Three Mile Island nuclear plant​ will reopen to power Microsoft AI

2024-09-20 Thread John Clark
*Three Mile Island nuclear plant will reopen to power Microsoft AI*
<https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/20/constellation-energy-to-restart-three-mile-island-and-sell-the-power-to-microsoft.html>

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
i3i

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Re: By far this is the smartest AI yet

2024-09-19 Thread Brent Meeker

So if you find a smart object it must be conscious.


On 9/19/2024 5:18 AM, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List wrote:

An object cannot be smart. Only consciousness is smart.


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Re: By far this is the smartest AI yet

2024-09-19 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
An object cannot be smart. Only consciousness is smart.

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Re: New AI has an IQ of 120

2024-09-19 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
Intelligence is the ability of consciousness to bring new ideas into 
existence out of nothing. Given this consideration, you just proved that 
your IQ is around 80.

On Wednesday 18 September 2024 at 20:09:26 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:

> *This is why OpenAI o1 preview (alias strawberry, alias Q*)  is so 
> exciting, previous AIs have topped out at about IQ 90, but this one has a 
> 120 IQ. Last November, when this thing was developed, it got everybody so 
> hot and bothered that they fired Sam Altman as head of OpenAI, and then 
> quickly hired him back. I wonder what they've been doing undercover at 
> OpenAI's skunk works for the last 10 months.  *
>
>
> [image: 908B34C4-BB0E-4258-A458-E9F087B90BAA_1_105_c.jpeg]
>
>
> John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> 
> 2oI
>
>

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New AI has an IQ of 120

2024-09-18 Thread John Clark
*This is why OpenAI o1 preview (alias strawberry, alias Q*)  is so
exciting, previous AIs have topped out at about IQ 90, but this one has a
120 IQ. Last November, when this thing was developed, it got everybody so
hot and bothered that they fired Sam Altman as head of OpenAI, and then
quickly hired him back. I wonder what they've been doing undercover at
OpenAI's skunk works for the last 10 months.  *


[image: 908B34C4-BB0E-4258-A458-E9F087B90BAA_1_105_c.jpeg]


John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

2oI

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AI chatbot got conspiracy theorists to question their convictions

2024-09-17 Thread John Clark
*AI chatbot got conspiracy theorists to question their convictions*
<https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-02966-6>

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
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By far this is the smartest AI yet

2024-09-12 Thread John Clark
*This blows every other AI out of the water when it comes to programming,
mathematics and science.  And the amazing/scary thing is that it's
scalable, the more raw compute power you throw at it the smarter it gets.
All you need is hardware.  It's called "Open AI o1" a.k.a.  strawberry
a.k.a. Q*, I think it's the most important development in the field of AI
since  the introduction of the original GPT. *

*OpenAI's New AI GPT-o1 STUNS The ENTIRE INDUSTRY Surprises Everyone!
(STRAWBERRY RELEASED!)* <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2mbM1wHwQhk>

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
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Re: Politics, AI and Quantum Computing

2024-08-26 Thread PGC


On Saturday, August 24, 2024 at 10:43:58 PM UTC+2 Brent Meeker wrote:


> 
You don't ask, "Is X wise." unless you compare it the possible 
alternatives...if you're wise.


If you're suggesting that the alternative to rallying behind Harris is 
Trump, then the context changes significantly. In that light, the urgency 
to unite behind a candidate—despite any perceived shortcomings—becomes 
obvious. The stakes are high, and the Democratic Party feels that any 
internal debate might weaken their position against Trump.

But even in this scenario, the question of brains/wisdom still applies. If 
your statement instead intended to highlight a lack of alternatives within 
the party, it's different. What I'm saying holds in both cases: While 
avoiding Trump might be the primary goal, ensuring that the chosen 
candidate is the best possible option in terms of leadership and public 
trust is crucial. The comparison here isn't just between Harris and Trump, 
but also between Harris and any other potential Democratic candidates who 
could have been considered. 
 
A transparent debate where, for once, candidates could have debated 
realistic concrete future policy proposals, instead of slinging mud, 
particularly with qualifiers like "if we had house and/or senate control", 
would have signaled seeing eye to eye with voters. If she loses without 
making some major mistake, it's going to be because of this missed 
opportunity. They had the opportunity to show what democratic debate 
culture is about, without hateful, vicious attacks for spectacle's sake, 
and shine their colors in terms of substance: what voters would get in 
return for their vote. 

Cheerleading and merely passing the baton to somebody who's been 
invisible/ineffective + proclaiming her to have superpowers is what it is. 

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Re: Politics, AI and Quantum Computing

2024-08-25 Thread Alan Grayson
Harris is about as good as it gets, but is that enough to avoid WW3 on her 
watch? AG

On Sunday, August 25, 2024 at 6:01:29 AM UTC-6 John Clark wrote:

> On Sat, Aug 24, 2024 at 3:14 PM PGC  wrote:
>
> *> Regarding politics, some reflections on the Democratic Convention from 
>> my perspective: Watching the proceedings I had time to watch, I couldn't 
>> help but notice a focus on performance over substance.*
>>
> *Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 because she put more emphasis on substance 
> than performance, she thought she could win with position papers and 
> PowerPoint slides. She was wrong. When Donald Trump speaks there is often 
> no substance at all and he just rambles on about sharks getting 
> electrocuted and low flush toilets and lightbulbs and crowd size and "the 
> late great Hannibal Lecter", but Trump always puts on a good show; or at 
> least that's what everybody tells me, they tell me the man has charisma. 
> Personally I don't see it but there's no disputing matters of taste. Some 
> people find cockroaches to be cute. *
>
> *On occasion Trump does actually say something of substance but when he 
> does you can be certain of one thing, that substance will be UGLY. *
>
>  >*Is it wise to rally behind a candidate, post-Biden, without any public 
>> debate or transparent selection process—especially when this candidate was, 
>> until recently, widely seen as a disappointment?*
>
>
> *Yes I think it's very wise to rally around Harris because it's not 
> important if she turns out to be a disappointing or mediocre president, 
> it's not even important if she turns out to be a Nixon level bad president 
> because we can survive that. The important thing is that she is unlikely to 
> become an apocalyptically catastrophic president like Donald Trump would be 
> if he gets a second term. His first term was bad enough! It's far more 
> important to avoid a very bad president than it is to elect a very good 
> president, that's because there's a limit to the amount of good a president 
> can do even if she's a transcendental genius and a saint, but there is no 
> bottom to bad. *
>
> *> Remember how late Obama’s endorsement came?*
>>
>
> *I don't think that was because of any lack of confidence in Harris, but 
> because he thought she should win the nomination by fighting for it. I 
> agree with Obama about that, but the party chose another way and I'll just 
> have to live with it.*
>
> *> At least his speech included a touch of sobriety. If I recall 
>> correctly, he cautioned against confusing the euphoria in the Chicago arena 
>> with the sentiment of the entire nation.*
>>
>
> *I agree with that too. It's encouraging that Harris is doing much better 
> in the polls than Biden but it's important to remember that Trump has 
> historically always done much better than what the polls had predicted he 
> would do. I think that's because many people are  embarrassed to admit to a 
> pollster that they're going to vote for Trump. I don't blame them, if I was 
> going to vote for Trump I'd be embarrassed to admit it too.  *
>   John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> 
> ite
>
>
>
>
>>

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Re: Politics, AI and Quantum Computing

2024-08-25 Thread John Clark
On Sat, Aug 24, 2024 at 3:14 PM PGC  wrote:

*> Regarding politics, some reflections on the Democratic Convention from
> my perspective: Watching the proceedings I had time to watch, I couldn't
> help but notice a focus on performance over substance.*
>
*Hillary Clinton lost in 2016 because she put more emphasis on substance
than performance, she thought she could win with position papers and
PowerPoint slides. She was wrong. When Donald Trump speaks there is often
no substance at all and he just rambles on about sharks getting
electrocuted and low flush toilets and lightbulbs and crowd size and "the
late great Hannibal Lecter", but Trump always puts on a good show; or at
least that's what everybody tells me, they tell me the man has charisma.
Personally I don't see it but there's no disputing matters of taste. Some
people find cockroaches to be cute. *

*On occasion Trump does actually say something of substance but when he
does you can be certain of one thing, that substance will be UGLY. *

 >*Is it wise to rally behind a candidate, post-Biden, without any public
> debate or transparent selection process—especially when this candidate was,
> until recently, widely seen as a disappointment?*


*Yes I think it's very wise to rally around Harris because it's not
important if she turns out to be a disappointing or mediocre president,
it's not even important if she turns out to be a Nixon level bad president
because we can survive that. The important thing is that she is unlikely to
become an apocalyptically catastrophic president like Donald Trump would be
if he gets a second term. His first term was bad enough! It's far more
important to avoid a very bad president than it is to elect a very good
president, that's because there's a limit to the amount of good a president
can do even if she's a transcendental genius and a saint, but there is no
bottom to bad. *

*> Remember how late Obama’s endorsement came?*
>

*I don't think that was because of any lack of confidence in Harris, but
because he thought she should win the nomination by fighting for it. I
agree with Obama about that, but the party chose another way and I'll just
have to live with it.*

*> At least his speech included a touch of sobriety. If I recall correctly,
> he cautioned against confusing the euphoria in the Chicago arena with the
> sentiment of the entire nation.*
>

*I agree with that too. It's encouraging that Harris is doing much better
in the polls than Biden but it's important to remember that Trump has
historically always done much better than what the polls had predicted he
would do. I think that's because many people are  embarrassed to admit to a
pollster that they're going to vote for Trump. I don't blame them, if I was
going to vote for Trump I'd be embarrassed to admit it too.  *
  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

ite




>

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Re: Politics, AI and Quantum Computing

2024-08-24 Thread Brent Meeker





On 8/24/2024 12:14 PM, PGC wrote:


Regarding politics, some reflections on the Democratic Convention from 
my perspective: Watching the proceedings I had time to watch, I 
couldn't help but notice a focus on performance over substance. Bernie 
Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have both firmly backed Biden, 
and now Harris is being presented as the best possible candidate. 
While I understand that legal issues related to transferring 
fundraising to another campaign play a role, it seems that the 
priority is on projecting an image of unity and joy rather than 
engaging in a democratic process that legitimizes the candidate 
through substantive debate.


In all the speeches I've reviewed, no one has addressed the most 
pressing question: Is it wise to rally behind a candidate, post-Biden, 
without any public debate or transparent selection process—especially 
when this candidate was, until recently, widely seen as a disappointment?


You don't ask, "Is X wise." unless you compare it the possible 
alternatives...if you're wise.


Brent

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Re: Politics, AI and Quantum Computing

2024-08-24 Thread PGC


Regarding politics, some reflections on the Democratic Convention from my 
perspective: Watching the proceedings I had time to watch, I couldn't help 
but notice a focus on performance over substance. Bernie Sanders and 
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez have both firmly backed Biden, and now Harris is 
being presented as the best possible candidate. While I understand that 
legal issues related to transferring fundraising to another campaign play a 
role, it seems that the priority is on projecting an image of unity and joy 
rather than engaging in a democratic process that legitimizes the candidate 
through substantive debate.

In all the speeches I've reviewed, no one has addressed the most pressing 
question: Is it wise to rally behind a candidate, post-Biden, without any 
public debate or transparent selection process—especially when this 
candidate was, until recently, widely seen as a disappointment?

Campaigns often rely on a degree of self-persuasion—believing in victory is 
crucial to convincing voters. However, this can make them feel artificial, 
even disingenuous. That said, it seems to be working; Harris has shifted 
the dynamics in the swing states. But let's not forget that just a few 
months ago, she was known for shaky interviews, a lack of experience on the 
international stage, and difficulties in retaining loyal staff. Now, in 
Chicago, she is being presented as the most talented and irreplaceable 
politician. Remember how late Obama’s endorsement came? At least his speech 
included a touch of sobriety. If I recall correctly, he cautioned against 
confusing the euphoria in the Chicago arena with the sentiment of the 
entire nation.

On Wednesday, August 14, 2024 at 10:00:03 PM UTC+2 John Clark wrote:

> People have been predicting that deep fakes will have an impact on the 
> election and now, thanks to Elon Musk, it looks like that prediction is 
> coming true: 
>
> Kamala Harris with a gun, Barack Obama stabbing Joe Biden 
> 
>
> And after 8 years of study the National Institute of Standards has finalized 
> Post-Quantum Encryption Standards, they involve Lattice Cryptography:
>
> NIST Releases First 3 Finalized Post-Quantum Encryption Standards 
> 
>
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> 
> lbc
>
>
>
>
>

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Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030?

2024-08-24 Thread John Clark
*There's a very interesting paper at: *


*Can AI Scaling Continue Through 2030?
<https://epochai.org/blog/can-ai-scaling-continue-through-2030>*


*They highlight 4 things that might slow down the growth of AI but, spoiler
alert, despite these constraints the answer they come to at the end is
"yes".  They conclude that by 2030 AI training runs of 10^29 flops will be
happening, to put it in perspective, that would be 10,000 times as large as
GPT4's most advanced model. This despite 4 things that might slow things
down, they are Power Constraints, Chip Manufacturing Capacity, Data
Scarcity and the Latency Wall.*

  Power constraints

*The FLOP/s per watt efficiency of GPUs used for AI training has been
increased by 1.28 times each year between 2010 and 2024, if continued, and
they see no reason to believe it won't,  training runs will be 4 times more
energyefficient by the end of the decade. Also there is near universal
agreement that in the future the neural net training of AIs will switch
from 16 bit precision to 8 bit, and that alone would double the
efficiency.  They conclude that in 2030 it would take about 6 gigawatts for
a year to teach an AI that was 10,000 times the size of GPT 4, that may
seem like a lot but the total power capacity of the US is about 1,200
gigawatts. *

  Chip manufacturing capacity

*There is considerable uncertainty about this, the best estimate they could
come up with is that between 20 million to 400 million Nvidia H100
equivalent GPUs will be manufactured in 2030, and that would be sufficient
to allow for training runs between 5000 and 250,000 times larger than
GPT4's training run.*

 Data scarcity

*The largest training data set  to have been used in training is 15
trillion tokens of publicly available text. The entire World Wide Web
contains about 500 trillion tokens, and the nonprofit "CommonCrawl" alone
has about 100 trillion tokens. If you include private data that figure
could go as high as 3000 trillion tokens. Also, synthetic data is proven to
be increasingly useful, especially in fields like mathematics, games and
software engineering, because they are all in affect asking NP
questions; that is to say questions that may be very difficult to find the
answers too but are very easy to determine if the proposed answers are
indeed correct. *

* Latency wall*

*The authors believe this will have little effect before 2030, but may need
to be considered after that when we reach the 10^31 flop level. The idea is
that during learning as neural networks get larger the time required to
pass forward and backward through the system increases. This problem can be
ameliorated by finding all the things that can be done in parallel into
something they call "pods", but you can reach a point of diminishing
returns if the size of the pods gets too large then things must be
processed sequentially. *

*There are ways to get over this wall but it will require changes to the
basic topology of the neural nets.   *

*Instead of relying on frequent communication between different parts of
the model, computations can be organized so that more work is done locally
within each computational unit. *

*Asynchronous communication can be used, this is where nodes can continue
processing without waiting for data from other parts of the network. *

*Specialized hardware such as Tensor Processing Units that have low latency
and high bandwidth can be used. *

*Designing the network  to reduce the number of hops data needs to take can
also help mitigate latency. *

*Data compression can be used to reduce the amount of information needed to
be transferred within the system. *
*There are even advanced algorithms that can work with old "stale"
information without significant loss in performance. *

*The bottom line is  the authors predict that in the next few years
hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars will be spent on AI, and it
will become  "the largest technological project in the history of
humankind".*

*  John K Clark*

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Politics, AI and Quantum Computing

2024-08-14 Thread John Clark
People have been predicting that deep fakes will have an impact on the
election and now, thanks to Elon Musk, it looks like that prediction is
coming true:

Kamala Harris with a gun, Barack Obama stabbing Joe Biden


And after 8 years of study the National Institute of Standards has finalized
Post-Quantum Encryption Standards, they involve Lattice Cryptography:

NIST Releases First 3 Finalized Post-Quantum Encryption Standards


 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

lbc

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The best text to picture AI program is free

2024-08-05 Thread John Clark
I think this is pretty remarkable, it's called "Flux" and it's free, and
open source, and it's small enough to run on your home desktop computer if
it has a $1000 graphics accelerator card in it. I'm glad I don't make my
living as a commercial artist!

