Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-13 Thread Greg Egan
On Jun 13, 9:25 am, Russell Standish <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I'm not sure his application of Bayes is correct. Given the facts of > his hypothetical scenario, and writing e=10^{-4050} > >   p(1|A) = e >   p(2|A) = 1-e >   p(1|B) = 1-e >   p(2|B) = e > > This is my translation of: > > "Now su

Re: Cosmology and Boltzmann brains

2008-06-13 Thread Colin Hales
I think the actual situation is even more underspecified and moot than Greg Egan or anyone else would have it. The entire discussion is fundamentally flawed because everyone assumes that their cosmology has involved the prediction of an (scientific) observer and what that scientific observation