The Fed [Ignores] the Inflationary Effect of CEO Compensation

by John C. Gamboa and Mary Ann Mitchell
San Francisco Chronicle, April 20, 2000


     America's most skilled inflation fighter may have finally
met his match -- CEOs of high-tech companies, who receive
billion-dollar stock-option compensation packages even though
their companies post no profits.
     For more than a decade, Federal Reserve Chairman Alan
Greenspan has guided our economy through both the political and
theoretical currents that have threatened unprecedented economic
expansion. This has included attacks on the inflationary impact
of government-ordered 5 percent per annum increases of the
minimum wage and his surprising silence on the often triple-digit
increases in executive-compensation packages.
     While providing the theoretical anti-inflation underpinnings
to Republican-led opposition to a nickel an hour per month
increase in the minimum wage, the Federal Reserve has refused to
examine the potential inflationary effect of billion-dollar New
Economy stock compensation packages for CEOs -- usually not tied
to company profits or real productivity.
     For example, despite government studies on the alleged
inflationary effect of modest wage increases for 20 million
minimum-wage workers, the Federal Reserve has refused to
commission any studies on the potential inflationary impact
of excessive compensation packages of CEOs.
     On April 2, a New York Times-commissioned study of 60 New
Economy CEOs demonstrated the continued indifference of the
Federal Reserve toward the "trickle down" inflationary impact of
excessive executive compensation packages.  These 60 chief
executives alone appear to have received in excess of five
times more in increases over the past three years than 20 million
minimum- and near-minimum wage workers received in total during
the same time period.  (These CEOs received average increases of
$1.2 billion.)
     The inflationary effect of these pay pack ages may be far
greater than increasing the federal minimum wage by 50 percent,
to almost $8 an hour from $5.15 an hour.  The $75 billion secured
by these 60 CEOs may be just the tip of the executive-pay
iceberg. Most of the Fortune 1000 and New Economy chief
executives are taking similar pay increases at an even greater
cost to the U.S. economy. And it is a rare CEO who (in order to
protect the legitimacy of his triple digit compensation increase)
does not provide similarly large increases for most, if not all,
of top management.
     These escalating executive increases can have a
destabilizing effect on the distribution and availability of
necessary goods. Recent examples are: the million-dollar,
three-bedroom Silicon Valley homes that even a $100,000-a-year
Stanford University professor cannot afford; the refusal of
many qualified teachers and police officers to seek work in areas
lacking affordable housing, and; the growing number of Silicon
Valley homeless who have full-time jobs.
     Compounding this social destabilization caused by excessive
and unevenly distributed compensation, is the inefficient cost-
cutting many CEOs engage in to justify their compensation
increases, such as layoffs or terminating health benefits.
     These inflationary costs, which in aggregate may exceed $500
billion, may be mild relative to what might occur if labor union
leaders replicated this behavior. Imagine the inflationary impact
should the ordinary worker, including police officers, teachers,
secretaries and skilled tradesmen, seek triple, or even double
digit wage increases.
     And it defies human nature to believe that cost-cutting and
large-scale layoffs -- allegedly necessary for global
competitiveness -- can be effective once 95 percent of the
workers recognize that they alone, not their leaders, must pay
the price.
     Most likely, Federal Reserve Chairman Greenspan, whose
political acumen is often as extraordinary as his wisdom and
luck, will not be found wanting and will make available the
evidence demonstrating the link between excessive compensation
and future inflation.
     Perhaps such evidence, combined with freezes on executive
compensation, will reduce the need for future Federal Reserve
interest rate increases that help fuel inflationary homeownership
costs and limit small business expansion.


[John C. Gamboa is a member of the Federal Reserve Consumer
Advisory Board and executive director of The Greenlining
Institute.
Mary Ann Mitchell chairs the National Black Business Council.]


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