The best text to picture AI program is free forever
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-7crpGKEA2g>

John K Clark

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Open source Llama AI outperforming GPT-4o and Claude in function calling

2024-07-19 Thread John Clark
What really interested in me in this is that it's much smaller than GPT-4o
and Claude, it's open source, and:
"*By achieving top performance using only synthetic data, Groq challenges
the notion that vast amounts of real-world data are necessary for creating
cutting-edge AI models*."

*Open source Llama AI outperforming GPT-4o and Claude in function calling*
<https://venturebeat.com/ai/groq-open-source-llama-ai-model-tops-leaderboard-outperforming-gpt-4o-and-claude-in-function-calling/>

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
aie

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-11 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Terren. Yes, other consciousnesses. What is it that you don't understand ?

On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 20:52:13 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

> If you have no idea, then just say so. Otherwise, answer the question.
>
> On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 11:22 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> As I said: interacting with other consciousnesses.
>>
>> On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 15:59:52 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>
>>> What specifically happens when someone "takes mushrooms" for the first 
>>> time that leads them to have a quality of consciousness that is unlike 
>>> anything they've experienced before that?  
>>>
>>> On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 3:11 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> @Terren. Other consciousnesses. That you cannot even imagine.
>>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 22:45:45 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> When you "take mushrooms", what happens is for your consciousness to 
>>>>>> interact with the other consciousnesses.
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> What other consciousnesses?  What specifically happens when someone 
>>>>> "takes mushrooms" for the first time that leads them to have a quality of 
>>>>> consciousness that is unlike anything they've experienced before that?  
>>>>> How 
>>>>> do you explain that particular scenario in terms of interactions with 
>>>>> other 
>>>>> self-referencing entities? 
>>>>>
>>>>> And, how does that explanation dispense with the idea that the 
>>>>> (apparent) ingesting of mushrooms caused the change in consciousness?
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> @Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness 
>>>>>> that stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what 
>>>>>> happens is for your consciousness to interact with the other 
>>>>>> consciousnesses. Also "internet" is a similar appearance in your 
>>>>>> consciousness. And when you "enter the internet", your consciousness 
>>>>>> changes from interacting with other consciousnesses.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my 
>>>>>>> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand 
>>>>>>> it, 
>>>>>>> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  
>>>>>>> That me taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness 
>>>>>>> begin is mere correlation?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain 
>>>>>>>> is cold and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates 
>>>>>>>> consciousness. Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old 
>>>>>>>> kid 
>>>>>>>> understands.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI 
>>>>>>>>>> comes from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking 
>>>>>>>>>> news: you 
>>>>>>>>>> are not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God 
>>>>>>>>>> dreams in 
>>>>>>>>>> this dream. It doesn't actually e

Re: AI hype

2024-07-11 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Brent. Who do you think you are for people to care about your replies ? 
= Such arrogance! =))

On Thursday 11 July 2024 at 07:14:08 UTC+3 Brent Meeker wrote:

> I hope you don't care if people also ignore your rude and arrogant posts.
>
> Brent
>
>
> On 7/9/2024 11:36 AM, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List wrote:
>
> @Quentin. Trololol. Do you think I care if you read my papers or not ? 
> = Is not my problem that you want to remain ignorant. I did 
> my part in providing knowledge to people. Now is people job if they want to 
> find the truth or not. Stop thinking yourself important.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 20:34:19 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
>> What a tool you are... and you're seriously expecting people to read your 
>> paper ? Learn humility and come back.
>>
>> Le mar. 9 juil. 2024, 19:16, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> a écrit :
>>
>>> @Jason. Omggg... I'm a genius. I studied everything. Computer science, 
>>> physics, philosophy, economy, sociology, biology, you name it, lol.
>>> I use self-reference in the proper way. The reason people are confused 
>>> is because of their own low IQ that even confuses them when it comes to 
>>> tying their own shoes.
>>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:27:15 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 11:50 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> @Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would have read my 
>>>>> paper you would have seen that.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> You alluded to a familiarity with computer programming. Have you 
>>>> studied computer science?
>>>>
>>>> Is the classical way the Fibonacci sequence is defined not an example 
>>>> of self-reference as you use the term? If it's not, then you are using 
>>>> "self-reference" in a very non-standard that is sure to confuse a lot of 
>>>> people, especially computer scientists.
>>>>
>>>> Jason 
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
>>>>>>> instructions such as 
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>>>> } else {
>>>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>>>> }
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed 
>>>>>> that even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in 
>>>>>> ways 
>>>>>> that aren't predictable (without running the computation until it 
>>>>>> finishes). E.g., does a machine halt or not?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it 
>>>>>> will do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program 
>>>>>> that 
>>>>>> looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it 
>>>>>> finds 
>>>>>> it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this 
>>>>>> program halt or not?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really 
>>>>>> don't know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>>>>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical 
>>>>>>> entities 
>>>>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the 
>>>>>&g

Re: AI hype

2024-07-10 Thread Brent Meeker

I hope you don't care if people also ignore your rude and arrogant posts.

Brent

On 7/9/2024 11:36 AM, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List wrote:
@Quentin. Trololol. Do you think I care if you read my papers or not ? 
= Is not my problem that you want to remain ignorant. 
I did my part in providing knowledge to people. Now is people job if 
they want to find the truth or not. Stop thinking yourself important.


On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 20:34:19 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:

What a tool you are... and you're seriously expecting people to
read your paper ? Learn humility and come back.

Le mar. 9 juil. 2024, 19:16, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
 a écrit :

@Jason. Omggg... I'm a genius. I studied everything. Computer
science, physics, philosophy, economy, sociology, biology, you
name it, lol.
I use self-reference in the proper way. The reason people are
confused is because of their own low IQ that even confuses
them when it comes to tying their own shoes.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:27:15 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:



On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 11:50 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via
Everything List  wrote:

@Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would
have read my paper you would have seen that.


You alluded to a familiarity with computer programming.
Have you studied computer science?

Is the classical way the Fibonacci sequence is defined not
an example of self-reference as you use the term? If it's
not, then you are using "self-reference" in a very
non-standard that is sure to confuse a lot of people,
especially computer scientists.

Jason


On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch
wrote:



On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via
Everything List  wrote:

lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow
deterministic instructions such as

if (color == white) {
   print ("Is day");
} else {
   print ("Is night");
}


This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace.
But Turing showed that even deterministic
processes can often surprise us, and behave in
ways that aren't predictable (without running the
computation until it finishes). E.g., does a
machine halt or not?

If I give you the program, can you tell me from
looking at it what it will do? You might think you
can, but consider if I gave you a program that
looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's
conjecture. If and when it finds it, the program
prints it and then halts. Does the machine given
this program halt or not?

You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove
it, then you really don't know. So far no one has
been able to prove it one way or the other.




There is no reason involved. Just blindly
following instructions. Do people that believe
in the AI believe that computers are magical
entities where fairies live and they sprout
rainbows ?


The Turing machine and (computability generally)
is built on the notion of recursion. I.e.
self-reference. If we are conscious due to
self-reference, then why shouldn't recursive
computer programs be conscious too?


Jason


On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3
Terren Suydam wrote:

How has your understanding of computer
programming helped you avoid being
victimized by AI hype?

On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin
Visan' via Everything List
 wrote:

People that are victims of the AI hype
neither understand computer
programming nor consciousness.

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-10 Thread Brent Meeker

What makes you think LLM's are deterministic?

Brent

On 7/9/2024 1:03 AM, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List wrote:
lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
instructions such as


if (color == white) {
   print ("Is day");
} else {
   print ("Is night");
}

There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical 
entities where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?


On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

How has your understanding of computer programming helped you
avoid being victimized by AI hype?

On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
 wrote:

People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand
computer programming nor consciousness.

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-10 Thread Terren Suydam
If you have no idea, then just say so. Otherwise, answer the question.

On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 11:22 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> As I said: interacting with other consciousnesses.
>
> On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 15:59:52 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>
>> What specifically happens when someone "takes mushrooms" for the first
>> time that leads them to have a quality of consciousness that is unlike
>> anything they've experienced before that?
>>
>> On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 3:11 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> @Terren. Other consciousnesses. That you cannot even imagine.
>>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 22:45:45 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>
>>>> When you "take mushrooms", what happens is for your consciousness to
>>>>> interact with the other consciousnesses.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> What other consciousnesses?  What specifically happens when someone
>>>> "takes mushrooms" for the first time that leads them to have a quality of
>>>> consciousness that is unlike anything they've experienced before that?  How
>>>> do you explain that particular scenario in terms of interactions with other
>>>> self-referencing entities?
>>>>
>>>> And, how does that explanation dispense with the idea that the
>>>> (apparent) ingesting of mushrooms caused the change in consciousness?
>>>>
>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> @Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness that
>>>>> stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what happens 
>>>>> is
>>>>> for your consciousness to interact with the other consciousnesses. Also
>>>>> "internet" is a similar appearance in your consciousness. And when you
>>>>> "enter the internet", your consciousness changes from interacting with
>>>>> other consciousnesses.
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my
>>>>>> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand 
>>>>>> it,
>>>>>> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?
>>>>>> That me taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness
>>>>>> begin is mere correlation?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is
>>>>>>> cold and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates
>>>>>>> consciousness. Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid
>>>>>>> understands.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI
>>>>>>>>> comes from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: 
>>>>>>>>> you
>>>>>>>>> are not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God 
>>>>>>>>> dreams in
>>>>>>>>> this dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the
>>>>>>>> dream, then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality 
>>>>>>>> between
>>>>>>>> the brain and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic
>>>>>>>> stimulation, etc, all give credence to the existence of the brain, and 
>>>>&g

Re: AI hype

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
As I said: interacting with other consciousnesses.

On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 15:59:52 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

> What specifically happens when someone "takes mushrooms" for the first 
> time that leads them to have a quality of consciousness that is unlike 
> anything they've experienced before that?  
>
> On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 3:11 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> @Terren. Other consciousnesses. That you cannot even imagine.
>>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 22:45:45 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>
>>> When you "take mushrooms", what happens is for your consciousness to 
>>>> interact with the other consciousnesses.
>>>>
>>>
>>> What other consciousnesses?  What specifically happens when someone 
>>> "takes mushrooms" for the first time that leads them to have a quality of 
>>> consciousness that is unlike anything they've experienced before that?  How 
>>> do you explain that particular scenario in terms of interactions with other 
>>> self-referencing entities? 
>>>
>>> And, how does that explanation dispense with the idea that the 
>>> (apparent) ingesting of mushrooms caused the change in consciousness?
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> @Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness that 
>>>> stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what happens 
>>>> is 
>>>> for your consciousness to interact with the other consciousnesses. Also 
>>>> "internet" is a similar appearance in your consciousness. And when you 
>>>> "enter the internet", your consciousness changes from interacting with 
>>>> other consciousnesses.
>>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my 
>>>>> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand 
>>>>> it, 
>>>>> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  That 
>>>>> me taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness begin 
>>>>> is 
>>>>> mere correlation?
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is 
>>>>>> cold and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates 
>>>>>> consciousness. Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid 
>>>>>> understands.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI 
>>>>>>>> comes from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: 
>>>>>>>> you 
>>>>>>>> are not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams 
>>>>>>>> in 
>>>>>>>> this dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the 
>>>>>>> dream, then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality 
>>>>>>> between 
>>>>>>> the brain and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic 
>>>>>>> stimulation, etc, all give credence to the existence of the brain, and 
>>>>>>> by 
>>>>>>> the same token all those examples are difficult to explain from the 
>>>>>>> idealist perspective you're advocating for.  
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that 
>>>>>>> stops all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why 
>>

Re: AI hype

2024-07-10 Thread Terren Suydam
What specifically happens when someone "takes mushrooms" for the first time
that leads them to have a quality of consciousness that is unlike anything
they've experienced before that?

On Wed, Jul 10, 2024 at 3:11 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Terren. Other consciousnesses. That you cannot even imagine.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 22:45:45 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>
>> When you "take mushrooms", what happens is for your consciousness to
>>> interact with the other consciousnesses.
>>>
>>
>> What other consciousnesses?  What specifically happens when someone
>> "takes mushrooms" for the first time that leads them to have a quality of
>> consciousness that is unlike anything they've experienced before that?  How
>> do you explain that particular scenario in terms of interactions with other
>> self-referencing entities?
>>
>> And, how does that explanation dispense with the idea that the (apparent)
>> ingesting of mushrooms caused the change in consciousness?
>>
>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> @Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness that
>>> stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what happens is
>>> for your consciousness to interact with the other consciousnesses. Also
>>> "internet" is a similar appearance in your consciousness. And when you
>>> "enter the internet", your consciousness changes from interacting with
>>> other consciousnesses.
>>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>
>>>> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my
>>>> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand it,
>>>> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  That
>>>> me taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness begin is
>>>> mere correlation?
>>>>
>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is
>>>>> cold and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates
>>>>> consciousness. Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid
>>>>> understands.
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes
>>>>>>> from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are
>>>>>>> not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in 
>>>>>>> this
>>>>>>> dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the
>>>>>> dream, then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between
>>>>>> the brain and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic
>>>>>> stimulation, etc, all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by
>>>>>> the same token all those examples are difficult to explain from the
>>>>>> idealist perspective you're advocating for.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that
>>>>>> stops all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does
>>>>>> the dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream
>>>>>> necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on 
>>>>>> our
>>>>>> consciousness?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Terren
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via E

Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Quentin. Don't worry, we will study you as a prime specimen on the sad 
persons topic.

