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Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War!

Taleban's Afghanistan descends into chaos


By Michael Higgins and Jan Cienski
National Post, with files from The Daily Telegraph and news services

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WASHINGTON - The Taleban's grip on Afghanistan appears to be crumbling, with
soldiers deserting border crossings, officials defecting to Pakistan and the
feared religious police fleeing the streets of Kabul.

Tribal leaders from southern Afghanistan, whose support is vital for the
ruling government, also met in Pakistan yesterday to discuss ways of avoiding
a war and bringing peace -- with or without the Taleban.

In Rome, the Afghan opposition agreed to create a supreme council and a
military council under the authority of ex-king Mohammed Zahir Shah to
prepare an attempt to take power from the Taleban.

As tens of thousands of refugees were rushing to get out of Afghanistan, U.S.
officials confirmed American and British special operations forces were
already in the country laying the groundwork for possible retaliatory strikes.

Yesterday, Art Eggleton, the Minister of Defence, hinted Canadian servicemen
might also be secretly operating in Afghanistan.

George W. Bush, the U.S. President, said the United States is in "hot
pursuit" of Osama bin Laden, the man believed to have masterminded the
terrorist attacks in New York and Washington.

With fear gripping Afghanistan, sources in the Pakistani city of Quetta say
the Mayor of Kandahar -- southern stronghold of the puritanical Taleban -- an
Islamic judge and several senior officials of the religious police have fled
there with their families.

The much-despised religious police were also reported to have disappeared
from the streets of the Afghanistan capital of Kabul.

Discipline is reported to be breaking down among Taleban soldiers, who have
robbed shops and homes in Kabul.

In the west of the country, around the city of Herat, Taleban troops have
deserted checkpoints along the border with Iran and some clan leaders have
approached the United Front leader, Ismail Khan, to try to strike a deal with
him.

"In the west, the Taleban have all but disappeared,'' said Patricia Gossman,
an American human rights advocate who is in touch with Afghans.

Young men from Kabul escaping Taleban conscription are among the tens of
thousands of refugees who have arrived on Pakistan's borders. Even though
Taleban leader, Mullah Mohammed Omar, has closed all religious schools to
induct the students into the army, many have fled to the border.

Tribal leaders from southern Afghanistan gathered just over the border in
Pakistan yesterday, hoping to find a way to write the obituary of Taleban
rule and devise a new government.

"We are here to consult among ourselves and with our Afghan people here to
find a way to resolve this matter peacefully," said one bearded elder from
Kandahar.

The daring meeting of about 20 elders -- all hitherto Taleban allies -- at
the home of a strong supporter of the former king was evidence of alliances
crumbling inside Afghanistan.

Most of the elders are signatories to peace agreements with the Taleban, but
do not necessarily support their hard-line Islamic rule.

Such treaties among the clans are essential for any government to maintain
peace and power in Afghanistan, whose society is composed of a complex
structure of tribes and sub-tribes held together by a web of traditions,
values and codes of honour.

"The people of Afghanistan are tired of 20 years of war. Now all they want is
peace with or without the Taleban," said Mohammad Akram, 40, a representative
of Kandahar's Alkozai tribe. "If America can bring peace the people will
welcome them," he said. "We are also ready to fight another war if that war
would bring lasting peace."

The meeting took place in the house of Hamid Karzai, the self-exiled leader
of the Khilji tribe and a loyal supporter of the king, who was deposed in
1973.

Some of Mr. Karzai's other guests openly vented their anger against the
Taleban and their decision to shelter bin Laden.

"People of Afghanistan are happy that the Americans will rescue them from the
Taleban and Osama, who have killed more Afghans than even the Soviets did,"
said one tribal elder who said he crossed into western Pakistan from Kandahar
last week.

Members of Afghanistan's Northern Alliance are due to meet the 86-year-old
exiled monarch at his home in the Italian capital tomorrow or Monday, said
his spokesman, Zalmai Rassul. "It has been decided to create a supreme
council and a military council under the aegis of the king," he said.

The United Nations said this week that it saw a role for the ex-king in a
potential new government in Afghanistan.

Yesterday, Mr. Bush firmly closed the door on negotiations with the Taleban,
saying diplomacy is not an option.

Mr. Bush said the United States has learned from the bloody Soviet experience
in Afghanistan in the 1980s how hard it would be "to fight a guerrilla war
with conventional forces." He told reporters "there may or may not be a
conventional component" to his war on terrorism. "Make no mistake about it,
we're in hot pursuit," he said.

"There is no negotiation with the Taleban. They heard what I said, now they
can act." The Taleban have refused to surrender bin Laden.

According to media reports, U.S. and British special forces have been in
Afghanistan for the last two weeks, hunting for bin Laden and conducting
scouting missions as the United States prepares to retaliate for the Sept. 11
attacks that killed more than 6,000.




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