Re: Many Worlds Version of Fermi Paradox

2002-12-30 Thread Hal Finney
Tim May writes:
> IF the MWI universe branchings are at all communicatable-with, that is, 
> at least _some_ of those universes would have very, very large amounts 
> of power, computer power, numbers of people, etc. And some of them, if 
> it were possible, would have communicated with us, colonized us, 
> visited us, etc.
>
> This is a variant of the Fermi Paradox raised to a very high power.

A similar idea has been advanced about time travel.  If it will someday
be possible, why aren't we being visited from the future?

However both proposals could be patched up against this objection by
postulating that we have to build the "other end" of the communication
link.  Time travel will be possible but you won't be able to travel
back to before you built the time machine.  Inter-world travel will
be possible but the people in both worlds have to cooperate to build a
common quantum system, perhaps implying that they have to begin building
the system before their worlds split.

In this formulation (which I believe arises quite naturally in the general
relativity based approaches to time travel), the only way that visitors
could be here now would be if there were some natural phenomenon which
happened to provide the necessary conditions, or if there wre some other
civilization in our local universe who had built the required machinery.

Hal Finney




Many Worlds Version of Fermi Paradox

2002-12-30 Thread Tim May
On Monday, December 30, 2002, at 01:18  PM, Jesse Mazer wrote:


Hal Finney wrote:


One correction, there are no known problems which take exponential 
time
but which can be checked in polynomial time.  If such a problem could 
be
found it would prove that P != NP, one of the greatest unsolved 
problems
in computability theory.

Whoops, I've heard of the P=NP problem but I guess I was confused 
about what it meant. But there are some problems where candidate 
solutions can be checked much faster than new solutions can be 
generated, no? If you want to know whether a number can be factorized 
it's easy to check candidate factors, for example, although if the 
answer is that it cannot be factorized because the number is prime I 
guess there'd be no fast way to check if that answer is correct.

Factoring is not known to be in NP (the so-called "NP-complete" class 
of problems...solve on in P time and you've solved them all!).

The example I favor is the Hamiltonian cycle/circuit problem: find a 
path through a set of linked nodes (cities) which passes through each 
node once and only once. All of the known solutions to an arbitrary 
Hamiltonian cycle problem are exponential in time (in number of nodes). 
For example, for 5 cities there are at most 120 possible paths, so this 
is an easy one. But for 50 cities there are as many as 49!/2 possible 
paths (how many, exactly, depends on the links between the cities, with 
not every city having all possible links to other cities). For a mere 
100 cities, the number of routes to consider is larger than the number 
of particles we believe to be in the universe.

However, saying "known solutions" is not the same thing as "we have 
proved that it takes exponential time." For all we know, now, in 2002, 
there are solutions not requiring exponential time (in # of cities).

This is also somewhat relevant to "theories of everything" since we 
might want to ask if somewhere in the set of "all possible universes" 
there exists one where time travel is possible and computing power 
increases without bound. If the answer is yes, that might suggest that 
any TOE based on "all possible computations" is too small to 
accomodate a really general notion of all possible universes.

And this general line of reasoning leads to a Many Worlds Version of 
the Fermi Paradox: Why aren't they here?

The reason I lean toward the "shut up and calculate" or "for all 
practical purposes" interpretation of quantum mechanics is embodied in 
the above argument.

IF the MWI universe branchings are at all communicatable-with, that is, 
at least _some_ of those universes would have very, very large amounts 
of power, computer power, numbers of people, etc. And some of them, if 
it were possible, would have communicated with us, colonized us, 
visited us, etc.

This is a variant of the Fermi Paradox raised to a very high power.

My conclusion is that the worlds of the MWI are not much different from 
Lewis' "worlds with unicorns"--possibly extant, but unreachable, and 
hence, operationally, no different from a single universe model.

(I don't believe, necessarily, in certain forms of the Copenhagen 
Interpretation, especially anything about signals propagating 
instantaneously, just the "quantum mechanics is about measurables" 
ground truth of what we see, what has never failed us, what the 
mathematics tells us and what is experimentally verified. Whether there 
"really are" (in the modal realism sense of Lewis) other worlds is 
neither here nor there. Naturally, I would be thrilled to see evidence, 
or to conclude myself from deeper principles, that other worlds have 
more than linguistic existence.)


--Tim May