On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 13:12:23 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:

> So let's get it straight, we're stupid sexually frustrated low IQ people, 
> yet you're arguing here with us... stupidity is amazing.
>
> Le mer. 10 juil. 2024, 11:51, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> a écrit :
>
>> @Quentin. Sure you're certain. The internet is full of geniuses like 
>> yourself. Also, the fact that you are from the category that equates free 
>> speech with hate speech says a lot about you. It says that you are just a 
>> loser hating other more successful, and as such, he is determined to shut 
>> them down by labeling their freedom as "hatred". Typical for sexually 
>> frustrated dictators. So sad to be you.
>>
>> On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 11:57:36 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>>
>>> I'm certain you've never taken a computer science course or understood 
>>> anything about it. Your single-neuron brain, filled with hate, spews 
>>> nothing but venom. Go back to your hate speech Google group and give us a 
>>> break. Earth is often a living hell because of hateful people like you.
>>>
>>> Quentin 
>>>
>>> Le mer. 10 juil. 2024, 09:14, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> a écrit :
>>>
>>>> Yes, by invoking Santa Claus. Because they are Santa Claus. Go and take 
>>>> some programming course! Is pathetic in the age of internet to now watch 1 
>>>> single course on youtube. You are an adult for God sake, Santa Claus is 
>>>> for 
>>>> children.
>>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:58:16 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in 
>>>>>> of replies.*
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
>>>>> anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking 
>>>>> about the Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer 
>>>>> may be a more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus. 
>>>>>
>>>>>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
>>>>> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
>>>>> apm
>>>>> kd0
>>>>>
>>>> -- 
>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google 
>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send 
>>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit 
>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/b4ff7140-a4e4-4ddc-ae53-8980b491568fn%40googlegroups.com
>>>>  
>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/b4ff7140-a4e4-4ddc-ae53-8980b491568fn%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>> .
>>>>
>>> -- 
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>>
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>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/13d1ab9b-5287-4bda-815e-094c26937331n%40googlegroups.com
>>  
>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/13d1ab9b-5287-4bda-815e-094c26937331n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>> .
>>
>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-10 Thread Quentin Anciaux
So let's get it straight, we're stupid sexually frustrated low IQ people,
yet you're arguing here with us... stupidity is amazing.

Le mer. 10 juil. 2024, 11:51, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> a écrit :

> @Quentin. Sure you're certain. The internet is full of geniuses like
> yourself. Also, the fact that you are from the category that equates free
> speech with hate speech says a lot about you. It says that you are just a
> loser hating other more successful, and as such, he is determined to shut
> them down by labeling their freedom as "hatred". Typical for sexually
> frustrated dictators. So sad to be you.
>
> On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 11:57:36 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:
>
>> I'm certain you've never taken a computer science course or understood
>> anything about it. Your single-neuron brain, filled with hate, spews
>> nothing but venom. Go back to your hate speech Google group and give us a
>> break. Earth is often a living hell because of hateful people like you.
>>
>> Quentin
>>
>> Le mer. 10 juil. 2024, 09:14, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> a écrit :
>>
>>> Yes, by invoking Santa Claus. Because they are Santa Claus. Go and take
>>> some programming course! Is pathetic in the age of internet to now watch 1
>>> single course on youtube. You are an adult for God sake, Santa Claus is for
>>> children.
>>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:58:16 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:
>>>
>>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in
>>>>> of replies.*
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
>>>> anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking about
>>>> the Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer may
>>>> be a more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus.
>>>>
>>>>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
>>>> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
>>>> apm
>>>> kd0
>>>>
>>> --
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>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>> To view this discussion on the web visit
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>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/b4ff7140-a4e4-4ddc-ae53-8980b491568fn%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>> .
>>>
>> --
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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Quentin. Sure you're certain. The internet is full of geniuses like 
yourself. Also, the fact that you are from the category that equates free 
speech with hate speech says a lot about you. It says that you are just a 
loser hating other more successful, and as such, he is determined to shut 
them down by labeling their freedom as "hatred". Typical for sexually 
frustrated dictators. So sad to be you.

On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 11:57:36 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:

> I'm certain you've never taken a computer science course or understood 
> anything about it. Your single-neuron brain, filled with hate, spews 
> nothing but venom. Go back to your hate speech Google group and give us a 
> break. Earth is often a living hell because of hateful people like you.
>
> Quentin 
>
> Le mer. 10 juil. 2024, 09:14, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> a écrit :
>
>> Yes, by invoking Santa Claus. Because they are Santa Claus. Go and take 
>> some programming course! Is pathetic in the age of internet to now watch 1 
>> single course on youtube. You are an adult for God sake, Santa Claus is for 
>> children.
>>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:58:16 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:
>>
>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in 
>>>> of replies.*
>>>
>>>
>>> Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
>>> anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking about 
>>> the Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer may 
>>> be a more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus. 
>>>
>>>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
>>> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
>>> apm
>>> kd0
>>>
>> -- 
>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
>> "Everything List" group.
>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an 
>> email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>> To view this discussion on the web visit 
>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/b4ff7140-a4e4-4ddc-ae53-8980b491568fn%40googlegroups.com
>>  
>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/b4ff7140-a4e4-4ddc-ae53-8980b491568fn%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>> .
>>
>

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Re: New AI training tech is 13 times faster and 10 times more power efficient

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
So what ? How does AI help with anything ? It is just a gimmick.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 21:45:51 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:

> *New AI training tech is 13 times faster and 10 times more power efficient 
> — DeepMind's new JEST optimizes training data for impressive gains 
> <https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/google-claims-new-ai-training-tech-is-13-times-faster-and-10-times-more-power-efficient-deepminds-new-jest-optimizes-training-data-for-massive-gains?utm_term=B0E130A3-FB83-4898-8071-86AA305566E4&lrh=01da63cc3d9f5f0f930e10d41b9099b85b7a15540b7052a555e92e95d694d51a&utm_campaign=2F4928DB-7559-479A-B06E-4801050D48B1&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2AEB5882-4AF6-47B0-86BA-E5D13A96606E&utm_source=SmartBrief>*
>
> John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> xtg
>
>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-10 Thread Quentin Anciaux
I'm certain you've never taken a computer science course or understood
anything about it. Your single-neuron brain, filled with hate, spews
nothing but venom. Go back to your hate speech Google group and give us a
break. Earth is often a living hell because of hateful people like you.

Quentin

Le mer. 10 juil. 2024, 09:14, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> a écrit :

> Yes, by invoking Santa Claus. Because they are Santa Claus. Go and take
> some programming course! Is pathetic in the age of internet to now watch 1
> single course on youtube. You are an adult for God sake, Santa Claus is for
> children.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:58:16 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:
>
>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>
>>> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in of
>>> replies.*
>>
>>
>> Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
>> anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking about
>> the Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer may
>> be a more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus.
>>
>>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
>> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
>> apm
>> kd0
>>
> --
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> .
>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
*to NOT watch.

On Wednesday 10 July 2024 at 10:14:44 UTC+3 Cosmin Visan wrote:

> Yes, by invoking Santa Claus. Because they are Santa Claus. Go and take 
> some programming course! Is pathetic in the age of internet to now watch 1 
> single course on youtube. You are an adult for God sake, Santa Claus is for 
> children.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:58:16 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:
>
>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>
>>> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in of 
>>> replies.*
>>
>>
>> Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
>> anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking about 
>> the Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer may 
>> be a more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus. 
>>
>>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
>> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
>> apm
>> kd0
>>
>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
Yes, by invoking Santa Claus. Because they are Santa Claus. Go and take 
some programming course! Is pathetic in the age of internet to now watch 1 
single course on youtube. You are an adult for God sake, Santa Claus is for 
children.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:58:16 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:

> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>
>> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in of 
>> replies.*
>
>
> Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
> anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking about 
> the Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer may be 
> a more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus. 
>
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> apm
> kd0
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-10 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Terren. Other consciousnesses. That you cannot even imagine.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 22:45:45 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

> When you "take mushrooms", what happens is for your consciousness to 
>> interact with the other consciousnesses.
>>
>
> What other consciousnesses?  What specifically happens when someone "takes 
> mushrooms" for the first time that leads them to have a quality of 
> consciousness that is unlike anything they've experienced before that?  How 
> do you explain that particular scenario in terms of interactions with other 
> self-referencing entities? 
>
> And, how does that explanation dispense with the idea that the (apparent) 
> ingesting of mushrooms caused the change in consciousness?
>
> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> @Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness that 
>> stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what happens is 
>> for your consciousness to interact with the other consciousnesses. Also 
>> "internet" is a similar appearance in your consciousness. And when you 
>> "enter the internet", your consciousness changes from interacting with 
>> other consciousnesses.
>>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>
>>> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my 
>>> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand it, 
>>> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  That 
>>> me taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness begin is 
>>> mere correlation?
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is 
>>>> cold and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates 
>>>> consciousness. Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid 
>>>> understands.
>>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes 
>>>>>> from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are 
>>>>>> not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in 
>>>>>> this 
>>>>>> dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the 
>>>>> dream, then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between 
>>>>> the brain and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic 
>>>>> stimulation, etc, all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by 
>>>>> the same token all those examples are difficult to explain from the 
>>>>> idealist perspective you're advocating for.  
>>>>>
>>>>> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that 
>>>>> stops all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does 
>>>>> the dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream 
>>>>> necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on 
>>>>> our 
>>>>> consciousness?
>>>>>
>>>>> Terren
>>>>>  
>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
>>>>>>>> instructions such as 
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>>>>> } else {
>>>>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>>>>> }
>>>>>>>>

Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Terren Suydam
>
> When you "take mushrooms", what happens is for your consciousness to
> interact with the other consciousnesses.
>

What other consciousnesses?  What specifically happens when someone "takes
mushrooms" for the first time that leads them to have a quality of
consciousness that is unlike anything they've experienced before that?  How
do you explain that particular scenario in terms of interactions with other
self-referencing entities?

And, how does that explanation dispense with the idea that the (apparent)
ingesting of mushrooms caused the change in consciousness?

On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 1:14 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness that
> stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what happens is
> for your consciousness to interact with the other consciousnesses. Also
> "internet" is a similar appearance in your consciousness. And when you
> "enter the internet", your consciousness changes from interacting with
> other consciousnesses.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>
>> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my
>> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand it,
>> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  That me
>> taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness begin is
>> mere correlation?
>>
>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is
>>> cold and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates
>>> consciousness. Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid
>>> understands.
>>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>
>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes
>>>>> from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are
>>>>> not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this
>>>>> dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the dream,
>>>> then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between the brain
>>>> and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic stimulation, etc,
>>>> all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by the same token all
>>>> those examples are difficult to explain from the idealist perspective
>>>> you're advocating for.
>>>>
>>>> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that
>>>> stops all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does
>>>> the dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream
>>>> necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on our
>>>> consciousness?
>>>>
>>>> Terren
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic
>>>>>>> instructions such as
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>>>> } else {
>>>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>>>> }
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
>>>>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical 
>>>>>>> entities
>>>>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules,
>>>>>> and it results in the complex behaviour that we see.

New AI training tech is 13 times faster and 10 times more power efficient

2024-07-09 Thread John Clark
*New AI training tech is 13 times faster and 10 times more power efficient
— DeepMind's new JEST optimizes training data for impressive gains
<https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/google-claims-new-ai-training-tech-is-13-times-faster-and-10-times-more-power-efficient-deepminds-new-jest-optimizes-training-data-for-massive-gains?utm_term=B0E130A3-FB83-4898-8071-86AA305566E4&lrh=01da63cc3d9f5f0f930e10d41b9099b85b7a15540b7052a555e92e95d694d51a&utm_campaign=2F4928DB-7559-479A-B06E-4801050D48B1&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2AEB5882-4AF6-47B0-86BA-E5D13A96606E&utm_source=SmartBrief>*

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
xtg

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Quentin. Trololol. Do you think I care if you read my papers or not ? 
= Is not my problem that you want to remain ignorant. I did 
my part in providing knowledge to people. Now is people job if they want to 
find the truth or not. Stop thinking yourself important.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 20:34:19 UTC+3 Quentin Anciaux wrote:

> What a tool you are... and you're seriously expecting people to read your 
> paper ? Learn humility and come back.
>
> Le mar. 9 juil. 2024, 19:16, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> a écrit :
>
>> @Jason. Omggg... I'm a genius. I studied everything. Computer science, 
>> physics, philosophy, economy, sociology, biology, you name it, lol.
>> I use self-reference in the proper way. The reason people are confused is 
>> because of their own low IQ that even confuses them when it comes to tying 
>> their own shoes.
>>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:27:15 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 11:50 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> @Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would have read my 
>>>> paper you would have seen that.
>>>>
>>>
>>> You alluded to a familiarity with computer programming. Have you studied 
>>> computer science?
>>>
>>> Is the classical way the Fibonacci sequence is defined not an example of 
>>> self-reference as you use the term? If it's not, then you are using 
>>> "self-reference" in a very non-standard that is sure to confuse a lot of 
>>> people, especially computer scientists.
>>>
>>> Jason 
>>>
>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
>>>>>> instructions such as 
>>>>>>
>>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>>> } else {
>>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>>> }
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed 
>>>>> that even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in 
>>>>> ways 
>>>>> that aren't predictable (without running the computation until it 
>>>>> finishes). E.g., does a machine halt or not?
>>>>>
>>>>> If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it 
>>>>> will do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program 
>>>>> that 
>>>>> looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it 
>>>>> finds 
>>>>> it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this 
>>>>> program halt or not?
>>>>>
>>>>> You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really 
>>>>> don't know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>>>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical 
>>>>>> entities 
>>>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the 
>>>>> notion of recursion. I.e. self-reference. If we are conscious due to 
>>>>> self-reference, then why shouldn't recursive computer programs be 
>>>>> conscious 
>>>>> too?
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> Jason 
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid 
>>>>>>> being victimized by AI hype?
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via

Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Quentin Anciaux
What a tool you are... and you're seriously expecting people to read your
paper ? Learn humility and come back.

