Re: Bayesian boxes and expectation value

1999-05-21 Thread GSLevy
Gilles I fully agree with you. Your analysis is great. In a message dated 99-05-20 04:06:41 EDT, you write: << If you don't know the maximum value M, there is actually no rational for switching. >> I agree. Unless the maximum value of M is known there is no rational for switching. If M is s

Re: Bayesian boxes and expectation value

1999-05-18 Thread GSLevy
In a message dated 99-05-18 17:15:37 EDT, Jacques Mallah writes: << You don't seem to understand: that's NOT how to take an expectation value. It bears little resemblance to the formula for an expectation value, regardless of what "the distribution of m" is. >> The concept of scales and

Re: Bayesian boxes and expectation value

1999-05-18 Thread Jacques M Mallah
On Sat, 15 May 1999 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: > In a message dated 99-05-14 15:55:53 EDT, Jacques Mallah writes: > Ok, now you seem to think that the expected value for the other > box is exp((log(2m)+log(m/2))/2) given that the first box contains m and > given a 50% chance that the second