Re: This is the Dream Time

2011-06-23 Thread Rex Allen
On Wed, Jun 22, 2011 at 2:03 PM, Bruno Marchal marc...@ulb.ac.be wrote:

 On 22 Jun 2011, at 01:56, Rex Allen wrote:

 Related to the Progress and Happiness thread:

 http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/09/this-is-the-dream-time.html


 But I am not sure there will be a point where everything worth knowing will
 be known. In the terrestrial realm (the left hypostases, the one without the
 *, like G) we will forever scratch the surface. And the right hypostases,
 like G*, are a sort of promise of an inexhaustible collection of bigger and
 bigger surprises, in the terrestrial realm and perhaps beyond).

 On the contrary, the more we will know, the more we will be aware of the
 ignorance.

I guess the key phrase is worth knowing.  Worth?

I think that he is referring to a particular kind of
knowledge...knowledge that gives you some advantage over your
competitors or over your environment.

And he doesn't say that we will know everything...just that truly new
and important discoveries will be quite rare.

But, again there's another ambiguous phrase:  important discoveries.
 Important?  To whom, in what sense?

Again, I think that he is referring to a particular kind of
discovery...discoveries that gives you some advantage over your
competitors or over your environment.

Ultimately he's asserting that humanity will never escape the
competitive evolutionary framework.  Our current golden age is just a
temporary reprieve.

Though, evolution takes on a different color in unchanging
plenitudinous Platonia.


Rex

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Re: This is the Dream Time

2011-06-23 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 23 Jun 2011, at 17:40, Rex Allen wrote:

On Wed, Jun 22, 2011 at 2:03 PM, Bruno Marchal marc...@ulb.ac.be  
wrote:


On 22 Jun 2011, at 01:56, Rex Allen wrote:


Related to the Progress and Happiness thread:

http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/09/this-is-the-dream-time.html



But I am not sure there will be a point where everything worth  
knowing will
be known. In the terrestrial realm (the left hypostases, the one  
without the
*, like G) we will forever scratch the surface. And the right  
hypostases,
like G*, are a sort of promise of an inexhaustible collection of  
bigger and

bigger surprises, in the terrestrial realm and perhaps beyond).

On the contrary, the more we will know, the more we will be aware  
of the

ignorance.


I guess the key phrase is worth knowing.  Worth?

I think that he is referring to a particular kind of
knowledge...knowledge that gives you some advantage over your
competitors or over your environment.


It always does.  Knowledge is always an advantage, even if it can seem  
heavy sometimes.






And he doesn't say that we will know everything...just that truly new
and important discoveries will be quite rare.


I think it will be always about the same, except that it oscillates  
between excess of non unifiable propositions up to the next shift of  
perspectives, then later, new things does not fit and we are back at  
too many non unifiable propositions, again up to the next shift.  
Basically, because, theories are like particles, they can collide and  
get fertile products, which can rip in different dimensions. Once we  
think, we really don't know what we are doing. Important discoveries  
hide other important discoveries.







But, again there's another ambiguous phrase:  important discoveries.
Important?  To whom, in what sense?


Perhaps in the sense of making steps toward stable paradise, or  
something. To get sort of satisfaction of the whole, in the as lucid  
as possible measure of the possible, determined locally by the last  
unification of the believed propositions.





Again, I think that he is referring to a particular kind of
discovery...discoveries that gives you some advantage over your
competitors or over your environment.

Ultimately he's asserting that humanity will never escape the
competitive evolutionary framework.  Our current golden age is just a
temporary reprieve.


See my other post. I can agree and disagree. Evolution has led to  
brain wired self-moving entities with the ability to dream and export  
their dreams. Evolution makes jumps, and the 'progress' make jumps.


I am not sure in which sense you consider our current age as a golden  
one. Humans are the good candidate for doing the next jump, but they  
still feel superior and that might be a serious handicap, imo.






Though, evolution takes on a different color in unchanging
plenitudinous Platonia.


Absolutely so, even just in the tiny universal part (sigma_1  
platonia). You can put all the rest in the artificial mind tools  
invented by the numbers to figure out what happen?. Arithmetical  
truth is inexhaustible and tools needs quickly even more tools.


Bruno


http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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Re: This is the Dream Time

2011-06-22 Thread Bruno Marchal


On 22 Jun 2011, at 01:56, Rex Allen wrote:


Related to the Progress and Happiness thread:

http://www.overcomingbias.com/2009/09/this-is-the-dream-time.html

In the distant future, our descendants will probably have spread out
across space, and redesigned their minds and bodies to explode
Cambrian-style into a vast space of possible creatures. If they are
free enough to choose where to go and what to become, our distant
descendants will fragment into diverse local economies and cultures.

Given a similar freedom of fertility, most of our distant descendants
will also live near a subsistence level.  Per-capita wealth has only
been rising lately because income has grown faster than population.
But if income only doubled every century, in a million years that
would be a factor of 10^3000, which seems impossible to achieve with
only the 10^70 atoms of our galaxy available by then.  Yes we have
seen a remarkable demographic transition, wherein richer nations have
fewer kids, but we already see contrarian subgroups like Hutterites,
Hmongs, or Mormons that grow much faster.  So unless strong central
controls prevent it, over the long run such groups will easily grow
faster than the economy, making per person income drop to near
subsistence levels.  Even so, they will be basically happy in such a
world.

Our distant descendants will also likely have hit diminishing returns
to discovery; by then most everything worth knowing will be known by
many; truly new and important discoveries will be quite rare. Complete
introspection will be feasible, and immortality will be available to
the few who can afford it.  Wild nature will be mostly gone, and
universal coordination and destruction will both be far harder than
today.

So what will these distant descendants think of their ancestors?  They
will find much in common with our distant hunting ancestors, who also
continued for ages at near subsistence level in a vast fragmented
world with slow growth amid rare slow contact with strange distant
cultures.  While those ancestors were quite ignorant about their
world, and immersed in a vast wild nature instead of a vast space of
people, their behavior was still pretty well adapted to the world they
lived in.  While they suffered many misconceptions, those illusions
rarely made them much worse off; their behavior was usually adaptive.

When our distant descendants think about our era, however, differences
will loom larger


It depends on which futures you are talking about. In some futures,  
gaussian-normal, or not, depending on ourselves, the descendants might  
develop some archeo-quantum technic to find their ancestors states and  
simulate them. In that case, we might be actually both the ancestors  
and the simulated ancestors.


Many things happens in the arithmetical reality, and different humans  
might explore very different (relative) path. You can expand your  
memories, and restrict it too, and make back and forth in between. The  
exploration is worth as far as it doesn't contradict our sense of  
values. We can bifurcate and we can fuse, nature and matter already  
plays that game.


But I am not sure there will be a point where everything worth knowing  
will be known. In the terrestrial realm (the left hypostases, the one  
without the *, like G) we will forever scratch the surface. And the  
right hypostases, like G*, are a sort of promise of an inexhaustible  
collection of bigger and bigger surprises, in the terrestrial realm  
and perhaps beyond).


On the contrary, the more we will know, the more we will be aware of  
the ignorance.


Bruno


http://iridia.ulb.ac.be/~marchal/



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