Le mar. 9 juil. 2024, 19:16, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> a écrit :

> @Jason. Omggg... I'm a genius. I studied everything. Computer science,
> physics, philosophy, economy, sociology, biology, you name it, lol.
> I use self-reference in the proper way. The reason people are confused is
> because of their own low IQ that even confuses them when it comes to tying
> their own shoes.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:27:15 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 11:50 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> @Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would have read my paper
>>> you would have seen that.
>>>
>>
>> You alluded to a familiarity with computer programming. Have you studied
>> computer science?
>>
>> Is the classical way the Fibonacci sequence is defined not an example of
>> self-reference as you use the term? If it's not, then you are using
>> "self-reference" in a very non-standard that is sure to confuse a lot of
>> people, especially computer scientists.
>>
>> Jason
>>
>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic
>>>>> instructions such as
>>>>>
>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>> } else {
>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>> }
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed
>>>> that even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in ways
>>>> that aren't predictable (without running the computation until it
>>>> finishes). E.g., does a machine halt or not?
>>>>
>>>> If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it
>>>> will do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program that
>>>> looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it finds
>>>> it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this
>>>> program halt or not?
>>>>
>>>> You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really
>>>> don't know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
>>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
>>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the notion
>>>> of recursion. I.e. self-reference. If we are conscious due to
>>>> self-reference, then why shouldn't recursive computer programs be conscious
>>>> too?
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> Jason
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid
>>>>>> being victimized by AI hype?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer
>>>>>>> programming nor consciousness.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> --
>>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
>>>>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it,
>>>>>>> send an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit
>>>>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae

Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Jason. Omggg... I'm a genius. I studied everything. Computer science, 
physics, philosophy, economy, sociology, biology, you name it, lol.
I use self-reference in the proper way. The reason people are confused is 
because of their own low IQ that even confuses them when it comes to tying 
their own shoes.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:27:15 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:

>
>
> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 11:50 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> @Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would have read my paper 
>> you would have seen that.
>>
>
> You alluded to a familiarity with computer programming. Have you studied 
> computer science?
>
> Is the classical way the Fibonacci sequence is defined not an example of 
> self-reference as you use the term? If it's not, then you are using 
> "self-reference" in a very non-standard that is sure to confuse a lot of 
> people, especially computer scientists.
>
> Jason 
>
>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
>>>> instructions such as 
>>>>
>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>> } else {
>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>> }
>>>>
>>>
>>> This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed that 
>>> even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in ways that 
>>> aren't predictable (without running the computation until it finishes). 
>>> E.g., does a machine halt or not?
>>>
>>> If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it 
>>> will do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program that 
>>> looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it finds 
>>> it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this 
>>> program halt or not?
>>>
>>> You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really 
>>> don't know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>
>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities 
>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>
>>>
>>> The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the notion 
>>> of recursion. I.e. self-reference. If we are conscious due to 
>>> self-reference, then why shouldn't recursive computer programs be conscious 
>>> too?
>>>
>>>
>>> Jason 
>>>
>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid 
>>>>> being victimized by AI hype?
>>>>>
>>>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer 
>>>>>> programming nor consciousness.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> -- 
>>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google 
>>>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, 
>>>>>> send an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit 
>>>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com
>>>>>>  
>>>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>>>> .
>>>>>>
>>>>> -- 
>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google 
>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send 
>>>> an email to everything-li...@

Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Terren. "Mushrooms" are just an appearance in your consciousness that 
stand for other consciousnesses. When you "take mushrooms", what happens is 
for your consciousness to interact with the other consciousnesses. Also 
"internet" is a similar appearance in your consciousness. And when you 
"enter the internet", your consciousness changes from interacting with 
other consciousnesses.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 19:02:48 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

> So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my 
> consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand it, 
> that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  That me 
> taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness begin is 
> mere correlation?
>
> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is cold 
>> and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates consciousness. 
>> Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid understands.
>>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>
>>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes 
>>>> from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are 
>>>> not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this 
>>>> dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>>
>>>
>>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the dream, 
>>> then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between the brain 
>>> and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic stimulation, etc, 
>>> all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by the same token all 
>>> those examples are difficult to explain from the idealist perspective 
>>> you're advocating for.  
>>>
>>> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that 
>>> stops all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does 
>>> the dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream 
>>> necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on our 
>>> consciousness?
>>>
>>> Terren
>>>  
>>>
>>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
>>>>>> instructions such as 
>>>>>>
>>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>>> } else {
>>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>>> }
>>>>>>
>>>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>>>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical 
>>>>>> entities 
>>>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, 
>>>>> and it results in the complex behaviour that we see. 
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> -- 
>>>>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>>>>
>>>> -- 
>>>>
>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google 
>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send 
>>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>>
>>> To view this discussion on the web visit 
>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/19faaf74-251d-4e42-9ce6-a1d6d6208fc4n%40googlegroups.com
>>>>  
>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/19faaf74-251d-4e42-9ce6-a1d6d6208fc4n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>> .
>>>>
>>> -- 
>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
>> "Everything List" group.
>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an 
>> email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>
> To view this discussion on the web visit 
>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/9227a08e-4c12-498c-936e-33a2f5c6c38en%40googlegroups.com
>>  
>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/9227a08e-4c12-498c-936e-33a2f5c6c38en%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>> .
>>
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Samiya Illias
Allah has not taken any son 
https://signsandscience.blogspot.com/2022/09/allah-has-not-taken-any-son.html

The Kingdom & The Throne 
https://signsandscience.blogspot.com/2022/02/the-kingdom-throne.html


> On 09-Jul-2024, at 4:01 PM, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List 
>  wrote:
> 
> 
> @Quentin. Of course I am a magical entity. I am God. And so are you. We are 
> are all one and the same God dreaming infinite dreams.
> 
> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes from, 
> from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are not! You 
> are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this dream. It 
> doesn't actually exist.
> 
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List 
>>>  wrote:
>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions 
>>> such as 
>>> 
>>> if (color == white) {
>>>print ("Is day");
>>> } else {
>>>print ("Is night");
>>> }
>>> 
>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do people 
>>> that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities where 
>>> fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>> 
>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, and it 
>> results in the complex behaviour that we see. 
>> 
>> 
>> -- 
>> Stathis Papaioannou
> 
> -- 
> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
> "Everything List" group.
> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an 
> email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com.
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> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/19faaf74-251d-4e42-9ce6-a1d6d6208fc4n%40googlegroups.com.

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 11:50 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would have read my paper
> you would have seen that.
>

You alluded to a familiarity with computer programming. Have you studied
computer science?

Is the classical way the Fibonacci sequence is defined not an example of
self-reference as you use the term? If it's not, then you are using
"self-reference" in a very non-standard that is sure to confuse a lot of
people, especially computer scientists.

Jason


> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:
>
>>
>>
>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic
>>> instructions such as
>>>
>>> if (color == white) {
>>>print ("Is day");
>>> } else {
>>>print ("Is night");
>>> }
>>>
>>
>> This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed that
>> even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in ways that
>> aren't predictable (without running the computation until it finishes).
>> E.g., does a machine halt or not?
>>
>> If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it
>> will do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program that
>> looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it finds
>> it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this
>> program halt or not?
>>
>> You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really
>> don't know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>
>>
>> The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the notion
>> of recursion. I.e. self-reference. If we are conscious due to
>> self-reference, then why shouldn't recursive computer programs be conscious
>> too?
>>
>>
>> Jason
>>
>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>>
>>>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid
>>>> being victimized by AI hype?
>>>>
>>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer
>>>>> programming nor consciousness.
>>>>>
>>>>> --
>>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
>>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
>>>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit
>>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com
>>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>>> .
>>>>>
>>>> --
>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>
>> To view this discussion on the web visit
>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/15a64042-3008-48ab-b406-94b1ba3f54c0n%40googlegroups.com
>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/15a64042-3008-48ab-b406-94b1ba3f54c0n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>> .
>>>
>> --
> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
> "Everything List" group.
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> email to everything-list+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com.
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> .
>

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Re: AI hype Not so Hypy!

2024-07-09 Thread 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List
 I do like neuroscientist Hoffman indeed. But for tidings of comfort and joy, ♪ 
I'm like a Dog returning to his vomit, head's for Physicists and 
Astrophysicists for the Big Honking Explanations. Clark, all this seems 
Panpsychically delicious for you man, 
https://scientificandmedical.net/roger-penrose-on-consciousness/

Universe works like a cosmological neural network, argues new paper


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Universe works like a cosmological neural network, argues new paper

Controversial physics theory says reality around us behaves like a computer 
neural network.
 |

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The Autodidactic Universe


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The Autodidactic Universe

We present an approach to cosmology in which the Universe learns its own 
physical laws. It does so by exploring ...
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Does the human brain resemble the Universe?


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Does the human brain resemble the Universe?

An astrophysicist at the University of Bologna and a neurosurgeon at the 
University of Verona compared the netwo...
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Another Neuro guys paper-Toward a universal theory of consciousness


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Toward a universal theory of consciousness

Abstract. While falsifiability has been broadly discussed as a desirable 
property of a theory of consciousness, ...
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Its in Popular Mechanics Damnit! Like a Love Song, Can't be Wrong!I do follow 
Johannes Klienner at U Munchen tho;Some Scientists Believe the Universe Is 
Conscious


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Some Scientists Believe the Universe Is Conscious

Sounds like a bad trip ... but what if it's true?
 |

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On Tuesday, July 9, 2024 at 12:02:52 PM EDT, Terren Suydam 
 wrote:   

 That reminds me of Donald Hoffman's idea of reality as emerging from the 
interactions of “conscious agents”. These interactions are governed by 
mathematical principles. The apparent solidity and objectivity of the physical 
world are illusions created by the network of interactions among conscious 
agents.


On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:52 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List 
 wrote:

@Terren. The dream is ordered because it is a statistical effect of interacting 
consciousnesses.



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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Terren Suydam
That reminds me of Donald Hoffman's idea of reality as emerging from the
interactions of “conscious agents”. These interactions are governed by
mathematical principles. The apparent solidity and objectivity of the
physical world are illusions created by the network of interactions among
conscious agents.



On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:52 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Terren. The dream is ordered because it is a statistical effect of
> interacting consciousnesses.
>
> --
> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
> "Everything List" group.
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> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/5bd005de-3712-4f54-b9c4-e237d77f6a66n%40googlegroups.com
> 
> .
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Terren Suydam
So you're saying if I take a high dose of magic mushrooms and my
consciousness changes, it is so obvious that a 5yo kid would understand it,
that the mushrooms *do not* cause a change to my consciousness?  That me
taking mushrooms an hour before the changes to my consciousness begin is
mere correlation?

On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 11:51 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is cold
> and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates consciousness.
> Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid understands.
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>
>> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes
>>> from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are
>>> not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this
>>> dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>>
>>
>> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the dream,
>> then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between the brain
>> and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic stimulation, etc,
>> all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by the same token all
>> those examples are difficult to explain from the idealist perspective
>> you're advocating for.
>>
>> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that stops
>> all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does the
>> dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream
>> necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on our
>> consciousness?
>>
>> Terren
>>
>>
>>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>>
>>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic
>>>>> instructions such as
>>>>>
>>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>>> } else {
>>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>>> }
>>>>>
>>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
>>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
>>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>>
>>>>
>>>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules,
>>>> and it results in the complex behaviour that we see.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>> --
>>>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>>>
>>> --
>>>
>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
>>> "Everything List" group.
>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>
>> To view this discussion on the web visit
>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/19faaf74-251d-4e42-9ce6-a1d6d6208fc4n%40googlegroups.com
>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/19faaf74-251d-4e42-9ce6-a1d6d6208fc4n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>> .
>>>
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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Terren. The dream is ordered because it is a statistical effect of 
interacting consciousnesses.

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Terren. Based on your logic, if when you get outside in the rain is cold 
and when you are inside the house is warm => house generates consciousness. 
Correlation is not causation. This even a 5-years old kid understands.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 17:39:34 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes 
>> from, from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are 
>> not! You are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this 
>> dream. It doesn't actually exist.
>>
>
> Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the dream, 
> then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between the brain 
> and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic stimulation, etc, 
> all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by the same token all 
> those examples are difficult to explain from the idealist perspective 
> you're advocating for.  
>
> You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that stops 
> all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does the 
> dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream 
> necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on our 
> consciousness?
>
> Terren
>  
>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>>
>>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic 
>>>> instructions such as 
>>>>
>>>> if (color == white) {
>>>>print ("Is day");
>>>> } else {
>>>>print ("Is night");
>>>> }
>>>>
>>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities 
>>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>>
>>>
>>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, 
>>> and it results in the complex behaviour that we see. 
>>>
>>>
>>> -- 
>>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>>
>> -- 
>>
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>>  
>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/19faaf74-251d-4e42-9ce6-a1d6d6208fc4n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>> .
>>
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Jason. Recursion is not self-reference. If you would have read my paper 
you would have seen that.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 14:42:42 UTC+3 Jason Resch wrote:

>
>
> On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions 
>> such as 
>>
>> if (color == white) {
>>print ("Is day");
>> } else {
>>print ("Is night");
>> }
>>
>
> This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed that 
> even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in ways that 
> aren't predictable (without running the computation until it finishes). 
> E.g., does a machine halt or not?
>
> If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it will 
> do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program that 
> looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it finds 
> it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this 
> program halt or not?
>
> You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really 
> don't know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.
>
>
>
>
>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities 
>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>
>
> The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the notion of 
> recursion. I.e. self-reference. If we are conscious due to self-reference, 
> then why shouldn't recursive computer programs be conscious too?
>
>
> Jason 
>
>
>> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>>
>>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid 
>>> being victimized by AI hype?
>>>
>>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer 
>>>> programming nor consciousness.
>>>>
>>>> -- 
>>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google 
>>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
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>>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>>> To view this discussion on the web visit 
>>>> https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com
>>>>  
>>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>>> .
>>>>
>>> -- 
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>>
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>>  
>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/15a64042-3008-48ab-b406-94b1ba3f54c0n%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>> .
>>
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Terren Suydam
On Tue, Jul 9, 2024 at 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes from,
> from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are not! You
> are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this dream. It
> doesn't actually exist.
>

Maybe so. But if it is true that our brains are just part of the dream,
then how do you account for the seeming one-way causality between the brain
and the mind?  Brain damage, drugs, transcranial magnetic stimulation, etc,
all give credence to the existence of the brain, and by the same token all
those examples are difficult to explain from the idealist perspective
you're advocating for.

You can say that's all part of the dream, but that's an answer that stops
all further questions. The "hard problem" of idealism is: why does the
dream of God appear to be so lawful and ordered?  Why does the dream
necessitate things like brains that appear to have causal influence on our
consciousness?

Terren


> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>
>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic
>>> instructions such as
>>>
>>> if (color == white) {
>>>print ("Is day");
>>> } else {
>>>print ("Is night");
>>> }
>>>
>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>
>>
>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, and
>> it results in the complex behaviour that we see.
>>
>>
>> --
>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>
> --
> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
> "Everything List" group.
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> .
>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-09 Thread John Clark
On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:15 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:


> *>  Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in of
> replies.*


Like dismissing AI and Atomically Precise Manufacturing (a.k.a. N
anotechnology) by invoking Santa Claus? By the way, when talking about the
Singularity that is coming in just the next few years, Lucifer may be a
more relevant fictional character then Santa Claus.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
apm
kd0

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 4:04 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions
> such as
>
> if (color == white) {
>print ("Is day");
> } else {
>print ("Is night");
> }
>

This was an objection first made by Ada Lovelace. But Turing showed that
even deterministic processes can often surprise us, and behave in ways that
aren't predictable (without running the computation until it finishes).
E.g., does a machine halt or not?

If I give you the program, can you tell me from looking at it what it will
do? You might think you can, but consider if I gave you a program that
looked for a counterexample to Goldbach's conjecture. If and when it finds
it, the program prints it and then halts. Does the machine given this
program halt or not?

You might have an opinion, but if you can't prove it, then you really don't
know. So far no one has been able to prove it one way or the other.




> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>

The Turing machine and (computability generally) is built on the notion of
recursion. I.e. self-reference. If we are conscious due to self-reference,
then why shouldn't recursive computer programs be conscious too?


Jason


> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>
>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid being
>> victimized by AI hype?
>>
>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer
>>> programming nor consciousness.
>>>
>>> --
>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
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>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>> .
>>>
>> --
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> .
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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Jul 9, 2024, 7:01 AM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> @Quentin. Of course I am a magical entity. I am God. And so are you. We
> are are all one and the same God dreaming infinite dreams.
>
> @Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes from,
> from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are not! You
> are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this dream. It
> doesn't actually exist.
>

Is not self-reference a rule? One which according to your own views, all of
reality is based (and therefore all of reality follows)?

