Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
Periklis Akritidis writes:
Why would you care about the opinion of those observers left forever
behind...
from the possibility that all this MWI stuff is just wrong, of course). Even
in my scheme where
there is just a possibility of death some calculations I have done suggest
that if you could
demonstrate that your success rate after many bets was better than chance to
a statistically
significant extent, your chance of dying would also have to be statistically
significant. It's
as if the multiverse is conspiring against us to prevent us from proving its
existence!
No, it should be easy to make yourself experience a universe in which
you have convinced others using the ability to solve any number of very
difficult problems in case the machine worked, or just by being 2000
years old. But after you do manage to convince everybody, you would
shortly find yourself in a very lonely universe, so I guess that even
if you could prove QTI it would be in your best interest to keep it a
secret.
QTI predicts that you will survive from a 1st person POV only. If there is a
2000 y.o. man in the
world discovered today that would therefore not be evidence for the theory:
it is no more likely
to happen if QTI is true than if it is false, from a 3rd person POV.
There is one situation in which you could prove it to other people, by
linking them to your own
fate so that they see things from a similar 1st person POV. This is likely to
happen practically if
QTI is true even if you don't deliberately set it up that way. Your survival
to extreme old ageis much
more likely to happen because an anti-ageing technology mind uploading, for
example, are discovered
in your lifeltime than as a result of some biological fluke.
Isn't it even more likely to be due to their discovery in previous generations.
Is
there an AP explanation for why we don't see very old people now.
Perhaps you are already reaping the benefits
of this effect, as life expectancies are greater now than they used to be in
previous centuries.
Not really. Medicine, sanitation, and security have greatly increased life
expectancy at birth, but they haven't done very much for extending the maximum
age.
In the meantime a lot of people have (apparently) died.
Perhaps the entire history of the universe, with evolution of life on Earth,
culminating in your birth, is
just an incredibly unlikely coincidence selected out by your consciousness so
that you can continue
living. QTI can thus be seen as a restatement of the Anthropic Principle.
Brent Meeker
What doesn't kill me only postpones the inevitable.
--- Nietzsche's older brother
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