger.

"In July 1997 Sandy was briefed fully by the DOE on China's full access to
nuclear weapons designs, a much broader pattern" said one White
House official.

Officials said Berger was told that there was evidence of several other
Chinese espionage operations that were still under way inside the
weapons labs.

That news, several officials said, raised the importance of the issue. The
suspected Chinese thefts were no longer just ancient history,
problems that had happened on another administration's watch.

Berger quickly briefed Clinton on what he had learned and kept him
updated over the next few months, a White House official said.

As Trulock spread the alarm, his warnings were reinforced by CIA Director
George Tenet and FBI Director Louis Freeh, who met with Pena to
discuss the lax security at the labs that summer.

"I was very shocked by it, and I went to work on shifting the balance in favor
of security," Pena said. He and his aides began to meet with White
House officials to prepare a presidential order on lab security.

The FBI assigned more agents to the W-88 investigation, gathering new
and more troubling evidence about the prime suspect.

According to officials, the agents learned that the suspect had traveled to
Hong Kong without reporting the trip as required by government
regulations. In Hong Kong, officials said, the FBI found records showing
that the scientist had obtained $700 from the American Express office.
Investigators suspect he used it to buy an airline ticket to Shanghai, inside
the People's Republic of China.

With Berger now paying close attention, the White House became deeply
involved in evaluating the seriousness of the thefts and solving the
counterintelligence problems at the laboratories.

Trulock's new findings came at a crucial moment in U.S.-China relations.
Congress was examining the role of foreign money in the 1996
campaign, amid charges that Beijing had secretly funneled money into
Democratic coffers.

The administration was also moving to strengthen its strategic and
commercial links with China. Clinton had already eased the commercial
sale of supercomputers and satellite technology to China, and now he
wanted to cement a nuclear cooperation agreement at the upcoming
summit, enabling American companies to sell China new commercial
nuclear reactors.

In August 1997, Berger flew to Beijing to prepare for the October summit.
He assigned Samore, a senior NSC aide in charge of proliferation
issues, to assess the damage from the Los Alamos spy case.

After receiving a briefing from Trulock in August, Samore asked the CIA's
directorate of intelligence to get a second opinion on how China had
developed its smaller nuclear warheads. It was, an NSC aide said, "a quick
study done at our request."

The analysts agreed that there had been a serious compromise of
sensitive technology through espionage at the weapons labs, but were far
less conclusive about the extent of the damage. The CIA argued that
China's sudden advance in nuclear design could be traced in part to other
causes, including the ingenuity of Beijing's scientists.

"The areas of agreement between DOE and CIA were that China definitely
benefited from access to U.S. nuclear weapons information that
was obtained from open sources, conversations with DOE scientists in the
U.S. and China, and espionage," said a U.S. official.

"The disagreement is in the area of specific nuclear weapons designs.
Trulock's briefing was based on a worst-case scenario, which CIA
believes was not supported by available intelligence. CIA thinks the
Chinese have benefited from a variety of sources, including from the
Russians and their own indigenous efforts."

Samore assembled the competing teams of CIA and DOE analysts in mid-
October for a meeting in his White House office that turned into a
tense debate.

The CIA report noted that China and Russia were cooperating on nuclear
issues, indicating that this was another possible explanation of
Beijing's improved warheads.

Trulock said this was a misreading of the evidence, which included
intercepted communications between Russian and Chinese experts. The
Russians were offering advice on how to measure the success of nuclear
tests, not design secrets. In fact, Trulock argued, the Russian
measurement techniques were used to help the Chinese analyze the
performance of a weapon that Los Alamos experts believed was based
on a U.S. design.

"At the meeting, Notra Trulock said that he thought the CIA was
underplaying the effect that successful Chinese espionage operations in
the
weapons labs had had on the Chinese nuclear weapons program," said
one official.

Relying on the CIA report, Samore told Berger in late September that the
picture was less conclusive than Trulock was arguing. Officials said
he began to relay that view before hearing Trulock's rebuttal of the CIA
study at the October meeting.

Samore told Berger "there isn't enough information to resolve the debate,
there is no definitive answer, but in any event this clearly illustrates
weaknesses in DOE's counterintelligence capability," said one official
familiar with Samore's presentation.

CIA officials strenuously deny that the agency's analysts intended to
downplay Trulock's findings.

The FBI inquiry was stalled. At a September 1997 meeting between FBI
and Energy Department officials, Freeh concluded that the bureau did
not have enough evidence to arrest the suspect, according to officials.

The crime was believed to have occurred more than a decade earlier.
Investigators did not then have sufficient evidence to obtain a secret
wiretap on the suspect, making it difficult to build a strong criminal case,
according to U.S. officials. FBI officials say that Chinese spy activities
are far more difficult to investigate than the more traditional espionage
operations of the former Soviet Union.