Jason




> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:
>
>> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic
>>> instructions such as
>>>
>>> if (color == white) {
>>>print ("Is day");
>>> } else {
>>>print ("Is night");
>>> }
>>>
>>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
>>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
>>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>>
>>
>> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, and
>> it results in the complex behaviour that we see.
>>
>>
>> --
>> Stathis Papaioannou
>>
> --
> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups
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> .
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
@Quentin. Of course I am a magical entity. I am God. And so are you. We are 
are all one and the same God dreaming infinite dreams.

@Quentin @Stathis. That's where the whole magical belief in AI comes from, 
from believing that you are robots. Well.. breaking news: you are not! You 
are God. "Brain" is just a picture that you as God dreams in this dream. It 
doesn't actually exist.

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 11:24:45 UTC+3 Stathis Papaioannou wrote:

> On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions 
>> such as 
>>
>> if (color == white) {
>>print ("Is day");
>> } else {
>>print ("Is night");
>> }
>>
>> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do 
>> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities 
>> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>>
>
> This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, and 
> it results in the complex behaviour that we see. 
>
>
> -- 
> Stathis Papaioannou
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Stathis Papaioannou
On Tue, 9 Jul 2024 at 18:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions
> such as
>
> if (color == white) {
>print ("Is day");
> } else {
>print ("Is night");
> }
>
> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>

This is what humans do also: their brains follow deterministic rules, and
it results in the complex behaviour that we see.


-- 
Stathis Papaioannou

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread Quentin Anciaux
Obviously you believe you are a magical entity,  you're a self righteous
man without an ounce of humility... no need to read a paper made by such
entity.

Quentin

Le mar. 9 juil. 2024, 10:04, 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> a écrit :

> lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions
> such as
>
> if (color == white) {
>print ("Is day");
> } else {
>print ("Is night");
> }
>
> There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do
> people that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities
> where fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?
>
> On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:
>
>> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid being
>> victimized by AI hype?
>>
>> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
>> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>>
>>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer
>>> programming nor consciousness.
>>>
>>> --
>>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
>>> Groups "Everything List" group.
>>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
>>> an email to everything-li...@googlegroups.com.
>>> To view this discussion on the web visit
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>>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>>> .
>>>
>> --
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Re: AI hype

2024-07-09 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
lol ? By knowing that all AI does is to follow deterministic instructions 
such as 

if (color == white) {
   print ("Is day");
} else {
   print ("Is night");
}

There is no reason involved. Just blindly following instructions. Do people 
that believe in the AI believe that computers are magical entities where 
fairies live and they sprout rainbows ?

On Tuesday 9 July 2024 at 06:19:30 UTC+3 Terren Suydam wrote:

> How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid being 
> victimized by AI hype?
>
> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
>> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer 
>> programming nor consciousness.
>>
>> -- 
>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups 
>> "Everything List" group.
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>>  
>> <https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/everything-list/d095509d-00c5-4693-ae91-af4732e231can%40googlegroups.com?utm_medium=email&utm_source=footer>
>> .
>>
>

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Re: AI hype

2024-07-08 Thread Terren Suydam
How has your understanding of computer programming helped you avoid being
victimized by AI hype?

On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 5:19 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

> People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer
> programming nor consciousness.
>
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AI hype

2024-07-08 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
People that are victims of the AI hype neither understand computer 
programming nor consciousness.

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-08 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
Not all claims of impossibility can be refuted with the "flying machines" 
argument. Arguments need to be made based on reason, not on robotic plug-in 
of replies.

On Monday 8 July 2024 at 22:00:31 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:

> On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 2:42 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
> everyth...@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
> *> Saying computers are coming closer to becoming as smart as humans is 
>> like saying that by climbing a tree you get closer to reaching the Moon. *
>>
>
> Yeah, and this entire Internet thing is just a silly fad. And the same is 
> true for horseless carriages, flying machines and TV.
>
>  
>
>> *>Also, brain doesn't exist.*
>>
>
> Okey-dokey.  
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> kd0
>
>
>
>  
>
>> "
>>
>>> I've heard it said that although computers are coming closer to 
>>> becoming as smart as a human biological brain, when it comes to power 
>>> efficiency Biology has a massive advantage. There are even scare stories 
>>> that in five years AI will be consuming 25% of the USA's entire electrical 
>>> power and just a few years later all of it. Well take a look at this! 
>>>
>>> *AI researchers run AI chatbots at just 13 watts with no performance 
>>> loss — stripping matrix multiplication from LLMs yields massive gains 
>>> <https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/ai-researchers-found-a-way-to-run-llms-at-a-lightbulb-esque-13-watts-with-no-loss-in-performance?utm_term=B0E130A3-FB83-4898-8071-86AA305566E4&lrh=01da63cc3d9f5f0f930e10d41b9099b85b7a15540b7052a555e92e95d694d51a&utm_campaign=2F4928DB-7559-479A-B06E-4801050D48B1&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2B26C867-7AB8-43E7-B01B-D1314D051DE6&utm_source=SmartBrief>*
>>>
>>>
>>> tlt
>>>
>>
>>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-08 Thread John Clark
On Mon, Jul 8, 2024 at 2:42 PM 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

*> Saying computers are coming closer to becoming as smart as humans is
> like saying that by climbing a tree you get closer to reaching the Moon. *
>

Yeah, and this entire Internet thing is just a silly fad. And the same is
true for horseless carriages, flying machines and TV.


> *>Also, brain doesn't exist.*
>

Okey-dokey.
 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
kd0





> "
>
>> I've heard it said that although computers are coming closer to becoming
>> as smart as a human biological brain, when it comes to power efficiency
>> Biology has a massive advantage. There are even scare stories that in five
>> years AI will be consuming 25% of the USA's entire electrical power and
>> just a few years later all of it. Well take a look at this!
>>
>> *AI researchers run AI chatbots at just 13 watts with no performance loss
>> — stripping matrix multiplication from LLMs yields massive gains
>> <https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/ai-researchers-found-a-way-to-run-llms-at-a-lightbulb-esque-13-watts-with-no-loss-in-performance?utm_term=B0E130A3-FB83-4898-8071-86AA305566E4&lrh=01da63cc3d9f5f0f930e10d41b9099b85b7a15540b7052a555e92e95d694d51a&utm_campaign=2F4928DB-7559-479A-B06E-4801050D48B1&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2B26C867-7AB8-43E7-B01B-D1314D051DE6&utm_source=SmartBrief>*
>>
>>
>> tlt
>>
>
>

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Re: AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-07-08 Thread 'Cosmin Visan' via Everything List
Saying computers are coming closer to becoming as smart as humans is like 
saying that by climbing a tree you get closer to reaching the Moon. 
Trololol.
Also, brain doesn't exist. "Brain" is just an idea in consciousness. This 
is where the whole confusion about robots reaching us comes from.
For more details see my papers, like "How Self-Reference Builds the World": 
https://philpeople.org/profiles/cosmin-visan

On Thursday 27 June 2024 at 15:54:09 UTC+3 John Clark wrote:

> I've heard it said that although computers are coming closer to becoming 
> as smart as a human biological brain, when it comes to power efficiency 
> Biology has a massive advantage. There are even scare stories that in five 
> years AI will be consuming 25% of the USA's entire electrical power and 
> just a few years later all of it. Well take a look at this! 
>
> *AI researchers run AI chatbots at just 13 watts with no performance loss 
> — stripping matrix multiplication from LLMs yields massive gains 
> <https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/ai-researchers-found-a-way-to-run-llms-at-a-lightbulb-esque-13-watts-with-no-loss-in-performance?utm_term=B0E130A3-FB83-4898-8071-86AA305566E4&lrh=01da63cc3d9f5f0f930e10d41b9099b85b7a15540b7052a555e92e95d694d51a&utm_campaign=2F4928DB-7559-479A-B06E-4801050D48B1&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2B26C867-7AB8-43E7-B01B-D1314D051DE6&utm_source=SmartBrief>*
>
> John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis 
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> tlt
>
>
>

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(bbc) AI drives 48% increase in Google emissions

2024-07-05 Thread 'Tomasz Rola' via Everything List
So, there is a bit for improvement, I wonder what they will be saying
two years from now? Bill Gates claims AI will not drive energy
consumption six-fold but rather like six percent.

[

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c51yvz51k2xo

]


-- 
Regards,
Tomasz Rola

--
** A C programmer asked whether computer had Buddha's nature.  **
** As the answer, master did "rm -rif" on the programmer's home**
** directory. And then the C programmer became enlightened...  **
** **
** Tomasz Rola  mailto:tomasz_r...@bigfoot.com **

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Ray Kurzweil AI and What Comes Next

2024-06-28 Thread John Clark
*Ray Kurzweil is brilliant, as usual, in this talk; the man has the best
record of correctly predicting technological progress of anybody I've ever
heard of. I'm about halfway through his new book. *

*By the way, it's interesting that during last night's presidential debate
neither the old man nor the con man said one word about AI, but one of them
will be the most powerful man in the world until January 20, 2029 , and AI
will by far be the most important issue any president will need to face
between now and then. *
The Last 6 Decades of AI — and What Comes Next | Ray Kurzweil | TED
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uEztHu4NHrs>

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
bld

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AI chatbots at ​ just 13 watts with no performance loss

2024-06-27 Thread John Clark
I've heard it said that although computers are coming closer to becoming as
smart as a human biological brain, when it comes to power efficiency
Biology has a massive advantage. There are even scare stories that in five
years AI will be consuming 25% of the USA's entire electrical power and
just a few years later all of it. Well take a look at this!

*AI researchers run AI chatbots at just 13 watts with no performance loss —
stripping matrix multiplication from LLMs yields massive gains
<https://www.tomshardware.com/tech-industry/artificial-intelligence/ai-researchers-found-a-way-to-run-llms-at-a-lightbulb-esque-13-watts-with-no-loss-in-performance?utm_term=B0E130A3-FB83-4898-8071-86AA305566E4&lrh=01da63cc3d9f5f0f930e10d41b9099b85b7a15540b7052a555e92e95d694d51a&utm_campaign=2F4928DB-7559-479A-B06E-4801050D48B1&utm_medium=email&utm_content=2B26C867-7AB8-43E7-B01B-D1314D051DE6&utm_source=SmartBrief>*

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
tlt

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An AI has found the best Iron-based high-temperature superconductor

2024-06-10 Thread John Clark
Iron based Superconductors are better than conventional Niobium-Tin
superconductors because they work at higher temperatures and in stronger
magnetic fields , and they're better than copper based high temperature
superconductors that were discovered about 30 years ago because they stop
working in moderately strong magnetic fields. An AI has found the best
Iron-based high-temperature superconductor anybody has discovered, it's a
compound made of the common elements Iron Barium Arsenic and Potassium. It
can produce a magnetic field of over 50 Tesla, more than twice as strong as
the best low temperature Niobium Superconductor and the best previous Iron
superconductor.

This is from the June 7 issue of the journal Nature:


Superstrength permanent magnets with iron based superconductors by data-
and research driven process design
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41427-024-00549-5.pdf>

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
scn

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A list of AI papers that may be of interest...

2024-06-08 Thread Dylan Distasio
Someone asked the head of OpenAI for a list of papers to get up to speed on
the state of the art in AI.   It can be found at the link below for those
interested, and he argues if you are able to digest all of them, you will
be in a good place to understand ~90+% of the state of the art:

Ilya 30u30 (arc.net)
<https://arc.net/folder/D0472A20-9C20-4D3F-B145-D2865C0A9FEE>

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California is considering a bill to regulate AI

2024-05-09 Thread John Clark
*Personally I think any attempt to regulate or control AI development is
doomed to failure, but like most things I see on Astra Codex Ten they
closely examine all the arguments pro and con about any issue in a rational
unbiased way.*

*California is considering a bill to regulate AI *
<https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/asteriskzvi-on-californias-ai-bill?utm_source=substack&publication_id=89120&post_id=144429673&utm_medium=email&utm_content=share&utm_campaign=email-share&triggerShare=true&isFreemail=true&r=6x3nn&triedRedirect=true>

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>

jjz

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Fwd: AI has unblocked progress toward advanced nanotechnology

2024-04-01 Thread John Clark
-- Forwarded message -
From: Eric Drexler 
Date: Sun, Mar 31, 2024 at 5:40 PM
Subject: AI has unblocked progress toward advanced nanotechnology
To: 


Deep learning has enabled breakthroughs in protein engineering, opening a
path to developing molecular machinery for transformative nanotechnologies.
͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
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  ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
    ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
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    ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
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­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
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    ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
  ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
    ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
  ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏
    ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­͏     ­
Forwarded this email? Subscribe here
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for more
AI has unblocked progress toward advanced nanotechnology
<https://substack.com/app-link/post?publication_id=2153125&post_id=143107837&utm_source=post-email-title&utm_campaign=email-post-title&isFreemail=true&r=6x3nn&token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjoxMTYyMjA4MywicG9zdF9pZCI6MTQzMTA3ODM3LCJpYXQiOjE3MTE5MjEyMTUsImV4cCI6MTcxNDUxMzIxNSwiaXNzIjoicHViLTIxNTMxMjUiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.r0z6-MN8AX5Ubk5dB9BpooEEGFbb7x5vLjl2251jS8E>Deep
learning has enabled breakthroughs in protein engineering, opening a path
to developing molecular machinery for transformative nanotechnologies.

