-Caveat Lector-   <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">
</A> -Cui Bono?-

One-world megalithic corps  .. merger madness..

Dave Hartley
http://www.Asheville-Computer.com/dave


London, Jan. 23 (Bloomberg) -- EMI Group Plc and Time Warner Inc. said
they're in talks to combine their music units and create the world's
biggest record company.

Warner Music Group, whose artists include Alanis Morrisette, Eric Clapton
and Madonna, will pay EMI shareholders more than $1 billion, or $1.65 a
share, for board control of the 50-50 joint venture, people familiar with
the companies said. Warner and EMI - - whose catalog ranges from the Spice
Girls to the Rolling Stones to Garth Brooks -- expect to unveil the merger
tomorrow, EMI said.

The venture, to be called Warner EMI Music, would have sales of about $8.3
billion, topping its biggest rivals, including Seagram Co.'s Universal
Music Group. The move will boost its marketing clout and an expanded
artist roster will give the venture an edge in selling more albums online
through America Online Inc., which has agreed to buy Time Warner. "If you
can distribute via the Internet -- via AOL -- it's going to boost sales at
EMI," said Nick Ward, an analyst at Commerzbank Global Equities, adding
that EMI tends to sell more of its back catalog of titles on the Internet
than through retail outlets.

$10 Billion Each in Assets

EMI and Warner's music assets are worth about $10 billion each, the people
familiar said. EMI declined to give any details. Time Warner declined to
comment further today.

This "represents an opportunity to establish the world's premiere music
group and to create very considerable value for shareholders of both
companies," EMI said. "The transaction would not involve an offer being
made for EMI."

New York-based Time Warner, the world's largest media and entertainment
company, agreed to AOL's $163.5 billion stock offer earlier this month to
give its brands, including Warner Music, a way to expand in electronic
commerce. AOL is the world's top Internet service with more than 20
million subscribers.

When that transaction was announced, executives said they intended to step
up the pace of acquisitions.

EMI Chairman Eric Nicoli and Time Warner President Richard Parsons will be
co-chairmen of the new venture, a person familiar with EMI said. Warner
Music Chairman Roger Ames will be chief executive and Ken Berry, president
and chief executive of EMI recorded music, will be chief operating
officer.

EMI to Keep HMV Media

Warner Music will have six directors on the venture's board, while EMI
will have five, the person said. It would have headquarters in New York
and London.

EMI's music business, including recorded music and music publishing,
account for about 85 percent of the U.K. company's sales. Its stakes in
Internet companies and in bookstore chain HMV Media Group Plc won't be
included, and stock in EMI will continue to trade, a person familiar with
EMI said.

London-based EMI has seen its market share in the U.S. fall as sales in
Europe have stagnated. It's done better in Asia, however, where sales more
than doubled in the six months through September. It was helped by a debut
album from Japan's Utada Hikaru that was the best-selling album in
Japanese history.

Warner Music Group had 1998 sales of $4.03 billion. It suffered last year
from releasing fewer hit albums and delayed releases from popular
performers, causing it to slide to fourth place in domestic market share
with about 15.8 percent of the market.

Fills a Gap

Both need to bulk up after rivals have grown through mergers themselves.
The move will especially bolster Warner Music's position overseas, where
its performance has lagged that in the U.S. "It fills in a gap," said Hal
Vogel, an independent entertainment analyst based in New York. "Warner
Music was generally very strong in the U.S. and weak outside of the U.S.
This pumps them up on an international level."

Seagram's Universal Music Group bought Polygram NV in late 1998 for about
$10 billion, reducing the number of major record distributors to five. In
the 12 months through June 30, 1999, Seagram's music business generated
$6.34 billion in sales. It had a domestic market share of about 26.4
percent last year.

Combining Warner Music with EMI, the world's No. 3 music company, would
cut that number to four. In addition to Warner EMI and Universal, the
others are Sony Corp. and Bertelsmann AG.

The expected merger announcement doesn't prevent other companies from also
making an offer for EMI, Vogel said. Walt Disney Co., for one, has a small
presence in music and has tried to expand it in the past.

Other Possible Suitors

"Disney has to be the prime candidate to be interested in it. (Disney's
music business) is still small, and who but Disney with its Broadway
shows, theme parks and animation could use music and exploit it better,"
Vogel said. He also named News Corp. and Sony Corp. as other companies
that potentially could be interested in EMI.

Warner Music has also been trying to push into the Internet to drive
growth. It's combining Columbia House -- the record club that it jointly
owns with Sony Corp. -- with online music retailer CDNow Inc.

The Internet is driving the price of music down. More sales of CDs and
other recordings are being made through Internet retailers such as CDNow
and Amazon.com, and music is being distributed over the Web through
digital formats such as MP3. "Selling over the Internet lowers the prices
of CDs and increases demand," Commerzbank's Ward said.

EMI shares have risen 75 percent in the past 12 months, while Time
Warner's stock has gained 44 percent. EMI fell 6.6 percent Friday to 648
pence, valuing the company at 5.1 billion pounds ($8.4 billion). Time
Warner shares rose 3.8 percent to 91 1/8, valuing the company at $117.2
billion.

Warburg Dillon Read is advising EMI, while Morgan Stanley Dean Witter is
Time Warner's financial adviser, people familiar with the negotiations
said.

The transaction was reported earlier by London's Sunday Telegraph.

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