Re: Russell's book

2006-09-16 Thread Periklis Akritidis

Stathis Papaioannou wrote:

 This is the most immediate response of people to the QTI idea: even if it's 
 true,
 what do I care if other versions of me survive in the multiverse if I'm going 
 to die?

According to QTI you are not going to die in any universe because there
are no dead ends in the branching.

 The problem is, you can arbitrarily divide up the moments of your life and 
 say that,
 for example, you were alive from 2:50 PM to 2:51 PM, then suddenly vanished
 from the universe (i.e. you were instantly and painlessly killed), then a 
 perfect copy
 of you suddenly appeared at 2:51 PM and lived another minute. What would you 
 notice
 if this happened? Would you worry about dying? I put it to you that this is 
 precisely

I wouldn't mind being in the branch that experiences an uninterrupted
stream of consciousness, but I worry that instances of me in the
branches where I am supposed to commit suicide would be biased towards
not doing it, given enough time to think about it. As for the factoring
machine, it simply wouldn't work. You would experience just the
miraculous escape after the gun shot without having a solution to the
computationally hard problem.

 You would still end up dead in most worlds from a third person POV though, 
 wouldn't
 you? That seems the main impediment to actually conducting a QS-type 
 experiment (aside

Why would you care about the opinion of those observers left forever
behind...

 from the possibility that all this MWI stuff is just wrong, of course). Even 
 in my scheme where
 there is just a possibility of death some calculations I have done suggest 
 that if you could
 demonstrate that your success rate after many bets was better than chance to 
 a statistically
 significant extent, your chance of dying would also have to be statistically 
 significant. It's
 as if the multiverse is conspiring against us to prevent us from proving its 
 existence!

No, it should be easy to make yourself experience a universe in which
you have convinced others using the ability to solve any number of very
difficult problems in case the machine worked, or just by being 2000
years old. But after you do manage to convince everybody, you would
shortly find yourself in a very lonely universe, so I guess that even
if you could prove QTI it would be in your best interest to keep it a
secret.

 Stathis Papaioannou
 _
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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-16 Thread Periklis Akritidis

David Nyman wrote:
 Some of us may recall the tontine, invented in the 17th century by a
 Neapolitan banker called Lorenzo de Tonti as an investment scheme, but
 now illegal, in the US and UK at least. The only beneficiary is the
 last survivor, who scoops the pool. A QTI tontine would presumably make
 winners of *all* its members (makes you wonder about about a
 conservation principle for money). There's still an incentive to bump
 the others off to speed the process, however, even though they would
 still end up as beneficiaries themselves on other branches. Rationally,
 they should draw lots, with a single winner being the only one who
 doesn't commit suicide (this should of course be automated).  I doubt
 this method would be any more popular with the authorities though.

That is reasonable. Even if they accept QTI, they would still have to
manage the resulting social mess in their POVs.

What about the possibility to end up through QTI in a universe of
eternal pain? If the outcome depends on your state of mind at the time
of death (death from other's POVs of course), we may have Quantum
Heaven and Hell theories:)


 
 David


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread Periklis Akritidis

Stathis Papaioannou wrote:

 Yet another QTI money-making scheme, this one rather less frightening
 than standard QS: you find a gambling game which is completely fair (easier
 said than done) and take with you the means of instant death, like a strong
 poison which you keep in your pocket. You place your bet all the while 
 repeating,
 if I lose I'll kill myself. You're not crazy and you probably won't kill 
 yourself if
 you lose, but if it's a perfectly fair game, the non-zero chance that you 
 *might*
 kill yourself (because you say it to yourself and because you have the means)
 should, over many bets, swing the odds in your favour in the universes in 
 which
 you survive.

Then merely the small probability of commiting suicide in an
unfavourable universe because of psychological reasons would swing the
odds towards being in a favourable one. In addition, weak persons,
likely to commit suicide under harsh conditions, would have higher
probability of experiencing favourable histories.

However, you would not want to experience the suicide part. Otherwise,
what would any instance of you gain from actually doing it? Why would
it care for other instances of you reaping the benefits? Itself would
still suffer death. It might as well avoid all risk taking confort in
the idea that other instances are using the QTI money-making scheme or
are just being lucky. For the idea to make sense, it is key to avoid
experiencing anything after the dice are thrown.

In the factoring scheme you need some time to check the solution, so
you would end up checking the solution and by the time you find that
you have a wrong answer it is too late, bang and, if QTI holds,
miraculous escape. For the scheme to work, the solution being wrong
must be equivallent to you not existing. With original QTI and death
that is already the case.


 Stathis Papaioannou
 _
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 http://ideas.live.com/programpage.aspx?versionId=5d21c51a-b161-4314-9b0e-4911fb2b2e6d


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Re: Russell's book

2006-09-15 Thread Periklis Akritidis


Periklis Akritidis wrote:
 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
 
  Yet another QTI money-making scheme, this one rather less frightening
  than standard QS: you find a gambling game which is completely fair (easier
  said than done) and take with you the means of instant death, like a strong
  poison which you keep in your pocket. You place your bet all the while 
  repeating,
  if I lose I'll kill myself. You're not crazy and you probably won't kill 
  yourself if
  you lose, but if it's a perfectly fair game, the non-zero chance that you 
  *might*
  kill yourself (because you say it to yourself and because you have the 
  means)
  should, over many bets, swing the odds in your favour in the universes in 
  which
  you survive.

 Then merely the small probability of commiting suicide in an
 unfavourable universe because of psychological reasons would swing the
 odds towards being in a favourable one. In addition, weak persons,
 likely to commit suicide under harsh conditions, would have higher
 probability of experiencing favourable histories.

 However, you would not want to experience the suicide part. Otherwise,
 what would any instance of you gain from actually doing it? Why would
 it care for other instances of you reaping the benefits? Itself would
 still suffer death. It might as well avoid all risk taking confort in
 the idea that other instances are using the QTI money-making scheme or
 are just being lucky. For the idea to make sense, it is key to avoid
 experiencing anything after the dice are thrown.

In unfavourable branches that is.


 In the factoring scheme you need some time to check the solution, so
 you would end up checking the solution and by the time you find that
 you have a wrong answer it is too late, bang and, if QTI holds,
 miraculous escape. For the scheme to work, the solution being wrong
 must be equivallent to you not existing. With original QTI and death
 that is already the case.

 
  Stathis Papaioannou
  _
  Be one of the first to try Windows Live Mail.
  http://ideas.live.com/programpage.aspx?versionId=5d21c51a-b161-4314-9b0e-4911fb2b2e6d


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