Mar 31

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READ IN APP
<https://open.substack.com/pub/aiprospects/p/ai-has-unblocked-progress-toward?utm_source=email&redirect=app-store>

*Please take note:*

*For most practical purposes, the prospects I outline in this article can
be ignored. What matters to the rest of this project
<https://substack.com/redirect/341e3503-50aa-4f28-aec4-c2b5c849f2b8?j=eyJ1IjoiNngzbm4ifQ.I1PMvYo4mI3PquTDRhL5Dev-9_ouIq3kw6ZhrVNsy8o>
is updating perceived policy options to better align with reality
<https://substack.com/redirect/5e85af8b-37b8-444b-beec-7f2c684416e6?j=eyJ1IjoiNngzbm4ifQ.I1PMvYo4mI3PquTDRhL5Dev-9_ouIq3kw6ZhrVNsy8o>,
but expectations based on other, more mundane AI-enabled advances are
well-enough aligned to do most of the work. Think of this article as a
heads-up, not a key argument.*
--

To understand the present situation calls for some history:

Thanks for reading AI Prospects: Toward Global Goal Convergence! Subscribe
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I

Re: AI and Hollywood

2024-02-24 Thread Samiya Illias
The Words of Allah ﷻ, our Lord 
https://signsandscience.blogspot.com/2022/07/transhumanism-ii.html 


> On 24-Feb-2024, at 10:15 PM, John Clark  wrote:
> 
> 
> After seeing how good OpenAI's program "Sora" is at creating photorealistic 
> video, movie maker Tyler Perry decided to cancel his plans to build a $800 
> million extension to his existing movie studio. He says: 
> 
> 
> "I no longer would have to travel to locations. If I wanted to be in the snow 
> in Colorado, it’s text. If I wanted to write a scene on the moon, it’s text, 
> and this AI can generate it like nothing. If I wanted to have two people in 
> the living room in the mountains, I don’t have to build a set in the 
> mountains, I don’t have to put a set on my lot. I can sit in an office and do 
> this with a computer, which is shocking to me. [...] Everything right now is 
> so up in the air. It’s so malleable. The technology’s moving so quickly. I 
> feel like everybody in the industry is running a hundred miles an hour to try 
> and catch up, to try and put in guardrails and to try and put in safety belts 
> to keep livelihoods afloat. But me, just like every other studio in town, 
> we’re all trying to figure it all out. I think we’re all trying to find the 
> answers as we go, and it’s changing every day — and it’s not just our 
> industry, but it’s every industry that AI will be affecting, from accountants 
> to architects. [...]  I am very, very concerned that in the near future, a 
> lot of jobs are going to be lost. I really, really feel that very strongly."
> 
> After Seeing OpenAI’s Sora, Tyler Perry Cancelled Building an $800m Studio
> 
> 
>   John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> 
> asq
> 
> 
> 
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AI and Hollywood

2024-02-24 Thread John Clark
After seeing how good OpenAI's program "Sora" is at creating photorealistic
video, movie maker Tyler Perry decided to cancel his plans to build a $800
million extension to his existing movie studio. He says:


*"I no longer would have to travel to locations. If I wanted to be in the
snow in Colorado, it’s text. If I wanted to write a scene on the moon, it’s
text, and this AI can generate it like nothing. If I wanted to have two
people in the living room in the mountains, I don’t have to build a set in
the mountains, I don’t have to put a set on my lot. I can sit in an office
and do this with a computer, which is shocking to me. [...] Everything
right now is so up in the air. It’s so malleable. The technology’s moving
so quickly. I feel like everybody in the industry is running a hundred
miles an hour to try and catch up, to try and put in guardrails and to try
and put in safety belts to keep livelihoods afloat. But me, just like every
other studio in town, we’re all trying to figure it all out. I think we’re
all trying to find the answers as we go, and it’s changing every day — and
it’s not just our industry, but it’s every industry that AI will be
affecting, from accountants to architects. [...]  I am very, very concerned
that in the near future, a lot of jobs are going to be lost. I really,
really feel that very strongly."*

After Seeing OpenAI’s Sora, Tyler Perry Cancelled Building an $800m Studio
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOJQkueap-A>


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Groq, a chip optimized for AI

2024-02-21 Thread John Clark
You should take a look at the website Groq  , in it you
can try out both the AIs LLama and  Maxtral, I think  LLama is better but
neither of them are as good as Gemini or GPT-4, and the Groq Company does
not make either one of them because Groq is a hardware company, they are
the first to make a chip that was optimized from the ground up to work with
large language models. The amazing thing is not the quality of the answers
but the incredible speed of delivery. The company is trying to demonstrate
the superiority of their chip and I think they've done that, the only
reason they didn't use Gemini or GPT-4 in the demonstration is that they
are not open source, but LLama and Maxtral are. They have the potential to
give Nvidia some strong competition. Incidentally Elon Musk has come up
with something he calls "Grok" but this has nothing to do with that, in
fact "Groq" has threatened to sue Musk if he doesn't change the name
because they're so similar.

  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

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Money and how AI companies intend to obtain it so they can improve their product

2024-02-18 Thread John Clark
OpenAI, the company that created GPT-4, just announced a deal with the
venture capital firm Thrive Capital that would value the company at at
least $80 billion. Instead of using a traditional funding round the deal
would allow employees to cash out their shares in OpenAI. Other AI
companies are also raising lots of cash for further research and
development:

OpenAI competitor Anthropic has raised $6 billion from Google and Amazon.
Inflection AI, started by a former Google researcher, has raised $1.5
billion.
And Cohere, started by a different Google researcher, has raised $440
million.

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<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
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AI used to decipher the text of 2,000-year-old charred papyrus scrolls

2024-02-07 Thread John Clark
Artificial intelligence is getting so good it can now extract useful
information even from highly degraded material, and this should give some
encouragement to those who plan to be cryogenically preserved. In 79 AD
Mount Vesuvius erupted engulfing the towns of Pompeii and Herculaneum. It
also burned up a library containing thousands of scrolls, reducing them to
tightly rolled upcarbonized lumps. Nevertheless an advanced AI was able to
read about 5% of the information in them.

AI used to decipher the text of 2,000-year-old charred papyrus scrolls
<https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-00346-8?utm_source=Live+Audience&utm_campaign=4030a2d34e-briefing-dy-20240206&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_b27a691814-4030a2d34e-50169436>

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DeepMind’s AlphaGeometry AI

2024-01-24 Thread John Clark
I found this to be absolutely amazing! I already knew that AlphaGeometry
could solve geometry problems almost as well as the gold medal winners of
the International Mathematical Olympiad, but until now I didn't know that
the AI had learned geometry all on its own without using any human data.
This intensifies my belief that the next five years will be the most
critical time in the entire history of the human species, and it also
intensified the sinking feeling I started to feel last night when I learned
of the results of the New Hampshire Republican primary.

*DeepMind’s AlphaGeometry AI: 100,000,000 Examples!*
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WKF0QgxmGKs>

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Re: What company is putting the most emphasis on AI?

2024-01-22 Thread John Clark
On Mon, Jan 22, 2024 at 4:25 PM Brent Meeker  wrote:


> * > Apple makes it's own chips for it's computer, the Apple M2 for example
> which has equivalent power to mid-range consumer Nvidia graphic chips.
> Maybe they even have specific internal versions for running AI
> models. Google also makes it's own tensor chips specifically for AI.*
>

Actually Apple and Google design their own chips but they do not make them,
neither does Nvidia, the Taiwan company TSMC makes the chips, in fact they
make nearly everybody's chips. About the only company that still designs
and manufactures their own chips is Intel.  TSMC has promised its customers
that it will never design a chip, it will only manufacture them, and by
specializing it has learned to be very very good at it.   But I agree
Nvidia is unlikely to keep its virtual monopoly on AI chips for very long.

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This is the dangerous AI that got Sam Altman fired.

2023-12-31 Thread John Clark
This is the dangerous AI that got Sam Altman fired.
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cXemEDZA_Ms>

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A robot controlled by an AI

2023-12-20 Thread John Clark
Making Chat (ro)Bots 

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The first (but not the last) scientific discovery made by an AI

2023-12-16 Thread John Clark
The people at Google DeepMind have made a new AI they call "FunSearch",
apparently an abbreviation for “searching in the function space”. It has
found the most efficient algorithm known for solving the "cap set problem"
which is about finding the largest set of points in space where no three
points form a straight line, and the "bin packing problem" which is about
finding the best way to pack items of different sizes into containers of
different sizes. Both could have practical applications in data compression.

FunSearch works a bit differently than other AI's, when given a
mathematical problem instead of finding the solution it tries to write a
computer program that can solve that type of problem. And there are two
parts to FunSearch, one part is a large language model that churns out a
bunch of different programs which it then send to the second part, an
evaluator, which rejects the vast majority of them but sends the best one
or two back to the large language model to try to improve them. And the
process is repeated many times. Sort of reminds me of what human engineers
do when they brainstorm, everybody starts suggesting possible solutions to
a problem and most of the solutions are lousy, but a few might have
possibilities and somebody suggests a slight improvement to it and so on.

Pushmeet Kohli, the head of AI for science at DeepMind said:

*"Instead of generating a solution, FunSearch generates a program that
finds the solution. A solution to a specific problem might give me no
insight into how to solve other related problems. But a program that finds
the solution, that’s something a human being can read and interpret and
hopefully thereby generate ideas for the next problem and the next and the
next. When we started the project there was no indication that it would
produce something that’s genuinely new. As far as we know, this is the
first time that a genuine, new scientific discovery has been made by a
large language model.”*

This technique works best for things like pure math and computer science,
it wouldn't work for biology because that needs lab work.

Mathematical discoveries from program search with large language models
<https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06924-6>


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Re: Google's Gemini has dethroned GPT-4 as the top AI.

2023-12-09 Thread Tomasz Rola
On Wed, Dec 06, 2023 at 05:08:16PM -0500, John Clark wrote:
> A few hours ago google gave details on their AI called "Gemini" and I find
> this video to be absolutely incredible! If this isn't Artificial General
> Intelligence then what is?

Bright (or intelligent or clever or wise) people are not always
recognised as such by their contemporaries (quite possibly, many are
never recognised, because their words are let go and forgotten, so
cannot be later recalled and re-evaluated). Since so many
contemporaries recognise Chad Gepettos as intelligent, what does it
say about contemporaries and Chads?

-- 
Regards,
Tomasz Rola

--
** A C programmer asked whether computer had Buddha's nature.  **
** As the answer, master did "rm -rif" on the programmer's home**
** directory. And then the C programmer became enlightened...  **
** **
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Google's Gemini has dethroned GPT-4 as the top AI.

2023-12-06 Thread John Clark
A few hours ago google gave details on their AI called "Gemini" and I find
this video to be absolutely incredible! If this isn't Artificial General
Intelligence then what is?

Hands-on with Gemini: Interacting with multimodal AI
<https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UIZAiXYceBI>

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Open AI whistleblower ?

2023-11-19 Thread John Clark
OpenAl Secretly Achieves AGI Internally [Whistleblower]


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Why was Sam Altman fired from open AI?

2023-11-19 Thread John Clark
The day before Sam Altman, the head of Open AI, was fired,  he said he
had "*witnessed
the frontier of knowledge being pushed back four times in my experience at
Open AI, and the last time was recently a couple weeks ago*".  He didn't
give any details about what he was talking about but my theory, and I could
be completely wrong, is that the company had internally developed an AGI,
and Altman wanted to rapidly develop it further while others in the
company, especially Ilya Sutskever didn't because they were afraid of it.
And Altman lost the argument and lost the company as a result.
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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 3:12 PM Jason Resch  wrote:

*> GPS works entirely passively on the receiver side. There would be no
> external validation of the GPS coordinates.*
>

I know, but I don't think it would be very difficult to add that
functionality. Or you could have the cell phone providers do it, although
I'd trust the GPS people more.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

nvd


>

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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023, 3:04 PM John Clark  wrote:

>
>
> On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 1:59 PM Jason Resch  wrote:
>
>
> *> How does Apple (or whoever is signing the image and its metadata) know
>> it was taken by an iphone at a particular location?*
>>
>
> Regardless of how the picture was  produced, the GPS timestamp created by
> the GPS people can verify exactly when it was made, and can verify where
> the picture was claimed to have been made.
>

GPS works entirely passively on the receiver side. There would be no
external validation of the GPS coordinates.


And Apple Corporation can verify that the iPhone that was supposed to have
> taken the picture has been registered to Mr. Joe Blow. So if the picture is
> an embarrassing picture of a politician and if the picture is phony then
> Mr. Blow must be involved.  Mr. Blow is either an innocent bystander who
> got his iPhone hacked and his secret key stolen, or he is actively engaged
> in deception because he wants the politician to lose the next election.
> But if there's no evidence of any hacking and if Mr. Blow has no history of
> criminality and seems pretty apolitical and if it's not impossible that the
> politician could have been at that place at that time, then it would be
> reasonable to conclude that the photograph was real.
>

Yes, and note, that again it reduces entirely to whatever trust you have or
don't in Mr. Blow. Apple adds no additional trust to the veracity of the
images, it only serves in establishing the identity of Mr. Blow. But there
are better and existing schemes for this which don't require sending all
your images to Apple (certificate authorities).


>
> That's certainly an improvement to what we have now;  a photograph with
> no provenance at all, an anonymous person just posts a picture on the
> Internet with no hint about where or when the picture was taken or by who.
>

I agree. But it's important to recognize what problems cryptography does it
doesn't solve. It can solve the problem of provenance (who generated the
image) but it can't solve the more general problem of is this a deep fake
or not.

Jason



>
>   John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> 
> qoz
>
> q0z
>
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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 1:59 PM Jason Resch  wrote:


*> How does Apple (or whoever is signing the image and its metadata) know
> it was taken by an iphone at a particular location?*
>

Regardless of how the picture was  produced, the GPS timestamp created by
the GPS people can verify exactly when it was made, and can verify where
the picture was claimed to have been made. And Apple Corporation can verify
that the iPhone that was supposed to have taken the picture has been
registered to Mr. Joe Blow. So if the picture is an embarrassing picture of
a politician and if the picture is phony then Mr. Blow must be involved.
Mr. Blow is either an innocent bystander who got his iPhone hacked and his
secret key stolen, or he is actively engaged in deception because he wants
the politician to lose the next election.  But if there's no evidence of
any hacking and if Mr. Blow has no history of criminality and seems pretty
apolitical and if it's not impossible that the politician could have been
at that place at that time, then it would be reasonable to conclude that
the photograph was real.

That's certainly an improvement to what we have now;  a photograph with no
provenance at all, an anonymous person just posts a picture on the Internet
with no hint about where or when the picture was taken or by who.

  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023, 1:28 PM John Clark  wrote:

> On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 1:06 PM Jason Resch  wrote:
>
> >> I don't care if Joe Blow signs it or not with his private key that's
>>> on his iPhone because I have no reason to trust Mr. Blow. I want the Apple
>>> Corporation and the people who run the GPS satellites to sign a hash
>>> function of the picture and the GPS data with their private keys, and their
>>> private keys are not on anybody's phone, they're locked up somewhere in a
>>> deep underground vault, or the cyber security equivalent.
>>>
>>
>> *> But how would Apple, in your scenario, authenticate the picture was
>> really taken from the camera of an iPhone?*
>>
>
> The person claims the picture was taken by an iPhone, if he is lying about
> that then that is a very strong reason to suspect the picture is phony.
>

How does Apple (or whoever is signing the image and its metadata) know it
was taken by an iphone at a particular location?

Presumably, if the signing key is kept in some secure location, there will
have to be a remotely invocable API, which accepts from the sender, any
possible image data and any valid GPS coordinates, etc.

By what means can the signer verify that the data provided was captured
from a camera and not generated or manipulated? I see no way to solve this
problem.