But even if the bureau couldn't build a case, the Energy Department could
still take some action against someone holding a U.S. security
clearance. Freeh told DOE officials that there was no longer an
investigative reason to allow the suspect to remain in his sensitive position,
officials said. In espionage cases, the FBI often wants suspects left alone
by their employers for fear of tipping them off prematurely.

But the suspect was allowed to keep his job and retain his security
clearances for more than a year after the meeting with Freeh, according to
U.S. officials.

In late 1997, the NSC did begin to draft a new counterintelligence plan for
the weapons labs, and Clinton signed the order mandating the new
measures in February 1998. In April, a former FBI counterintelligence
agent, Ed Curran, was named to run a more vigorous counterintelligence
office at Energy Department headquarters.

The administration explained aspects of the case to aides working for the
House and Senate intelligence committees beginning in 1996. But
few in Congress grasped the magnitude of what had happened.

In July 1998, the House Intelligence Committee requested an update on the
case, officials said. Trulock forwarded the request in a memo to,
and in conversations with, Elizabeth Moler, then acting energy secretary.
Ms. Moler ordered him not to brief the House panel for fear that the
information would be used to attack the president's China policy, according
to an account he later gave congressional investigators. Ms. Moler,
now a Washington lawyer, says she does not remember the request to
allow Trulock to brief Congress and denies delaying the process.

In October, Ms. Moler, then deputy secretary, stopped Trulock from
delivering written testimony on espionage activities in the labs to a closed
session of the House National Security Committee.

Ms. Moler told Trulock to rewrite his testimony to limit it to the announced
subject of the hearing, foreign visitors to the labs, an Energy
Department spokeswoman said. The issue came up nonetheless when
committee members asked follow-up questions, Energy Department
officials said.

Key lawmakers began to learn about the extent of the Chinese theft of U.S.
nuclear secrets late in 1998, when a select committee investigating
the transfers of sensitive U.S. technology to China, chaired by Rep.
Christopher Cox, R-Calif., heard from Trulock.

Administration officials say that Congress was adequately informed, but
leading Democrats and Republicans disagree. Rep. Norman Dicks,
D-Wash., the ranking minority member on the House Intelligence
Committee and also a member of the Cox committee, said that he and
Rep.
Porter Goss, R-Fla., chairman of the House intelligence panel, were not
adequately informed.

"Porter Goss and I were not properly briefed about the dimensions of the
problem," he said, adding: "It was compartmentalized and
disseminated over the years in dribs and drabs so that the full extent of the
problem was not known until the Cox committee."

Last fall, midway through the Cox panel's inquiry, a new secretary of
energy, Bill Richardson, arrived on the job.

After being briefed by Trulock, Richardson quickly reinstated background
checks on all foreign visitors, a move recommended 17 months
earlier by the FBI. He also doubled the counterintelligence budget and
placed more former FBI counterintelligence experts at the labs.

But Richardson also became concerned about what the Cox panel was
finding out.

So in October he cornered Berger at a high-level meeting and urged him to
put someone in charge of coordinating the administration's
dealings with the Cox committee.

Berger turned again to Samore, officials said.

By December, Dicks, in his role as the ranking Democratic member of the
Cox panel, was growing impatient with the administration's slow
response to ongoing requests from the committee and its inaction on the
Los Alamos spy case. Dicks told Richardson, a former colleague in
the House, that he needed to take action, Richardson recalled.

Dicks' complaints helped prompt Richardson to call Freeh twice in one day
in December about the inquiry, an official said.

The suspect was given a polygraph, or lie-detector test, in December, by
the Energy Department. Unsatisfied, the FBI administered a second
test in February, and officials said the suspect was found to be deceptive. It
is not known what questions prompted the purportedly deceptive
answers.

As the FBI investigation intensified, the Cox Committee completed a 700-
page secret report which found that China's theft of US secrets had
harmed U.S. national security -- saving the Chinese untold time and money
in nuclear weapons research.

After hearing from both the CIA and Energy Department analysts, the bi-
partisan panel unanimously came down on the side of Trulock's
assessment, officials said.

Now, the CIA and other agencies, at the request of the Cox Committee, are
conducting a new, more thorough damage assessment of the
case, even as the debate continues to rage throughout the intelligence
community over whether Trulock has overstated the damage from
Chinese espionage.

Meanwhile, Trulock has been moved from head of DOE's intelligence office
to acting deputy. While Richardson and other Energy Department
officials praise Trulock's work and deny he has been mistreated, some in
Congress suspect he has been demoted for helping the Cox
Committee.

Redmond, the CIA's former counterintelligence chief, who made his name
by unmasking Soviet mole Aldrich Ames at the CIA, has no doubts
about the significance of what Trulock uncovered.

He said: "This was far more damaging to the national security than Aldrich
Ames."

------------------------------------------------------------------------
Steve Wingate

California Director
SKYWATCH INTERNATIONAL

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