Jason


Why else would he lie about it?  And even if I couldn't be sure how the
> picture was made I'd still know when and where it was made. So you couldn't
> claim to have a compromising picture of me when I was a teenager, or claim
> to have a picture of me taken in Bangkok the day before yesterday when I
> can prove that the day before yesterday I was in Las Vegas.
>
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> 
> ilv
>
>
>
>> --
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> 
> .
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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 1:06 PM Jason Resch  wrote:

>> I don't care if Joe Blow signs it or not with his private key that's on
>> his iPhone because I have no reason to trust Mr. Blow. I want the Apple
>> Corporation and the people who run the GPS satellites to sign a hash
>> function of the picture and the GPS data with their private keys, and their
>> private keys are not on anybody's phone, they're locked up somewhere in a
>> deep underground vault, or the cyber security equivalent.
>>
>
> *> But how would Apple, in your scenario, authenticate the picture was
> really taken from the camera of an iPhone?*
>

The person claims the picture was taken by an iPhone, if he is lying about
that then that is a very strong reason to suspect the picture is phony. Why
else would he lie about it?  And even if I couldn't be sure how the picture
was made I'd still know when and where it was made. So you couldn't claim
to have a compromising picture of me when I was a teenager, or claim to
have a picture of me taken in Bangkok the day before yesterday when I can
prove that the day before yesterday I was in Las Vegas.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis

ilv



>

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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023, 12:31 PM John Clark  wrote:

> On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 11:54 AM Jason Resch  wrote:
>
> >> I agree, but I think most people, myself included, would trust that
>>> the entire GPS satellite system is unlikely to be part of some grand
>>> conspiracy of deception, nor is it likely that the Apple Corporation is
>>> stupid enough to do so either because if such deception was ever made
>>> public, and secrets that huge can never be kept for long, it would be the
>>> ruin of the trillion dollar company.  At any rate I'd certainly trust
>>> them more than I'd trust any politician. Or Fox News.
>>>
>>
>>
>> *> I don't know how feasible it would be for  any device maker to prevent
>> someone from extracting a private key from a hardware device which is
>> already is in the hands of the person who seeks to extract it.*
>>
>
> I don't care if Joe Blow signs it or not with his private key that's on
> his iPhone because I have no reason to trust Mr. Blow. I want the Apple
> Corporation and the people who run the GPS satellites to sign a hash
> function of the picture and the GPS data with their private keys, and their
> private keys are not on anybody's phone, they're locked up somewhere in a
> deep underground vault, or the cyber security equivalent.
>

But how would Apple, in your scenario, authenticate the picture was really
taken from the camera of an iPhone?

Jason



Well OK, it's theoretically possible that anybody's secret key can get
> hacked, so even that isn't 100% secure, but then nothing is. However I
> think such a scheme could provide pretty good evidence that a picture was
> genuine.
>
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> 
>
> los
>
>
>>> --
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> 
> .
>

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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 11:54 AM Jason Resch  wrote:

>> I agree, but I think most people, myself included, would trust that the
>> entire GPS satellite system is unlikely to be part of some grand conspiracy
>> of deception, nor is it likely that the Apple Corporation is stupid enough
>> to do so either because if such deception was ever made public, and secrets
>> that huge can never be kept for long, it would be the ruin of the trillion
>> dollar company.  At any rate I'd certainly trust them more than I'd
>> trust any politician. Or Fox News.
>>
>
>
> *> I don't know how feasible it would be for  any device maker to prevent
> someone from extracting a private key from a hardware device which is
> already is in the hands of the person who seeks to extract it.*
>

I don't care if Joe Blow signs it or not with his private key that's on his
iPhone because I have no reason to trust Mr. Blow. I want the Apple
Corporation and the people who run the GPS satellites to sign a hash
function of the picture and the GPS data with their private keys, and their
private keys are not on anybody's phone, they're locked up somewhere in a
deep underground vault, or the cyber security equivalent.  Well OK, it's
theoretically possible that anybody's secret key can get hacked, so even
that isn't 100% secure, but then nothing is. However I think such a scheme
could provide pretty good evidence that a picture was genuine.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis


los


>>

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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread Jason Resch
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 10:44 AM John Clark  wrote:

> On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 11:11 AM Jason Resch  wrote:
>
> *> I think such protocols are only useful for verifying whether the image
>> came from an already known and trusted source. I don't see that it could
>> verify whether some content is genuine or not if you didn't already
>> know/trust the entity it is purported to come from (and trust that they
>> would not provide you with false content).*
>>
>
> I agree, but I think most people, myself included, would trust that the
> entire GPS satellite system is unlikely to be part of some grand conspiracy
> of deception, nor is it likely that the Apple Corporation is stupid enough
> to do so either because if such deception was ever made public, and secrets
> that huge can never be kept for long, it would be the ruin of the trillion
> dollar company.  At any rate I'd certainly trust them more than I'd trust
> any politician. Or Fox News.
>


I don't know how feasible it would be for  any device maker to prevent
someone from extracting a private key from a hardware device which is
already is in the hands of the person who seeks to extract it.

There are methods to make it difficult, but I don't think it can be made
impossible. And once one of the keys is removed from the device which
contained it, any extra information, such as GPS coordinates, etc. could be
falsely generated and then signed by that key.

Jason


>
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> 3ep
>
>
>
>
>
>
>>
>> Jason
>>
>> On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 8:14 AM John Clark  wrote:
>>
>>> Now that AI art is so good it's becoming impossible to determine if a
>>> photograph is real or fake, but a new open-source internet protocol
>>> called "C2PA" may offer a solution. If camera and smartphone makers
>>> agree to do so their products would all have a feature (which I hope you
>>> would be allowed to turn off if you wish) that would make a cryptographic
>>> hash of the picture and, thanks to GPS satellites, also have information on
>>> the time and place the picture was taken, and on the type of camera and
>>> exposure settings. Any alteration to the picture could easily be
>>> determined. And if social media companies cooperated you could even figure
>>> out when it was first posted on them. You could find out all of this stuff
>>> with just one click, it would work something like this:
>>>
>>> What happens if real is actually fake? <https://truepic.com/revel/>
>>>
>>> Of course you could refuse to use C2PA, but if you did that would make
>>> somebody deeply suspicious that your photograph is real.
>>>
>>> Cryptography may offer a solution to the massive AI-labeling problem
>>> <https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/07/28/1076843/cryptography-ai-labeling-problem-c2pa-provenance/>
>>>
>>>
>>> 5tt
>>>
>>>
>> --
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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 11:11 AM Jason Resch  wrote:

*> I think such protocols are only useful for verifying whether the image
> came from an already known and trusted source. I don't see that it could
> verify whether some content is genuine or not if you didn't already
> know/trust the entity it is purported to come from (and trust that they
> would not provide you with false content).*
>

I agree, but I think most people, myself included, would trust that the
entire GPS satellite system is unlikely to be part of some grand conspiracy
of deception, nor is it likely that the Apple Corporation is stupid enough
to do so either because if such deception was ever made public, and secrets
that huge can never be kept for long, it would be the ruin of the trillion
dollar company.  At any rate I'd certainly trust them more than I'd trust
any politician. Or Fox News.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
3ep






>
> Jason
>
> On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 8:14 AM John Clark  wrote:
>
>> Now that AI art is so good it's becoming impossible to determine if a
>> photograph is real or fake, but a new open-source internet protocol
>> called "C2PA" may offer a solution. If camera and smartphone makers
>> agree to do so their products would all have a feature (which I hope you
>> would be allowed to turn off if you wish) that would make a cryptographic
>> hash of the picture and, thanks to GPS satellites, also have information on
>> the time and place the picture was taken, and on the type of camera and
>> exposure settings. Any alteration to the picture could easily be
>> determined. And if social media companies cooperated you could even figure
>> out when it was first posted on them. You could find out all of this stuff
>> with just one click, it would work something like this:
>>
>> What happens if real is actually fake? <https://truepic.com/revel/>
>>
>> Of course you could refuse to use C2PA, but if you did that would make
>> somebody deeply suspicious that your photograph is real.
>>
>> Cryptography may offer a solution to the massive AI-labeling problem
>> <https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/07/28/1076843/cryptography-ai-labeling-problem-c2pa-provenance/>
>>
>>
>> 5tt
>>
>>
>

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Re: Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread Jason Resch
I think such protocols are only useful for verifying whether the image came
from an already known and trusted source. I don't see that it could verify
whether some content is genuine or not if you didn't already know/trust the
entity it is purported to come from (and trust that they would not provide
you with false content).

Jason

On Tue, Nov 7, 2023 at 8:14 AM John Clark  wrote:

> Now that AI art is so good it's becoming impossible to determine if a
> photograph is real or fake, but a new open-source internet protocol
> called "C2PA" may offer a solution. If camera and smartphone makers agree
> to do so their products would all have a feature (which I hope you would be
> allowed to turn off if you wish) that would make a cryptographic hash of
> the picture and, thanks to GPS satellites, also have information on the
> time and place the picture was taken, and on the type of camera and
> exposure settings. Any alteration to the picture could easily be
> determined. And if social media companies cooperated you could even figure
> out when it was first posted on them. You could find out all of this stuff
> with just one click, it would work something like this:
>
> What happens if real is actually fake? <https://truepic.com/revel/>
>
> Of course you could refuse to use C2PA, but if you did that would make
> somebody deeply suspicious that your photograph is real.
>
> Cryptography may offer a solution to the massive AI-labeling problem
> <https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/07/28/1076843/cryptography-ai-labeling-problem-c2pa-provenance/>
>
>  John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
> <https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
> 5tt
>
> --
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> .
>

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Cryptography could help us figure out if a photograph is real or an AI fake

2023-11-07 Thread John Clark
Now that AI art is so good it's becoming impossible to determine if a
photograph is real or fake, but a new open-source internet protocol
called "C2PA"
may offer a solution. If camera and smartphone makers agree to do so their
products would all have a feature (which I hope you would be allowed to
turn off if you wish) that would make a cryptographic hash of the picture
and, thanks to GPS satellites, also have information on the time and place
the picture was taken, and on the type of camera and exposure settings. Any
alteration to the picture could easily be determined. And if social media
companies cooperated you could even figure out when it was first posted on
them. You could find out all of this stuff with just one click, it would
work something like this:

What happens if real is actually fake? <https://truepic.com/revel/>

Of course you could refuse to use C2PA, but if you did that would make
somebody deeply suspicious that your photograph is real.

Cryptography may offer a solution to the massive AI-labeling problem
<https://www.technologyreview.com/2023/07/28/1076843/cryptography-ai-labeling-problem-c2pa-provenance/>

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
5tt

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AI and interest rates

2023-10-05 Thread John Clark
On Thu, Oct 5, 2023 at 8:59 AM smitra  wrote:

>
>> GPT-4 was only introduced a few months ago, and right  now it's as
>> stupid as it's ever going to be.  But it's inevitable that a machine
>> that is as smart as a man is going to make a huge impact on the economy.
>
>
> *> Yes, I agree. But I do think that making progress in
> automatizing hands-on work is going to prove more difficult than letting an
> AI do purely digital tasks.*


Right, robots that are able to interact with the real physical world as
well as humans can will take longer to develop, but not a lot longer:

Embodied AI ...Robots <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=peLqYP9BAUg>

*> The reason why inflation is coming down fast now is a combination of
> lower energy prices*


Energy prices are excluded when calculating core inflation rates because
they are volatile.

*> plus also the FED hikes starting to have an effect.*


Yes and it worked. Good work FED, thank you.


> *> The stock market and the bond market are telling different things about
> what to expect, and the bond market tends to be right most of the time.*


And the bond market is not expecting a big increase in the inflation rate.
As for the stock market, I've given up trying to predict what it will do.

*> the FED is never going to return to the previous policy of zero interest
> rates*


Never is a long time but you might be right. Due to the unusual
circumstances having zero interest rates was a wise policy for a while, but
those specific conditions are unlikely to recur.


> *> The fundamental problem was that after the 2008 financial crisis,
> central banks ended up not just temporarily implementing a ZIRP + QE
> policy, but that this became a permanent measure. Many economists had
> warned that this was bound to go wrong*


As I said before, economists have predicted 15 of the last five recessions.


 > *The economy is now in trouble because* [...]


I see no evidence that the economy is in trouble, it's not perfect of
course but nothing ever is.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
nr1

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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-05 Thread smitra

On 02-10-2023 19:06, John Clark wrote:

On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 9:26 AM smitra  wrote:


_> Productivity increase due to AI has yet to materialize. Systems
like ChatGPT are not all that useful for the economy_


That's because GPT-4 was only introduced a few months ago, and right
now it's as stupid as it's ever going to be.  But it's inevitable that
a machine that is as smart as a man is going to make a huge impact on
the economy.



Yes, I agree. But I do think that making progress in automatizing 
hands-on work is going to prove more difficult than letting an AI do 
purely digital tasks. There is 100% freedom in the virtual environment 
an AI has to operate in, but the real world is what it is.



The reason why there has been no recession so far is because the

Biden Administration has been spending massive amounts of money to
stimulate
the economy:


Then why is the rate of inflation coming down so fast?  And why is the
market telling us it expects inflation to stay low for the next few
years at least?


I do agree with what you wrote below about the way the GOP has an is 
causing trouble. The reason why inflation is coming down fast now is a 
combination of lower energy prices plus also the FED hikes starting to 
have an effect. The stock market and the bond market are telling 
different things about what to expect, and the bond market tends to be 
right most of the time. The stock market has moved into a bubble due to 
the fast FED hikes and the fact that the FED is never going to return to 
the previous policy of zero interest rates (ZIRP) and quantitative 
easing (QE) on a permanent basis outside of a recession.


The fundamental problem was that after the 2008 financial crisis, 
central banks ended up not just temporarily implementing a ZIRP + QE 
policy, but that this became a permanent measure. Many economists had 
warned that this was bound to go wrong Sooner or later a problem would 
occur for which you would normally require a stimulus in the form of 
ZIRP and QE and because we would already be doing that, other measures 
that are much more inflationary would be require. And then curbing the 
inflation that would inevitably crop up would be extremely painful 
because that would require reversing ZRP + QE under more difficult 
conditions.


And that's pretty much what happened in the aftermath of Covid. The 
economy is now in trouble because interest rates are now much higher and 
will be kept high with only moderate rat cuts next year. Particularly 
the smaller cmpanies have lots of debt and many of them need to 
refinance next year.


Doing ZIRP + QE for over a decade has forced many smaller companies to 
take on lots of debt due to competition. A company cannot just decide to 
not take on lots of debt at low interest rates to boosts profits, 
because they would end up outcompeted by competitors who then would do 
that. If ZIRP  + QE would be a short term policy to get the economy out 
of recession then this dynamics would not be in play. But because it was 
done permanently under good economic conditions, this has caused a 
significant part of the economy to be no longer profitable without ZIRP 
+ QE.


This has then caused the stick market to move into a  bubble. The stock 
market reached its peak in late 2021 early 2022. The valuation of stocks 
is basically an extrapolation of where the economy is expected to be in 
the future. And that was the based on the expectation that ZIRP and QE 
would continue to be the FED's policy indefinitely. But the FED hiked 
rates very fast and realistically the FED is never going to return to 
ZIRO + QE. Tis means that the stock market is enormously overvalued. It 
did correct down on 2022 but then later rise sharply to current levels.


Investors don't what to lose their money, the recession didn't come as 
fast as was expected. Many traders who were short became wrong footed, 
the market was pumped up and they had to cover their shorts. But now 
reality is slowly sinking in, companies will not make the sort of 
profits that can justify the current valuation of stocks, and the market 
will end up going down. As long as the market is overvalued, all the 
investors taken together make less money per invested dollar. So, after 
some ups and downs, the market will end up going down to a low enough 
level from which it can generate reasonable returns for investors. But 
the problem is that it has to sink to very low values for that to 
happen:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j-9yz_1mJME&t=1085s

This means that either the stock market has to crash, or it will end up 
going sideways for a very long time. I think the latter scenario is more 
likely, but ether way this does have consequences for the real economy, 
because the value of pensions are going to go down if the stock market 
goes down, or doesn't grow as it normally does for a long period of 
time, which then affects spending.



Saibal




By 

Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-04 Thread John Clark
On Tue, Oct 3, 2023 at 5:57 PM 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

*> His [Trump's] domestic and foreign policies were better than Joey's have
> been,*
>

Bullshit. Because of Trump's bungling during the Covid crisis at least half
a million Americans died unnecessarily.

Trump reneged on the Iran nuclear deal, even though he admitted they were
still in full compliance, because he said it did not permanently prevent
Iran from developing nuclear weapons and they might still do so in 10 to 25
years. But as a result of that idiotic decision we don't have to wait for
10 to 25 years, for about a year now Iran has had all the parts necessary
to build several nuclear bombs,  and if they haven't already done so (and
they probably have) they could assemble all those parts into working
devices in about two weeks.


> *> With Joey? High Inflation, *
>

For the last three months inflation has been running at  2.2%, about as low
as inflation ever gets, or ever should get.


> * > Functionally Open Borders,*
>

Trump's only suggestion on how to improve things is military airstrikes on
Mexico, just the sort of stupid thing you'd expect from Trump.

*> Threat of War with Russia*
>

Except for a couple of years in the 1990s when Russia seemed to be heading
towards democracy, there has been a constant threat of war with Russia
since 1946, today thanks to the Republican hero and Trump's best friend
Vladimir Putin, Russia is now more totalitarian than it ever was under
Khrushchev or Brezhnev, you'd have to go all the way back to Stalin to find
something comparable. Oh and by the way,  Putin's Russia started the
largest war in Europe since World War II by invading one of its neighbors .
You keep talking about China being the big baddie and long-term you may be
right, but right now Russia is the larger threat.


> *> Now John, give me your summary of Joey's triumphs? *
>

The Trump administration kept talking about "Infrastructure Week" but it
became a running joke because it was all talk, he never actually got
anything done, but Biden managed to pass a $1 trillion bill to repair
decaying roads and bridges, and improve the nations broadband Internet
service because it is currently a disgrace, the slowest of any major
industrial nation.

Biden passed the $280 billion CHIPS and Science Act to fund Basic research
and development to aid semiconductor manufacturing. And Biden is trying to
overcome intense Republican opposition to a bill that would lower
prescription drug costs and raise taxes on the super ultra mega rich.

Biden rejoined the Paris agreement on climate change on his first day in
office. Biden ended the war in Afghanistan, something that Trump had been
saying we should do for at least a decade but didn't actually do because he
was too cowardly to face the political heat that he knew it would generate.

Biden has restored America's global leadership. Trump nearly destroyed NATO
and if he had been reelected I have no doubt he would have succeeded in
doing so, but today NATO is stronger and more united than it's been in 50
years. And Biden has refused the rollover and play dead as Trump did
whenever he was confronted with Vladimir Putin, instead he is taking the
lead on imposing sanctions on Russia for its aggressive war on Ukraine.


John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
ylo








>
> On progress, because of who Joey and Don are, I am not confident that
> either could give us a conversation about LLM's, QC's, and the lot? For,
> me, a wee peasant, this is the only way to fly!
>
> On Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 07:44:34 AM EDT, John Clark <
> johnkcl...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
> On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 6:11 PM 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List <
> everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:
>
> *> Shouldn't simply be AI, but 3D printing and perhaps, the arrival of
> Drexler's nanofabricators?*
>
>
> I agree, AI will accelerate everything.
>
> *> If it's just AI, it'll will be harnessed for the super rich alone **and
> the difference between the rich and the rest of humanity will vastly
> expand.*
>
>
> That would certainly please people like Donald Trump, but it's not going
> to happen because the super rich are irrelevant, in fact the entire human
> race is irrelevant. Like it or not it's only a matter of time before AI
> will be harnessed by AI alone. There is simply no way you can permanently
> enslave something that is much smarter than you are and who keeps getting
> smarter every day.
>
>
>
> kgs
>
>

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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-03 Thread 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List
 His domestic and foreign policies were better than Joey's have been, that you 
are giving further evidence of the non-rationality of the Dem voter-Which is 
Fine! Because we are now that way also!With Joey? High Inflation, Functionally 
Open Borders, Higher Crime. Threat of War with Russia. 
Now John, give me your summary of Joey's triumphs? 
On progress, because of who Joey and Don are, I am not confident that either 
could give us a conversation about LLM's, QC's, and the lot? For, me, a wee 
peasant, this is the only way to fly!
On Tuesday, October 3, 2023 at 07:44:34 AM EDT, John Clark 
 wrote:  
 
 On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 6:11 PM 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List 
 wrote:


> Shouldn't simply be AI, but 3D printing and perhaps, the arrival of Drexler's 
>nanofabricators?

I agree, AI will accelerate everything.  

> If it's just AI, it'll will be harnessed for the super rich alone and the 
>difference between the rich and the rest of humanity will vastly expand.

That would certainly please people like Donald Trump, but it's not going to 
happen because the super rich are irrelevant, in fact the entire human race is 
irrelevant. Like it or not it's only a matter of time before AI will be 
harnessed by AI alone. There is simply no way you can permanently enslave 
something that is much smarter than you are and who keeps getting smarter every 
day.  

John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
kgs


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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-03 Thread John Clark
On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 6:11 PM 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List <
everything-list@googlegroups.com> wrote:

*> Shouldn't simply be AI, but 3D printing and perhaps, the arrival of
> Drexler's nanofabricators?*


I agree, AI will accelerate everything.

*> If it's just AI, it'll will be harnessed for the super rich alone **and
> the difference between the rich and the rest of humanity will vastly
> expand.*


That would certainly please people like Donald Trump, but it's not going to
happen because the super rich are irrelevant, in fact the entire human race
is irrelevant. Like it or not it's only a matter of time before AI will be
harnessed by AI alone. There is simply no way you can permanently enslave
something that is much smarter than you are and who keeps getting smarter
every day.

John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>

kgs

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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-02 Thread 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List
 Shouldn't simply be AI, but 3D printing and perhaps, the arrival of Drexler's 
nanofabricators? If it's just AI, it'll will be harnessed for the super rich 
alone, and the difference between the rich and the rest of humanity will vastly 
expand. An Elysium Eath. 
On Monday, October 2, 2023 at 07:47:06 AM EDT, John Clark 
 wrote:  
 
 Events of the last year have not turned out as economists thought they would, 
they thought the US was heading for a recession but that hasn't happened, and 
they all thought inflation would remain stubbornly high but for the last 3 
months it is only been at 2.2 %, and the Federal Reserve considers 2% to be the 
perfect amount of inflation. But there's something that has surprised 
economists even more, they expected interest rates to remain low but instead 
they are higher than they've been in over 20 years, even higher than they were 
during the 2008 global financial meltdown. What's really unprecedented is that 
by analyzing the spread between the price of ordinary bonds and bonds indexed 
to changes in the Consumer Price Index the market is telling us that for the 
last six months investors believed inflation is under control; in the past this 
has always led to long term interest rates going down, but that is not 
happening. So what is different this time?

I think the difference is AI. I think the market, that is to say the collective 
wisdom of investors, is telling us that in 10 years it will take far fewer 
dollars to remain alive or even to achieve a middle-class lifestyle than it 
takes today to do the same thing, and perhaps it won't take any dollars at all. 
So a dollar today will be far more valuable to you than it will be 10 years 
from now. So if I'm gonna loan you a dollar today I will demand a very high 
interest rate to make it worth my while, and if you're not willing to pay it 
I'll just spend that dollar on myself today.   
 John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolisicp




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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-02 Thread 'spudboy...@aol.com' via Everything List
 Side issue on economics. Inflation only occurs when there is no Return On 
Investment, ROI. In Technology, and I will use Medical, if successful at all, 
there is an immediate, intrinsic, ROI. In this manner both Keynes and Friedman 
are correct! We can also achieve this via printed money aka electrons to bank's 
servers, via energy, transportation, space, ad materials sciences. 
In other words, cash Back! Vote up or down as you like it, but give your 
reasoning if you feel it?
On Monday, October 2, 2023 at 01:06:48 PM EDT, John Clark 
 wrote:  
 
 On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 9:26 AM smitra  wrote:


> Productivity increase due to AI has yet to materialize. Systems like ChatGPT 
>are not all that useful for the economy

That's because GPT-4 was only introduced a few months ago, and right now it's 
as stupid as it's ever going to be.  But it's inevitable that a machine that is 
as smart as a man is going to make a huge impact on the economy. 

> The reason why there has been no recession so far is because the Biden 
>Administration has been spending massive amounts of money to stimulate
the economy:

Then why is the rate of inflation coming down so fast?  And why is the market 
telling us it expects inflation to stay low for the next few years at least? By 
the way, under the Trump administration the national debt increased by $7.8 
trillion, so far the Biden administration has increased it by 4.7 trillion. And 
the recent ridiculous stunt about extending the debt limit and shutting down 
the government is proof that  Republicans like buying expensive things just as 
much as the Democrats do, the only difference is the Democrats are willing to 
pay for the things they buy but the Republicans refuse to pay when the bill 
comes due and then they call that fiscal responsibility. The USA is the only 
country in the world where the legislature has the vote twice, first they have 
to vote if they wanna buy something, and then if they decide to buy it they 
have to vote again about if they're going to pay for it when they get the bill. 
That's nuts.  

>  the hammer will still come down, it will only take a bit longer.

Economists have predicted 15 of the last 5 recessions, and the record 
politicians have about predicting recessions caused by the economic policies of 
the other political party is not any better. 




> ChatGPT s not replacing people at the factory floor, at least not yet.


I agree, but it's only a matter of time, and I'm not talking about centuries or 
even decades.  
 John K Clark    See what's on my new list at  Extropolis
h6g






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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-02 Thread John Clark
On Mon, Oct 2, 2023 at 9:26 AM smitra  wrote:

*> Productivity increase due to AI has yet to materialize. Systems
> like ChatGPT are not all that useful for the economy*


That's because GPT-4 was only introduced a few months ago, and right now
it's as stupid as it's ever going to be.  But it's inevitable that a
machine that is as smart as a man is going to make a huge impact on the
economy.


> *> The reason why there has been no recession so far is because the
> Biden Administration has been spending massive amounts of money to
> stimulatethe economy:*


Then why is the rate of inflation coming down so fast?  And why is the
market telling us it expects inflation to stay low for the next few years
at least? By the way, under the Trump administration the national debt
increased by $7.8 trillion, so far the Biden administration has increased
it by 4.7 trillion. And the recent ridiculous stunt about extending the
debt limit and shutting down the government is proof that  Republicans like
buying expensive things just as much as the Democrats do, the only
difference is the Democrats are willing to pay for the things they buy but
the Republicans refuse to pay when the bill comes due and then they call
that fiscal responsibility. The USA is the only country in the world where
the legislature has the vote twice, first they have to vote if they wanna
buy something, and then if they decide to buy it they have to vote again
about if they're going to pay for it when they get the bill. That's nuts.

*>  the hammer will still come down, it will only take a bit longer.*


Economists have predicted 15 of the last 5 recessions, and the record
politicians have about predicting recessions caused by the economic
policies of the other political party is not any better.



> * > ChatGPT s not replacing people at the factory floor, at least not yet.*


I agree, but it's only a matter of time, and I'm not talking about
centuries or even decades.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
h6g


>
>

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Re: AI and interest rates

2023-10-02 Thread smitra
Productivity increase due to AI has yet to materialize. Systems like 
ChatGPT are not all that useful for the economy as a whole, because if 
you are a manager or programmer and you earn $300,000 per year and you 
can now do more work per hour, you are not going to work less hours and 
take a pay cut for working less. You are just going to do more things, 
so the costs of having you employed stays the same. Productivity 
measured by the rate of production of goods will not go up, because 
ChatGPT s not replacing people at the factory floor, at least not yet.


For ChatGPT to boost productivity would require that the managers take a 
pay cut and work less. They could then perhaps supplement their income 
by doing hands-on work that's difficult to automatize on the factor 
floor. But that's obviously not going to happen.


The reason why there has been no recession so far is because the Biden 
Administration has been spending massive amounts of money to stimulate 
the economy:


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-08-06/bidenomics-boosts-the-us-economy-fanning-soft-landing-hopes-inflation-fears#xj4y7vzkg

And this in combination with the fact that many companies used the 
opportunity to refinance their debts and home owners refinanced their 
mortgages at low rates before the FED started to raise rates. This has 
increased the lag effect of the FED hikes. But the hammer will still 
come down, it will only take a bit longer. There will be companies that 
get into difficulties who previously could ahve been easily saved by a a 
cheap loan who now cannot get a cheap loan. So, even if refinancing is 
not an issue right now, the higher rates can still bite.


The refinancing wall is, however, still going to hit hard next year and 
in 2025. The FED will not have cut rates all that much unless the 
economy would already have tanked. The situation looks quite bad:


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0vkGjSybTLg&t=728s

And with bond yields having increased recently, this situation has only 
gotten worse.


Saibal



On 02-10-2023 13:46, John Clark wrote:

Events of the last year have not turned out as economists thought they
would, they thought the US was heading for a recession but that hasn't
happened, and they all thought inflation would remain stubbornly high
but for the last 3 months it is only been at 2.2 %, and the Federal
Reserve considers 2% to be the perfect amount of inflation. But
there's something that has surprised economists even more, they
expected interest rates to remain low but instead they are higher than
they've been in over 20 years, even higher than they were during the
2008 global financial meltdown. What's really unprecedented is that by
analyzing the spread between the price of ordinary bonds and bonds
indexed to changes in the Consumer Price Index the market is telling
us that for the last six months investors believed inflation is under
control; in the past this has always led to long term interest rates
going down, but that is not happening. So what is different this time?

I think the difference is AI. I think the market, that is to say the
collective wisdom of investors, is telling us that in 10 years it will
take far fewer dollars to remain alive or even to achieve a
middle-class lifestyle than it takes today to do the same thing, and
perhaps it won't take any dollars at all. So a dollar today will be
far more valuable to you than it will be 10 years from now. So if I'm
gonna loan you a dollar today I will demand a very high interest rate
to make it worth my while, and if you're not willing to pay it I'll
just spend that dollar on myself today.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis [1]

icp

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AI and interest rates

2023-10-02 Thread John Clark
Events of the last year have not turned out as economists thought they
would, they thought the US was heading for a recession but that hasn't
happened, and they all thought inflation would remain stubbornly high but
for the last 3 months it is only been at 2.2 %, and the Federal Reserve
considers 2% to be the perfect amount of inflation. But there's something
that has surprised economists even more, they expected interest rates to
remain low but instead they are higher than they've been in over 20 years,
even higher than they were during the 2008 global financial meltdown.
What's really unprecedented is that by analyzing the spread between the
price of ordinary bonds and bonds indexed to changes in the Consumer Price
Index the market is telling us that for the last six months investors
believed inflation is under control; in the past this has always led to
long term interest rates going down, but that is not happening. So what is
different this time?

I think the difference is AI. I think the market, that is to say the
collective wisdom of investors, is telling us that in 10 years it will take
far fewer dollars to remain alive or even to achieve a middle-class
lifestyle than it takes today to do the same thing, and perhaps it won't
take any dollars at all. So a dollar today will be far more valuable to you
than it will be 10 years from now. So if I'm gonna loan you a dollar today
I will demand a very high interest rate to make it worth my while, and if
you're not willing to pay it I'll just spend that dollar on myself today.

 John K ClarkSee what's on my new list at  Extropolis
<https://groups.google.com/g/extropolis>
icp

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